Poore's Picks: Week Seven

Poore's Picks, a weekly pick'em column for each and every NFL football game. Picking against the spread is never easy and Jim has been hearing it. Each week Jim lays his record out for all to see, mull over and rip apart come gameday. Here are Poore's Picks for week seven in the 2005 NFL football season.

Poore's Picks: Week Seven
By Jim Poore

Even though my record for last week was a respectable 7-7, three of those losses were determined in the last minute and a half of each game. Dallas, Detroit and Atlanta all were winning and covering against the spread after the two minute warning had passed, only to have all three teams lose their leads (in Detroit's case, the game) in the final minute. This just proves the point that choosing a winner against the points every week isn't as easy as it looks. If picking winners were the only criteria, as in some picks columns, then we'd all be winners. This past week for example, the winners would have outnumbered the losers 10-4 as opposed to 7-7 (70% correct vs 50%). That difference would amount to 48 wins a year -- A huge turnaround. We will see how things shake up this week, so on with the picks for week number seven.

MIAMI 2 Kansas City
This game moved to Friday night to prevent any altercation with hurricane Wilma. I thought the Dolphins would play a little tougher last week, and the Chiefs just never seem to impress no matter who they are playing. I don't think playing two days earlier will really have an impact on either team, so I like the Dolphins to cover here. Neither team great but Kansas City just can't seem to get anything done.

Poore's Pick: Dolphins 23-20

ST. LOUIS 3 New Orleans
The Rams actually played pretty well until their second half collapse last week. The Rams really aren't that good with or without Mike Martz. Neither are the Saints, who haven't played particularly well all year. It will be interesting to see how well St. Louis plays without Marc Bulger, who has never impressed me anyway. Neither team can be trusted at this point. Take the Rams at home.

Poore's Pick: Rams 27-21

Green Bay 1 1/2 MINNESOTA
The Packers are coming off of a bye week, and a thrashing of the Saints before that. We all know what the Vikings are coming off of. The Love Boat cruise aside, the Vikings have been dreadful all year and I don't see any sign of a change. Green Bay isn't any good either, but winning here could give them some momentum for the next few weeks. They would only have to win three games in order to win this dreadful division. Take the Packers away from Lambeau Field.

Poore's Pick: Packers 23-17

Indianapolis 15 HOUSTON
Everyone keeps mentioning how lame the Colts' schedule has been so far, but other teams have the same common opponents too. Other teams have played the lousy Texans for instance. I really do feel bad for David Carr. He is actually a pretty good quarterback; his offensive line is just a disgrace. The Colts, of course, have an excellent quarterback and offensive line. I would really like to pick Houston here with the points, but the Colts are absolutely rolling right now, and the Texans are not going to get in their way.

Poore's Pick: Colts 38-17

CINCINNATI pk Pittsburgh
The Bengals come into this game at 5-1, and playing very well. Big Ben is back for the Steelers, but I think more out of necessity. Tommy Maddox was absolutely horrible last week, forcing head coach Bill Cowher to put Roethlisberger back into action even though he's not at 100%. Being in Cincinnati gives the Bengals the edge, so I find it odd that this game is only a pick em. Well here is my pick: the Bengals.

Poore's Pick: Bengals 26-20

PHILADELPHIA 3 1/2 San Diego
This game features the NFL's best players at their position, Donovan McNabb and LaDainian Tomlinson. McNabb has played remarkably well considering his injury, and the bye week gave him some much-needed rest. Tomlinson is just unbelievable, period. The Chargers have been playing really well lately, but I think the home field and the bye week give the Eagles the edge here.

Poore's Pick: Eagles 21-17

CLEVELAND 3 Detroit
Thanks to the Brownies, my upset special record remains ugly. And ugly defines the way the Lions blew a last second lead last week. I guess ugly is the way to describe these two teams. I think the game will be ugly as well. Hopefully my pick won't be. I am going to go with the Lions here, really for no particular reason. Neither team is any good, and I am not sure that Cleveland should be favored against anybody.

Poore's Pick: Lions 23-21

WASHINGTON 13 San Francisco
13 points is a lot, especially for an outfit like the Redskins. San Francisco might be the only team in the NFL where the bye week didn't help them at all. They want to get their season over as fast as possible. As with the Indy game, I don't like the points here, but I like the team even less. I would really like to take the 49ers, but being in Washington I can't see myself doing that. Take the Redskins and the points as much as I hate to do it.

Poore's Pick: Redskins 36-20

SEATTLE 3 Dallas
Both teams coming off wins last week, though the Cowboys almost blew it in the end. The Seahawks crushed the Texans, but that isn't saying much. The Seahawks are too inconsistent for me, though maybe Mike Holmgren banning the team from the club district will help. Yes, those Seahawks do know how to party. I think the Cowboys can ruin that party for the Seahawks. If two plays go differently for Dallas, the Cowboys would be 6-0. I don't see the Cowboys winning the game, but I would not be shocked if they did. Instead, I will just take them to cover the points.

Poore's Pick: Seahawks 24-23

OAKLAND 3 Buffalo
The Raiders really aren't playing all that badly, and Buffalo has been better lately. Who would have thought that Kelly Holcomb would give the Bills the offensive boost that they needed. I think they need more then what he is giving them though. The Raiders definitely have the edge here, especially at home. It is just tough to figure out what team is going to show up. Take the Raiders here.

Poore's Pick: Raiders 27-16

CHICAGO 1 Baltimore
It is always an interesting game when two bad teams get to play each other. I just can't decide which team is worse. Both teams are coming off of wins, but against lousy opponents. I have no idea what has happened to Jamal Lewis. He has completely disappeared. For no real reason I am going to pick the Ravens here. I just think they are the lesser of two evils.

Poore's Pick: Ravens 17-14

ARIZONA 3 1/2 Tennessee
The Cardinals are coming off of a bye week, and boy did they need it. They are about as inconsistent as it gets. The Titans, on the other hand, have been playing pretty well, despite their youth. Since I cannot trust the Cardinals at any time, this is going to be my upset of the week. It HAS to happen at some point. I think.

Poore's Pick: Titans 26-19

NEW YORK GIANTS 2 Denver
The Broncos somehow are 5-1, and coming off of a win against the injury riddled Patriots. The Giants lost a close game, this game should also be close. I have a feeling the Broncos' season will be just like their last few. They start out fast and then fade in the end. The Giants should be contenders for the rest of the year. I think this will be the week that the Broncos start to fall apart. Take the Giants at home.

Poore's Pick: Giants 28-20

ATLANTA 7 New York Jets
We are almost half way through the season and I am still not impressed with the Falcons. Of course, I am not impressed with the Jets either. The Falcons though are clearly better then the Jets, who are still really struggling right now. With or without Michael Vick, I don't see too many problems for the Falcons here.

Poore's Pick: Falcons 30-16

Last week's record: 7-7
Record through week six: 40-47-1
Upset special record: 0-6

 

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[Editors Note: Jim submitted his picks before the Miami game on Friday night. PI was typically posts Poore's Picks Saturday morning due to previous scheduling commitments. Look for the column earlier on weeks with a Thursday, Friday or Saturday game.]


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","mobileBody":"

Poore's Picks: Week Seven
By Jim Poore

Even though my record for last week was a respectable 7-7, three of those losses were determined in the last minute and a half of each game. Dallas, Detroit and Atlanta all were winning and covering against the spread after the two minute warning had passed, only to have all three teams lose their leads (in Detroit's case, the game) in the final minute. This just proves the point that choosing a winner against the points every week isn't as easy as it looks. If picking winners were the only criteria, as in some picks columns, then we'd all be winners. This past week for example, the winners would have outnumbered the losers 10-4 as opposed to 7-7 (70% correct vs 50%). That difference would amount to 48 wins a year -- A huge turnaround. We will see how things shake up this week, so on with the picks for week number seven.

MIAMI 2 Kansas City
This game moved to Friday night to prevent any altercation with hurricane Wilma. I thought the Dolphins would play a little tougher last week, and the Chiefs just never seem to impress no matter who they are playing. I don't think playing two days earlier will really have an impact on either team, so I like the Dolphins to cover here. Neither team great but Kansas City just can't seem to get anything done.

Poore's Pick: Dolphins 23-20

ST. LOUIS 3 New Orleans
The Rams actually played pretty well until their second half collapse last week. The Rams really aren't that good with or without Mike Martz. Neither are the Saints, who haven't played particularly well all year. It will be interesting to see how well St. Louis plays without Marc Bulger, who has never impressed me anyway. Neither team can be trusted at this point. Take the Rams at home.

Poore's Pick: Rams 27-21

Green Bay 1 1/2 MINNESOTA
The Packers are coming off of a bye week, and a thrashing of the Saints before that. We all know what the Vikings are coming off of. The Love Boat cruise aside, the Vikings have been dreadful all year and I don't see any sign of a change. Green Bay isn't any good either, but winning here could give them some momentum for the next few weeks. They would only have to win three games in order to win this dreadful division. Take the Packers away from Lambeau Field.

Poore's Pick: Packers 23-17

Indianapolis 15 HOUSTON
Everyone keeps mentioning how lame the Colts' schedule has been so far, but other teams have the same common opponents too. Other teams have played the lousy Texans for instance. I really do feel bad for David Carr. He is actually a pretty good quarterback; his offensive line is just a disgrace. The Colts, of course, have an excellent quarterback and offensive line. I would really like to pick Houston here with the points, but the Colts are absolutely rolling right now, and the Texans are not going to get in their way.

Poore's Pick: Colts 38-17

CINCINNATI pk Pittsburgh
The Bengals come into this game at 5-1, and playing very well. Big Ben is back for the Steelers, but I think more out of necessity. Tommy Maddox was absolutely horrible last week, forcing head coach Bill Cowher to put Roethlisberger back into action even though he's not at 100%. Being in Cincinnati gives the Bengals the edge, so I find it odd that this game is only a pick em. Well here is my pick: the Bengals.

Poore's Pick: Bengals 26-20

PHILADELPHIA 3 1/2 San Diego
This game features the NFL's best players at their position, Donovan McNabb and LaDainian Tomlinson. McNabb has played remarkably well considering his injury, and the bye week gave him some much-needed rest. Tomlinson is just unbelievable, period. The Chargers have been playing really well lately, but I think the home field and the bye week give the Eagles the edge here.

Poore's Pick: Eagles 21-17

CLEVELAND 3 Detroit
Thanks to the Brownies, my upset special record remains ugly. And ugly defines the way the Lions blew a last second lead last week. I guess ugly is the way to describe these two teams. I think the game will be ugly as well. Hopefully my pick won't be. I am going to go with the Lions here, really for no particular reason. Neither team is any good, and I am not sure that Cleveland should be favored against anybody.

Poore's Pick: Lions 23-21

WASHINGTON 13 San Francisco
13 points is a lot, especially for an outfit like the Redskins. San Francisco might be the only team in the NFL where the bye week didn't help them at all. They want to get their season over as fast as possible. As with the Indy game, I don't like the points here, but I like the team even less. I would really like to take the 49ers, but being in Washington I can't see myself doing that. Take the Redskins and the points as much as I hate to do it.

Poore's Pick: Redskins 36-20

SEATTLE 3 Dallas
Both teams coming off wins last week, though the Cowboys almost blew it in the end. The Seahawks crushed the Texans, but that isn't saying much. The Seahawks are too inconsistent for me, though maybe Mike Holmgren banning the team from the club district will help. Yes, those Seahawks do know how to party. I think the Cowboys can ruin that party for the Seahawks. If two plays go differently for Dallas, the Cowboys would be 6-0. I don't see the Cowboys winning the game, but I would not be shocked if they did. Instead, I will just take them to cover the points.

Poore's Pick: Seahawks 24-23

OAKLAND 3 Buffalo
The Raiders really aren't playing all that badly, and Buffalo has been better lately. Who would have thought that Kelly Holcomb would give the Bills the offensive boost that they needed. I think they need more then what he is giving them though. The Raiders definitely have the edge here, especially at home. It is just tough to figure out what team is going to show up. Take the Raiders here.

Poore's Pick: Raiders 27-16

CHICAGO 1 Baltimore
It is always an interesting game when two bad teams get to play each other. I just can't decide which team is worse. Both teams are coming off of wins, but against lousy opponents. I have no idea what has happened to Jamal Lewis. He has completely disappeared. For no real reason I am going to pick the Ravens here. I just think they are the lesser of two evils.

Poore's Pick: Ravens 17-14

ARIZONA 3 1/2 Tennessee
The Cardinals are coming off of a bye week, and boy did they need it. They are about as inconsistent as it gets. The Titans, on the other hand, have been playing pretty well, despite their youth. Since I cannot trust the Cardinals at any time, this is going to be my upset of the week. It HAS to happen at some point. I think.

Poore's Pick: Titans 26-19

NEW YORK GIANTS 2 Denver
The Broncos somehow are 5-1, and coming off of a win against the injury riddled Patriots. The Giants lost a close game, this game should also be close. I have a feeling the Broncos' season will be just like their last few. They start out fast and then fade in the end. The Giants should be contenders for the rest of the year. I think this will be the week that the Broncos start to fall apart. Take the Giants at home.

Poore's Pick: Giants 28-20

ATLANTA 7 New York Jets
We are almost half way through the season and I am still not impressed with the Falcons. Of course, I am not impressed with the Jets either. The Falcons though are clearly better then the Jets, who are still really struggling right now. With or without Michael Vick, I don't see too many problems for the Falcons here.

Poore's Pick: Falcons 30-16

Last week's record: 7-7
Record through week six: 40-47-1
Upset special record: 0-6

 

Think Jim has a lot to learn about pick'ems? Let him know what you think here:

Join the Patriots Insider Pick'Em Contest:. Free to enter, no purchase required. (more info)

[Editors Note: Jim submitted his picks before the Miami game on Friday night. PI was typically posts Poore's Picks Saturday morning due to previous scheduling commitments. Look for the column earlier on weeks with a Thursday, Friday or Saturday game.]


You can find the original article or others like it on PatriotsInsider.com
URL: http://www.patriots.scout.com

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