Poore's Picks: Week Fourteen

The NFL can be a quirky thing late in the year, certainly in the case of those trying to pick the winners each week. Teams out of the playoffs tend to fade quickly, while those who have a chance play harder. The oddsmakers have it all figured out when they set the point spreads. This week is no exception with multiple double-digit spreads for experts to ponder. Get inside for this week's NFL Football pick'em.

This writer has received a few emails from readers over the past couple weeks in regard to the Indianapolis Colts and the season they are having. For some unexplained reason, there are some out there who feel that the Colts are just an average team. For the last two weeks I have been trying to determine how any rational person can possibly feel this way.

The biggest argument is that Indianapolis' schedule has not been that difficult. This is true to a point. Thus far, the Colts have only played four teams with a winning record, but three of their last four games are against playoff quality teams. Those games have not been played of course, but that would leave the Colts with seven games against teams with a winning record -- really not too bad.

The same people have written that the Colts play in a lousy division, and there is also some truth to that. However, these people fail to realize that Jacksonville -- the team with the 9-3 record-is also in their division. The Patriots, for example, are in a division where the second place team is two games below .500. So it appears that there are worse divisions out there than the AFC South. The Colts win their games by an average score of 31-14, so they aren't exactly winning on last second field goals. It is time to realize that the Colts are indeed very, very good. If someone does not like Peyton Manning or Tony Dungy, that's fine, they are entitled to that opinion. I only ask that you use some common sense when making your judgments. Now, on to the picks for week 14.

CAROLINA 5 Tampa
I was surprised to see all of the people picking the Falcons last week to beat the Panthers. I, of course, picked it correctly. I still think the Panthers are the best team in the NFC, and they will prove it again this week. Tampa certainly in the playoff hunt but their offense is really struggling. The Panthers should be able to take this one at home.

Poore's Pick: Panthers 27-16

 

New England 3 BUFFALO
Buffalo has suspended Eric Moulds for this weekend's game. That will really help the Patriots secondary. Patriots didn't look great last week but got the job done. The Bills should be embarrassed at losing that big lead to Miami. If they had Moulds this weekend, I would consider taking Buffalo. But they don't, and that is one less receiver the Patriots' Swiss cheese defense will have to cover. Take the Patriots.

Poore's Pick: Patriots 23-17

 

MINNESOTA 6 1/2 St. Louis
The Vikings really are on a roll. They are gunning for the playoffs, but I still think they will fall short. The Rams fell short a few weeks ago. The Vikings do have a favorable schedule the rest of the way, but they need some help to get to the postseason. They will win this game fairly easily to keep their hopes alive.

Poore's Pick: Vikings 28-17

 

PITTSBURGH 6 Chicago
The Steelers are reeling right now, and it looks like Big Ben will need surgery on his thumb. The Bears keep winning even though they can't score any points. Pittsburgh is desperate for a win, and I think they will get it this week. It won't be easy, but desperate times call for desperate measures. The Bears will cover but their losing streak will come to an end.

Poore's Pick: Steelers 13-10

 

Oakland 3 NEW YORK JETS
It is hard to pick the Jets in any capacity right now. They flat out stink. The Raiders don't stink, but are mediocre at best. Mediocre is definitely enough to beat the Jets. New York's season can't end fast enough. Take the Raiders here.

Poore's Pick: Raiders 26-14

 

Indianapolis 7 1/2 JACKSONVILLE
I would probably take the Jaguars here if Byron Leftwich was playing, but of course he isn't. The Colts won the earlier meeting 10-3, but the scoring should be more here, at least for the Colts. I think Indianapolis is unstoppable -- right now anyway. The Jags are still good without Leftwich, but they don't have enough to stop them here.

Poore's Pick: Colts 30-14

 

TENNESSEE 6 1/2 Houston
Dom Capers regime at Houston is dwindling down, now with only four weeks remaining. It's too bad, because he is a good coach, but he could simply be more cut out as a coordinator somewhere. Jeff Fisher is getting the most out of his team; they just don't have a lot of talent right now. They have enough to beat Houston though.

Poore's Pick: Titans 23-16

 

CINCINNATI 11 1/2 Cleveland
I think people are starting to take the Bengals real seriously now, and as I have been saying for most of the season, they should be. Their offense is very explosive, and their defense is near the tops in the league for takeaways. As for the Brownies, they still stink, though they are headed in the right direction. They will not be competitive in this game though. Look for the Bengals to roll here.

Poore's Pick: Bengals 36-14

 

Washington 3 1/2 ARIZONA
The Redskins bounced back in a big way last week, but their season is virtually over. The Cardinals season was over after week one. The Redskins will try to make a final push for the playoffs but will fall short by a couple of games. The Cardinals are looking at next season already. Take the Redskins here.

Poore's Pick: Redskins 26-21

 

New York Giants 2 PHILADELPHIA
The Giants pulled out a big win last week, but their offense is really struggling right now. The entire Philadelphia team is struggling, and the injuries have taken an obvious toll. New York has the edge for the division crown, and a bad Philadelphia team isn't going to get in their way. The Eagles season needs to end soon.

Poore's Pick: Giants 26-13

 

SEATTLE 16 San Francisco
The Seahawks have officially clinched the NFC West, but that isn't saying much. I am not sure if they are going to shut it down for the playoffs, but they still want home field. The 49ers are in the Reggie Bush sweepstakes, but they might fall short. The Seahawks should win big here, but the points scare me. Take them anyway.

Poore's Picks: Seahawks 37-17

 

SAN DIEGO 13 Miami
The Chargers have been playing really well, and if it wasn't for a couple of early season bumps, would probably be winning the AFC West. The Dolphins actually haven't been that bad this year, and have probably been better then people expected. I don't see this game being that close though. Miami seems to win one, lose one. They won last week, so this will be a loss. Take San Diego even with the double digit points.

Poore's Pick: Chargers 31-14

 

DENVER 14 Baltimore
The Broncos need a win to keep the division lead, and they shouldn't have too many problems with a Baltimore team that hasn't been good all year. Add to that the fact that Ray Lewis is out, and this game could be over early. Broncos would like to have a bye week for the first round of the playoffs, and this game will help them with that. Take the Broncos and the big number.

Poore's Pick: Broncos 32-10

 

DALLAS 3 Kansas City
There are rumors in Dallas that the offense is starting to get tired of Drew Bledsoe holding on to the ball too much. There could be some truth to that, but it is tough to throw a pass while lying on your back. The Cowboys badly need this game, but so do the Chiefs. Being in Dallas gives the Cowboys the edge, and I think their defense can hold the Chiefs offense to a minimal number of points. Take Dallas here.

Poore's Pick: Dallas 20-14

 

GREEN BAY 6 Detroit
Tough to pick a winner here as both teams are really bad. I also need to pick an upset special. Since nobody cares about this game, I might as well make it Detroit. Truthfully, I really didn't see any other attractive games worthy of the upset. I have to go with the Lions out of necessity, though I feel that the Packers will probably win.

Poore's Pick: Lions 23-21

 

ATLANTA 10 1/2 New Orleans
The Falcons need to bounce back in a big way after their blowout loss last week. The Saints of course are used to getting blown out. They probably will again this week. The Falcons need the win to keep their post-season hopes alive. I don't see too many problems.

Poore's Pick: Falcons 33-17

 

Week 13 Record: 9-7 ( 13-3 without the spread )
Record Through Week 13: 96-92-4
Upset Special Record: 2-11

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","mobileBody":"

This writer has received a few emails from readers over the past couple weeks in regard to the Indianapolis Colts and the season they are having. For some unexplained reason, there are some out there who feel that the Colts are just an average team. For the last two weeks I have been trying to determine how any rational person can possibly feel this way.

The biggest argument is that Indianapolis' schedule has not been that difficult. This is true to a point. Thus far, the Colts have only played four teams with a winning record, but three of their last four games are against playoff quality teams. Those games have not been played of course, but that would leave the Colts with seven games against teams with a winning record -- really not too bad.

The same people have written that the Colts play in a lousy division, and there is also some truth to that. However, these people fail to realize that Jacksonville -- the team with the 9-3 record-is also in their division. The Patriots, for example, are in a division where the second place team is two games below .500. So it appears that there are worse divisions out there than the AFC South. The Colts win their games by an average score of 31-14, so they aren't exactly winning on last second field goals. It is time to realize that the Colts are indeed very, very good. If someone does not like Peyton Manning or Tony Dungy, that's fine, they are entitled to that opinion. I only ask that you use some common sense when making your judgments. Now, on to the picks for week 14.

CAROLINA 5 Tampa
I was surprised to see all of the people picking the Falcons last week to beat the Panthers. I, of course, picked it correctly. I still think the Panthers are the best team in the NFC, and they will prove it again this week. Tampa certainly in the playoff hunt but their offense is really struggling. The Panthers should be able to take this one at home.

Poore's Pick: Panthers 27-16

 

New England 3 BUFFALO
Buffalo has suspended Eric Moulds for this weekend's game. That will really help the Patriots secondary. Patriots didn't look great last week but got the job done. The Bills should be embarrassed at losing that big lead to Miami. If they had Moulds this weekend, I would consider taking Buffalo. But they don't, and that is one less receiver the Patriots' Swiss cheese defense will have to cover. Take the Patriots.

Poore's Pick: Patriots 23-17

 

MINNESOTA 6 1/2 St. Louis
The Vikings really are on a roll. They are gunning for the playoffs, but I still think they will fall short. The Rams fell short a few weeks ago. The Vikings do have a favorable schedule the rest of the way, but they need some help to get to the postseason. They will win this game fairly easily to keep their hopes alive.

Poore's Pick: Vikings 28-17

 

PITTSBURGH 6 Chicago
The Steelers are reeling right now, and it looks like Big Ben will need surgery on his thumb. The Bears keep winning even though they can't score any points. Pittsburgh is desperate for a win, and I think they will get it this week. It won't be easy, but desperate times call for desperate measures. The Bears will cover but their losing streak will come to an end.

Poore's Pick: Steelers 13-10

 

Oakland 3 NEW YORK JETS
It is hard to pick the Jets in any capacity right now. They flat out stink. The Raiders don't stink, but are mediocre at best. Mediocre is definitely enough to beat the Jets. New York's season can't end fast enough. Take the Raiders here.

Poore's Pick: Raiders 26-14

 

Indianapolis 7 1/2 JACKSONVILLE
I would probably take the Jaguars here if Byron Leftwich was playing, but of course he isn't. The Colts won the earlier meeting 10-3, but the scoring should be more here, at least for the Colts. I think Indianapolis is unstoppable -- right now anyway. The Jags are still good without Leftwich, but they don't have enough to stop them here.

Poore's Pick: Colts 30-14

 

TENNESSEE 6 1/2 Houston
Dom Capers regime at Houston is dwindling down, now with only four weeks remaining. It's too bad, because he is a good coach, but he could simply be more cut out as a coordinator somewhere. Jeff Fisher is getting the most out of his team; they just don't have a lot of talent right now. They have enough to beat Houston though.

Poore's Pick: Titans 23-16

 

CINCINNATI 11 1/2 Cleveland
I think people are starting to take the Bengals real seriously now, and as I have been saying for most of the season, they should be. Their offense is very explosive, and their defense is near the tops in the league for takeaways. As for the Brownies, they still stink, though they are headed in the right direction. They will not be competitive in this game though. Look for the Bengals to roll here.

Poore's Pick: Bengals 36-14

 

Washington 3 1/2 ARIZONA
The Redskins bounced back in a big way last week, but their season is virtually over. The Cardinals season was over after week one. The Redskins will try to make a final push for the playoffs but will fall short by a couple of games. The Cardinals are looking at next season already. Take the Redskins here.

Poore's Pick: Redskins 26-21

 

New York Giants 2 PHILADELPHIA
The Giants pulled out a big win last week, but their offense is really struggling right now. The entire Philadelphia team is struggling, and the injuries have taken an obvious toll. New York has the edge for the division crown, and a bad Philadelphia team isn't going to get in their way. The Eagles season needs to end soon.

Poore's Pick: Giants 26-13

 

SEATTLE 16 San Francisco
The Seahawks have officially clinched the NFC West, but that isn't saying much. I am not sure if they are going to shut it down for the playoffs, but they still want home field. The 49ers are in the Reggie Bush sweepstakes, but they might fall short. The Seahawks should win big here, but the points scare me. Take them anyway.

Poore's Picks: Seahawks 37-17

 

SAN DIEGO 13 Miami
The Chargers have been playing really well, and if it wasn't for a couple of early season bumps, would probably be winning the AFC West. The Dolphins actually haven't been that bad this year, and have probably been better then people expected. I don't see this game being that close though. Miami seems to win one, lose one. They won last week, so this will be a loss. Take San Diego even with the double digit points.

Poore's Pick: Chargers 31-14

 

DENVER 14 Baltimore
The Broncos need a win to keep the division lead, and they shouldn't have too many problems with a Baltimore team that hasn't been good all year. Add to that the fact that Ray Lewis is out, and this game could be over early. Broncos would like to have a bye week for the first round of the playoffs, and this game will help them with that. Take the Broncos and the big number.

Poore's Pick: Broncos 32-10

 

DALLAS 3 Kansas City
There are rumors in Dallas that the offense is starting to get tired of Drew Bledsoe holding on to the ball too much. There could be some truth to that, but it is tough to throw a pass while lying on your back. The Cowboys badly need this game, but so do the Chiefs. Being in Dallas gives the Cowboys the edge, and I think their defense can hold the Chiefs offense to a minimal number of points. Take Dallas here.

Poore's Pick: Dallas 20-14

 

GREEN BAY 6 Detroit
Tough to pick a winner here as both teams are really bad. I also need to pick an upset special. Since nobody cares about this game, I might as well make it Detroit. Truthfully, I really didn't see any other attractive games worthy of the upset. I have to go with the Lions out of necessity, though I feel that the Packers will probably win.

Poore's Pick: Lions 23-21

 

ATLANTA 10 1/2 New Orleans
The Falcons need to bounce back in a big way after their blowout loss last week. The Saints of course are used to getting blown out. They probably will again this week. The Falcons need the win to keep their post-season hopes alive. I don't see too many problems.

Poore's Pick: Falcons 33-17

 

Week 13 Record: 9-7 ( 13-3 without the spread )
Record Through Week 13: 96-92-4
Upset Special Record: 2-11

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