POORE'S PICKS: Week One

The NFL season has arrived. That means it's time for our resident prognosticator to share his insights with the world of football fans. Picks expert -- and we use the term loosely -- Jim Poore is back. Follow Jim's picks every week in this space. See how well he does, and let him know if you agree, disagree, or just share your own thoughts with the man, the myth, the legend.

There are many things that happen when the new NFL season starts. The leaves start turning colors, the air starts to get crisp and my articles start to reappear. Of course, my articles are the most important. With each year though also brings new twists and turns in the NFL season. There always seems to be one or two teams that are better then expected, and there always is a team that disappoints. That will likely be the same this year. One thing that will also likely be the same is my great picks for the upcoming season, but that was a given anyway. Last year my final record was 126-123-7 for the regular season, really not too shabby. Hopefully I can improve on that, and I likely will. I have some preseason favorites for the playoffs and the Super Bowl, as does everyone else. Instead of an Upset Special pick every week, there will be a Game of the Week, and I will keep track of the record. There will also be a Stinker Game of the Week, but that record will not be recorded, at least that's what I'm hoping for. All of the games will once again be against the point spread. Hopefully I can get off to a good start this season.

Home team in CAPS

PITTSBURGH 1 Miami
The NFL season is starting off with a pretty good matchup, with the Steelers coming off of a Super Bowl victory. The Dolphins are much improved. Ben Roethlisberger is out with an appendectomy, and Charlie Batch will start in his place. I think the Steelers might be a bit overrated. Daunte Culpepper has looked good for Miami, and the defense is going to be very good here. Take Miami and the point.
Dolphins 17-14

 

Denver 4 ST. LOUIS
The Broncos still haven't decided on a starting running back, but it probably won't matter anyway. They are serious playoff contenders, while the Rams look like an also ran once again. The Rams have a new head coach, but virtually the same mediocre team. I like the Broncos here away from home
Broncos 27-16

 

NEW ENGLAND 9 Buffalo
The Patriots look to win the AFC East again, while the Bills will look to win one GAME in the division. They should with the Jets to kick around. The Patriots should be very good again, but have clearly lost a step or two. New England shouldn't have any problems here. Take the Patriots and the nine points.
Patriots 27-10

 

TAMPA BAY 3 Baltimore
I hear a lot of people really like the Ravens this year. I think Steve McNair's health is going to be a huge factor. If he stays healthy, they might sniff the playoffs. MIGHT. Tampa will once again be competitive, and they do enjoy a very good home field advantage. I like the Bucs here. Baltimore needs to prove something. Just having a new quarterback isn't going to do it.
Buccaneers 19-14

 

KANSAS CITY 2 1/2 Cincinnati
This is definitely one of the best matchups in week one. The Chiefs look to make the playoffs after just missing out two years in a row. This year is their best chance. Herm Edwards should really help out the defense. The Bengals fate rests upon the knee of Carson Palmer, but all reports are his health is very good. I like the Chiefs here, mainly because of the home field. A Bengals win though wouldn't surprise me.
Chiefs 31-27

 

Seattle 6 DETROIT
The Seahawks are once again one of the favorites in the NFC, but not THE favorite. They will be very good though. The Lions, of course, won't be. There is some renewed hope in Motor City, but the Lions have a lot of work to do. Jon Kitna has instilled some confidence in the offense, but they will still struggle. Take Seattle here, and fairly easily.
Seahawks 33-20

 

CAROLINA 6 Atlanta
The Panthers are loaded on both sides of the ball, and they should be gearing up for a serious Super Bowl run. The Falcons are not. Atlanta's hopes rest squarely on the shoulders of Michael Vick. He is now entering his sixth year, and truthfully he has gotten nothing accomplished. He really needs to step it up this season. The Panthers shouldn't have too many problems this week, especially at home.
Panthers 26-14

 

Philadelphia 4 HOUSTON
Many are picking the Eagles to finish last in the NFC East, but that doesn't mean they will be a bad team. In fact, they still could be pretty good. Donovan McNabb is back and healthy, and the mess surrounding Terrell Owens is ancient history. Houston could be a big spoiler this year. They have new management, a new head coach in Gary Kubiak, and a good quarterback in David Carr. They will improve this year, but need a couple of more years before they start thinking about the playoffs. Take Philadelphia here.
Eagles 26-16

 

CLEVELAND 3 New Orleans
Good news for the Saints is that they are back in New Orleans, which is only going to help them this year. They also have some new personnel and new coaching, which has provided some optimism for this year. Truthfully, they are mediocre at best. And so are the Browns, though Romeo Crennel has a year of coaching under his belt and his younger players are getting more experience. The Browns should win this one here, and cover the points.
Browns 23-17

 

JACKSONVILLE 2 1/2 Dallas
This is one of the better opening week matchups. The Jaguars should be pretty good, and the Cowboys have the chance to be one of the better teams in the NFC. Jacksonville's offense has really struggled in the preseason. The Cowboys are pretty loaded on both sides of the ball, and with the signing of Terrell Owens, their offense should be explosive. I like the Cowboys here. Jacksonville just doesn't impress me.
Cowboys 28-20

 

Chicago 3 1/2 GREEN BAY
Both teams play in arguably the NFL's worst division, and the Bears are probably the best team. The Packers might be the worst. The Bears defense should be very good, with a shaky offense. The Packers need help everywhere, but their offense should get a boost with a healthy Ahman Green back running the ball. The Bears should be able to take this one. The mystique of Lambeau Field just isn't the same.
Bears 20-13

 

ARIZONA 7 1/2 San Francisco
I know there is something wrong when the Cardinals are favored by 7 1/2 points. Oh I see that they are playing the 49ers. The Cardinals should have some enthusiasm this year. They have a new stadium, a new stud running back in Edgerrin James, and an offense that should be very good. The 49ers are once again going to be in the basement, but should be a little better then last year. But that isn't saying much. The Cardinals should be able to cover the points.
Cardinals 30-14

 

WASHINGTON 5 Minnesota
The Redskins will battle for the NFC East crown, and they could come up the winner. They have pretty good talent on both sides of the ball, but Mark Brunell is starting to get banged up, and he has struggled a bit this preseason. Minnesota needs to bounce back after a disastrous 2005 season. The problem is, they still aren't that good. Brad Johnson is a year older, and the defense will struggle to stop anybody. The Redskins should be able to win this one, especially at home.
Redskins 28-20

 

San Diego 3 OAKLAND
San Diego decided to go in a different direction this year, and allow Drew Brees to leave and bring in Philip Rivers to run the offense. He has looked good so far, but it was only preseason. The Chargers should compete for the division crown, while the Raiders will be dead last, and one of the worst teams in football. Art Shell will help, but he has limited talent on either side of the ball. San Diego shouldn't have too many problems here.
Chargers 27-13

 

GAME OF THE WEEK

Indianapolis 3 1/2 NEW YORK GIANTS
This is the first Game of the Week. It might not be the best in terms of matchups, but I give it the edge because of the Peyton / Eli Manning scenario. This will be the first time they have played head to head. The Colts do have the better team though. They might not be as dominant on offense, but they are still one of the top contenders in the AFC. The Giants could be playoff bound, but their division might be the toughest in football. I like the Colts here though, and to cover.
Colts 31-25

 

STINKER OF THE WEEK

TENNESSEE 2 1/2 New York Jets
When the Titans are favored in a game, I know the opponent must stink. And, it holds true here. Both teams are poor, but the Jets will be one of the worst teams in the league this year. The Titans will not be much better, but they are slowly gaining ground. I like the Titans here in the first Stinker of the Week.
Titans 20-14

Last Year's record: 126-123-7

Jim Poore has been a long time contributor to Patriots insider with his weekly picks column. Let him know what you think. Email him here:

You can also follow Jim's picks here on PI's Weekly Pick'em contest. If you're not a member, it's free, sign up. Space is limited so do it asap. You must join to be a member. Rules of the pick'em and the login info can be found HERE in the PI Forums.


Talk about it in the Forums
URL: http://mb.scout.com/bpatriotsinsider

 


Patriots Insider Top Stories



You can also follow Jim's picks here on PI's Weekly Pick'em contest. If you're not a member, it's free, sign up. Space is limited so do it asap. You must join to be a member. Rules of the pick'em and the login info can be found HERE in the PI Forums.


Talk about it in \r\nthe Forums
URL: http://mb.scout.com/bpatriotsinsider

 

","mobileBody":"

There are many things that happen when the new NFL season starts. The leaves start turning colors, the air starts to get crisp and my articles start to reappear. Of course, my articles are the most important. With each year though also brings new twists and turns in the NFL season. There always seems to be one or two teams that are better then expected, and there always is a team that disappoints. That will likely be the same this year. One thing that will also likely be the same is my great picks for the upcoming season, but that was a given anyway. Last year my final record was 126-123-7 for the regular season, really not too shabby. Hopefully I can improve on that, and I likely will. I have some preseason favorites for the playoffs and the Super Bowl, as does everyone else. Instead of an Upset Special pick every week, there will be a Game of the Week, and I will keep track of the record. There will also be a Stinker Game of the Week, but that record will not be recorded, at least that's what I'm hoping for. All of the games will once again be against the point spread. Hopefully I can get off to a good start this season.

Home team in CAPS

PITTSBURGH 1 Miami
The NFL season is starting off with a pretty good matchup, with the Steelers coming off of a Super Bowl victory. The Dolphins are much improved. Ben Roethlisberger is out with an appendectomy, and Charlie Batch will start in his place. I think the Steelers might be a bit overrated. Daunte Culpepper has looked good for Miami, and the defense is going to be very good here. Take Miami and the point.
Dolphins 17-14

 

Denver 4 ST. LOUIS
The Broncos still haven't decided on a starting running back, but it probably won't matter anyway. They are serious playoff contenders, while the Rams look like an also ran once again. The Rams have a new head coach, but virtually the same mediocre team. I like the Broncos here away from home
Broncos 27-16

 

NEW ENGLAND 9 Buffalo
The Patriots look to win the AFC East again, while the Bills will look to win one GAME in the division. They should with the Jets to kick around. The Patriots should be very good again, but have clearly lost a step or two. New England shouldn't have any problems here. Take the Patriots and the nine points.
Patriots 27-10

 

TAMPA BAY 3 Baltimore
I hear a lot of people really like the Ravens this year. I think Steve McNair's health is going to be a huge factor. If he stays healthy, they might sniff the playoffs. MIGHT. Tampa will once again be competitive, and they do enjoy a very good home field advantage. I like the Bucs here. Baltimore needs to prove something. Just having a new quarterback isn't going to do it.
Buccaneers 19-14

 

KANSAS CITY 2 1/2 Cincinnati
This is definitely one of the best matchups in week one. The Chiefs look to make the playoffs after just missing out two years in a row. This year is their best chance. Herm Edwards should really help out the defense. The Bengals fate rests upon the knee of Carson Palmer, but all reports are his health is very good. I like the Chiefs here, mainly because of the home field. A Bengals win though wouldn't surprise me.
Chiefs 31-27

 

Seattle 6 DETROIT
The Seahawks are once again one of the favorites in the NFC, but not THE favorite. They will be very good though. The Lions, of course, won't be. There is some renewed hope in Motor City, but the Lions have a lot of work to do. Jon Kitna has instilled some confidence in the offense, but they will still struggle. Take Seattle here, and fairly easily.
Seahawks 33-20

 

CAROLINA 6 Atlanta
The Panthers are loaded on both sides of the ball, and they should be gearing up for a serious Super Bowl run. The Falcons are not. Atlanta's hopes rest squarely on the shoulders of Michael Vick. He is now entering his sixth year, and truthfully he has gotten nothing accomplished. He really needs to step it up this season. The Panthers shouldn't have too many problems this week, especially at home.
Panthers 26-14

 

Philadelphia 4 HOUSTON
Many are picking the Eagles to finish last in the NFC East, but that doesn't mean they will be a bad team. In fact, they still could be pretty good. Donovan McNabb is back and healthy, and the mess surrounding Terrell Owens is ancient history. Houston could be a big spoiler this year. They have new management, a new head coach in Gary Kubiak, and a good quarterback in David Carr. They will improve this year, but need a couple of more years before they start thinking about the playoffs. Take Philadelphia here.
Eagles 26-16

 

CLEVELAND 3 New Orleans
Good news for the Saints is that they are back in New Orleans, which is only going to help them this year. They also have some new personnel and new coaching, which has provided some optimism for this year. Truthfully, they are mediocre at best. And so are the Browns, though Romeo Crennel has a year of coaching under his belt and his younger players are getting more experience. The Browns should win this one here, and cover the points.
Browns 23-17

 

JACKSONVILLE 2 1/2 Dallas
This is one of the better opening week matchups. The Jaguars should be pretty good, and the Cowboys have the chance to be one of the better teams in the NFC. Jacksonville's offense has really struggled in the preseason. The Cowboys are pretty loaded on both sides of the ball, and with the signing of Terrell Owens, their offense should be explosive. I like the Cowboys here. Jacksonville just doesn't impress me.
Cowboys 28-20

 

Chicago 3 1/2 GREEN BAY
Both teams play in arguably the NFL's worst division, and the Bears are probably the best team. The Packers might be the worst. The Bears defense should be very good, with a shaky offense. The Packers need help everywhere, but their offense should get a boost with a healthy Ahman Green back running the ball. The Bears should be able to take this one. The mystique of Lambeau Field just isn't the same.
Bears 20-13

 

ARIZONA 7 1/2 San Francisco
I know there is something wrong when the Cardinals are favored by 7 1/2 points. Oh I see that they are playing the 49ers. The Cardinals should have some enthusiasm this year. They have a new stadium, a new stud running back in Edgerrin James, and an offense that should be very good. The 49ers are once again going to be in the basement, but should be a little better then last year. But that isn't saying much. The Cardinals should be able to cover the points.
Cardinals 30-14

 

WASHINGTON 5 Minnesota
The Redskins will battle for the NFC East crown, and they could come up the winner. They have pretty good talent on both sides of the ball, but Mark Brunell is starting to get banged up, and he has struggled a bit this preseason. Minnesota needs to bounce back after a disastrous 2005 season. The problem is, they still aren't that good. Brad Johnson is a year older, and the defense will struggle to stop anybody. The Redskins should be able to win this one, especially at home.
Redskins 28-20

 

San Diego 3 OAKLAND
San Diego decided to go in a different direction this year, and allow Drew Brees to leave and bring in Philip Rivers to run the offense. He has looked good so far, but it was only preseason. The Chargers should compete for the division crown, while the Raiders will be dead last, and one of the worst teams in football. Art Shell will help, but he has limited talent on either side of the ball. San Diego shouldn't have too many problems here.
Chargers 27-13

 

GAME OF THE WEEK

Indianapolis 3 1/2 NEW YORK GIANTS
This is the first Game of the Week. It might not be the best in terms of matchups, but I give it the edge because of the Peyton / Eli Manning scenario. This will be the first time they have played head to head. The Colts do have the better team though. They might not be as dominant on offense, but they are still one of the top contenders in the AFC. The Giants could be playoff bound, but their division might be the toughest in football. I like the Colts here though, and to cover.
Colts 31-25

 

STINKER OF THE WEEK

TENNESSEE 2 1/2 New York Jets
When the Titans are favored in a game, I know the opponent must stink. And, it holds true here. Both teams are poor, but the Jets will be one of the worst teams in the league this year. The Titans will not be much better, but they are slowly gaining ground. I like the Titans here in the first Stinker of the Week.
Titans 20-14

Last Year's record: 126-123-7

Jim Poore has been a long time contributor to Patriots insider with his weekly picks column. Let him know what you think. Email him here:

You can also follow Jim's picks here on PI's Weekly Pick'em contest. If you're not a member, it's free, sign up. Space is limited so do it asap. You must join to be a member. Rules of the pick'em and the login info can be found HERE in the PI Forums.


Talk about it in the Forums
URL: http://mb.scout.com/bpatriotsinsider

 

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