POORE'S PICKS: Week Three

Week Two was a more believable week for teams and those who follow the point spreads from Vegas. Jim Poore, turned things around week two going 10-6. Jim shares his thoughts on the third week of the season and provides his picks against the spread. Follow Jim's picks every week in this space.

So far in this NFL season, there have already been lots of surprises. Who would have thought the Carolina Panthers -- a favorite to go to the Super Bowl -- would be 0-2, and that Daunte Culpepper would be hearing thoughts of the bench after two very poor performances, and that Chris Simms already has six interceptions? The Panthers should bounce back; Culpepper might not. Yours truly has already bounced back. I went 10-6 for week number two, a big improvement over week one's disastrous 4-12 showing. Week three has some very interesting games. Some teams are desperate for wins. We will see how week three turns out.

As always, home team in CAPS.


BUFFALO 5 1/2 New York Jets
The Bills pulled off a shocker last week, stunning the Dolphins. Buffalo's defense is pretty good. There is nothing pretty good about the Jets, though they did hang in last week against New England. This is Buffalo's home opener, and their defense should shut down the Jets.
Bills 17-7


INDIANAPOLIS 7 Jacksonville
Colts are rolling right now, but so are the Jags. Jacksonville coming off of an impressive Monday night win, but that also gives them less time to prepare. The Colts should be ready for this big matchup. Jacksonville's offense is still a little shaky. It will be interesting to see if the Jaguars defense can slow down Indianapolis. They might slow them down, but they won't stop them. Take the Colts here.
Colts 27-14


MIAMI 11 Tennessee
The Dolphins are clearly one of the desperate teams in the NFL, and so is Daunte Culpepper. They MUST win, or their season could be over after week three. Good thing they are playing the Titans, who just are not playing well right now. Tennessee will probably not play well all season. The 11 points is a little high considering the Dolphins are 0-2, but I will take Miami anyway.
Dolphins 24-10


Washington 4 HOUSTON
Speaking of another desperate team, the Redskins are also in a must win situation. Their offense was awful last week, and I wonder how long Joe Gibbs is going to stick with Mark Brunell. I like the Texans as a team, but they just need more time, probably another year to be decent. I think they will win here though. The Redskins can't score, and Houston is at home. I like the Texans in an upset.
Texans 20-17


Chicago 3 1/2 MINNESOTA
This is another early season big game, especially because the Vikings weren't expected to be undefeated. They will no longer be after this week. I think the Bears could be for real, but their first two opponents were cupcakes. I don't think Minnesota is for real. I think they will fall back to earth this week. This will be a test to see how good the Bears are. I think they pass the test, at least for this week.
Bears 23-16


Carolina 3 TAMPA BAY
These are two desperate, 0-2 teams. The Panthers really miss Steve Smith. I think Tampa misses an entire offense. I don't think Tampa is as bad as they have looked, and I really do think Carolina is still very good. The season is young, and there are a lot of games to play. I would like to take Tampa because they are at home, but I can't. The Panthers are clearly the better team, and they should win here.
Panthers 20-10


Baltimore 6 1/2 CLEVELAND
The Ravens have been very impressive so far, but beating the Oakland Raiders isn't saying much. This should be a tougher game, though the Brownies have been somewhat of a disappointment. Until Cleveland shows more, they will be tough to take in any game. I have to take Baltimore here. I am not sure how good they are yet, but they are certainly better then Cleveland.
Ravens 23-14


ARIZONA 4 1/2 St. Louis
Neither team has looked great so far, but the Cardinals get the edge because of home field. The Cardinals have been selling out games, so big crowds will help. They should win here. I think they have a better offense, but neither team has a defense that can really stop anybody. Take Arizona and the points.
Cardinals 27-20


SEATTLE 3 1/2 New York Giants
The Giants are on an emotional high after last week's stunning comeback. It looks like the Seahawks are going roll through their division already. Both teams are pretty good, but it looks like Deion Branch is going to be playing for the Seahawks this week. They have a really good group of receivers, and I am not sure if the Giants can stop them. I like Seattle here.
Seahawks 26-17


Philadelphia 6 SAN FRANCISCO
The Eagles need to bounce back after that disastrous loss last week. The 49ers have been able to score, but they can't stop anyone. They won't be able to stop the Eagles offense either. Donovan McNabb has been magnificent so far, and the 49ers defense isn't going to pose any problems. Take the Eagles here.
Eagles 31-14


NEW ENGLAND 7 Denver
The Broncos can't run the ball right now, and Jake Plummer is struggling. But the Patriots have not been impressive, even with their 2-0 start. I think the Broncos can keep it close. New England has struggled against two average teams, but the Broncos are much better then average. The Patriots should win the game, but I don't think they will cover. An outright Denver win wouldn't shock me.
Patriots 24-23


Atlanta 1 NEW ORLEANS
This is another huge early season game. I don't think either team is as good as they have looked though. The Saints are becoming the league's darlings, but I don't think they are that good. But emotion goes a long way. The Falcons are good, and maybe Micheal Vick is going to start to be a force. But the season is still young. This game could go either way, but I will go with the league's darlings here.
Saints 26-23

 

GAME OF THE WEEK

PITTSBURGH 2 Cincinnati
The Bengals look like they are going to be a force in the AFC, though they are starting to get some injuries. The Steelers might have been exposed a little bit offensively Monday night, and they need to bounce back after a tough loss. The late night game also left Pittsburgh with less preparation time. I like the Bengals here. Their defense isn't too bad, and they will be able to score against the Steelers. Take Cincinnati here in the Game of the Week.
Bengals 28-20

STINKER OF THE WEEK

DETROIT 6 1/2 Green Bay
Both teams are really struggling, but at least the Packers have been able to score. The Lions have looked awful on offense. They have no right being six and a half point favorites over anybody; I don't care who they are playing. I think Detroit will win, but the points are too high. Take Packers to cover the points in this Stinker of the Week.
Lions 21-17

 

Week Number Two Record: 10-6 ( 10-6 without the spread )
Record through Week Two: 14-18 ( 17-16 without spread )
Game of the Week Record: 2-0
Stinker of the Week Record: 1-1

Jim Poore has been a long time contributor to Patriots insider with his weekly picks column. Let him know what you think. Email him here:

You can also follow Jim's picks here on PI's Weekly Pick'em contest. If you're not a member, it's free, sign up. Space is limited so do it asap. You must join to be a member. Rules of the pick'em and the login info can be found HERE in the PI Forums.


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So far in this NFL season, there have already been lots of surprises. Who would have thought the Carolina Panthers -- a favorite to go to the Super Bowl -- would be 0-2, and that Daunte Culpepper would be hearing thoughts of the bench after two very poor performances, and that Chris Simms already has six interceptions? The Panthers should bounce back; Culpepper might not. Yours truly has already bounced back. I went 10-6 for week number two, a big improvement over week one's disastrous 4-12 showing. Week three has some very interesting games. Some teams are desperate for wins. We will see how week three turns out.

As always, home team in CAPS.


BUFFALO 5 1/2 New York Jets
The Bills pulled off a shocker last week, stunning the Dolphins. Buffalo's defense is pretty good. There is nothing pretty good about the Jets, though they did hang in last week against New England. This is Buffalo's home opener, and their defense should shut down the Jets.
Bills 17-7


INDIANAPOLIS 7 Jacksonville
Colts are rolling right now, but so are the Jags. Jacksonville coming off of an impressive Monday night win, but that also gives them less time to prepare. The Colts should be ready for this big matchup. Jacksonville's offense is still a little shaky. It will be interesting to see if the Jaguars defense can slow down Indianapolis. They might slow them down, but they won't stop them. Take the Colts here.
Colts 27-14


MIAMI 11 Tennessee
The Dolphins are clearly one of the desperate teams in the NFL, and so is Daunte Culpepper. They MUST win, or their season could be over after week three. Good thing they are playing the Titans, who just are not playing well right now. Tennessee will probably not play well all season. The 11 points is a little high considering the Dolphins are 0-2, but I will take Miami anyway.
Dolphins 24-10


Washington 4 HOUSTON
Speaking of another desperate team, the Redskins are also in a must win situation. Their offense was awful last week, and I wonder how long Joe Gibbs is going to stick with Mark Brunell. I like the Texans as a team, but they just need more time, probably another year to be decent. I think they will win here though. The Redskins can't score, and Houston is at home. I like the Texans in an upset.
Texans 20-17


Chicago 3 1/2 MINNESOTA
This is another early season big game, especially because the Vikings weren't expected to be undefeated. They will no longer be after this week. I think the Bears could be for real, but their first two opponents were cupcakes. I don't think Minnesota is for real. I think they will fall back to earth this week. This will be a test to see how good the Bears are. I think they pass the test, at least for this week.
Bears 23-16


Carolina 3 TAMPA BAY
These are two desperate, 0-2 teams. The Panthers really miss Steve Smith. I think Tampa misses an entire offense. I don't think Tampa is as bad as they have looked, and I really do think Carolina is still very good. The season is young, and there are a lot of games to play. I would like to take Tampa because they are at home, but I can't. The Panthers are clearly the better team, and they should win here.
Panthers 20-10


Baltimore 6 1/2 CLEVELAND
The Ravens have been very impressive so far, but beating the Oakland Raiders isn't saying much. This should be a tougher game, though the Brownies have been somewhat of a disappointment. Until Cleveland shows more, they will be tough to take in any game. I have to take Baltimore here. I am not sure how good they are yet, but they are certainly better then Cleveland.
Ravens 23-14


ARIZONA 4 1/2 St. Louis
Neither team has looked great so far, but the Cardinals get the edge because of home field. The Cardinals have been selling out games, so big crowds will help. They should win here. I think they have a better offense, but neither team has a defense that can really stop anybody. Take Arizona and the points.
Cardinals 27-20


SEATTLE 3 1/2 New York Giants
The Giants are on an emotional high after last week's stunning comeback. It looks like the Seahawks are going roll through their division already. Both teams are pretty good, but it looks like Deion Branch is going to be playing for the Seahawks this week. They have a really good group of receivers, and I am not sure if the Giants can stop them. I like Seattle here.
Seahawks 26-17


Philadelphia 6 SAN FRANCISCO
The Eagles need to bounce back after that disastrous loss last week. The 49ers have been able to score, but they can't stop anyone. They won't be able to stop the Eagles offense either. Donovan McNabb has been magnificent so far, and the 49ers defense isn't going to pose any problems. Take the Eagles here.
Eagles 31-14


NEW ENGLAND 7 Denver
The Broncos can't run the ball right now, and Jake Plummer is struggling. But the Patriots have not been impressive, even with their 2-0 start. I think the Broncos can keep it close. New England has struggled against two average teams, but the Broncos are much better then average. The Patriots should win the game, but I don't think they will cover. An outright Denver win wouldn't shock me.
Patriots 24-23


Atlanta 1 NEW ORLEANS
This is another huge early season game. I don't think either team is as good as they have looked though. The Saints are becoming the league's darlings, but I don't think they are that good. But emotion goes a long way. The Falcons are good, and maybe Micheal Vick is going to start to be a force. But the season is still young. This game could go either way, but I will go with the league's darlings here.
Saints 26-23

 

GAME OF THE WEEK

PITTSBURGH 2 Cincinnati
The Bengals look like they are going to be a force in the AFC, though they are starting to get some injuries. The Steelers might have been exposed a little bit offensively Monday night, and they need to bounce back after a tough loss. The late night game also left Pittsburgh with less preparation time. I like the Bengals here. Their defense isn't too bad, and they will be able to score against the Steelers. Take Cincinnati here in the Game of the Week.
Bengals 28-20

STINKER OF THE WEEK

DETROIT 6 1/2 Green Bay
Both teams are really struggling, but at least the Packers have been able to score. The Lions have looked awful on offense. They have no right being six and a half point favorites over anybody; I don't care who they are playing. I think Detroit will win, but the points are too high. Take Packers to cover the points in this Stinker of the Week.
Lions 21-17

 

Week Number Two Record: 10-6 ( 10-6 without the spread )
Record through Week Two: 14-18 ( 17-16 without spread )
Game of the Week Record: 2-0
Stinker of the Week Record: 1-1

Jim Poore has been a long time contributor to Patriots insider with his weekly picks column. Let him know what you think. Email him here:

You can also follow Jim's picks here on PI's Weekly Pick'em contest. If you're not a member, it's free, sign up. Space is limited so do it asap. You must join to be a member. Rules of the pick'em and the login info can be found HERE in the PI Forums.


Talk about it in the Forums
URL: http://mb.scout.com/bpatriotsinsider

 

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