POORE'S PICKS: Week Four

Week three in the NFL was just plain ugly for our resident prognosticator Jim Poore. Going 5-8-1 against the spread, the odds were against Jim. Without the spread Jim turned in a solid 11-3, but anyone can pick without the spread which is why it makes the games that much more interesting. The week four picks are in. Follow Jim's picks every week in this space.

The NFL Season has kicked into gear, and we are starting to see which teams are for real and which are not. One thing we know isn't for real is my record through week three. I suffered through another bad week, going 5-8-1 against the spread. Truthfully, the half point hurt me in two games, but there is a reason why that extra half is in there. It is there to give me a bad name and bad reputation as a "professional" prognosticator. I guess I am going to have to make up for it with a stellar performance in week number four. I will do my best.

As always, home team in CAPS

Indianapolis 9 NEW YORK JETS
The Colts faced their toughest challenge last week by defeating the Jaguars, while the Jets are a surprising 2-1. New York hasn't exactly beaten anyone tough, and they won't here. The Jets might be a little better then some think, but they still are not a good team. The Colts will easily expose them this week.
Colts 36-14


San Diego 2 1/2 BALTIMORE
This is definitely one of the better games of the week, but it is difficult to see how the Chargers are favored. Either way, I like Baltimore here. San Diego is coming off of a bye week, but the Ravens are at home, giving them the advantage. It could just be a matter of time before Steve McNair gets hurt. Take the Ravens here.
Baltimore 21-17


BUFFALO 1 Minnesota
I know the Bills are at home here, but how they are favored is a serious mystery. Minnesota is coming off of a tough loss, but they should be able to bounce back against a Bills team that got embarrassed last week. Buffalo has a pretty fast defense, but their offense is very weak. I like the Vikings to not only cover, but to win here.
Vikings 24-16


Dallas 9 1/2 TENNESSEE
The Cowboys are coming off of a bye week, but now have to deal with the horror of Terrell Owens possible suicide attempt publicity debacle. They also could be without Terry Glenn. They probably won't need either player against the Titans. Tennessee played tough last week, but are still 0-3. Take Dallas here but very cautiously. If Glenn is also out, they might have a tough time covering.
Cowboys 23-13


KANSAS CITY 7 San Francisco
The 49ers have actually been able to score, but their defense is awful right now. Surprisingly, the Chiefs usually potent offense has been stagnant. Trent Green is still out, but they have enough weapons on offense to get the ball in the end zone. They are also coming off of a bye week. That should be enough to cover here. They need a win to stay competitive in the AFC West.
Chiefs 25-21


CAROLINA 7 1/2 New Orleans
The Panthers are at home, but the points still seem a little high. The Saints are 3-0, and are playing with a lot of emotion right now. I'm still not sure how good they are, but undefeated is undefeated. The Panthers very much need to win this game, or it could be a long season. I think the points are a little high but I will take them anyway. I like Carolina at home.
Panthers 24-16


ATLANTA 7 Arizona
The Falcons are coming off of a short week after they were trounced by New Orleans. The Cardinals have been somewhat of a disappointment so far this year, and playing the Falcons at home isn't going to help their cause. Atlanta needs to bounce back because they cannot afford to fall to 2-2, and I think they will. Take the Falcons and the points at home.
Falcons 31-20


Miami 4 HOUSTON
The Dolphins are really struggling even though they won last week. The Texans are also struggling but they were expected to. Miami has not been impressive enough this year to warrant being a favorite on the road. Houston did get blown out last week, and I think they will bounce back here with a pretty good effort. Take Houston in a close one.
Texans 20-17


ST. LOUIS 5 1/2 Detroit
Neither team is playing particularly well, and the Lions have just been plain bad. Detroit has been a mild disappointment so far this season and there's no reason to think that will change. There isn't much to say about this game. Take the Rams due to them being at home.
Rams 28-20


CINCINNATI 6 New England
The Bengals are 3-0 for a reason. They are very good, despite some of the scandals hovering around the team off the field. The Patriots are a very shaky 2-1, with an offense right now that is really having a hard time scoring. They will need to score points this week. Look for Cincinnati to score early and often. The Patriots haven't lost back-to-back games since December of 2002. Now make that September of 2006.
Bengals 41-17


Jacksonville 2 1/2 WASHINGTON
The Redskins finally scored some points last week, but it will be tough to see how long it lasts. The Jags are coming off of a tough loss, but their defense should be able to slow down Washington. I think they will be able to score enough though to keep Jacksonville at bay. This is a tough game to call, but I like the Redskins at home here.
Redskins 26-23


PHILADELPHIA 11 Green Bay
Eagles haven't had any problems scoring points, and that will continue this week. Packers were able to score last week, but that was against the Lions. I think the 11 points here is low. Eagles should be able to roll against Green Bay this week.
Eagles 37-21

GAME OF THE WEEK

CHICAGO 3 1/2 Seattle
The Bears opened up some eyes by winning at Minnesota last week, but I think this will be more of a test. The Seahawks will be without Shaun Alexander, but should have enough on offense to beat the Bears. Chicago does have a very good defense, but their offense is still a little shaky. I think the Seahawks will win outright, but at the very least I think they will cover. Take Seattle in this game of the Week.
Seahawks 19-17

STINKER OF THE WEEK

Cleveland 2 1/2 OAKLAND
The Raiders must be a bad team if they are an underdog at home to Cleveland. Truth be told, they are bad, and in total disarray on top of it. The Browns aren't any good either. I guess the Raiders have to win sometime. It might as well be this week. Take Oakland in this Stinker of the Week.
Raiders 17-16


Week Three Record: 5-8-1 ( 11-3 without spread )
Record Through Week Three: 19-26-1 ( 28-19 without spread )
Game of the Week Record: 3-0
Stinker of the Week Record: 2-1

Remember to submit your picks for the weekly Pick'em, here: Patriots Insider Pick'em

Jim Poore has been a long time contributor to Patriots insider with his weekly picks column. Let him know what you think. Email him here:

You can also follow Jim's picks here on PI's Weekly Pick'em contest. If you're not a member, it's free, sign up. Space is limited so do it asap. You must join to be a member. Rules of the pick'em and the login info can be found HERE in the PI Forums.


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You can also follow Jim's picks here on PI's Weekly Pick'em contest. If you're not a member, it's free, sign up. Space is limited so do it asap. You must join to be a member. Rules of the pick'em and the login info can be found HERE in the PI Forums.


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","mobileBody":"

The NFL Season has kicked into gear, and we are starting to see which teams are for real and which are not. One thing we know isn't for real is my record through week three. I suffered through another bad week, going 5-8-1 against the spread. Truthfully, the half point hurt me in two games, but there is a reason why that extra half is in there. It is there to give me a bad name and bad reputation as a "professional" prognosticator. I guess I am going to have to make up for it with a stellar performance in week number four. I will do my best.

As always, home team in CAPS

Indianapolis 9 NEW YORK JETS
The Colts faced their toughest challenge last week by defeating the Jaguars, while the Jets are a surprising 2-1. New York hasn't exactly beaten anyone tough, and they won't here. The Jets might be a little better then some think, but they still are not a good team. The Colts will easily expose them this week.
Colts 36-14


San Diego 2 1/2 BALTIMORE
This is definitely one of the better games of the week, but it is difficult to see how the Chargers are favored. Either way, I like Baltimore here. San Diego is coming off of a bye week, but the Ravens are at home, giving them the advantage. It could just be a matter of time before Steve McNair gets hurt. Take the Ravens here.
Baltimore 21-17


BUFFALO 1 Minnesota
I know the Bills are at home here, but how they are favored is a serious mystery. Minnesota is coming off of a tough loss, but they should be able to bounce back against a Bills team that got embarrassed last week. Buffalo has a pretty fast defense, but their offense is very weak. I like the Vikings to not only cover, but to win here.
Vikings 24-16


Dallas 9 1/2 TENNESSEE
The Cowboys are coming off of a bye week, but now have to deal with the horror of Terrell Owens possible suicide attempt publicity debacle. They also could be without Terry Glenn. They probably won't need either player against the Titans. Tennessee played tough last week, but are still 0-3. Take Dallas here but very cautiously. If Glenn is also out, they might have a tough time covering.
Cowboys 23-13


KANSAS CITY 7 San Francisco
The 49ers have actually been able to score, but their defense is awful right now. Surprisingly, the Chiefs usually potent offense has been stagnant. Trent Green is still out, but they have enough weapons on offense to get the ball in the end zone. They are also coming off of a bye week. That should be enough to cover here. They need a win to stay competitive in the AFC West.
Chiefs 25-21


CAROLINA 7 1/2 New Orleans
The Panthers are at home, but the points still seem a little high. The Saints are 3-0, and are playing with a lot of emotion right now. I'm still not sure how good they are, but undefeated is undefeated. The Panthers very much need to win this game, or it could be a long season. I think the points are a little high but I will take them anyway. I like Carolina at home.
Panthers 24-16


ATLANTA 7 Arizona
The Falcons are coming off of a short week after they were trounced by New Orleans. The Cardinals have been somewhat of a disappointment so far this year, and playing the Falcons at home isn't going to help their cause. Atlanta needs to bounce back because they cannot afford to fall to 2-2, and I think they will. Take the Falcons and the points at home.
Falcons 31-20


Miami 4 HOUSTON
The Dolphins are really struggling even though they won last week. The Texans are also struggling but they were expected to. Miami has not been impressive enough this year to warrant being a favorite on the road. Houston did get blown out last week, and I think they will bounce back here with a pretty good effort. Take Houston in a close one.
Texans 20-17


ST. LOUIS 5 1/2 Detroit
Neither team is playing particularly well, and the Lions have just been plain bad. Detroit has been a mild disappointment so far this season and there's no reason to think that will change. There isn't much to say about this game. Take the Rams due to them being at home.
Rams 28-20


CINCINNATI 6 New England
The Bengals are 3-0 for a reason. They are very good, despite some of the scandals hovering around the team off the field. The Patriots are a very shaky 2-1, with an offense right now that is really having a hard time scoring. They will need to score points this week. Look for Cincinnati to score early and often. The Patriots haven't lost back-to-back games since December of 2002. Now make that September of 2006.
Bengals 41-17


Jacksonville 2 1/2 WASHINGTON
The Redskins finally scored some points last week, but it will be tough to see how long it lasts. The Jags are coming off of a tough loss, but their defense should be able to slow down Washington. I think they will be able to score enough though to keep Jacksonville at bay. This is a tough game to call, but I like the Redskins at home here.
Redskins 26-23


PHILADELPHIA 11 Green Bay
Eagles haven't had any problems scoring points, and that will continue this week. Packers were able to score last week, but that was against the Lions. I think the 11 points here is low. Eagles should be able to roll against Green Bay this week.
Eagles 37-21

GAME OF THE WEEK

CHICAGO 3 1/2 Seattle
The Bears opened up some eyes by winning at Minnesota last week, but I think this will be more of a test. The Seahawks will be without Shaun Alexander, but should have enough on offense to beat the Bears. Chicago does have a very good defense, but their offense is still a little shaky. I think the Seahawks will win outright, but at the very least I think they will cover. Take Seattle in this game of the Week.
Seahawks 19-17

STINKER OF THE WEEK

Cleveland 2 1/2 OAKLAND
The Raiders must be a bad team if they are an underdog at home to Cleveland. Truth be told, they are bad, and in total disarray on top of it. The Browns aren't any good either. I guess the Raiders have to win sometime. It might as well be this week. Take Oakland in this Stinker of the Week.
Raiders 17-16


Week Three Record: 5-8-1 ( 11-3 without spread )
Record Through Week Three: 19-26-1 ( 28-19 without spread )
Game of the Week Record: 3-0
Stinker of the Week Record: 2-1

Remember to submit your picks for the weekly Pick'em, here: Patriots Insider Pick'em

Jim Poore has been a long time contributor to Patriots insider with his weekly picks column. Let him know what you think. Email him here:

You can also follow Jim's picks here on PI's Weekly Pick'em contest. If you're not a member, it's free, sign up. Space is limited so do it asap. You must join to be a member. Rules of the pick'em and the login info can be found HERE in the PI Forums.


Talk about it in the Forums
URL: http://mb.scout.com/bpatriotsinsider

 

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