POORE'S PICKS: Week Five

Week four in the NFL was much improved for PI Picks guru Jim Poore. Going 9-5 against the spread. Week five has some ridiculous point spreads (Colts- Titans), but a lot of interesting games, including division battles. The week five picks are in. Follow Jim's picks every week in this space.

Now that we are five weeks into the season, some teams are starting to emerge from the rest of the pack. The Colts and Ravens are both undefeated in the AFC, while the Bears are dominating in the NFC right now. There is still a long ways to go though. There are several teams in both conferences that only have one loss, so there is still a lot of competition. I bounced back with a good week, both against the spread and straight up. I was 9-5 against the points, and 11-3 without them. Hopefully I can keep up that trend this week and start to have a little more consistency. There are a lot of tough games so I will get right to it. As always, home team in CAPS.


INDIANAPOLIS 18 1/2 Tennessee
The Colts are still undefeated, while the Titans remain winless. Indianapolis has not been blowing anyone out, but they still haven't lost yet. They won't lose here either. The points are really high, but I have to take them. Jeff Fisher has the Titans playing hard, but the talent just isn't there.
Colts 38-17


NEW YORK GIANTS 4 1/2 Washington
This is a huge game in the NFC East, but the two teams seem to be going in opposite directions. The Redskins are hot, and the Giants didn't play well their last game. They are coming off of a bye week though, which should help. I like the Giants here. I still don't know which Washington team will show up, and the Giants really need to bounce back. I like them at home here.
Giants 26-20


MINNESOTA 6 1/2 Detroit
The Vikings have fallen back to earth after a hot start, and the Lions never got started. They are fighting to be the worst team in the NFL. The Vikings should bounce back. They aren't a great team, but they are certainly better then the Lions, especially at home. Take Minnesota here.
Vikings 23-14


NEW ORLEANS 6 Tampa Bay
The Saints are still playing well despite losing last week. The Buccaneers are in disarray right now. They lost Chris Simms, maybe for the season, but they were really struggling anyway. The Saints should win this game without too many problems, and stay competitive in the NFC South.
Saints 21-10


St. Louis 3 GREEN BAY
Brett Favre is playing poorly again, and it is a wonder how long he is going to keep playing. The Packers as a team are playing poorly, but the Rams aren't much better. Green Bay is also coming off of a Monday night game, and that doesn't help matters at all. I like the Packers here though. The Rams just aren't that good, so I think Favre will bounce back with a decent game.
Packers 20-17


NEW ENGLAND 9 1/2 Miami
The Patriots bounced back in a big way last week, impressively trouncing the Bengals. The Dolphins continue to struggle. They could easily be 0-4. Daunte Culpepper has been a huge disappointment so far, and might get replaced by Joey Harrington. The Dolphins might be the most disappointing team so far. Take New England here, though they sometimes struggle to cover a big number. I don't think they will this week.
Patriots 24-10


CHICAGO 10 1/2 Buffalo
The Bears are surprisingly undefeated, and Rex Grossman is playing pretty well right now. The Bills have actually been a mild surprise because of their defense. They still struggle on offense. They will really struggle this week going against the Bears in Chicago. Neither team will score a lot, but I think the Bears will score on defense. They will also cover the big number.
Bears 20-7


CAROLINA 8 Cleveland
The Panthers are off to a slow start, but now with Steve Smith back, they should start getting on a roll. No better team to start a roll with then the Browns, who are really having a hard time scoring. The Panthers last two wins have been nail biters, but I don't think this one will be. The eight points seems a little high with recent close wins by the Panthers, but they should cover.
Panthers 26-13


JACKSONVILLE 7 New York Jets
The Jaguars have suddenly lost two games in row, but both games were close. I think this one will be too. The Jags will win, but Eric Mangini has instilled some confidence in the Jets, who have been playing pretty we. I have a feeling they will keep this one close. I am still not too sure how to take the Jaguars, but they should be able to sneak out with a win here.
Jaguars 24-20


Kansas City 3 1/2 ARIZONA
The Chiefs didn't seem to miss Trent Green last week, but I could have been quarterback against the 49ers. They have a little bit of a tougher test this week in Arizona. The Cardinals are mediocre at best. The Chiefs are good, maybe very good. Even on the road they should be able to cover here. Arizona just has not been impressive at all.
Chiefs 30-21


SAN DIEGO 3 1/2 Pittsburgh
The Chargers are coming off of their first loss, while the Steelers are coming off of their bye week. They needed it too. They have not been playing particularly well. The Chargers though have been, and it took a last second loss last week to get them out of the ranks of the unbeaten. Right now they are the better team then Pittsburgh, especially playing at home. The Steelers' struggles will continue.
Chargers 27-20


PHILADELPHIA 2 1/2 Dallas
Donovan McNabb is playing extremely well, and the Eagles should be undefeated. The Cowboys are playing well too, and Terrell Owens is salivating for this game. I think the Eagles will be ready for it though. I think the teams are about even, but being in Philadelphia is the big key here. A Dallas win wouldn't surprise me, but I think the Eagles will win and cover the small number.
Eagles 27-23


GAME OF THE WEEK

DENVER 4 Baltimore
The Broncos are coming off of a bye week, and they will be glad they got the extra rest. The Ravens still haven't lost, but I wonder when Steve McNair is going to get hurt. This is a tough game to call, because I am not sure if the Broncos are four points better. But I think at home they are. I like Denver here in a very tight game.
Broncos 21-14


STINKER OF THE WEEK

SAN FRANCISCO 3 1/2 Oakland
Two perfect teams for the Stinker of the Week. Both teams probably wish the season was over already, but the 49ers at least seem to play hard. The Raiders are barely playing. They did win last week, but it was against the Browns. The 49ers do have the edge, and their is some talent there. Take the 49ers to cover.
49ers 28-17


Record for week four: 9-5 ( 11-3 without spread )
Record through week four: 28-31-1 ( 39-22 without spread )
Game of the Week Record: 3-1
Stinker of the Week Record: 3-1

Remember to submit your picks for the weekly Pick'em, here: Patriots Insider Pick'em

Jim Poore has been a long time contributor to Patriots insider with his weekly picks column. Let him know what you think. Email him here:

You can also follow Jim's picks here on PI's Weekly Pick'em contest. If you're not a member, it's free, sign up. Space is limited so do it asap. You must join to be a member. Rules of the pick'em and the login info can be found HERE in the PI Forums.


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Now that we are five weeks into the season, some teams are starting to emerge from the rest of the pack. The Colts and Ravens are both undefeated in the AFC, while the Bears are dominating in the NFC right now. There is still a long ways to go though. There are several teams in both conferences that only have one loss, so there is still a lot of competition. I bounced back with a good week, both against the spread and straight up. I was 9-5 against the points, and 11-3 without them. Hopefully I can keep up that trend this week and start to have a little more consistency. There are a lot of tough games so I will get right to it. As always, home team in CAPS.


INDIANAPOLIS 18 1/2 Tennessee
The Colts are still undefeated, while the Titans remain winless. Indianapolis has not been blowing anyone out, but they still haven't lost yet. They won't lose here either. The points are really high, but I have to take them. Jeff Fisher has the Titans playing hard, but the talent just isn't there.
Colts 38-17


NEW YORK GIANTS 4 1/2 Washington
This is a huge game in the NFC East, but the two teams seem to be going in opposite directions. The Redskins are hot, and the Giants didn't play well their last game. They are coming off of a bye week though, which should help. I like the Giants here. I still don't know which Washington team will show up, and the Giants really need to bounce back. I like them at home here.
Giants 26-20


MINNESOTA 6 1/2 Detroit
The Vikings have fallen back to earth after a hot start, and the Lions never got started. They are fighting to be the worst team in the NFL. The Vikings should bounce back. They aren't a great team, but they are certainly better then the Lions, especially at home. Take Minnesota here.
Vikings 23-14


NEW ORLEANS 6 Tampa Bay
The Saints are still playing well despite losing last week. The Buccaneers are in disarray right now. They lost Chris Simms, maybe for the season, but they were really struggling anyway. The Saints should win this game without too many problems, and stay competitive in the NFC South.
Saints 21-10


St. Louis 3 GREEN BAY
Brett Favre is playing poorly again, and it is a wonder how long he is going to keep playing. The Packers as a team are playing poorly, but the Rams aren't much better. Green Bay is also coming off of a Monday night game, and that doesn't help matters at all. I like the Packers here though. The Rams just aren't that good, so I think Favre will bounce back with a decent game.
Packers 20-17


NEW ENGLAND 9 1/2 Miami
The Patriots bounced back in a big way last week, impressively trouncing the Bengals. The Dolphins continue to struggle. They could easily be 0-4. Daunte Culpepper has been a huge disappointment so far, and might get replaced by Joey Harrington. The Dolphins might be the most disappointing team so far. Take New England here, though they sometimes struggle to cover a big number. I don't think they will this week.
Patriots 24-10


CHICAGO 10 1/2 Buffalo
The Bears are surprisingly undefeated, and Rex Grossman is playing pretty well right now. The Bills have actually been a mild surprise because of their defense. They still struggle on offense. They will really struggle this week going against the Bears in Chicago. Neither team will score a lot, but I think the Bears will score on defense. They will also cover the big number.
Bears 20-7


CAROLINA 8 Cleveland
The Panthers are off to a slow start, but now with Steve Smith back, they should start getting on a roll. No better team to start a roll with then the Browns, who are really having a hard time scoring. The Panthers last two wins have been nail biters, but I don't think this one will be. The eight points seems a little high with recent close wins by the Panthers, but they should cover.
Panthers 26-13


JACKSONVILLE 7 New York Jets
The Jaguars have suddenly lost two games in row, but both games were close. I think this one will be too. The Jags will win, but Eric Mangini has instilled some confidence in the Jets, who have been playing pretty we. I have a feeling they will keep this one close. I am still not too sure how to take the Jaguars, but they should be able to sneak out with a win here.
Jaguars 24-20


Kansas City 3 1/2 ARIZONA
The Chiefs didn't seem to miss Trent Green last week, but I could have been quarterback against the 49ers. They have a little bit of a tougher test this week in Arizona. The Cardinals are mediocre at best. The Chiefs are good, maybe very good. Even on the road they should be able to cover here. Arizona just has not been impressive at all.
Chiefs 30-21


SAN DIEGO 3 1/2 Pittsburgh
The Chargers are coming off of their first loss, while the Steelers are coming off of their bye week. They needed it too. They have not been playing particularly well. The Chargers though have been, and it took a last second loss last week to get them out of the ranks of the unbeaten. Right now they are the better team then Pittsburgh, especially playing at home. The Steelers' struggles will continue.
Chargers 27-20


PHILADELPHIA 2 1/2 Dallas
Donovan McNabb is playing extremely well, and the Eagles should be undefeated. The Cowboys are playing well too, and Terrell Owens is salivating for this game. I think the Eagles will be ready for it though. I think the teams are about even, but being in Philadelphia is the big key here. A Dallas win wouldn't surprise me, but I think the Eagles will win and cover the small number.
Eagles 27-23


GAME OF THE WEEK

DENVER 4 Baltimore
The Broncos are coming off of a bye week, and they will be glad they got the extra rest. The Ravens still haven't lost, but I wonder when Steve McNair is going to get hurt. This is a tough game to call, because I am not sure if the Broncos are four points better. But I think at home they are. I like Denver here in a very tight game.
Broncos 21-14


STINKER OF THE WEEK

SAN FRANCISCO 3 1/2 Oakland
Two perfect teams for the Stinker of the Week. Both teams probably wish the season was over already, but the 49ers at least seem to play hard. The Raiders are barely playing. They did win last week, but it was against the Browns. The 49ers do have the edge, and their is some talent there. Take the 49ers to cover.
49ers 28-17


Record for week four: 9-5 ( 11-3 without spread )
Record through week four: 28-31-1 ( 39-22 without spread )
Game of the Week Record: 3-1
Stinker of the Week Record: 3-1

Remember to submit your picks for the weekly Pick'em, here: Patriots Insider Pick'em

Jim Poore has been a long time contributor to Patriots insider with his weekly picks column. Let him know what you think. Email him here:

You can also follow Jim's picks here on PI's Weekly Pick'em contest. If you're not a member, it's free, sign up. Space is limited so do it asap. You must join to be a member. Rules of the pick'em and the login info can be found HERE in the PI Forums.


Talk about it in the Forums
URL: http://mb.scout.com/bpatriotsinsider

 

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