Analysis by AccuScore
The simulations are as close as it gets, but the Patriots are forecasted for the slight edge (52.3%) over the Colts (47.7%). After their game in San Diego, it seems that even God loves the Patriots. While they earned their victory, you wouldn't expect the Chargers to make dumb personal fouls and screw up a punt recovery and get stripped on an interception if they did it all over again. Tom Brady was clutch as always, but it was very impressive that the Patriots defense held the #1 scoring team to just 21 on the road. If they can do that against the Charger, they are certainly up to the task against the Colts.
The Colts defense has looked good, but they faced two teams that lack speed and creativity on offense (Kansas City, Baltimore). The Patriots have confidence and speed at wide receiver (Reche Caldwell, Jabar Gaffney playing their best football ever), tight end (Ben Watson), and flexibility at running back. With three capable options in the backfield, the Patriots can throw out a variety of offensive sets and it will be difficult for the Colts rejuvenated defense to account for all of them. Peyton is forecasted for a good game as he looks ready to overcome his history. He gives the Colts a good shot at winning since any close game could come down to Vinatieri's leg. Should be a classic.