POORE's PICKS: Week 4

Jim Poore made his picks last weeek to a 10-6 record without the spread. Unfortunately he didn't fare so well against the spread. Check out this week's picks and Jim's overall record. Let him know what you think.

We are three weeks into the NFL season, and it didn't take too long to have some surprises. The biggest surprise, in a negative way, has got to be the New Orleans Saints. The Saints are heading into their bye week in complete shambles. They are 0-3, and have not looked good in any of their games. And they just lost Duece McAllister for the season with a knee injury. Perhaps the Saints were just a fluke last year and were never that good. That is possible, but to look as bad as they have so far really is a mystery.

On the opposite end, the Green Bay Packers are definitely the surprise in the NFC, and possibly the entire NFL. Brett Favre has shown he has something left in the tank, and he is starting to gel with the younger guys. It remains to be seen if he and the team can keep it up, but for now they are enjoying the ride.

And to be honest, I think New England is a surprise too. No, not that they are 3-0. That is no shock. But the way they have dominated opponents so far has got to have the rest of the NFL on watch. Granted, thay haven't played the best teams ( San Diego is a shadow of themselves from last year ) but they have crushed everyone in their path. They play at Cicinnati this week, so that will be a big test. We will see if they pass.

As for my picks, I had an improvement over last week, but I am still under .500 for the year. Things will improve on my end too. Just wait and see.

As always, home team in CAPS.

MIAMI 4 Oakland
This was a candidate for Stinker of the Week, but I chose another game instead. It certainly could be. Both teams showed improvement last week, but the Dolphins still lost. Daunte Culpepper will start for the Raiders, so he might want to stick it to his old team. Too bad for him the rest of his team has to play. Neither team is any good, bit I think Miami can pull out the win at home.
Dolphins 23-17

Houston 3 ATLANTA
The Texans are another surprise, and they gave the Colts a scare last week. The Falcons are bad as everyone expected. This should be an interesting game for Houston quarterback Matt Schaub, who would like to play well against his old team. I don't see too many problems for a vastly improved Texan team.
Texans 26-20

Baltimore 4 1/2 CLEVELAND
This should be a pretty good game, but the Ravens really need to show up this week. They barely won last week after blowing a big lead, and their defense has been a disappointment so far. The Brownies haven't been terrible, but they haven't been good either. Baltimore should be able to cover the points here, but their defense really has to step it up.
Ravens 24-10

Chicago 3 DETROIT
The Bears are finally making a change at quarterback, starting Brian Griese this week. This should have happened last year.. He should make a difference, though the Lions haven't been that bad this year. The Lions are 2-1, but I think the Bears will show up on both sides of the ball this week. They were embarrassed last week, and they need a win here too keep pace in the NFC North. I think it will happen.
Bears 20-10

Green Bay 2 MINNESOTA
The Pack have been a big surpise this year, and it looks like they will keep their great start going after playing the Vikings this week. The Vikings have not been that good, and they are having problems on both sides of the ball. I like Green Bay here. Brett Favre will likely pass Dan Marino for the most touchdown passes in NFL history. And his team will be 4-0 to show for it.
Green Bay 24-17

DALLAS 11 1/2 St. Louis
Terrell Owens says he is happy in Dallas right now, that is until next week anyway. I still don't trust Wade Phillips though, but so far he has the Cowboys looking real good. I don't see too many problems with St. Louis this week. They have been a disappointment, and they lost Stephen Jackson for at least one game anyway. Marc Bulger is hurting too, and that means they will have a lot of trouble scoring in Big D. And a lot of trouble scoring in Big D means a Cowboys' cover.
Cowboys 31-13

CAROLINA 1 Tampa Bay
The Bucs have been a pleasant surprise this year, but they really aren't that good of a team. If they can beat the Panthers this week, I might change my mind. I don't think they can win though. The Panthers do have some injuries, but I think they can overcome them this week. This is actually a game to take over first place in the NFC South. It wasn't expected to involve Tampa Bay though.
Panthers 23-16

Pittsburgh 6 ARIZONA
The Steelers have blazed out to a 3-0 start, and have looked good doing it. The Cardinals haven't been that bad. and should be in the thick of the race in the NFC West. I think Arizona can cover here. They can score points, and though Pittsburgh's defense has been good, I am not sure they can completely shut down the Cardinals. Arizona might win the game outright.
Steelers 24-23

SAN DIEGO 12 Kansas City
It looks like Norv Turner is in fact making a difference in San Diego. That isn't a good thing though. They basically have the same team from last year, yet they have looked bad. Blame the front office on this one. The Chiefs could be the opponent they are looking for though. They did win last week, but Kansas City is not a good team. LaDainian Tomlinson has got to get on track, and he should this week. It is a lot of points, but give them here.
Chargers 38-10

INDIANAPOLIS 9 1/2 Denver
The Colts are off to a good start, which was expected, but the Broncos have not looked good. I don't know what has happened to them. I do know that the Colts should be able to cover here, even with the big number. It will be hard to trust the Broncos until they get their act together. That's if they ever do.
Colts 34-20

Philadelphia 3 NEW YORK GIANTS
The Eagles looked great last week, at least playing. They didn't look great in those awful uniforms. They should be able to look good this week too against the Giants, who are struggling despite winning last week. I am still not sure if Tom Coughlin survives this season. I don't think the Giants are going to survive this game.
Eagles 26-17

New England 7 1/2 CINCINNATI
The Patriots are flying, while the Bengals have been grounded. They are 1-2, but could be 0-3. They must get back on track. New England has been blowing teams out, but I don't see another one here. The Bengals don't have a great defense, but they are borderline desperate for a win. They don't need to start the season 1-3. This could be an old fashioned shootout, but I think Cincinnati will come out on top. If the Patriots blow out the Bengals, it will really start to open some eyes across the league.
Bengals 38-35


GAME OF THE WEEK

Seattle 2 SAN FRANCISCO
There were some other choices for this game, but I picked it because of the significance in the NFC West. The 49ers have looked pretty good, though their defense is still young. The Seahawks are probably still the best team in the division, but their division has gotten a little bit stronger. I like San Francisco here. They are at home, and they can definitely score points. I'll take them at home.
49ers 30-24


STINKER OF THE WEEK

NEW YORK JETS 4 1/2 Buffalo
The Jets probably don't deserve to be in the Stinker of the Week, but Buffalo sure does. They might be the worst team in the NFL this year, and now J.P. Losman is out for a while ( not that he makes much of a difference anyway ). New York should win this game fairly easily. I don't see too many problems on either side of the ball for the Jets.
Jets 27-12


Record For Week Three: 6-8-2 ( 10-6 without spread )
Record Through Week Three: 18-26-4 ( 31-17 without spread )
Game of Week Record: 1-2
Stinker of Week Record: 2-1


Jim Poore has been a long time contributor to Patriots Insider with his weekly picks column. Let him know what you think. Email him here:

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We are three weeks into the NFL season, and it didn't take too long to have some surprises. The biggest surprise, in a negative way, has got to be the New Orleans Saints. The Saints are heading into their bye week in complete shambles. They are 0-3, and have not looked good in any of their games. And they just lost Duece McAllister for the season with a knee injury. Perhaps the Saints were just a fluke last year and were never that good. That is possible, but to look as bad as they have so far really is a mystery.

On the opposite end, the Green Bay Packers are definitely the surprise in the NFC, and possibly the entire NFL. Brett Favre has shown he has something left in the tank, and he is starting to gel with the younger guys. It remains to be seen if he and the team can keep it up, but for now they are enjoying the ride.

And to be honest, I think New England is a surprise too. No, not that they are 3-0. That is no shock. But the way they have dominated opponents so far has got to have the rest of the NFL on watch. Granted, thay haven't played the best teams ( San Diego is a shadow of themselves from last year ) but they have crushed everyone in their path. They play at Cicinnati this week, so that will be a big test. We will see if they pass.

As for my picks, I had an improvement over last week, but I am still under .500 for the year. Things will improve on my end too. Just wait and see.

As always, home team in CAPS.

MIAMI 4 Oakland
This was a candidate for Stinker of the Week, but I chose another game instead. It certainly could be. Both teams showed improvement last week, but the Dolphins still lost. Daunte Culpepper will start for the Raiders, so he might want to stick it to his old team. Too bad for him the rest of his team has to play. Neither team is any good, bit I think Miami can pull out the win at home.
Dolphins 23-17

Houston 3 ATLANTA
The Texans are another surprise, and they gave the Colts a scare last week. The Falcons are bad as everyone expected. This should be an interesting game for Houston quarterback Matt Schaub, who would like to play well against his old team. I don't see too many problems for a vastly improved Texan team.
Texans 26-20

Baltimore 4 1/2 CLEVELAND
This should be a pretty good game, but the Ravens really need to show up this week. They barely won last week after blowing a big lead, and their defense has been a disappointment so far. The Brownies haven't been terrible, but they haven't been good either. Baltimore should be able to cover the points here, but their defense really has to step it up.
Ravens 24-10

Chicago 3 DETROIT
The Bears are finally making a change at quarterback, starting Brian Griese this week. This should have happened last year.. He should make a difference, though the Lions haven't been that bad this year. The Lions are 2-1, but I think the Bears will show up on both sides of the ball this week. They were embarrassed last week, and they need a win here too keep pace in the NFC North. I think it will happen.
Bears 20-10

Green Bay 2 MINNESOTA
The Pack have been a big surpise this year, and it looks like they will keep their great start going after playing the Vikings this week. The Vikings have not been that good, and they are having problems on both sides of the ball. I like Green Bay here. Brett Favre will likely pass Dan Marino for the most touchdown passes in NFL history. And his team will be 4-0 to show for it.
Green Bay 24-17

DALLAS 11 1/2 St. Louis
Terrell Owens says he is happy in Dallas right now, that is until next week anyway. I still don't trust Wade Phillips though, but so far he has the Cowboys looking real good. I don't see too many problems with St. Louis this week. They have been a disappointment, and they lost Stephen Jackson for at least one game anyway. Marc Bulger is hurting too, and that means they will have a lot of trouble scoring in Big D. And a lot of trouble scoring in Big D means a Cowboys' cover.
Cowboys 31-13

CAROLINA 1 Tampa Bay
The Bucs have been a pleasant surprise this year, but they really aren't that good of a team. If they can beat the Panthers this week, I might change my mind. I don't think they can win though. The Panthers do have some injuries, but I think they can overcome them this week. This is actually a game to take over first place in the NFC South. It wasn't expected to involve Tampa Bay though.
Panthers 23-16

Pittsburgh 6 ARIZONA
The Steelers have blazed out to a 3-0 start, and have looked good doing it. The Cardinals haven't been that bad. and should be in the thick of the race in the NFC West. I think Arizona can cover here. They can score points, and though Pittsburgh's defense has been good, I am not sure they can completely shut down the Cardinals. Arizona might win the game outright.
Steelers 24-23

SAN DIEGO 12 Kansas City
It looks like Norv Turner is in fact making a difference in San Diego. That isn't a good thing though. They basically have the same team from last year, yet they have looked bad. Blame the front office on this one. The Chiefs could be the opponent they are looking for though. They did win last week, but Kansas City is not a good team. LaDainian Tomlinson has got to get on track, and he should this week. It is a lot of points, but give them here.
Chargers 38-10

INDIANAPOLIS 9 1/2 Denver
The Colts are off to a good start, which was expected, but the Broncos have not looked good. I don't know what has happened to them. I do know that the Colts should be able to cover here, even with the big number. It will be hard to trust the Broncos until they get their act together. That's if they ever do.
Colts 34-20

Philadelphia 3 NEW YORK GIANTS
The Eagles looked great last week, at least playing. They didn't look great in those awful uniforms. They should be able to look good this week too against the Giants, who are struggling despite winning last week. I am still not sure if Tom Coughlin survives this season. I don't think the Giants are going to survive this game.
Eagles 26-17

New England 7 1/2 CINCINNATI
The Patriots are flying, while the Bengals have been grounded. They are 1-2, but could be 0-3. They must get back on track. New England has been blowing teams out, but I don't see another one here. The Bengals don't have a great defense, but they are borderline desperate for a win. They don't need to start the season 1-3. This could be an old fashioned shootout, but I think Cincinnati will come out on top. If the Patriots blow out the Bengals, it will really start to open some eyes across the league.
Bengals 38-35


GAME OF THE WEEK

Seattle 2 SAN FRANCISCO
There were some other choices for this game, but I picked it because of the significance in the NFC West. The 49ers have looked pretty good, though their defense is still young. The Seahawks are probably still the best team in the division, but their division has gotten a little bit stronger. I like San Francisco here. They are at home, and they can definitely score points. I'll take them at home.
49ers 30-24


STINKER OF THE WEEK

NEW YORK JETS 4 1/2 Buffalo
The Jets probably don't deserve to be in the Stinker of the Week, but Buffalo sure does. They might be the worst team in the NFL this year, and now J.P. Losman is out for a while ( not that he makes much of a difference anyway ). New York should win this game fairly easily. I don't see too many problems on either side of the ball for the Jets.
Jets 27-12


Record For Week Three: 6-8-2 ( 10-6 without spread )
Record Through Week Three: 18-26-4 ( 31-17 without spread )
Game of Week Record: 1-2
Stinker of Week Record: 2-1


Jim Poore has been a long time contributor to Patriots Insider with his weekly picks column. Let him know what you think. Email him here:

MORE:
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Patriots Insider forums
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Over/ Under: Pats vs Bengals

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