POORE'S PICKS: Week 5

Jim Poore has not had a lot of good luck recently. Actually he hasn't had much luck at all with his picks as teams have been doing the unexpected -- winning too much and losing too much. Jim vows to turn things around with this week's picks. He better, his inbox is feeling the heat. Enjoy Week 5's picks against the spread.

It is already week five of the NFL season, and there are quite a few surprises. The biggest might be the San Diego Chargers being 1-3. They pretty much have the same team as last year, but the one thing that changed is the coaching staff. Norv Turner was a bad choice from the beginning. A very good coordinator, he was never a successful head coach. It is still a wonder why the Chargers' upper management canned Marty Schottenheimer. There are rumors right now that Pete Carroll, the highly successful coach at USC, is ready to take the team over after this year. Carroll of course shot down the rumors, as he never had a lot of success at the NFL level. But it is unlikely that Turner will be around after this year, if he even gets that far. There is still a lot of time to turn it around, but the Chargers aren't just losing. They don't look good while they are losing, and LaDainian Tomlinson hasn't been able to get on track at all. They need to turn it around in a hurry.

Speaking of needing to turn it around, I need to look no further than myself. I had another rough week. It has been a rough few weeks after a promising start, but I am vowing to get it back together. In my defense, there have been more upsets than in any year that I can remember. Now, four weeks into the season, it looks like it is going to be easier to determine the contenders and the pretenders. Hopefully I am starting to figure it out.

As always, home team in CAPS.

NEW ORLEANS 3 Carolina
The Saints are also one of the biggest surprises, but in a negative way. They are coming off of a bye week, and are desperate for a win. The Panthers have been mediocre, depending on which team decides to show up. The Saints MUST win this game, even if Deuce McAllister is out for the year. A loss this week and the Saints season will officially be over at week number five.
Saints 24-17


Jacksonville 2 1/2 KANSAS CITY
The Jags have been a mild surprise, and are coming off of a bye week to face the Chiefs, who shocked the Chargers last week. The Chiefs still aren't that good despite playing a decent defense. I don't think Jacksonville is going anywhere either but they are the better team. The extra week of rest will help them here.
Jaguars 23-20


WASHINGTON 3 1/2 Detroit
Lions quarterback Jon Kitna predicted 10 wins for his team this year. They are well on their way. Their offense has been strong, but they still have trouble stopping anyone. The Redskins come off of a bye week, but nothing has changed. They are still mediocre at best. The Lions are on a roll right now, so I will have trouble going against them until proven otherwise.
Lions 30-24


TENNESSEE 8 Atlanta
The Titans have been a mild surprise as well. Jeff Fisher always has them playing tough. The Falcons could use some of that toughness. They did win last week, but they aren't going to have too many wins this year. The Titans are always pests, and they had an extra week to prepare for their weak opponent. I think the points are high but I will give them anyway.
Titans 27-17


HOUSTON 5 1/2 Miami
This was a definite candidate for Stinker of the Week, but Miami will have a lot more chances. The Dolphins might be the worst team in the NFL right now, and things are not looking up. They are looking up for the Texans, as Houston is greatly improved this year. Next year they could make the playoffs. Could. But this year, they will just have to remain what they have been for years -- a real pain in the neck to opponents. I'll take Houston at home.
Texans 21-13


PITTSBURGH 6 Seattle
The Steelers finally slowed down last week, and the Seahawks are quietly 3-1. The points seem a little high here. This was a candidate for Game of the Week, and it certainly could be. I think Pittsburgh will win because of the home field, but I don't think they will win by a touchdown. I think the points are too high. I like Seattle here.
Steelers 27-24


NEW ENGLAND 16 1/2 Cleveland
The Patriots have officially wrapped up the AFC East Championship. They play in the worst division in football. That isn't to diminish what they have done though. They have been dominant. The Brownies have actually been a mild surprise. If anyone knows the Patriots offense, it is Browns head coach Romeo Crennel. I don't think it is going to matter. I think Cleveland might be able to keep it somewhat close, but close against the Patriots this year is within 20 points.. The points are sky high again but I have to take New England until someone slows them down.
Patriots 35-14


NEW YORK GIANTS 3 New York Jets
The Jets suddenly do not look good, certainly not like the tough, feisty team of last year. The Giants have improved, but still have a lot of question marks. This is pretty much a home game for both teams, but right now, the Giants are just playing better, so I have to give them the edge here.
Giants 26-20


DENVER 1 1/2 San Diego
It is tough to pick this game. I would think the Chargers have to snap out of it sometime, but I have thought that for three weeks now. The Broncos have not been impressive either. I have a feeling for this game that no matter who I pick to win, the opposite is going to happen. I am going to take the Broncos though because of the home field edge. This will probably be the week the Chargers snap out of it.
Broncos 28-23


Baltimore 3 1/2 SAN FRANCISCO
The Ravens are another team that has to get their act together. The 49ers have possibly lost Alex Smith for the year, and turn to Trent Dilfer to lead the troops. I honestly didn't think he was even playing anymore. He might of wished he wasn't after this game. I think the Ravens will win this one, as the 49ers will struggle without Smith at the helm. The Ravens have not looked good this year. This could be their turn around game.
Ravens 23-10


GREEN BAY 3 1/2 Chicago
It is tough to go against the red hot Packers, who are off to a very surprising 4-0. Congrats to Brett Favre for the touchdown record. He will probably add to the total this week.. Nothing is going right for the Bears right now. Brian Griese looked decent last week, but still had a couple of interceptions. I want to pick the Bears because they need to turn it around in a hurry. But I can't. At least not in this game.
Packers 27-20


Dallas 10 BUFFALO
I wonder how many will be watching this laugher on Monday night. Good thing for the Bills the game is at home. It won't matter. The Cowboys are white hot right now, and the Bills are unprepared to stop them, at home or otherwise. Tony Romo and Terrell Owens are a hot combination right now. They will stay hot after this game.
Cowboys 37-16


GAME OF THE WEEK

INDIANAPOLIS 10 Tampa Bay
I picked this game for a couple of reasons. One, the Bucs are a huge surprise this year, and deserve to be in a Game of the Week, and two, the Colts might have as many as four starters out, which could make this game very interesting. It is a tough call because those injured starters will probably be game time decisions. I will have to go with the Colts though. I think the points are a little high, but I have a feeling the injured starters will at least make an appearance, and I am still not sold on Tampa Bay. This will be a big test for the surprise Bucs, but I don't think they are going to pass.
Colts 31-17


STINKER OF THE WEEK

Arizona 3 ST. LOUIS
This game is the Stinker more for the Rams than the Cardinals. Arizona actually hasn't been too bad, but Matt Leinart is starting to complain because he is splitting time with Kurt Warner. The Rams flat out stink right now, and Gus Frerotte will be the starting quarterback instead of the struggling and injured Marc Bulger. Frerotte isn't bad, but he is not the answer the Rams need right now. Look for the Cardinals to win this game and keep pace in the NFC West.
Cardinals 26-17


Record for Week Four: 4-10 ( 5-9 without spread )
Record Through Week Four: 22-36-4 (36-26 without spread )
Game of the Week Record: 1-3
Stinker of the Week Record: 2-2


Jim Poore has been a long time contributor to Patriots Insider with his weekly picks column. Let him know what you think. Email him here:

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","mobileBody":"

It is already week five of the NFL season, and there are quite a few surprises. The biggest might be the San Diego Chargers being 1-3. They pretty much have the same team as last year, but the one thing that changed is the coaching staff. Norv Turner was a bad choice from the beginning. A very good coordinator, he was never a successful head coach. It is still a wonder why the Chargers' upper management canned Marty Schottenheimer. There are rumors right now that Pete Carroll, the highly successful coach at USC, is ready to take the team over after this year. Carroll of course shot down the rumors, as he never had a lot of success at the NFL level. But it is unlikely that Turner will be around after this year, if he even gets that far. There is still a lot of time to turn it around, but the Chargers aren't just losing. They don't look good while they are losing, and LaDainian Tomlinson hasn't been able to get on track at all. They need to turn it around in a hurry.

Speaking of needing to turn it around, I need to look no further than myself. I had another rough week. It has been a rough few weeks after a promising start, but I am vowing to get it back together. In my defense, there have been more upsets than in any year that I can remember. Now, four weeks into the season, it looks like it is going to be easier to determine the contenders and the pretenders. Hopefully I am starting to figure it out.

As always, home team in CAPS.

NEW ORLEANS 3 Carolina
The Saints are also one of the biggest surprises, but in a negative way. They are coming off of a bye week, and are desperate for a win. The Panthers have been mediocre, depending on which team decides to show up. The Saints MUST win this game, even if Deuce McAllister is out for the year. A loss this week and the Saints season will officially be over at week number five.
Saints 24-17


Jacksonville 2 1/2 KANSAS CITY
The Jags have been a mild surprise, and are coming off of a bye week to face the Chiefs, who shocked the Chargers last week. The Chiefs still aren't that good despite playing a decent defense. I don't think Jacksonville is going anywhere either but they are the better team. The extra week of rest will help them here.
Jaguars 23-20


WASHINGTON 3 1/2 Detroit
Lions quarterback Jon Kitna predicted 10 wins for his team this year. They are well on their way. Their offense has been strong, but they still have trouble stopping anyone. The Redskins come off of a bye week, but nothing has changed. They are still mediocre at best. The Lions are on a roll right now, so I will have trouble going against them until proven otherwise.
Lions 30-24


TENNESSEE 8 Atlanta
The Titans have been a mild surprise as well. Jeff Fisher always has them playing tough. The Falcons could use some of that toughness. They did win last week, but they aren't going to have too many wins this year. The Titans are always pests, and they had an extra week to prepare for their weak opponent. I think the points are high but I will give them anyway.
Titans 27-17


HOUSTON 5 1/2 Miami
This was a definite candidate for Stinker of the Week, but Miami will have a lot more chances. The Dolphins might be the worst team in the NFL right now, and things are not looking up. They are looking up for the Texans, as Houston is greatly improved this year. Next year they could make the playoffs. Could. But this year, they will just have to remain what they have been for years -- a real pain in the neck to opponents. I'll take Houston at home.
Texans 21-13


PITTSBURGH 6 Seattle
The Steelers finally slowed down last week, and the Seahawks are quietly 3-1. The points seem a little high here. This was a candidate for Game of the Week, and it certainly could be. I think Pittsburgh will win because of the home field, but I don't think they will win by a touchdown. I think the points are too high. I like Seattle here.
Steelers 27-24


NEW ENGLAND 16 1/2 Cleveland
The Patriots have officially wrapped up the AFC East Championship. They play in the worst division in football. That isn't to diminish what they have done though. They have been dominant. The Brownies have actually been a mild surprise. If anyone knows the Patriots offense, it is Browns head coach Romeo Crennel. I don't think it is going to matter. I think Cleveland might be able to keep it somewhat close, but close against the Patriots this year is within 20 points.. The points are sky high again but I have to take New England until someone slows them down.
Patriots 35-14


NEW YORK GIANTS 3 New York Jets
The Jets suddenly do not look good, certainly not like the tough, feisty team of last year. The Giants have improved, but still have a lot of question marks. This is pretty much a home game for both teams, but right now, the Giants are just playing better, so I have to give them the edge here.
Giants 26-20


DENVER 1 1/2 San Diego
It is tough to pick this game. I would think the Chargers have to snap out of it sometime, but I have thought that for three weeks now. The Broncos have not been impressive either. I have a feeling for this game that no matter who I pick to win, the opposite is going to happen. I am going to take the Broncos though because of the home field edge. This will probably be the week the Chargers snap out of it.
Broncos 28-23


Baltimore 3 1/2 SAN FRANCISCO
The Ravens are another team that has to get their act together. The 49ers have possibly lost Alex Smith for the year, and turn to Trent Dilfer to lead the troops. I honestly didn't think he was even playing anymore. He might of wished he wasn't after this game. I think the Ravens will win this one, as the 49ers will struggle without Smith at the helm. The Ravens have not looked good this year. This could be their turn around game.
Ravens 23-10


GREEN BAY 3 1/2 Chicago
It is tough to go against the red hot Packers, who are off to a very surprising 4-0. Congrats to Brett Favre for the touchdown record. He will probably add to the total this week.. Nothing is going right for the Bears right now. Brian Griese looked decent last week, but still had a couple of interceptions. I want to pick the Bears because they need to turn it around in a hurry. But I can't. At least not in this game.
Packers 27-20


Dallas 10 BUFFALO
I wonder how many will be watching this laugher on Monday night. Good thing for the Bills the game is at home. It won't matter. The Cowboys are white hot right now, and the Bills are unprepared to stop them, at home or otherwise. Tony Romo and Terrell Owens are a hot combination right now. They will stay hot after this game.
Cowboys 37-16


GAME OF THE WEEK

INDIANAPOLIS 10 Tampa Bay
I picked this game for a couple of reasons. One, the Bucs are a huge surprise this year, and deserve to be in a Game of the Week, and two, the Colts might have as many as four starters out, which could make this game very interesting. It is a tough call because those injured starters will probably be game time decisions. I will have to go with the Colts though. I think the points are a little high, but I have a feeling the injured starters will at least make an appearance, and I am still not sold on Tampa Bay. This will be a big test for the surprise Bucs, but I don't think they are going to pass.
Colts 31-17


STINKER OF THE WEEK

Arizona 3 ST. LOUIS
This game is the Stinker more for the Rams than the Cardinals. Arizona actually hasn't been too bad, but Matt Leinart is starting to complain because he is splitting time with Kurt Warner. The Rams flat out stink right now, and Gus Frerotte will be the starting quarterback instead of the struggling and injured Marc Bulger. Frerotte isn't bad, but he is not the answer the Rams need right now. Look for the Cardinals to win this game and keep pace in the NFC West.
Cardinals 26-17


Record for Week Four: 4-10 ( 5-9 without spread )
Record Through Week Four: 22-36-4 (36-26 without spread )
Game of the Week Record: 1-3
Stinker of the Week Record: 2-2


Jim Poore has been a long time contributor to Patriots Insider with his weekly picks column. Let him know what you think. Email him here:

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