Patriots - Browns: A Look At The Stats

Rich Lyons provides this statistical look at Sunday's Browns - Patriots game and how the teams compare statistically. Who has the advantage / disadvantage? It may not be as lopsided a you might first think.

Sizing Up The Patriots-Browns Matchup
By Rich "Mell-o" Lyons

"Do it to him before he does it to you." ~On The Waterfront

Here's a look at what to expect in Sunday's game between New England and Cleveland:

Trends:

Cleveland:

Since 2005:

- 0-4 when more than 10 point underdogs (current line: NE -16.5)
- 0-10 after winning the previous week's game
- 2-0 vs. AFC East opponents
- 4-13 on the road
- 1-3 after scoring 25+ points

New England:

Since 2005:

- 12-6 in home games
- 10-4 when the over/under is < 40
- 3-0 vs. NFC North opponents
- 5-1 when favored by 10 or more
- 16-5 after allowing 17 or less points


Stats:

TOTAL OFFENSE

CLE

NE

POINTS/GAME

27.3 (6th)

37 (2nd)

YARDS/GAME

347.5 (11th)

431.8 (2nd)

TURNOVERS

9 (21st)

4 (5th)

PENALTIES

27 (22nd)

15 (4th)

PENALTY YARDS

201 (22nd)

123 (7th)

3RD DOWN

43.40% (9th)

51.30% (16th)

4TH DOWN

50% (T-6th)

50% (T-6th)

SCORING EFFICIENCY

36.7% (8th)

57.9% (1st)



TOTAL DEFENSE

CLE

NE

OPP. POINTS/GAME

29.5 (28th)

12.0 (4th)

OPP. TOTAL YARDS/GAME

427.5 (31st)

226 (1st)

TURNOVERS FORCED

9 (6th)

4 (27th)

OPP. 3RD DOWN

44.80% (31st)

30.00% (1st)

OPP. 4TH DOWN

57.10% (30th)

66.70% (21st)

OPP. SCORING EFFICIENCY

44.90% (27th)

19.50% (3rd)

 

Key Injuries:

Cleveland:

Gary Baxter: banged-up knees; limited in practice

Orpheus Roye: listed as questionable with a knee injury

Eric Steinbach: neck injury; limited in practice

Kellen Winslow: listed as probable; limited in practice

- Phil Dawson: Personal, did not practice

New England:

- Roosevelt Colvin: listed as questionable with an ankle injury

Laurence Maroney: listed as questionable with a groin injury

- Donte' Stallworth: knee injury; limited in practice

- Stephen Neal: Shoulder; limited in practice

- Dan Koppen: Ankle; limited in practice


 

Opponent Grades & Analysis:

PASS OFFENSE

GRADE

DEREK ANDERSON

QB

B-

BRAYLON EDWARDS

WR

B+

JOE JUREVICIUS

WR

B

TIM CARTER

WR

C

KELLEN WINSLOW

TE

A-

After replacing Charlie Frye to start the season, Derek Anderson has played surprisingly well in his three starts this season. Last week against Baltimore, Anderson was efficient, going 10/18 for 204 yards and two scores, one of which was a 78-yard connection to Braylon Edwards. Edwards comes into the game against the Patriots averaging 94 yards/game. He is clearly the Browns' deep-threat man, while Joe Jurevicius plays more towards the short and middle of the field. Kellen Winslow has also had a very productive year. Winslow has 80+ receiving yards in each of Cleveland's first four games. He is Anderson's favorite target; so do not be surprised at all if the Browns try to take advantage of an older Patriots linebacking unit by testing the middle of the field in the early stages of the game.

 

RUSH OFFENSE

GRADE

JAMAL LEWIS

RB

B

LAWRENCE VICKERS

FB

B-

JOE THOMAS

LT

B+

ERIC STEINBACH

LG

A

HANK FRALEY

C

B

SETH MCKINNEY

RG

C+

KEVIN SHAFFER

RT

B+

The Browns rank right in the middle of the league in terms of rushing yards per game (114.8). However, they rank 6th in yards per carry (4.8), with a lot of that having to do with their strong left side of the line. Joe Thomas, the Browns'' first selection in last year's draft, has made an immediate impact on this unit. Also, the offseason saw the Browns sign Eric Steinbach, who is one of the better guards in the league. With those two playing together on the same side, it could cause some problems for the Patriots' defense. Outside of the game against Cincinnati, Jamal Lewis has not been overly impressive. Still, he is a very good power back, and runs downhill into the line as good as just about anyone in the league.

RUSH DEFENSE

GRADE

ORPHEUS ROYE

LDE

B-

ETHAN KELLY

NT

C

ROBAIRE SMITH

RDE

B

ANTWAN PEEK

LOLB

B-

ANDRA DAVIS

LILB

B+

D'QWELL JACKSON

RILB

B

KAMERION WIMBLEY

ROLB

B+

 

The Browns come into this game 30th in the league in terms of opposing rushing yards per game (160). Despite an impressive victory at home last week, they did allow Willis McGahee to top the 100-yard plateau despite only having 14 carries (7.4 yards/carry). In fact, the Browns have allowed a 100-yard rusher in each of their first four games (Willie Parker, Rudi Johnson, LaMont Jordan, McGahee). This is clearly their biggest weakness on defense. With Willie McGinest listed as probable, it may help their unit a little, but it will take more than that to try and stop a team who is 2nd in rushing attempts (141) and 4th in yards/game (157).

 

PASS DEFENSE

GRADE

ERIC WRIGHT

LCB

B-

BRODNEY POOL

FS

B

SEAN JONES

SS

B+

LEIGH BODDEN

RCB

B

 

Opponents have attempted to pass on the Browns all year long. With 152 opposing pass attempts, the Browns are the #1 most targeted passing defense in the AFC. However, opponents have completed just 61.2% of their passes. To put that into perspective, the Patriots have allowed 61.5% of passes to be completed. However, the Browns simply do not have any kind of pass rush to be able to put pressure on the quarterback. They are 29th in sacks (4) and 31st in opponent's passing first downs (60).



Advantages:

When New England Has The Ball:

NE OFFENSE

CLE DEFENSE

ADV.

RUN YARDS/GAME

157 (4TH)

160 (30TH)

NE

YARDS/CARRY

4.5 (12TH)

5.0 (29TH)

NE

RUSHING FIRST DOWNS

43 (1ST)

27 (20TH)

NE

RUSHING FUMBLES

2 (16TH)

4 (4TH)

CLE

PASS YARDS/GAME

274.8 (5TH)

267.5 (30TH)

NE

COMPLETION %

79.2% (1ST)

61.2% (13TH)

NE

PASSING FIRST DOWNS

56 (5TH)

60 (31ST)

NE

QB RATING

134.7 (1ST)

101.2 (27TH)

NE

INTERCEPTIONS

2 (8TH)

3 (19TH)

NE

SACKS

3 (2ND)

4 (29TH)

NE


Overall Advantage: New England



When Cleveland Has The Ball:

CLE OFFENSE

NE DEFENSE

ADV.

RUN YARDS/GAME

114.8 (15TH)

69.8 (3RD)

NE

YARDS/CARRY

4.8 (6TH)

3.4 (5TH)

PUSH

RUSHING FIRST DOWNS

17 (28TH)

16 (5TH)

NE

RUSHING FUMBLES

3 (24TH)

0 (29TH)

PUSH

PASS YARDS/GAME

232.8 (10TH)

156.3 (4TH)

NE

COMPLETION %

51.6% (31ST)

61.5 (15TH)

NE

PASSING FIRST DOWNS

45 (15TH)

41 (13TH)

PUSH

QB RATING

82.0 (18TH)

75.3 (8TH)

NE

INTERCEPTIONS

6 (26TH)

5 (9TH)

NE

SACKS

7 (14TH)

11 (10TH)

PUSH

Overall Advantage: New England

Read more of Rich's pregame analysis in his Keys to the Game with the top matchup between these two.

MORE:
Patriots News
Browns News

Patriots Insider forums
Browns forums

Official Game Thread: Browns vs Patriots

Hot Topic:
Over/ Under: Pats vs Browns

(members section)
Ask An Insider


Patriots Insider Top Stories