POORE'S PICKS: Week 14

Jim Poore returns for another week of picks against the spread. With Playoff implications for many of this week's matchups, things will get interesting. See what Jim thinks of the favorites and who his game of the week will be.

Last updated 12.6.2007

Lucky. That is what the New England Patriots were Monday night against the Baltimore Ravens. Sure, good teams get lucky and use that to their advantage. The Patriots sure did, and now they are still undefeated. The Ravens lost the game, their spirits, and, hearing some of their comments after the game, their minds. The game was eerily similar to last year's playoff game against the San Diego Chargers, where it seemed the Chargers kept doing everything they could to let the Patriots win. Even one of the plays was the same. In last year's game, Tom Brady threw what looked like to be a game killing interception, only to have the defender fumble the ball and allow New England to recover. It was the same thing Monday night, when Ed Reed happened to be the defender that fumbled, allowing a Patriots drive to continue.

The Patriots have a great chance to go undefeated, with possibly their hardest game left on the schedule this weekend against the Pittsburgh Steelers. The New York Giants, their opponent in week 17, could be interesting depending on the scenario in which the Patriots face. It will be interesting to see if Bill Belichick rests the team for the playoff run or if he wants to go for an undefeated season. In a few weeks, we will know for sure. Now on to a very important week 14 and the picks.

As always, home team in CAPS.

WASHINGTON 3 Chicago
The Redskins lost a heartbreaker last week, and their season is likely over. They have a short week to prepare after the funeral for lost teammate Sean Taylor, and I don't see any way possible that the Redskins can be competitive in this game. The Bears are fighting for their playoff lives, and this game is very important for them. That is why I will take the Bears here on the road.
Bears 23-16


JACKSONVILLE 10 1/2 Carolina
The Jags are right in the thick of it in the AFC, and barring any sort of collapse, will likely be heading to the playoffs. The Panthers have been a disappointment and aren't heading anywhere, except home. Jacksonville has a lot more to play for here, and I don't see how they will lose this game. They should cover too, and possibly easily.
Jaguars 27-13


Dallas 10 DETROIT
The Cowboys are on a roll, while the Lions have complately fallen apart. To lose is one thing but they have looked terrible lately. The Cowboys have virtually locked up home field in the NFC courtesy of last week's win. I don't see them slowing down, even on the road. I would think the Lions have some pride left, but I don't think they will cover the points, even at home.
Cowboys 36-20


BUFFALO 7 Miami

The Dolphins best chance to win a game was last week, and they got crushed. Buffalo, on the other hand, is somehow in the playoff race in the AFC. Miami certainly has alot to play for, as they want to win at least one game. But the Bills have been pretty good at home this year, and also have a lot to play for. The seven points at home seems pretty reasonable.
Bills 24-13


PHILADELPHIA 3 New York Giants
The Giants looked good last week, and they should be gearing up for the playoffs. Philadelphia is actually in the playoff chase, but will need some help if they do win. Every time I pick the Eagles, I seem to lose. So I am going to pick the Giants, but only because I think they are going to win the game. We will see what happens.
Giants 27-24


GREEN BAY 10 1/2 Oakland
Despite last week's loss, the Packers will be a tough out in the playoffs. And the Raiders have actually been playing tough, though their record doesn't show it. They will need to be more than tough in this game, or it will be over before half time. Oakland might be able to keep it close in the first half, but the second part of the game will be a different story. The Packers shouldn't have too many problems covering here.
Packers 37-21


NEW ENGLAND 10 1/2 Pittsburgh
Many might have thought this would be the Game of the Week, but I had other ideas. It is a big game though, and the Steelers might be the last big obstacle between the Patriots and an undefeated season. I really don't think the Steelers can win though, nor do I think they will cover. Both teams have shown some deficiencies in the past couple of weeks, but the Patriots are still undefeated for a reason, and they are clearly the better team. Pittsburgh will keep it close but will fall short in the end.
Patriots 30-17


CINCINNATI 4 St. Louis
Both teams are going nowhere, and this was a candidate for Stinker of the Week. Once again, I had other ideas. Nothing too much to say about this game, so I will take the Bengals by virtue of being at home.
Bengals 30-24


HOUSTON 1 Tampa Bay
This game is pretty much a pickem, but the Texans get the nod by being at home. It isn't going to matter. The Bucs have been a big surprise this year, and are likely going to win the NFC South. The Texans have been pretty competitive, but need a couple of more years. Tampa should be able to win this game, even if Jeff Garcia stays on the bench. I like them here.
Buccaneers 26-17


SEATTLE 6 1/2 Arizona
The Seahawks are in the postseason barring a catastrophe, but that isn't saying much playing in the NFC West. They are playing for a home game now, so they do have something to play for. The Cardinals really have nothing left to play for, except for the end of the season. They did win last week, but that streak will be short lived.
Seahawks 29-13


Minnesota 8 SAN FRANCISCO
The Vikings have been on a roll lately, and it looks like Adrian Peteron is back and healthy. They are right in the middle of the playoff chase. The 49ers are right in the middle of the chase too- for the first overall draft pick that they do not have. Even in San Francisco the Vikings should be able to cover, especially with the way they are playing lately. Take Minnesota here.
Vikings 36-26


Cleveland 3 1/2 NEW YORK JETS
The Browns took a step back last week, but are still in the playoff race in the AFC. The Jets haven't been in it all year, except in the cellar. They did win big last week, but it was against the Dolphins. Cleveland very simply needs this game more, and they should be able to win. A loss and they might be looking at next year.
Browns 23-17


Indianapolis 9 1/2 BALTIMORE
I think the Ravens last gasp was Monday night, and they ran out of breath. The Colts are playing for playoff seedings, but will likely take second place. They want to keep up the pace though, and they should be able to beat a Baltimore that has likely run out of steam. I like the Colts here on the road.
Colts 31-20


New Orleans 4 1/2 ATLANTA
Both teams here are pretty much done for the season, though the Saints might have a chance with a late run. I don't see too many people watching this Monday Night dud. It's too bad Dancing With the Stars is over. I will take New Orleans over the Falcons here, but I am not sure too many people are paying attention.
Saints 25-14


GAME OF THE WEEK

TENNESSEE 1 San Diego
I picked this game because the playoffs are on the line for both teams, even though the Chargers have the better chance. There weren't too many other games with this scenario. The Steelers-Patriots game qualifies, but both teams are likely in the postseason. As for the games, it is hard to pick either team because of the inconsistencies. I think I like Tennessee though. The Chargers won last week, and they have not put together really good games in consecutive weeks all year. Tennessee has not either, but they are at home, and really have more on the line than San Diego. I like them here.
Titans 24-20


STINKER OF THE WEEK

DENVER 6 1/2 Kansas City
I picked this game because both teams pretty much stink, at least this year. The Broncos really aren't out of the playoff race, but if they make it, and it is a big if, they will be an easy out the first week. The Chiefs have been playing poorly all year, but they just aren't that good. I'll take Denver at home.
Broncos 27-17


Record for Week 13: 7-9 ( 8-8 without spread )
Record Through Week 13: 83-100-9 (116-76 without spread )
Game of Week Record: 9-4
Stinker of Week Record: 5-8


Jim Poore has been a long time contributor to Patriots Insider with his weekly picks column. Let him know what you think. Email him here:

 


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Lucky. That is what the New England Patriots were Monday night against the Baltimore Ravens. Sure, good teams get lucky and use that to their advantage. The Patriots sure did, and now they are still undefeated. The Ravens lost the game, their spirits, and, hearing some of their comments after the game, their minds. The game was eerily similar to last year's playoff game against the San Diego Chargers, where it seemed the Chargers kept doing everything they could to let the Patriots win. Even one of the plays was the same. In last year's game, Tom Brady threw what looked like to be a game killing interception, only to have the defender fumble the ball and allow New England to recover. It was the same thing Monday night, when Ed Reed happened to be the defender that fumbled, allowing a Patriots drive to continue.

The Patriots have a great chance to go undefeated, with possibly their hardest game left on the schedule this weekend against the Pittsburgh Steelers. The New York Giants, their opponent in week 17, could be interesting depending on the scenario in which the Patriots face. It will be interesting to see if Bill Belichick rests the team for the playoff run or if he wants to go for an undefeated season. In a few weeks, we will know for sure. Now on to a very important week 14 and the picks.

As always, home team in CAPS.


The Redskins lost a heartbreaker last week, and their season is likely over. They have a short week to prepare after the funeral for lost teammate Sean Taylor, and I don't see any way possible that the Redskins can be competitive in this game. The Bears are fighting for their playoff lives, and this game is very important for them. That is why I will take the Bears here on the road.



The Jags are right in the thick of it in the AFC, and barring any sort of collapse, will likely be heading to the playoffs. The Panthers have been a disappointment and aren't heading anywhere, except home. Jacksonville has a lot more to play for here, and I don't see how they will lose this game. They should cover too, and possibly easily.



The Cowboys are on a roll, while the Lions have complately fallen apart. To lose is one thing but they have looked terrible lately. The Cowboys have virtually locked up home field in the NFC courtesy of last week's win. I don't see them slowing down, even on the road. I would think the Lions have some pride left, but I don't think they will cover the points, even at home.




The Dolphins best chance to win a game was last week, and they got crushed. Buffalo, on the other hand, is somehow in the playoff race in the AFC. Miami certainly has alot to play for, as they want to win at least one game. But the Bills have been pretty good at home this year, and also have a lot to play for. The seven points at home seems pretty reasonable.



The Giants looked good last week, and they should be gearing up for the playoffs. Philadelphia is actually in the playoff chase, but will need some help if they do win. Every time I pick the Eagles, I seem to lose. So I am going to pick the Giants, but only because I think they are going to win the game. We will see what happens.



Despite last week's loss, the Packers will be a tough out in the playoffs. And the Raiders have actually been playing tough, though their record doesn't show it. They will need to be more than tough in this game, or it will be over before half time. Oakland might be able to keep it close in the first half, but the second part of the game will be a different story. The Packers shouldn't have too many problems covering here.



Many might have thought this would be the Game of the Week, but I had other ideas. It is a big game though, and the Steelers might be the last big obstacle between the Patriots and an undefeated season. I really don't think the Steelers can win though, nor do I think they will cover. Both teams have shown some deficiencies in the past couple of weeks, but the Patriots are still undefeated for a reason, and they are clearly the better team. Pittsburgh will keep it close but will fall short in the end.



Both teams are going nowhere, and this was a candidate for Stinker of the Week. Once again, I had other ideas. Nothing too much to say about this game, so I will take the Bengals by virtue of being at home.



This game is pretty much a pickem, but the Texans get the nod by being at home. It isn't going to matter. The Bucs have been a big surprise this year, and are likely going to win the NFC South. The Texans have been pretty competitive, but need a couple of more years. Tampa should be able to win this game, even if Jeff Garcia stays on the bench. I like them here.
Buccaneers 26-17



The Seahawks are in the postseason barring a catastrophe, but that isn't saying much playing in the NFC West. They are playing for a home game now, so they do have something to play for. The Cardinals really have nothing left to play for, except for the end of the season. They did win last week, but that streak will be short lived.



The Vikings have been on a roll lately, and it looks like Adrian Peteron is back and healthy. They are right in the middle of the playoff chase. The 49ers are right in the middle of the chase too- for the first overall draft pick that they do not have. Even in San Francisco the Vikings should be able to cover, especially with the way they are playing lately. Take Minnesota here.



The Browns took a step back last week, but are still in the playoff race in the AFC. The Jets haven't been in it all year, except in the cellar. They did win big last week, but it was against the Dolphins. Cleveland very simply needs this game more, and they should be able to win. A loss and they might be looking at next year.



I think the Ravens last gasp was Monday night, and they ran out of breath. The Colts are playing for playoff seedings, but will likely take second place. They want to keep up the pace though, and they should be able to beat a Baltimore that has likely run out of steam. I like the Colts here on the road.



Both teams here are pretty much done for the season, though the Saints might have a chance with a late run. I don't see too many people watching this Monday Night dud. It's too bad Dancing With the Stars is over. I will take New Orleans over the Falcons here, but I am not sure too many people are paying attention.



I picked this game because the playoffs are on the line for both teams, even though the Chargers have the better chance. There weren't too many other games with this scenario. The Steelers-Patriots game qualifies, but both teams are likely in the postseason. As for the games, it is hard to pick either team because of the inconsistencies. I think I like Tennessee though. The Chargers won last week, and they have not put together really good games in consecutive weeks all year. Tennessee has not either, but they are at home, and really have more on the line than San Diego. I like them here.



I picked this game because both teams pretty much stink, at least this year. The Broncos really aren't out of the playoff race, but if they make it, and it is a big if, they will be an easy out the first week. The Chiefs have been playing poorly all year, but they just aren't that good. I'll take Denver at home.


7-9 ( 8-8 without spread )
83-100-9 (116-76 without spread )
9-4
5-8


 

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