Poore's Picks: Week Three

Each week Jim Poore makes his picks against the spread. This week is no different as Jim benefited from the point spread last time out. Check out his picks and be sure to let him know what you think.

Week three is upon us, and there are some very interesting teams so far. Buffalo, for one, has been a surprise, starting 2-0, and the San Diego Chargers, starting at the opposite end at 0-2. The Chargers were the victims of a blown referee call, but they still had the chance to stop Denver and they couldn't do it. They didn't deserve to win anyway. Also at 2-0 is Arizona, but truthfully they haven't played the toughest teams so far. This weekend might be more of a test as they play Washington. As usual, nothing is ever permanent in the NFL. But the first two weeks have been entertaining, despite the shocking amount of injuries.

As for the first Patriots game without you know who, it went pretty well. Matt Cassel wasn't great, but he didn't do anything wrong and that is what's important. The offensive line still looks shaky, and against a team with a really good defense, the outcome might be different.

My picks went pretty well, but oddly I actually did better against the spread than I did straight up, which is unusual. As long as I continue the winning record against the numbers, I will do pretty well. Anyway, enough about my record and on to the games for week three.

As always, home team in CAPS.

BUFFALO 9 Oakland
The Bills are off to a great start, and they are beating playoff teams from last year. The Raiders have looked ok, but they still aren't that good. I don't remember the last time the Bills were favored by nine points. It won't matter, because they shouldn't have any problems covering. I need a couple of more games to be sold on Buffalo, but they are trying to change me right now.
Bills 30-12


TENNESSEE 5 1/2 Houston
The Titans are also off to a strong start, and apparently they don't need Vince Young. The Texans got an extra week off to get ready, but that obviously wasn't planned. I am still not sure how good Tennessee is, but I have said before that I like Houston, despite the fact they got pasted in week one. I like them here too, but just to cover. I don't think they will pull off the upset on the road.
Titans 26-21


NEW YORK GIANTS 13 Cincinnati
Well the one person who read my column last week will know where I am going with this. I said the Bengals were going to burn me, and sure enough they did. I will likely never pick them again this year. Definitely not this week, as they go against the red hot Giants in New York. The Bengals are a total mess right now, while the Giants are flying early in the season. The points are high, but I have to take the Giants here.
Giants 31-14


ATLANTA 5 1/2 Kansas City
The Falcons came back to earth last week, while the Chiefs never left the planet. Neither team is any good, but I am not sure which team will end up with the better record. Probably the Falcons, because the Chiefs start too many rookies. As for the game, I have to take the Falcons here. It was a Candidate for Stinker of the Week, but since the game prediction isn't at the end of the column, I obviously went in a different direction.
Falcons 23-16


WASHINGTON 3 Arizona
I have a feeling that the Redskins are going to be a Jekyll and Hyde team this year. Just when we think they are going to bomb, they come up with a win like they did last week against New Orleans. The aforementioned Cardinals are off to a good start, but their schedule has been very forgiving so far. I like them here though. I just can't trust the Redskins under any circumstances, even at home.
Cardinals 23-21


NEW ENGLAND 13 Miami
The Patriots are in a good spot here, especially while the Dolphins are struggling to score. However, for some reason I think the points are too high. I don't think the Patriots are going to be able to score a lot, so this could be a low scoring game. The Dolphins don't have a great defense, but I have a feeling they will play New England tough. I like Miami to cover here.
Patriots 20-10


CHICAGO 3 Tampa Bay
This should be a pretty decent game as both teams are 1-1. Both will also be right around .500 by the time the season ends, but in the NFC that is Super Bowl caliber. I guess I will take the Bears, but not very confidently. This one can go either way.
Bears 24-20


MINNESOTA 3 Carolina
The Vikings are going with Gus Frerotte at quarterback to replace the struggling Tavarus Jackson. I didn't even know that Frerotte was still in the league. He probably wasn't. I like Carolina this year, but a lot depends on Jake Delhomme. He can never stay healthy. Steve Smith is back, and that is going to help as long as he behaves. I don't know why the Vikings are favored here. I am going to take the Panthers.
Panthers 27-17


SAN FRANCISCO 4 1/2 Detroit
I don't think there is going to be too much defense played in San Francisco this week. This is going to be an old fashioned shootout between two pretty mediocre teams. Both teams really have very little defense, and it will be displayed at this game. I guess I will take the 49ers, as this was another candidate for that bad game of the week.
49ers 36-30


DENVER 5 New Orleans
This should be another good game, but the Broncos are lucky to be 2-0. It has nothing to do with getting the lucky referee non call, they just aren't that good. Jay Cutler had what should have been two red zone turnovers late in the game. That is not a good percentage. The Saints looked a little lost last week, but I don't know how much of that is the loss of Marques Colston. I think they will bounce back this week. I just don't really like Denver this year, and the Saints should at least cover.
Saints 28-23


INDIANAPOLIS 6 Jacksonville
The Colts are very close to being 0-2, and now they lose Bob Sanders for at least a month. They have always fought the injuries well though. This normally would be a pretty good test for them, but I don't know what is wrong with the Jaguars this year. Maybe they were just simply overrated. I like the Colts here because I think they need a breakout game. The Jags would normally be a good game, but I don't think that will be the case this weekend.
Colts 34-20


BALTIMORE 2 Cleveland
I thought the Browns would have won a game by now, but starting out against Dallas and Pittsburgh isn't the easiest schedule. They should be able to finally win here. The Ravens did have an unexpected extra week to get ready, but I think the Browns are borderline desperate to win. Starting out 0-3 is not what they had in mind. I like them here.
Browns 21-17


Dallas 3 GREEN BAY
This is a huge game this early in the season, and it was a serious candidate for Game of the Week. However, I refuse to put Dallas in that game three weeks in a row. So far, the Cowboys look to be the team to beat in the NFC. The Packers have looked strong under Aaron Rodgers, but I don't know how long it is going to last. It is apparent though that they don't miss the egomaniac that was at the helm before. I will take the Cowboys here, but a Packer win wouldn't stun me.
Cowboys 28-24


SAN DIEGO 8 1/2 New York Jets
I don't think the point spread is high enough for this game. Just as I said last week that there was no way that the Chargers start off 0-2, there is absolutely no way they start off 0-3. The Jets might be the perfect opponent here. I think they got deflated by the Patriots last week, and I am not sure how much of a difference Brett Favre is going to make. I think the Chargers are going to put it to the Jets here.
Chargers 37-13


GAME OF THE WEEK

PHILADELPHIA 3 Pittsburgh
The Eagles could be 2-0, and the Steelers have gotten off to a great start. Donovan McNabb is healthy, but Ben Roethlisberger is hurting again. It could make a difference here. I think the Eagles could be the better team, and they will be a force in the NFC. The Steelers will be a force in the AFC, but I think this game goes to the Eagles.
Eagles 26-20


STINKER OF THE WEEK

SEATTLE 9 St. Louis
Both teams right now are lousy, and it has gotten so bad in St. Louis that majority owner Chip Rosenbloom told the team that things better change in a hurry. He is going to be waiting a long time. The Seahawks aren't that good either, but they are clearly the better team here. I will take Seahawks in this lousy game.
Seahawks 30-20


Record For Week Two: 9-5-1 (7-8 without spread )
Record Through Week Two: 17-13 (18-13 without spread )
Game of Week Record: 1-1
Stinker of Week Record: 0-2



Jim Poore has been a long time contributor to Patriots Insider with his weekly picks column. Let him know what you think. Email him here:

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Week three is upon us, and there are some very interesting teams so far. Buffalo, for one, has been a surprise, starting 2-0, and the San Diego Chargers, starting at the opposite end at 0-2. The Chargers were the victims of a blown referee call, but they still had the chance to stop Denver and they couldn't do it. They didn't deserve to win anyway. Also at 2-0 is Arizona, but truthfully they haven't played the toughest teams so far. This weekend might be more of a test as they play Washington. As usual, nothing is ever permanent in the NFL. But the first two weeks have been entertaining, despite the shocking amount of injuries.

As for the first Patriots game without you know who, it went pretty well. Matt Cassel wasn't great, but he didn't do anything wrong and that is what's important. The offensive line still looks shaky, and against a team with a really good defense, the outcome might be different.

My picks went pretty well, but oddly I actually did better against the spread than I did straight up, which is unusual. As long as I continue the winning record against the numbers, I will do pretty well. Anyway, enough about my record and on to the games for week three.

As always, home team in CAPS.

BUFFALO 9 Oakland
The Bills are off to a great start, and they are beating playoff teams from last year. The Raiders have looked ok, but they still aren't that good. I don't remember the last time the Bills were favored by nine points. It won't matter, because they shouldn't have any problems covering. I need a couple of more games to be sold on Buffalo, but they are trying to change me right now.
Bills 30-12


TENNESSEE 5 1/2 Houston
The Titans are also off to a strong start, and apparently they don't need Vince Young. The Texans got an extra week off to get ready, but that obviously wasn't planned. I am still not sure how good Tennessee is, but I have said before that I like Houston, despite the fact they got pasted in week one. I like them here too, but just to cover. I don't think they will pull off the upset on the road.
Titans 26-21


NEW YORK GIANTS 13 Cincinnati
Well the one person who read my column last week will know where I am going with this. I said the Bengals were going to burn me, and sure enough they did. I will likely never pick them again this year. Definitely not this week, as they go against the red hot Giants in New York. The Bengals are a total mess right now, while the Giants are flying early in the season. The points are high, but I have to take the Giants here.
Giants 31-14


ATLANTA 5 1/2 Kansas City
The Falcons came back to earth last week, while the Chiefs never left the planet. Neither team is any good, but I am not sure which team will end up with the better record. Probably the Falcons, because the Chiefs start too many rookies. As for the game, I have to take the Falcons here. It was a Candidate for Stinker of the Week, but since the game prediction isn't at the end of the column, I obviously went in a different direction.
Falcons 23-16


WASHINGTON 3 Arizona
I have a feeling that the Redskins are going to be a Jekyll and Hyde team this year. Just when we think they are going to bomb, they come up with a win like they did last week against New Orleans. The aforementioned Cardinals are off to a good start, but their schedule has been very forgiving so far. I like them here though. I just can't trust the Redskins under any circumstances, even at home.
Cardinals 23-21


NEW ENGLAND 13 Miami
The Patriots are in a good spot here, especially while the Dolphins are struggling to score. However, for some reason I think the points are too high. I don't think the Patriots are going to be able to score a lot, so this could be a low scoring game. The Dolphins don't have a great defense, but I have a feeling they will play New England tough. I like Miami to cover here.
Patriots 20-10


CHICAGO 3 Tampa Bay
This should be a pretty decent game as both teams are 1-1. Both will also be right around .500 by the time the season ends, but in the NFC that is Super Bowl caliber. I guess I will take the Bears, but not very confidently. This one can go either way.
Bears 24-20


MINNESOTA 3 Carolina
The Vikings are going with Gus Frerotte at quarterback to replace the struggling Tavarus Jackson. I didn't even know that Frerotte was still in the league. He probably wasn't. I like Carolina this year, but a lot depends on Jake Delhomme. He can never stay healthy. Steve Smith is back, and that is going to help as long as he behaves. I don't know why the Vikings are favored here. I am going to take the Panthers.
Panthers 27-17


SAN FRANCISCO 4 1/2 Detroit
I don't think there is going to be too much defense played in San Francisco this week. This is going to be an old fashioned shootout between two pretty mediocre teams. Both teams really have very little defense, and it will be displayed at this game. I guess I will take the 49ers, as this was another candidate for that bad game of the week.
49ers 36-30


DENVER 5 New Orleans
This should be another good game, but the Broncos are lucky to be 2-0. It has nothing to do with getting the lucky referee non call, they just aren't that good. Jay Cutler had what should have been two red zone turnovers late in the game. That is not a good percentage. The Saints looked a little lost last week, but I don't know how much of that is the loss of Marques Colston. I think they will bounce back this week. I just don't really like Denver this year, and the Saints should at least cover.
Saints 28-23


INDIANAPOLIS 6 Jacksonville
The Colts are very close to being 0-2, and now they lose Bob Sanders for at least a month. They have always fought the injuries well though. This normally would be a pretty good test for them, but I don't know what is wrong with the Jaguars this year. Maybe they were just simply overrated. I like the Colts here because I think they need a breakout game. The Jags would normally be a good game, but I don't think that will be the case this weekend.
Colts 34-20


BALTIMORE 2 Cleveland
I thought the Browns would have won a game by now, but starting out against Dallas and Pittsburgh isn't the easiest schedule. They should be able to finally win here. The Ravens did have an unexpected extra week to get ready, but I think the Browns are borderline desperate to win. Starting out 0-3 is not what they had in mind. I like them here.
Browns 21-17


Dallas 3 GREEN BAY
This is a huge game this early in the season, and it was a serious candidate for Game of the Week. However, I refuse to put Dallas in that game three weeks in a row. So far, the Cowboys look to be the team to beat in the NFC. The Packers have looked strong under Aaron Rodgers, but I don't know how long it is going to last. It is apparent though that they don't miss the egomaniac that was at the helm before. I will take the Cowboys here, but a Packer win wouldn't stun me.
Cowboys 28-24


SAN DIEGO 8 1/2 New York Jets
I don't think the point spread is high enough for this game. Just as I said last week that there was no way that the Chargers start off 0-2, there is absolutely no way they start off 0-3. The Jets might be the perfect opponent here. I think they got deflated by the Patriots last week, and I am not sure how much of a difference Brett Favre is going to make. I think the Chargers are going to put it to the Jets here.
Chargers 37-13


GAME OF THE WEEK

PHILADELPHIA 3 Pittsburgh
The Eagles could be 2-0, and the Steelers have gotten off to a great start. Donovan McNabb is healthy, but Ben Roethlisberger is hurting again. It could make a difference here. I think the Eagles could be the better team, and they will be a force in the NFC. The Steelers will be a force in the AFC, but I think this game goes to the Eagles.
Eagles 26-20


STINKER OF THE WEEK

SEATTLE 9 St. Louis
Both teams right now are lousy, and it has gotten so bad in St. Louis that majority owner Chip Rosenbloom told the team that things better change in a hurry. He is going to be waiting a long time. The Seahawks aren't that good either, but they are clearly the better team here. I will take Seahawks in this lousy game.
Seahawks 30-20


Record For Week Two: 9-5-1 (7-8 without spread )
Record Through Week Two: 17-13 (18-13 without spread )
Game of Week Record: 1-1
Stinker of Week Record: 0-2



Jim Poore has been a long time contributor to Patriots Insider with his weekly picks column. Let him know what you think. Email him here:

MORE:
Share your own picks

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