Poore's Picks: Week Nine

Poore's Picks for Week 9 include some classic matchups of old rivals. Bills - Jets, Pats -Colts, Cowboys-Giants. Each week Jim picks all the NFL games against the spread. Check out the Game of the Week inside.

Another topsy-turvy week in the NFL, as week eight provided some very entertaining games. Now that the season is half over, we are starting to see who the contenders are and where the pretenders are at. The Tennessee Titans, as we probably know by now, are absolutely for real. They will not go undefeated, but they are well ahead in the AFC as the playoff races will start to take shape in a couple of weeks. Also in the AFC, the Patriots, Steelers and Bills are in the second tier, at least right now. However, the overall quality of the AFC is not that great this year, at least not through the first half of the season anyway.

As for the NFC, nobody seems to be talking about the Carolina Panthers, but they should be. I don't know if they are the best team in the NFC, but they are very good right now. The Giants are also one of the better teams, but as with the AFC, the quality isn't that great. That is what makes the NFL so good though. Parity is exactly what the league and most of the fans want, and that is what makes every week fun to watch.

As for my picks, I took a step back last week, but against the spread I am still over .500 for the year, pretty good considering the surprising outcomes of many of the games. Hopefully I can bounce back this week. I will do the best I can.

As always, home teams in CAPS.

MINNESOTA 4 1/2 Houston
The Vikings are coming off of a bye week to play the very warm Texans. It is probably too late for Houston to make a run at the postseason, but next year could be a different story. It is never too late for the Vikings playing in the NFC North. I like Houston here though. They are playing very well right now, and the Vikings are only mediocre at best.
Houston 24-21


Jacksonville 8 CINCINNATI
Typical Jaguars. They play really good one week and then lose a game they should win. I think we have seen this before. Lucky for them, they have Cincinnati on their schedule. I am still refusing to take the Bengals under any circumstances. I probably wouldn't take them here anyway, even at home. Take Jacksonville.
Jaguars 26-16


Tampa Bay 9 KANSAS CITY

The Buccaneers have played pretty well this year, and the Chiefs have not, though they should have won last week. Daunte Culpepper doesn't even want to play for them. The points seem awfully high here for the Bucs, so I am actually going to take Kansas City. The Chiefs are not a good team, but I don't think they should be nine point underdogs at home.
Buccaneers 24-17


CLEVELAND 1 1/2 Baltimore
The way the Browns have been playing, I am not sure they can win two games in a row. The Ravens have been better than expected, and I have a gut feeling they are going to win this game. But may be the Browns are going to start to turn it around. I'll take my chances here.
Browns 20-17


BUFFALO 5 1/2 New York Jets
This is a big game in the AFC East, and the Bills need to win to keep pace with New England. The Jets were lucky to escape last week, and if Brett Favre continues to play the way he did, the Jets will be lucky to win another game. The Bills did not play well last week but I think they will step it up here. The Bills have really been a surprise.
Bills 30-24


Arizona 3 ST. LOUIS
The Cardinals have been pretty good, while the Rams have been better lately. They could have won at New England last week, and Arizona narrowly lost to the Panthers. Arizona is easily the best team in the NFC West, but that might not get them very far. Jim Haslett has the Rams looking better, but it won't be enough here.
Cardinals 31-17


TENNESSEE 5 Green Bay
The Titans are on a roll, but they do have a short week to prepare for Green Bay, who are coming off a bye week. This should be a pretty good test for the undefeated Titans, but at the end of the day they will still not have a loss. The Packers just aren't that great, and the points should probably be higher. I'll give the low points here.
Titans 23-14


DENVER 3 1/2 Miami
The Broncos are coming off a much needed bye week, and the Dolphins continue to play inspired football. The Broncos need a win here to stay on top of the AFC West, while the Dolphins are in the post season chase. Their run will fall short, but the Broncos' might not. I have to take Denver here, and the points I think are a little too low.
Broncos 29-20


Atlanta 3 OAKLAND
The Falcons have been better than advertised, but I don't know if it will last much longer. The Raiders were advertised as bad, and they haven't disappointed. I am not shocked to see the Raiders as home underdogs. I am sure they are used to it by now. I'll take Atlanta here. I just can't trust the Raiders under any scenario.
Falcons 27-21


NEW YORK GIANTS 8 1/2 Dallas

The Giants won a big game last week, and they might be the team to beat in the NFC. The Cowboys finally pulled out a win after a bad streak. This is always a big game in the NFC East, but I am not sure I can trust Dallas right now, especially with their quarterback situation. I think the points are a little high, but I have to take the Giants here.
Giants 33-24


Philadelphia 6 1/2 SEATTLE
The Seahawks finally looked good last week, but they were playing San Francisco.The Eagles won again, and they could be tough to beat with a healthy Brian Westbrook. Matt Hasslebeck could be out for the year for Seattle, and they simply aren't the same team with out him. I am not sure they were very good with him. I'll take Philadelphia here.
Eagles 34-21


WASHINGTON 2 Pittsburgh
The Redskins have been off and on this year, which is typical for them. The Steelers did lose to the Giants last week, and for some reason I don't see Pittsburgh losing two games in a row. I still don't think the Redskins are all that great, but I do think Pittsburgh is very good. The Steelers should be able to bounce back here, so I like them this week.
Steelers 23-20


GAME OF THE WEEK

INDIANAPOLIS 6 New England
This might be a surprise as the Game of the Week, but I think it is going to be a huge test for Matt Cassel and the Patriots. The Colts could easily only have one win, so they are desperate to win a game. They are getting healthy again, and they are going to throw everything at the Patriots weak secondary. This could be the Patriots' biggest test of the year so far, and I think it is a test they will fail.
Colts 38-14

STINKER OF THE WEEK

CHICAGO 12 1/2 Detroit
I struggled to find a Stinker this week, so I guess I will go with a mediocre Chicago team and a bad, winless Detroit team. I think the Lions will win at some point, but it isn't going to be here, especially with the Bears getting extra rest. A lot of points to give here, but I have to take Chicago.
Bears 29-13

Record For Week Eight: 5-9 (9-5 without spread )
Record Through Week Eight: 58-57-1 (69-47 without spread )
Game of Week Record: 3-5
Stinker of Week Record: 3-5

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Another topsy-turvy week in the NFL, as week eight provided some very entertaining games. Now that the season is half over, we are starting to see who the contenders are and where the pretenders are at. The Tennessee Titans, as we probably know by now, are absolutely for real. They will not go undefeated, but they are well ahead in the AFC as the playoff races will start to take shape in a couple of weeks. Also in the AFC, the Patriots, Steelers and Bills are in the second tier, at least right now. However, the overall quality of the AFC is not that great this year, at least not through the first half of the season anyway.

As for the NFC, nobody seems to be talking about the Carolina Panthers, but they should be. I don't know if they are the best team in the NFC, but they are very good right now. The Giants are also one of the better teams, but as with the AFC, the quality isn't that great. That is what makes the NFL so good though. Parity is exactly what the league and most of the fans want, and that is what makes every week fun to watch.

As for my picks, I took a step back last week, but against the spread I am still over .500 for the year, pretty good considering the surprising outcomes of many of the games. Hopefully I can bounce back this week. I will do the best I can.

As always, home teams in CAPS.

MINNESOTA 4 1/2 Houston
The Vikings are coming off of a bye week to play the very warm Texans. It is probably too late for Houston to make a run at the postseason, but next year could be a different story. It is never too late for the Vikings playing in the NFC North. I like Houston here though. They are playing very well right now, and the Vikings are only mediocre at best.
Houston 24-21


Jacksonville 8 CINCINNATI
Typical Jaguars. They play really good one week and then lose a game they should win. I think we have seen this before. Lucky for them, they have Cincinnati on their schedule. I am still refusing to take the Bengals under any circumstances. I probably wouldn't take them here anyway, even at home. Take Jacksonville.
Jaguars 26-16


Tampa Bay 9 KANSAS CITY

The Buccaneers have played pretty well this year, and the Chiefs have not, though they should have won last week. Daunte Culpepper doesn't even want to play for them. The points seem awfully high here for the Bucs, so I am actually going to take Kansas City. The Chiefs are not a good team, but I don't think they should be nine point underdogs at home.
Buccaneers 24-17


CLEVELAND 1 1/2 Baltimore
The way the Browns have been playing, I am not sure they can win two games in a row. The Ravens have been better than expected, and I have a gut feeling they are going to win this game. But may be the Browns are going to start to turn it around. I'll take my chances here.
Browns 20-17


BUFFALO 5 1/2 New York Jets
This is a big game in the AFC East, and the Bills need to win to keep pace with New England. The Jets were lucky to escape last week, and if Brett Favre continues to play the way he did, the Jets will be lucky to win another game. The Bills did not play well last week but I think they will step it up here. The Bills have really been a surprise.
Bills 30-24


Arizona 3 ST. LOUIS
The Cardinals have been pretty good, while the Rams have been better lately. They could have won at New England last week, and Arizona narrowly lost to the Panthers. Arizona is easily the best team in the NFC West, but that might not get them very far. Jim Haslett has the Rams looking better, but it won't be enough here.
Cardinals 31-17


TENNESSEE 5 Green Bay
The Titans are on a roll, but they do have a short week to prepare for Green Bay, who are coming off a bye week. This should be a pretty good test for the undefeated Titans, but at the end of the day they will still not have a loss. The Packers just aren't that great, and the points should probably be higher. I'll give the low points here.
Titans 23-14


DENVER 3 1/2 Miami
The Broncos are coming off a much needed bye week, and the Dolphins continue to play inspired football. The Broncos need a win here to stay on top of the AFC West, while the Dolphins are in the post season chase. Their run will fall short, but the Broncos' might not. I have to take Denver here, and the points I think are a little too low.
Broncos 29-20


Atlanta 3 OAKLAND
The Falcons have been better than advertised, but I don't know if it will last much longer. The Raiders were advertised as bad, and they haven't disappointed. I am not shocked to see the Raiders as home underdogs. I am sure they are used to it by now. I'll take Atlanta here. I just can't trust the Raiders under any scenario.
Falcons 27-21


NEW YORK GIANTS 8 1/2 Dallas

The Giants won a big game last week, and they might be the team to beat in the NFC. The Cowboys finally pulled out a win after a bad streak. This is always a big game in the NFC East, but I am not sure I can trust Dallas right now, especially with their quarterback situation. I think the points are a little high, but I have to take the Giants here.
Giants 33-24


Philadelphia 6 1/2 SEATTLE
The Seahawks finally looked good last week, but they were playing San Francisco.The Eagles won again, and they could be tough to beat with a healthy Brian Westbrook. Matt Hasslebeck could be out for the year for Seattle, and they simply aren't the same team with out him. I am not sure they were very good with him. I'll take Philadelphia here.
Eagles 34-21


WASHINGTON 2 Pittsburgh
The Redskins have been off and on this year, which is typical for them. The Steelers did lose to the Giants last week, and for some reason I don't see Pittsburgh losing two games in a row. I still don't think the Redskins are all that great, but I do think Pittsburgh is very good. The Steelers should be able to bounce back here, so I like them this week.
Steelers 23-20


GAME OF THE WEEK

INDIANAPOLIS 6 New England
This might be a surprise as the Game of the Week, but I think it is going to be a huge test for Matt Cassel and the Patriots. The Colts could easily only have one win, so they are desperate to win a game. They are getting healthy again, and they are going to throw everything at the Patriots weak secondary. This could be the Patriots' biggest test of the year so far, and I think it is a test they will fail.
Colts 38-14

STINKER OF THE WEEK

CHICAGO 12 1/2 Detroit
I struggled to find a Stinker this week, so I guess I will go with a mediocre Chicago team and a bad, winless Detroit team. I think the Lions will win at some point, but it isn't going to be here, especially with the Bears getting extra rest. A lot of points to give here, but I have to take Chicago.
Bears 29-13

Record For Week Eight: 5-9 (9-5 without spread )
Record Through Week Eight: 58-57-1 (69-47 without spread )
Game of Week Record: 3-5
Stinker of Week Record: 3-5

Jim Poore has been a long time contributor to Patriots Insider with his weekly picks column. Let him know what you think. Email him here:

MORE:
Share your own picks\r\n

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