Don't miss 5 reasons why the Pats will lose
Five Reasons the Patriots will beat the Buffalo Bills
1. The Bills will have problems moving the ball against the Patriots defense.
In last week's game against the Indianapolis Colts, the Patriots only allowed 18 points and still lost. However no one will ever confuse the Colts offense (although this year they are not as good as in recent years) with the Bills offense. The Bills rank 20th in the NFL in total offense averaging 320.8 total yards a game while scoring 22.8 points a game. (14th in the NFL). Last week at home the Bills lost 26-17 to the New York Jets. The only defensive statistic that the Jets are ranked higher than the Patriots in is the amount of rushing yards opponents gain.
The Patriots are 9th in the NFL allowing 18.8 points a game while allowing 317.6 total yards per game. With Buffalo only ranking 27th in the NFL in rushing at 93.8 rushing yards a game this may allow the defense to pull their ears back and rush and put pressure on the passer.
Here another fact not in Buffalo's favor: Since Gillette Stadium opened in 2002, the New England Patriots have allowed the fewest number of points in the NFL per game at home, while spearheading the team to the NFL's best home record over that span. The Patriots are 49-10 (.831) at home since Gillette Stadium opened in 2002 and have allowed just 15.51 points per game at home over that span.
2. Injuries will play a factor.
The Bills will be without four maybe five key starters for Sunday's game. Buffalo will be missing starting right guard Brad Butler, staring defensive end Aaron Schobel, starting strong safety Donte Whitner, nickel back Ashton Youboty and their number two receiver Josh Reed. They also have right guard Jason Whittle and linebacker Kawika Mitchell both listed as questionable for Sunday's game as both players where limited in practice for the entire week.
The Patriots will most likely be without Lamont Jordan (some people are questioning on whether he had a set back) and Sammy Morris. The Bills are young team and have not learned how to win yet. The Patriots are older, tested, and more experienced than the Bills. Plus the Patriots will field members of their Super bowl winning teams who know how to win despite the set backs.
3. The New England Patriots have the Buffalo Bills number.
Sometimes in sports when two teams play you can just throw out the record because one team no matter what the other team has done previously or how great their record is always seems to lose against one particular team. The Patriots have won nine straight games against the Bills, establishing their third longest regular-season winning streak against an opponent. Included in that streak are 4 straight years of sweeping the season series. Maybe Buffalo should have thought twice about signing Lawler Milloy. Playing the Bills twice a year has contributed to the Patriots compiling a 36-10 (.783) record against AFC East opponent over the last seven years marking the best divisional record in the NFL. The Pittsburgh Steelers rank second with a 36-13 (.735) divisional mark since 2001. Another fact: Buffalo has never beaten New England in Gillette stadium. New England is 6-0 against Buffalo at home.
The Bills have lost two straight games, one at home (Jets) and one on the road (Dolphins). Buffalo started the season hot however the question has been answered after two divisional losses in a row whether they would come back to the pack.
4. The Patriots lost last week so that means they will win this week.
Since the beginning of the 2003 season, the Patriots are 15-1 (.938) in games following a loss. New England fell to the Indianapolis Colts last week, 18-15. Over the last five-and-a-half seasons (2003-08), the Patriots have only lost back-to-back games on one occasion (Nov. 5 and Nov. 12, 2006). That is consistent and that is what you expect for a championship caliper team as the Patriots. Also there is a matter of being mentally tough. While no one likes to lose, the Patriots look at it as a learning experience in what they did wrong to lose and then focus on correcting those problems so that it will not a contributing factor the following week. The Bills have not reached that stage yet, they are still trying to learn to win.
5. Patriots offense should be able to do just enough.
The Bills are ranked 12th in the NFL in defense allowing 21.1 points a game and ranked 10th in total yards given up allowing 301.6 yards a game. With the injuries the Bills have they will be hard pressed to live up to those statistics. With Buffalo's most important secondary players injured and their best pass rusher sidelined, the Patriots should be able to take advantage of the situation. Randy Moss is hard enough to cover with an All Pro cornerback. In fact the only person that could stop Moss is Patriots Offensive Coordinator, Josh McDaniels who for some reason did not have Cassel pass the football to Moss last week in the entire first half. I think that McDaniels has learned his lesson. Or else the 68,000 plus at Gillette will give him a gentle reminder.