Poore's Picks: Week Eleven

Jim Poore takes a look at week eleven in the NFL. Jim makes his picks for every game against the spread including a Game of the Week and a Stinker of the Week. Get a look at each game for this week.


There are lots of excuses for football performances on the field, good and bad. A team could have injuries, or the weather was bad. It could be any number of things. However, there really aren't any excuses for my horrible performance last week, and the less than stellar picks from the two weeks before. Certainly, I am not going to nail every game or score. The NFL is a very tough sport to predict week-to-week, as has been said multiple times in this column. Looking at other local and national prognosticators, I guess my overall record of 68-75-1 against the spread really isn't all too bad. But that is using an excuse, which I will no longer do. I have to get better and I will, starting this week. I am ready to go. Thanks for your emails reminding me.

As always, home team in CAPS.

THURSDAY NIGHT

NEW ENGLAND 3 New York Jets
The Patriots have been playing well, but the loss of Adalius Thomas will likely be huge. The Jets, of course, would like to get some revenge after losing to the Patriots earlier this year. It isn't going to happen. They will come after Cassel, but he has been handling the short throws, and the offensive line is playing better. I still do not, and never will, trust Brett Favre. He will throw at least one bad interception in this game. The patriots should be able to win this one at home.
Patriots 23-16

ATLANTA 5 1/2 Denver
The Falcons have been playing pretty well, and the Broncos just seem to keep spinning their tires. They did win last week, but weren't very impressive in doing so. The extra couple of days of rest might help, but probably not. The Falcons are gunning for a postseason berth, and they very well may get it. I can't see the Broncos winning here.
Falcons 27-20

MIAMI 10 1/2 Oakland
If we blink we might miss the Dolphins, who are suddenly involved in the playoff chase in the AFC. Chad Pennington has worked wonders for this team, and the "Wildcat" offense is still effective. There is nothing effective about the Raiders, who are in a total shambles. They almost pulled out a win last week, but close is not going to get it done. Close is also one thing that this game is not going to be. The points are high but I can't take the Raiders.
Dolphins 26-13

INDIANAPOLIS 8 1/2 Houston
The Colts still aren't playing all that great, but last week's win against the Steelers might give them a jump start. The season could be over for my surprise team Texans, as last week's blowout loss will probably haunt them for the rest of the year. It is hard to trust the Colts right now, but it is also hard to trust Houston. So I have to take the Colts at home. May be they will get on a roll.
Colts 36-23

Tennessee 3 JACKSONVILLE
The Titans continue to roll, winning close game after close game. The Jaguars continue to be an enigma. I haven't figured them out all year, except I do know that they aren't that good. I will continue to ride the Titans express until further notice. I don't think it is going to get derailed any time soon.
Titans 20-13

GREEN BAY 3 1/2 Chicago
This is a pretty big game in the very mediocre NFC North. Both teams are up and down, which seems to be the norm for most of the NFL teams. Home field always seems to be huge for this division, and this won't be any exception. Aaron Rogers has played pretty decent for his first year starting in the NFL. I like the Bears to cover here though. I think their defense will make a difference in this close game.
Packers 23-20

Philadelphia 9 1/2 CINCINNATI
The Eagles are fighting for their lives in the NFC East, while the Bengals can't wait for the season to end. They have been a disaster. They are coming off of a bye week, but that won't make a difference. I have a hard time picking road favorites with a big spread, but this is the Bengals we are talking about. And it is the Bengals that we are talking about losing.
Eagles 33-20

New Orleans 5 KANSAS CITY
Another road favorite here, but that doesn't necessarily mean I like them. I don't. The Saints really have been nothing special, but of course neither have the Chiefs. Kansas City is playing hard though, and Tyler Thigpen has actually been playing pretty well lately at quarterback. I don't think the Saints are five point road favorites against anybody, even Kansas City.
Saints 28-24

CAROLINA 14 Detroit
Jake Delhomme put up one of the worst games for a quarterback in recent memory, but yet he still managed to do enough to win against the lowly Raiders. I am not sure if the Lions are going to win a game this year. I thought they were going to last week, but in a shocking development, I was wrong. The points are high but I think the Panthers need to bounce back with a good game here. The Lions are the perfect opponent.
Panthers 30-10

TAMPA BAY 4 Minnesota
This is actually a pretty big game in the NFC, as both teams are looking at the postseason. As with many teams, consistency is a problem here. The Buccaneers do have a slight advantage after coming off of a bye week, and a late one at that. I have to give them the edge here just by being at home.
Buccaneers 23-17

Arizona 2 1/2 SEATTLE
Who would have thought at the beginning of the year that Arizona would be favored over the Seahawks in Seattle. The Seahawks have had some injuries, but thay have been a big disappointment. The Cardinals can pretty much start looking towards the postseason, where they could make some noise. Their defense hasn't been that bad either. It is hard to go against them here, even on the road.
Cardinals 36-20

PITTSBURGH 4 1/2 San Diego
The Steelers need to bounce back after last week's shocking loss to the Colts. They are clearly the better team here, as I have no idea what has happened to the Chargers. They easily could have lost to the Chiefs last week. May be it is the Norv Turner effect. I have more confidence in the Steelers bouncing back as opposed to the Chargers, especially at home. I have to take Pittsburgh here.
Steelers 28-21

Dallas 2 1/2 WASHINGTON
This was a potential Game of the Week, but thee was a more compelling game elsewhere. Both teams coming off of a bye week, but I have trouble understanding how the Cowboys are favored. Either way I am taking the Redskins. The Cowboys are too inconsistent to go with right now, and their quarterback situation isn't helping. Nor is having Wade Phillips as the head coach.
Redskins 34-28

BUFFALO 4 1/2 Cleveland
I don't know where to go with this one. The Bills have totally crumbled lately, and the Browns never really got started. I do think Cleveland is the better team, as I was not all that impressed with Buffalo when they were winning. I guess I'll take the Browns in this Monday Night snoozer.
Browns 26-23


GAME OF THE WEEK

NEW YORK GIANTS 6 1/2 Baltimore
The Giants just might be the league's best team, which comes as a surprise because nobody expected it. Nobody expected a lot out of the Ravens either, but they are very much alive in the post season chase. John Flacco could be the Rookie of the Year, and as usual the Baltimore defense has been stifling. But so has New York's and this could be a fairly low scoring game. I think the points are a little high here, but I like the Giants at home.
Giants 19-12


STINKER OF THE WEEK

SAN FRANCISCO 6 St. Louis
Looking at the schedule made this game fairly obvious. Both teams are lousy, but the 49ers have really been bad lately. Six points, to me, seems ridiculous for a lousy team like San Francisco. So because of that, I will go with the better of the teams here, though that isn't saying much.
Rams 35-31


Record for Week 10: 4-10 (9-5 without spread )
Record Through Week 10: 68-75-1 (87-57 without spread )
Game of Week Record: 3-7
Stinker of Week Record: 3-7

Jim Poore has been a long time contributor to Patriots Insider with his weekly picks column. Let him know what you think. Email him here:

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There are lots of excuses for football performances on the field, good and bad. A team could have injuries, or the weather was bad. It could be any number of things. However, there really aren't any excuses for my horrible performance last week, and the less than stellar picks from the two weeks before. Certainly, I am not going to nail every game or score. The NFL is a very tough sport to predict week-to-week, as has been said multiple times in this column. Looking at other local and national prognosticators, I guess my overall record of 68-75-1 against the spread really isn't all too bad. But that is using an excuse, which I will no longer do. I have to get better and I will, starting this week. I am ready to go. Thanks for your emails reminding me.

As always, home team in CAPS.

THURSDAY NIGHT

NEW ENGLAND 3 New York Jets
The Patriots have been playing well, but the loss of Adalius Thomas will likely be huge. The Jets, of course, would like to get some revenge after losing to the Patriots earlier this year. It isn't going to happen. They will come after Cassel, but he has been handling the short throws, and the offensive line is playing better. I still do not, and never will, trust Brett Favre. He will throw at least one bad interception in this game. The patriots should be able to win this one at home.
Patriots 23-16

ATLANTA 5 1/2 Denver
The Falcons have been playing pretty well, and the Broncos just seem to keep spinning their tires. They did win last week, but weren't very impressive in doing so. The extra couple of days of rest might help, but probably not. The Falcons are gunning for a postseason berth, and they very well may get it. I can't see the Broncos winning here.
Falcons 27-20

MIAMI 10 1/2 Oakland
If we blink we might miss the Dolphins, who are suddenly involved in the playoff chase in the AFC. Chad Pennington has worked wonders for this team, and the "Wildcat" offense is still effective. There is nothing effective about the Raiders, who are in a total shambles. They almost pulled out a win last week, but close is not going to get it done. Close is also one thing that this game is not going to be. The points are high but I can't take the Raiders.
Dolphins 26-13

INDIANAPOLIS 8 1/2 Houston
The Colts still aren't playing all that great, but last week's win against the Steelers might give them a jump start. The season could be over for my surprise team Texans, as last week's blowout loss will probably haunt them for the rest of the year. It is hard to trust the Colts right now, but it is also hard to trust Houston. So I have to take the Colts at home. May be they will get on a roll.
Colts 36-23

Tennessee 3 JACKSONVILLE
The Titans continue to roll, winning close game after close game. The Jaguars continue to be an enigma. I haven't figured them out all year, except I do know that they aren't that good. I will continue to ride the Titans express until further notice. I don't think it is going to get derailed any time soon.
Titans 20-13

GREEN BAY 3 1/2 Chicago
This is a pretty big game in the very mediocre NFC North. Both teams are up and down, which seems to be the norm for most of the NFL teams. Home field always seems to be huge for this division, and this won't be any exception. Aaron Rogers has played pretty decent for his first year starting in the NFL. I like the Bears to cover here though. I think their defense will make a difference in this close game.
Packers 23-20

Philadelphia 9 1/2 CINCINNATI
The Eagles are fighting for their lives in the NFC East, while the Bengals can't wait for the season to end. They have been a disaster. They are coming off of a bye week, but that won't make a difference. I have a hard time picking road favorites with a big spread, but this is the Bengals we are talking about. And it is the Bengals that we are talking about losing.
Eagles 33-20

New Orleans 5 KANSAS CITY
Another road favorite here, but that doesn't necessarily mean I like them. I don't. The Saints really have been nothing special, but of course neither have the Chiefs. Kansas City is playing hard though, and Tyler Thigpen has actually been playing pretty well lately at quarterback. I don't think the Saints are five point road favorites against anybody, even Kansas City.
Saints 28-24

CAROLINA 14 Detroit
Jake Delhomme put up one of the worst games for a quarterback in recent memory, but yet he still managed to do enough to win against the lowly Raiders. I am not sure if the Lions are going to win a game this year. I thought they were going to last week, but in a shocking development, I was wrong. The points are high but I think the Panthers need to bounce back with a good game here. The Lions are the perfect opponent.
Panthers 30-10

TAMPA BAY 4 Minnesota
This is actually a pretty big game in the NFC, as both teams are looking at the postseason. As with many teams, consistency is a problem here. The Buccaneers do have a slight advantage after coming off of a bye week, and a late one at that. I have to give them the edge here just by being at home.
Buccaneers 23-17

Arizona 2 1/2 SEATTLE
Who would have thought at the beginning of the year that Arizona would be favored over the Seahawks in Seattle. The Seahawks have had some injuries, but thay have been a big disappointment. The Cardinals can pretty much start looking towards the postseason, where they could make some noise. Their defense hasn't been that bad either. It is hard to go against them here, even on the road.
Cardinals 36-20

PITTSBURGH 4 1/2 San Diego
The Steelers need to bounce back after last week's shocking loss to the Colts. They are clearly the better team here, as I have no idea what has happened to the Chargers. They easily could have lost to the Chiefs last week. May be it is the Norv Turner effect. I have more confidence in the Steelers bouncing back as opposed to the Chargers, especially at home. I have to take Pittsburgh here.
Steelers 28-21

Dallas 2 1/2 WASHINGTON
This was a potential Game of the Week, but thee was a more compelling game elsewhere. Both teams coming off of a bye week, but I have trouble understanding how the Cowboys are favored. Either way I am taking the Redskins. The Cowboys are too inconsistent to go with right now, and their quarterback situation isn't helping. Nor is having Wade Phillips as the head coach.
Redskins 34-28

BUFFALO 4 1/2 Cleveland
I don't know where to go with this one. The Bills have totally crumbled lately, and the Browns never really got started. I do think Cleveland is the better team, as I was not all that impressed with Buffalo when they were winning. I guess I'll take the Browns in this Monday Night snoozer.
Browns 26-23


GAME OF THE WEEK

NEW YORK GIANTS 6 1/2 Baltimore
The Giants just might be the league's best team, which comes as a surprise because nobody expected it. Nobody expected a lot out of the Ravens either, but they are very much alive in the post season chase. John Flacco could be the Rookie of the Year, and as usual the Baltimore defense has been stifling. But so has New York's and this could be a fairly low scoring game. I think the points are a little high here, but I like the Giants at home.
Giants 19-12


STINKER OF THE WEEK

SAN FRANCISCO 6 St. Louis
Looking at the schedule made this game fairly obvious. Both teams are lousy, but the 49ers have really been bad lately. Six points, to me, seems ridiculous for a lousy team like San Francisco. So because of that, I will go with the better of the teams here, though that isn't saying much.
Rams 35-31


Record for Week 10: 4-10 (9-5 without spread )
Record Through Week 10: 68-75-1 (87-57 without spread )
Game of Week Record: 3-7
Stinker of Week Record: 3-7

Jim Poore has been a long time contributor to Patriots Insider with his weekly picks column. Let him know what you think. Email him here:

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