Poore's Picks: Week Twelve

Jim Poore takes a look at week 12 to share his prognostications. Jim makes his picks each week against the spread for every NFL game. Our recommendation, you might want a second opinion on his pick for game of the week. Then again, if you're a Pats fan you might ...

... if you're a Pats fan you might want to share your thoughts with Jim. See link at bottom.

It was another ho-hum week in the NFL for odds makers. More upsets and games that are closer than expected to be. Just another typical week in the NFL, but again that is what makes it so great. It doesn't make it great for people like myself, who pull their hair out (thank God I have plenty left) trying to pick the winners against the spread. Now that the season is getting later, teams are going to be fighting for postseason play. Some teams have been out of the running for quite sometime, while many more are looking to get in the playoffs. Me, I am just looking to have a .500 record for a week. I improved VERY slightly last week, but it still isn't good enough. Hopefully this week it will be. Now, on to the very important games of week 12.

As always, home teams in CAPS.

THURSDAY NIGHT

PITTSBURGH 11 Cincinnati
I am sure the NFL thought this was going to be a better game when it made the schedule. The Bengals are long gone from playoff contention. The Steelers are on their way to the post season, but they haven't looked that great lately. They did win 11-10 last week, a first for the NFL. They will win this week too but not by one point. They do have a short week but so does Cincinnati. Take Pittsburgh here.
Steelers 27-13


CLEVELAND 3 Houston
Both teams here have been disappointments, especially the Browns, who were expected to have a big year by some. The Texans have let me down. It looks like Cleveland is finally going with Brady Quinn after one year wonder Derek Anderson fell apart. This Stinker of the Week candidate is going to be won by Cleveland, but nothing will surprise me here.
Browns 26-20


TENNESSEE 5 1/2 New York Jets
The Titans remain undefeated, and with their remaining schedule, they could run the table. I don't see the Jets stopping them. Though the J-E-T-S Jets Jets Jets are in first place, they might not be for long. I don't see Brett Favre getting too much done against the Titan defense. Most of the Titans' wins have been pretty close, and this one might be too. But they will still cover.
Titans 23-16


DALLAS 10 1/2 San Francisco
The Cowboys might be getting back on track, but they are unlikely to catch the Giants at this point. The 49ers blew out St. Louis last week, but big deal. They are still in dissaray after what was expected to be a decent season. The points are high but I have to take Dallas here.
Cowboys 33-14


Tampa Bay 9 DETROIT
The Lions, I think anyway, are actually kind of a hard team to predict. They obviously are terrible, but we all know they do not want to go winless. Tampa Bay has been good, but I am not convinced they will get too far in the postseason assuming they make it. I am actually going to take the Lions again. The Bucs aren't blowing anybody out, and them giving nine points to any team in the NFL on the road is a risky bet. I will take my chances with Detroit here.
Buccaneers 24-20


BALTIMORE 1 Philadelphia
The Ravens have looked real good this year despite last week's loss to the Giants. The Eagles should be thoroughly embarrassed after tying the Bengals last week. I really hope Donovan McNabb was kidding about his not knowing about a tie. One thing I think he does know is what a loss is, which is what he is going to experience this week.
Ravens 20-17


Chicago 9 ST. LOUIS
The Bears are another team that makes my job difficult. They are very tough to figure out. Good one week, real bad the next. The Rams are easy. They are bad every week. However, I have a feeling the Bears might be a little high after last week's big win against the Packers. The Rams looked horrible last week, and I think they are going to put up a more spirited effort at home. I like St. Louis to cover here.
Bears 27-23


JACKSONVILLE 2 1/2 Minnesota
Both teams here are like the aforementioned Bears. Incredibly tough to figure out. Both teams are mediocre at best, but being at home might make the Jags the better of the two weak teams. I am not sure if Jack DelRio will be back next year. The Jaguars seem to fall short every year. I will take them here though.
Jaguars 23-20


ATLANTA 1 Carolina
This is a really big game in the NFC South, and I am kind of surprised to see Atlanta favored even though they are at home. The Panthers are quietly getting the job done even though it often isn't pretty. The Falcons are getting the job done more than most expected, but I think their run to the postseason will come up short. The Panthers, on the other hand, could go very far. I like the Panthers here.
Panthers 29-21


DENVER 10 Oakland
Neither team here is all that great, and of course Oakland is terrible. These two division rivals always battle it out, but that was before the Raiders really hit rock bottom. I have not been impressed with Denver all year, but they could end up winning the very poor AFC West. That isn't saying much, and neither is my saying the Broncos should cover here.
Broncos 30-10


Washington 3 SEATTLE
Another lousy team here, and it shouldn't take much to figure out I am talking about the Seahawks. They have really hit rock bottom. They have had injuries, but so has every team. The Redskins are fighting for the postseason, but I think they are another team that will come up short. I can't trust them in too many games, but I can't trust Seattle at all, even at home.
Redskins 28-20


New York Giants 3 ARIZONA
If I had two Games of the Week, this would be number two. The Giants are rolling right now, and I am not sure anybody can stop them. The Cardinals have virtually wrapped up their division, but even though they are playing well, their division does stink. Kurt Warner is a possible MVP. I want to pick Arizona here just because they are home, but right now I think the Giants are simply playing too well. I have to take New York here.
Giants 26-21


SAN DIEGO 3 Indianapolis
I think the wrong team is favored here, but it must just be because the Chargers are at home. San Diego has not looked that good at all this year. The Colts struggled early, but they have won three in a row and could be making a serious run to the postseason. Norv Turner is the biggest problem with San Diego. He has never been a good head coach, and he has brought a team with a lot of talent down. They might not recover this year. I have to go with the Colts in this game.
Colts 34-27


NEW ORLEANS 2 1/2 Green Bay
Amazingly enough, another game between two teams that can't decide when they want to play. I think New Orleans is the bigger disappointment here, though Green Bay isn't far behind. The Saints did look better last week, but it was against the lowly Chiefs. The Packers got blown out against a division rival. I'll take the Saints here just because they are at home.
Saints 31-21


GAME OF THE WEEK

MIAMI 1 1/2 New England
This might be an odd choice for Game of the Week because of the records, but it is a very important game in the AFC and the AFC East. The Dolphins have been a huge surprise, and the Patriots haven't been too bad despite the injuries. Miami blew out New England 38-13 earlier this season in Foxboro. The Patriots obviously would like some revenge, but I don't think their defense will allow that. They were pretty healthy in week three and got crushed. Now they are a walking medical center. The Patriots will certainly adjust, but I don't think they have the defensive personnel to win this one. I have to take Miami.
Dolphins 29-23


STINKER OF THE WEEK

Buffalo 3 KANSAS CITY
This game was picked because of the Chiefs, who are lousy, and the Bills, who are in a total freefall right now. To the Chiefs credit, they play hard every week. I was never impressed with Buffalo from the beginning of the season, and even when they were winning. I think the Chiefs can keep this one close at home, close enough to where they might pull out a victory.
Bills 19-17


Record For Week 11: 6-10 (12-4 without the spread )
Record Through Week 11: 74-85-1 (99-61 without the spread )
Game of Week Record: 4-7
Stinker of Week Record: 3-8


Jim Poore has been a long time contributor to Patriots Insider with his weekly picks column. Let him know what you think. Email him here:

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... if you're a Pats fan you might want to share your thoughts with Jim. See link at bottom.

It was another ho-hum week in the NFL for odds makers. More upsets and games that are closer than expected to be. Just another typical week in the NFL, but again that is what makes it so great. It doesn't make it great for people like myself, who pull their hair out (thank God I have plenty left) trying to pick the winners against the spread. Now that the season is getting later, teams are going to be fighting for postseason play. Some teams have been out of the running for quite sometime, while many more are looking to get in the playoffs. Me, I am just looking to have a .500 record for a week. I improved VERY slightly last week, but it still isn't good enough. Hopefully this week it will be. Now, on to the very important games of week 12.

As always, home teams in CAPS.

THURSDAY NIGHT

PITTSBURGH 11 Cincinnati
I am sure the NFL thought this was going to be a better game when it made the schedule. The Bengals are long gone from playoff contention. The Steelers are on their way to the post season, but they haven't looked that great lately. They did win 11-10 last week, a first for the NFL. They will win this week too but not by one point. They do have a short week but so does Cincinnati. Take Pittsburgh here.
Steelers 27-13


CLEVELAND 3 Houston
Both teams here have been disappointments, especially the Browns, who were expected to have a big year by some. The Texans have let me down. It looks like Cleveland is finally going with Brady Quinn after one year wonder Derek Anderson fell apart. This Stinker of the Week candidate is going to be won by Cleveland, but nothing will surprise me here.
Browns 26-20


TENNESSEE 5 1/2 New York Jets
The Titans remain undefeated, and with their remaining schedule, they could run the table. I don't see the Jets stopping them. Though the J-E-T-S Jets Jets Jets are in first place, they might not be for long. I don't see Brett Favre getting too much done against the Titan defense. Most of the Titans' wins have been pretty close, and this one might be too. But they will still cover.
Titans 23-16


DALLAS 10 1/2 San Francisco
The Cowboys might be getting back on track, but they are unlikely to catch the Giants at this point. The 49ers blew out St. Louis last week, but big deal. They are still in dissaray after what was expected to be a decent season. The points are high but I have to take Dallas here.
Cowboys 33-14


Tampa Bay 9 DETROIT
The Lions, I think anyway, are actually kind of a hard team to predict. They obviously are terrible, but we all know they do not want to go winless. Tampa Bay has been good, but I am not convinced they will get too far in the postseason assuming they make it. I am actually going to take the Lions again. The Bucs aren't blowing anybody out, and them giving nine points to any team in the NFL on the road is a risky bet. I will take my chances with Detroit here.
Buccaneers 24-20


BALTIMORE 1 Philadelphia
The Ravens have looked real good this year despite last week's loss to the Giants. The Eagles should be thoroughly embarrassed after tying the Bengals last week. I really hope Donovan McNabb was kidding about his not knowing about a tie. One thing I think he does know is what a loss is, which is what he is going to experience this week.
Ravens 20-17


Chicago 9 ST. LOUIS
The Bears are another team that makes my job difficult. They are very tough to figure out. Good one week, real bad the next. The Rams are easy. They are bad every week. However, I have a feeling the Bears might be a little high after last week's big win against the Packers. The Rams looked horrible last week, and I think they are going to put up a more spirited effort at home. I like St. Louis to cover here.
Bears 27-23


JACKSONVILLE 2 1/2 Minnesota
Both teams here are like the aforementioned Bears. Incredibly tough to figure out. Both teams are mediocre at best, but being at home might make the Jags the better of the two weak teams. I am not sure if Jack DelRio will be back next year. The Jaguars seem to fall short every year. I will take them here though.
Jaguars 23-20


ATLANTA 1 Carolina
This is a really big game in the NFC South, and I am kind of surprised to see Atlanta favored even though they are at home. The Panthers are quietly getting the job done even though it often isn't pretty. The Falcons are getting the job done more than most expected, but I think their run to the postseason will come up short. The Panthers, on the other hand, could go very far. I like the Panthers here.
Panthers 29-21


DENVER 10 Oakland
Neither team here is all that great, and of course Oakland is terrible. These two division rivals always battle it out, but that was before the Raiders really hit rock bottom. I have not been impressed with Denver all year, but they could end up winning the very poor AFC West. That isn't saying much, and neither is my saying the Broncos should cover here.
Broncos 30-10


Washington 3 SEATTLE
Another lousy team here, and it shouldn't take much to figure out I am talking about the Seahawks. They have really hit rock bottom. They have had injuries, but so has every team. The Redskins are fighting for the postseason, but I think they are another team that will come up short. I can't trust them in too many games, but I can't trust Seattle at all, even at home.
Redskins 28-20


New York Giants 3 ARIZONA
If I had two Games of the Week, this would be number two. The Giants are rolling right now, and I am not sure anybody can stop them. The Cardinals have virtually wrapped up their division, but even though they are playing well, their division does stink. Kurt Warner is a possible MVP. I want to pick Arizona here just because they are home, but right now I think the Giants are simply playing too well. I have to take New York here.
Giants 26-21


SAN DIEGO 3 Indianapolis
I think the wrong team is favored here, but it must just be because the Chargers are at home. San Diego has not looked that good at all this year. The Colts struggled early, but they have won three in a row and could be making a serious run to the postseason. Norv Turner is the biggest problem with San Diego. He has never been a good head coach, and he has brought a team with a lot of talent down. They might not recover this year. I have to go with the Colts in this game.
Colts 34-27


NEW ORLEANS 2 1/2 Green Bay
Amazingly enough, another game between two teams that can't decide when they want to play. I think New Orleans is the bigger disappointment here, though Green Bay isn't far behind. The Saints did look better last week, but it was against the lowly Chiefs. The Packers got blown out against a division rival. I'll take the Saints here just because they are at home.
Saints 31-21


GAME OF THE WEEK

MIAMI 1 1/2 New England
This might be an odd choice for Game of the Week because of the records, but it is a very important game in the AFC and the AFC East. The Dolphins have been a huge surprise, and the Patriots haven't been too bad despite the injuries. Miami blew out New England 38-13 earlier this season in Foxboro. The Patriots obviously would like some revenge, but I don't think their defense will allow that. They were pretty healthy in week three and got crushed. Now they are a walking medical center. The Patriots will certainly adjust, but I don't think they have the defensive personnel to win this one. I have to take Miami.
Dolphins 29-23


STINKER OF THE WEEK

Buffalo 3 KANSAS CITY
This game was picked because of the Chiefs, who are lousy, and the Bills, who are in a total freefall right now. To the Chiefs credit, they play hard every week. I was never impressed with Buffalo from the beginning of the season, and even when they were winning. I think the Chiefs can keep this one close at home, close enough to where they might pull out a victory.
Bills 19-17


Record For Week 11: 6-10 (12-4 without the spread )
Record Through Week 11: 74-85-1 (99-61 without the spread )
Game of Week Record: 4-7
Stinker of Week Record: 3-8


Jim Poore has been a long time contributor to Patriots Insider with his weekly picks column. Let him know what you think. Email him here:

Share your own picks\r\n

MORE:
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