Poore's Picks: Week Seventeen

Each Week Jim Poore shares his thoughts on the NFL games. Jim's picks against the spread for every game including his game of the week and stinker of the week. In the final week of the regular season, Jim hopes to get back on track. See who he thinks will win on Sunday.

This Christmas week brings us some very important games in the NFL for week 17. There are still lots of teams vying for the post season, and the NFC picture is really a mess. For the most part, teams just need to win. There are some teams that need to win and get help from elsewhere. I know one thing that needed help was my picks for last week. I went an awful 4-12 against the spread, and I wasn't much better straight up. Hopefully I perform better this week. Maybe I need help though like some of the teams this week. I also want to wish everybody a safe and happy holiday season. Lets get on with the all-important picks for week number 17.

As always, home team in CAPS.

TAMPA BAY 13 1/2 Oakland
Huge game for the Bucs, who absolutely needs to win and hope that Dallas loses. They are on a losing streak right now, and a win would give them some momentum for a possible playoff game. I don't think it is going to be enough in the end though. They will win here but they won't get the help they need.
Buccaneers 31-10


GREEN BAY 9 1/2 Detroit
This might actually be a decent game considering both teams are going nowhere. The Lions obviously want to win to avoid going winless, and the Packers do not want to be the team that allows them to win. I think Green Bay will win, but I'll take the Lions to cover. Why not.
Packers 26-21


PHILADELPHIA 1 1/2 Dallas
Another big game, and a Dallas win means they are in the playoffs without needing any help. The Eagles need to win and get a lot of help. Their lousy performance last week pretty much signaled the end of their season. My heart is telling me to pick Philadelphia here. But I will go with my gut instead, which is the smarter move. I have to take the Cowboys here, even though they will lose in the first round of the playoffs.
Cowboys 24-23


MINNESOTA 6 1/2 New York Giants
The big spread here is because the Giants are expected to rest many of the starters. However, they do want to go into the postseason on a winning note. The Vikings must win, and get some help. Winning the division is up for grabs, and playing at home I think they will get it. I don't expect a very far run in the playoffs though.
Vikings 30-20


HOUSTON 3 Chicago
With the exception of last week's lousy performance, the Texans have played pretty well this year. So has Chicago, but I am not sure if they have enough for the post season. The absolutely need to win here, and I don't think they can do it. Houston will make a serious run for the playoffs next year. They want to finish strong.
Texans 27-21


Carolina 3 NEW ORLEANS
The Panthers are in the playoffs as the second seed, and might not be up for this game. New Orleans is out of the playoffs despite MVP like numbers from Drew Brees. The Saints were definitely a disappointment. The Panthers were not, and they could go very far in the playoffs this year. Even though I am not sure if the panthers are going to be up for this game, I am going to take them anyway. Nothing like having a little momentum heading into the playoffs.
Panthers 29-24


ATLANTA 14 1/2 St. Louis
The Falcons are in the playoffs, and hats off to the coaching staff and players for turning around what was turning into a bad situation in Atlanta. It is a bad situation in St. Louis, as their season has been a borderline disaster. I know the Falcons want to keep on a roll, and even though the points are high I have to take them here.
Falcons 37-13


BALTIMORE 12 Jacksonville
The Ravens are in the playoffs with a win, and I certaintly don't see any problems here. The Jags are a mess and can't wait for their season to end. Their might be some house cleaning done in the offseason there. The Ravens defense will keep them in every game, but it might depend on Jon Flacco to see how far they get. They could be a tough out in the playoffs.
Ravens 28-10


Tennessee 3 INDIANAPOLIS
As it turns out, this is a totally meaningless game. The Titans clinched home field, and the Colts are already in the playoffs. I expect many starters to be rested. I think though that the Colts will want to keep the gas on. They are a hot team heading into the postseason, and they might just get hotter.
Colts 27-24


PITTSBURGH 10 1/2 Cleveland
Another useless game, unless we tune in to see if the Browns can actually score a point on offense. They might have a hrd time against the Pittsburgh defense. The Steelers will likely rest a bit, but I don't see a problem getting the victory here. It could get messy in Cleveland in the offseason.
Steelers 23-3


NEW YORK JETS 2 1/2 Miami
A huge game in the AFC, and the Jets are probably playing their worst football of the year at the worst time. The Dolphins are flying high, an amazing season considering their 1-15 campaign a year ago. Their season isn't going to end here. I don't see Miami losing considering the way the Jets are playing right now. Brett Favre needs to retire. Please.
Dolphins 23-20


New England 6 1/2 BUFFALO
The Patriots beat up on another lousy team last week, and their efforts still aren't going to be good enough. They need to win and have Baltimore or Miami lose, neither of which is going to happen. A good season for New England considering the injuries, but it isn't going to be enough this year. Time to look for a defense in the offseason.
Patriots 27-20


ARIZONA 6 Seattle
The Cardinals have been awful lately. May be they are just resting for the playoffs. If they didn't play in a bad division, they might not have five victories. The Seahawks want to give Mike Holmgren a nice going away present by winning, but I can't see the Cardinals playing this badly again heading into the playoffs. They aren't going to go anywhere anyway once they get there.
Cardinals 33-24


SAN FRANCISCO 3 Washington
One of the few games this week with no playoffs on the line. May be this will make my pick meaningless too. Most of the other ones usually are. I'll take the Redskins. They are the better team.
Redskins 30-21


Game of the Week

SAN DIEGO 8 Denver
There were a lot of games to pick from, and I really don't know why I picked this one. I guess because the Chargers have come out of nowhere to be in the playoff hunt, even though they really have no right to be. All they need to do is win here, and I certaintly can't trust the Broncos. I can't trust Norv Turner either, but for this one game I'll give him the edge. The Chargers have all the momentum.
Chargers 33-23


Stinker of the Week

CINCINNATI 3 Kansas City
Definitely the best choice here, as neither team has been very inspiring. The Chiefs continue to play hard, while the Bengals just keep playing. I'll take Kansas City here based on their efforts in previous games.
Chiefs 20-17

Record For Week 16: 4-12 (6-10 without the spread )
Record Through Week 16: 108-123-4 (148-92 without the spread)
Game of Week Record: 6-10
Stinker of Week Record: 5-11

Jim Poore has been a long time contributor to Patriots Insider with his weekly picks column. Let him know what you think. Email him here:

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This Christmas week brings us some very important games in the NFL for week 17. There are still lots of teams vying for the post season, and the NFC picture is really a mess. For the most part, teams just need to win. There are some teams that need to win and get help from elsewhere. I know one thing that needed help was my picks for last week. I went an awful 4-12 against the spread, and I wasn't much better straight up. Hopefully I perform better this week. Maybe I need help though like some of the teams this week. I also want to wish everybody a safe and happy holiday season. Lets get on with the all-important picks for week number 17.

As always, home team in CAPS.

TAMPA BAY 13 1/2 Oakland
Huge game for the Bucs, who absolutely needs to win and hope that Dallas loses. They are on a losing streak right now, and a win would give them some momentum for a possible playoff game. I don't think it is going to be enough in the end though. They will win here but they won't get the help they need.
Buccaneers 31-10


GREEN BAY 9 1/2 Detroit
This might actually be a decent game considering both teams are going nowhere. The Lions obviously want to win to avoid going winless, and the Packers do not want to be the team that allows them to win. I think Green Bay will win, but I'll take the Lions to cover. Why not.
Packers 26-21


PHILADELPHIA 1 1/2 Dallas
Another big game, and a Dallas win means they are in the playoffs without needing any help. The Eagles need to win and get a lot of help. Their lousy performance last week pretty much signaled the end of their season. My heart is telling me to pick Philadelphia here. But I will go with my gut instead, which is the smarter move. I have to take the Cowboys here, even though they will lose in the first round of the playoffs.
Cowboys 24-23


MINNESOTA 6 1/2 New York Giants
The big spread here is because the Giants are expected to rest many of the starters. However, they do want to go into the postseason on a winning note. The Vikings must win, and get some help. Winning the division is up for grabs, and playing at home I think they will get it. I don't expect a very far run in the playoffs though.
Vikings 30-20


HOUSTON 3 Chicago
With the exception of last week's lousy performance, the Texans have played pretty well this year. So has Chicago, but I am not sure if they have enough for the post season. The absolutely need to win here, and I don't think they can do it. Houston will make a serious run for the playoffs next year. They want to finish strong.
Texans 27-21


Carolina 3 NEW ORLEANS
The Panthers are in the playoffs as the second seed, and might not be up for this game. New Orleans is out of the playoffs despite MVP like numbers from Drew Brees. The Saints were definitely a disappointment. The Panthers were not, and they could go very far in the playoffs this year. Even though I am not sure if the panthers are going to be up for this game, I am going to take them anyway. Nothing like having a little momentum heading into the playoffs.
Panthers 29-24


ATLANTA 14 1/2 St. Louis
The Falcons are in the playoffs, and hats off to the coaching staff and players for turning around what was turning into a bad situation in Atlanta. It is a bad situation in St. Louis, as their season has been a borderline disaster. I know the Falcons want to keep on a roll, and even though the points are high I have to take them here.
Falcons 37-13


BALTIMORE 12 Jacksonville
The Ravens are in the playoffs with a win, and I certaintly don't see any problems here. The Jags are a mess and can't wait for their season to end. Their might be some house cleaning done in the offseason there. The Ravens defense will keep them in every game, but it might depend on Jon Flacco to see how far they get. They could be a tough out in the playoffs.
Ravens 28-10


Tennessee 3 INDIANAPOLIS
As it turns out, this is a totally meaningless game. The Titans clinched home field, and the Colts are already in the playoffs. I expect many starters to be rested. I think though that the Colts will want to keep the gas on. They are a hot team heading into the postseason, and they might just get hotter.
Colts 27-24


PITTSBURGH 10 1/2 Cleveland
Another useless game, unless we tune in to see if the Browns can actually score a point on offense. They might have a hrd time against the Pittsburgh defense. The Steelers will likely rest a bit, but I don't see a problem getting the victory here. It could get messy in Cleveland in the offseason.
Steelers 23-3


NEW YORK JETS 2 1/2 Miami
A huge game in the AFC, and the Jets are probably playing their worst football of the year at the worst time. The Dolphins are flying high, an amazing season considering their 1-15 campaign a year ago. Their season isn't going to end here. I don't see Miami losing considering the way the Jets are playing right now. Brett Favre needs to retire. Please.
Dolphins 23-20


New England 6 1/2 BUFFALO
The Patriots beat up on another lousy team last week, and their efforts still aren't going to be good enough. They need to win and have Baltimore or Miami lose, neither of which is going to happen. A good season for New England considering the injuries, but it isn't going to be enough this year. Time to look for a defense in the offseason.
Patriots 27-20


ARIZONA 6 Seattle
The Cardinals have been awful lately. May be they are just resting for the playoffs. If they didn't play in a bad division, they might not have five victories. The Seahawks want to give Mike Holmgren a nice going away present by winning, but I can't see the Cardinals playing this badly again heading into the playoffs. They aren't going to go anywhere anyway once they get there.
Cardinals 33-24


SAN FRANCISCO 3 Washington
One of the few games this week with no playoffs on the line. May be this will make my pick meaningless too. Most of the other ones usually are. I'll take the Redskins. They are the better team.
Redskins 30-21


Game of the Week

SAN DIEGO 8 Denver
There were a lot of games to pick from, and I really don't know why I picked this one. I guess because the Chargers have come out of nowhere to be in the playoff hunt, even though they really have no right to be. All they need to do is win here, and I certaintly can't trust the Broncos. I can't trust Norv Turner either, but for this one game I'll give him the edge. The Chargers have all the momentum.
Chargers 33-23


Stinker of the Week

CINCINNATI 3 Kansas City
Definitely the best choice here, as neither team has been very inspiring. The Chiefs continue to play hard, while the Bengals just keep playing. I'll take Kansas City here based on their efforts in previous games.
Chiefs 20-17

Record For Week 16: 4-12 (6-10 without the spread )
Record Through Week 16: 108-123-4 (148-92 without the spread)
Game of Week Record: 6-10
Stinker of Week Record: 5-11

Jim Poore has been a long time contributor to Patriots Insider with his weekly picks column. Let him know what you think. Email him here:

Share your own picks\r\n

MORE:
Patriots News
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Hot Topic: Is Cassel worth a 1st rounder?

INSIDERS AREA:
Rumor Mill (Something up behind the scenes?)
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