Fantasy football: Morris is 'Mr. Consistency'

Many opinions on Redskins running back Alfred Morris' fantasy football value this season. Forrest Cobble shares his for Breaking Burgundy.

Despite three straight 1,000 yard seasons, not everyone loves Redskins running back Alfred Morris in fantasy football this season. Breaking Burgundy publisher Ben Standig is among them. Forrest Cobble is not...

If there is one key to winning in fantasy football, it’s consistency. Teams that own players who can put up 10-15 points per game will, in the end, almost always come out ahead of the teams with high risk, high reward options. Especially at running back, a position at which injuries are the most frequent and competition for playing time is the most unpredictable, consistency and reliability are crucial. Alfred Morris is the staple of consistency.

As the regular season draws near, and the number of drafts each day increases, Alfred Morris is falling in draft boards, and being passed on for inexperienced, risky backs. Mark Ingram and Lamar Miller come to mind. The promise of a high upside has a certain allure which has drawn fantasy enthusiasts to make poor choices when it comes to choosing a second RB in the third or fourth round. On platforms such as Yahoo! Fantasy, Morris’ draft stock has fallen to on average the 46th pick.

Don’t let an untapped potential capture your attention over a proven player, Morris offers the best value of any running back in the “non-elite” group.

Ever since dousing the hopes of Evan Royster, Alf has been the most trustworthy second tier running back in football. For the last three years, Morris has played every single game of the season, and has tallied at least 1,000 yards and seven touchdowns in each campaign.

Granted, the numbers aren’t eye popping, but the safe of mind that Morris can provide for an owner week in and week out makes him an absolute must-draft in any standard leagues with a third pick or later.

Though Morris has steadily declined in most statistical categories since the start of his career, the factors that have contributed to the trend are largely outside of his control. Sloppy defense, inconsistent quarterbacking, and less that stellar O-line play have, in the last two seasons, taken the place of the dynamic offensive machine that Morris and Robert Griffin III were able to lead as rookies in the NFL.

At 26 years-old, Alf in his physical prime. While it may be a longshot for any of the Skins QBs, to play as well as Griffin did in 2012, the addition of the fifth overall pick, Brandon Scherff, along with the heightened play of the right tackle, Morgan Moses, have Morris’ prospects looking good in a new power-scheme under Bill Callahan. Is there any way that Morris reproduces what he did three years ago? Unlikely. But the ceiling is looking higher, and with reliability that is indeed a scarcity in the NFL, Alfred Morris is an outstanding target in fantasy football drafts.

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