Drill Down: Gibbs' Game Plan

Drill Down 12.05.05--Was Joe Gibbs' play calling against the Rams sensibly conservative or downright Neanderthal? Here, we break down the play calls so that you can decide.

Even with a much-needed win, there is still grumbling among the Redskins faithful about the nature of Joe Gibbs' play calling (and make no mistake, Gibbs has the final say on what play is called despite the fact that some offensive assistants are piping plays into his headset). It's the old "Portis left, Portis right, pass, punt, fight, fight, fight" refrain, according to those who are doing the complaining. 

Is this true? How often are runs being called on first down? What are the results? Here are the Redskins' plays from Sunday's game broken out by down and by quarter:

First Down

First Quarter
1-10-WAS31 (14:55) C.Portis right guard to WAS 39 for 8 yards (T.Faulk, Jerome.Carter).
1-10-WAS43 (13:39) M.Brunell pass incomplete to T.Jacobs (D.Coakley).
1-10-STL48 (11:15) C.Portis up the middle to SL 47 for 1 yard (L.Little).
1-10-WAS24 (7:13) C.Portis up the middle to WAS 25 for 1 yard (C.Claiborne).
1-10-WAS33 (4:06) C.Portis right tackle to WAS 35 for 2 yards (C.Claiborne).
1-10-STL49 (2:24) M.Brunell pass to S.Moss to SL 36 for 13 yards (B.Chillar).
1-10-STL36 (1:49) C.Portis right end pushed ob at SL 28 for 8 yards (R.Bartell).
Second Quarter
1-10-WAS36 (13:35) C.Portis right tackle to WAS 40 for 4 yards (R.Pickett, M.Furrey).
1-10-WAS17 (6:59) C.Portis left tackle to WAS 18 for 1 yard (D.Lewis).
1-10-WAS33 (5:53) C.Portis left end pushed ob at WAS 31 for -2 yards (C.Claiborne).
1-6-STL6 (4:04) C.Portis left end to SL 5 for 1 yard (R.Pickett, D.Lewis).
1-10-WAS12 (1:33) C.Portis right end to WAS 18 for 6 yards (R.Pickett).
1-10-WAS46 (:44) (Shotgun) M.Brunell pass to T.Jacobs to WAS 45 for -1 yards (R.Bartell, T.Jackson).
Third Quarter
1-10-WAS10 (12:48) C.Portis up the middle to WAS 22 for 12 yards (Jerome.Carter).
1-10-WAS22 (12:11) C.Portis up the middle to WAS 31 for 9 yards (L.Little).
1-10-WAS33 (9:50) C.Portis up the middle to WAS 35 for 2 yards (C.Claiborne).
1-10-WAS43 (8:29) M.Brunell pass to C.Cooley to SL 38 for 19 yards (Jerome.Carter).
1-10-STL38 (7:57) M.Brunell pass to R.Royal to SL 40 for -2 yards (B.Chillar).
1-10-WAS31 (2:03) M.Brunell pass to R.Royal to SL 40 for 29 yards (M.Furrey).
1-10-STL40 (1:25) C.Portis right tackle to SL 39 for 1 yard (L.Little).
Fourth Quarter
1-9-STL9 (15:00) M.Brunell pass to C.Cooley pushed ob at SL 2 for 7 yards (B.Chillar).
1-10-WAS6 (11:59) M.Brunell sacked at WAS 1 for -5 yards. FUMBLES, ball out of bounds in End Zone, SAFETY. Penalty on WAS-M.Brunell, Illegal Bat, declined.
1-10-STL45 (11:10) C.Portis left guard to SL 36 for 9 yards (R.Bartell).
1-10-STL33 (9:17) C.Portis up the middle to SL 26 for 7 yards (A.Hargrove).
1-10-STL21 (7:49) R.Cartwright left end pushed ob at SL 8 for 13 yards (M.Furrey).
1-8-STL8 (7:17) R.Cartwright left tackle to SL 5 for 3 yards (R.Pickett).
1-10-WAS8 (2:47) R.Cartwright left guard to WAS 16 for 8 yards (R.Bartell).
1-10-WAS24 (1:17) N.Broughton right guard to WAS 27 for 3 yards (L.Little).

Summary: 28 plays for 158 yards (5.6 yard average), 8 passes for 61 yards (7.6 yard average), 20 runs for 97 yards (4.8 yard average). Five first downs gained, 3 passing, 2 running. (Note: The Brunell fumble that resulted in a safety for the Rams is being counted as a passing play here as it is clear that a pass was called.)

Analysis: The play selection here was 71% running plays. This certainly is conservative but not extremely so; most NFL coaches would like to have an running game effective enough during the course of the game to be able to call runs on first down over 70% of the time. And you can't say that the running game here was not effective. On average the Redskins faced second and five after each first-down run. 

Second Down

First Quarter
2-2-WAS39 (14:18) C.Portis left tackle to WAS 43 for 4 yards (D.Lewis).
2-10-WAS43 (13:34) C.Portis right tackle to SL 49 for 8 yards (B.Chillar).
2-9-STL47 (10:38) C.Portis right end for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2-9-WAS25 (6:39) M.Brunell pass incomplete to T.Jacobs.WAS-C.Portis was injured during the play.
2-8-WAS35 (3:34) C.Portis right tackle to WAS 34 for -1 yards (R.Pickett).
2-2-STL28 (1:16) C.Portis left end to SL 27 for 1 yard (C.Claiborne).SL-D.Coakley was injured during the play.
Second Quarter
2-9-WAS18 (6:19) M.Brunell pass to S.Moss pushed ob at WAS 33 for 15 yards (M.Furrey).
2-12-WAS31 (5:26) M.Brunell pass to C.Cooley to WAS 42 for 11 yards (Jerome.Carter).
2-5-STL5 (3:27) M.Brunell pass incomplete to S.Moss.
2-4-WAS18 (:54) R.Cartwright right guard to WAS 46 for 28 yards (M.Furrey).
Third Quarter
2-1-WAS31 (11:29) C.Portis right tackle to WAS 31 for no gain (D.Lewis).
2-8-WAS35 (9:16) M.Brunell pass to R.Royal to WAS 43 for 8 yards (B.Chillar, R.Bartell).
2-12-STL40 (7:19) (Shotgun) M.Brunell pass to R.Royal to SL 35 for 5 yards (P.Tinoisamoa).
2-9-STL39 (:43) C.Portis pass incomplete to T.Jacobs.
Fourth Quarter
2-2-STL2 (14:35) C.Portis right tackle to SL 1 for 1 yard (L.Little).
2-1-STL36 (10:35) C.Portis up the middle to SL 36 for no gain (L.Little).
2-3-STL26 (8:31) R.Cartwright up the middle to SL 21 for 5 yards (A.Hargrove).
2-5-STL5 (6:35) R.Cartwright right guard to SL 4 for 1 yard (P.Tinoisamoa).
2-2-WAS16 (2:11) R.Cartwright up the middle to WAS 17 for 1 yard (C.Claiborne).
2-7-WAS27 (1:17) M.Brunell kneels to WAS 26 for -1 yards (D.Lewis).

Summary: 20 plays, 7 passes for 39 yards (5.6 yard average), 13 runs for 96 yards (7.4 yard average), 6 first downs gained, 3 passing, 3 rushing, 1 touchdown scored rushing. Average yards to go for first down, 5.9.

Analysis: Given their average gain of almost four yards on first down, passing on 35% of the second-down snaps might be a shade higher than a lot of other coaches would go. The fact that Gibbs called passes on nearly a third of the first- and second-down plays indicates that those who think that he always calls runs on those downs are utilizing selective memories.

Third Down

First Quarter
3-2-STL49 (13:00) (Shotgun) M.Brunell pass incomplete to S.Moss (C.Ivy).
3-9-WAS25 (6:29) (Shotgun) M.Brunell pass incomplete to S.Moss (C.Ivy).
3-9-WAS34 (2:57) (Shotgun) M.Brunell pass to C.Cooley to SL 49 for 17 yards (R.Bartell).
3-1-STL27 (:49) M.Brunell up the middle to SL 27 for no gain (P.Tinoisamoa, C.Claiborne).
Second Quarter
3-1-WAS42 (4:56) R.Cartwright right tackle to SL 6 for 52 yards (R.Bartell).
3-5-STL5 (3:22) M.Brunell pass incomplete to S.Moss (D.Groce).
PENALTY on WAS-S.Moss, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced at SL 5.
Third Quarter
3-1-WAS31 (10:45) C.Portis right guard to WAS 33 for 2 yards (Jerome.Carter, D.Lewis).
3-7-STL35 (6:32) (Shotgun) M.Brunell pass to S.Moss pushed ob at SL 24 for 11 yards (C.Ivy).
PENALTY on WAS-C.Samuels, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at SL 35 - No Play.
3-17-STL45 (6:08) (Shotgun) M.Brunell up the middle to SL 44 for 1 yard (L.Little).
3-9-STL39 (:35) (Shotgun) M.Brunell pass to S.Moss to SL 9 for 30 yards (Jerome.Carter).
Fourth Quarter
3-1-STL1 (13:49) C.Portis up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
3-1-STL36 (10:00) C.Portis right tackle to SL 33 for 3 yards (A.Hargrove).
3-4-STL4 (5:54) M.Brunell pass to C.Cooley for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3-1-WAS17 (2:00) R.Cartwright left tackle to WAS 24 for 7 yards (Jerome.Carter).

Summary: 14 plays for 142 yards (10.1 yard average), 8 passes for 71 yards (8.9 yard average), 6 runs for 71 yards (11.8 yard average), 7 first downs (3 passing, 4 running) 2 touchdowns (1 passing, 1 rushing). Average yards to go for first down, 4.8. (Note: The Brunell run on third and 17 in third quarter is counted as a passing play as that was a pass play call.)

Analysis: An average of 4.8 yards to go on third generally leads to a pretty good conversion percentage whether  you're running or passing. Since the TD's count as conversions, the Redskins were 8 of 14 on third down for a solid 57%.

Summary on all downs: 63 plays for 407 yards (6.5 yard average), 24 passing plays for 151 yards (6.5 average), 40 running plays for 257 yards (6.4 average).

One important element of the offense here that this analysis does not address is the lack of attempts to throw the ball deep. The only pass that Brunell threw that could be considered a deep pattern was the 30-yard completion to Moss that set up the Redskins' second touchdown. That 29-yard completion to Robert Royal was a short pattern that the tight end turned into a big play with a nice run after the catch. There was a pass where the ball traveled some 45 yards in the air, but it was thrown by Portis on a halfback option pass.

Going into Sunday's game against a weak defense, Gibbs had a choice. He could try to pull out all the stops, knowing that at least a couple of of plays would work and that the risk of a turnover was acceptable given that they were playing against a rookie quarterback. Or he could do what he did, play it close to the vest and let the physical advantage that his team had take over as the game wore on.

This game plan worked against the Rams and it should work against the Cardinals, who give up an average of 4.4 yards per rush attempt, next Sunday. It's not likely to work against the Cowboys or Giants, the Redskins' two opponents after their trip to Arizona. By then, Gibbs will have to be confident enough to open it up a bit. We will see.


Breaking Burgundy Top Stories

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Even with a much-needed win, there is still grumbling among the Redskins faithful about the nature of Joe Gibbs' play calling (and make no mistake, Gibbs has the final say on what play is called despite the fact that some offensive assistants are piping plays into his headset). It's the old "Portis left, Portis right, pass, punt, fight, fight, fight" refrain, according to those who are doing the complaining. 

Is this true? How often are runs being called on first down? What are the results? Here are the Redskins' plays from Sunday's game broken out by down and by quarter:

\r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n
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First Down

\r\n
First Quarter
1-10-WAS31\t(14:55) C.Portis right guard to WAS 39 for 8 yards\r\n (T.Faulk, Jerome.Carter).
1-10-WAS43\t(13:39) M.Brunell pass incomplete to T.Jacobs (D.Coakley).
1-10-STL48\t(11:15) C.Portis up the middle to SL 47 for 1 yard\r\n (L.Little).
1-10-WAS24\t(7:13) C.Portis up the middle to WAS 25 for 1 yard\r\n (C.Claiborne).
1-10-WAS33\t(4:06) C.Portis right tackle to WAS 35 for 2 yards\r\n (C.Claiborne).
\r\n1-10-STL49\t(2:24) M.Brunell pass to S.Moss to SL 36 for 13 yards (B.Chillar).
\r\n1-10-STL36\t(1:49) C.Portis right end pushed ob at SL 28 for 8 yards (R.Bartell).
Second Quarter
\r\n1-10-WAS36\t(13:35) C.Portis right tackle to WAS 40 for 4 yards (R.Pickett,\r\n M.Furrey).
\r\n1-10-WAS17\t(6:59) C.Portis left tackle to WAS 18 for 1 yard (D.Lewis).
\r\n1-10-WAS33\t(5:53) C.Portis left end pushed ob at WAS 31 for -2 yards (C.Claiborne).
\r\n1-6-STL6\t(4:04) C.Portis left end to SL 5 for 1 yard (R.Pickett, D.Lewis).
\r\n1-10-WAS12\t(1:33) C.Portis right end to WAS 18 for 6 yards (R.Pickett).
\r\n1-10-WAS46\t(:44) (Shotgun) M.Brunell pass to T.Jacobs to WAS 45 for -1 yards (R.Bartell,\r\n T.Jackson).
Third Quarter
\r\n1-10-WAS10\t(12:48) C.Portis up the middle to WAS 22 for 12 yards (Jerome.Carter).
\r\n1-10-WAS22\t(12:11) C.Portis up the middle to WAS 31 for 9 yards (L.Little).
\r\n1-10-WAS33\t(9:50) C.Portis up the middle to WAS 35 for 2 yards (C.Claiborne).
\r\n1-10-WAS43\t(8:29) M.Brunell pass to C.Cooley to SL 38 for 19 yards (Jerome.Carter).
\r\n1-10-STL38\t(7:57) M.Brunell pass to R.Royal to SL 40 for -2 yards (B.Chillar).
\r\n1-10-WAS31\t(2:03) M.Brunell pass to R.Royal to SL 40 for 29 yards (M.Furrey).
\r\n1-10-STL40\t(1:25) C.Portis right tackle to SL 39 for 1 yard (L.Little).
Fourth Quarter
\r\n1-9-STL9\t(15:00) M.Brunell pass to C.Cooley pushed ob at SL 2 for 7 yards (B.Chillar).
\r\n1-10-WAS6\t(11:59) M.Brunell sacked at WAS 1 for -5 yards. FUMBLES, ball out of bounds in End Zone, SAFETY. Penalty on WAS-M.Brunell, Illegal Bat, declined.
\r\n1-10-STL45\t(11:10) C.Portis left guard to SL 36 for 9 yards (R.Bartell).
\r\n1-10-STL33\t(9:17) C.Portis up the middle to SL 26 for 7 yards (A.Hargrove).
\r\n1-10-STL21\t(7:49) R.Cartwright left end pushed ob at SL 8 for 13 yards (M.Furrey).
\r\n1-8-STL8\t(7:17) R.Cartwright left tackle to SL 5 for 3 yards (R.Pickett).
\r\n1-10-WAS8\t(2:47) R.Cartwright left guard to WAS 16 for 8 yards (R.Bartell).
\r\n1-10-WAS24\t(1:17) N.Broughton right guard to WAS 27 for 3 yards (L.Little).

Summary: 28 plays for 158 yards (5.6 yard average), 8 passes for 61 yards (7.6 yard average), 20 runs for 97 yards (4.8 yard average). Five first downs gained, 3 passing, 2 running. (Note: The Brunell fumble that resulted in a safety for the Rams is being counted as a passing play here as it is clear that a pass was called.)

Analysis: The play selection here was 71% running plays. This certainly is conservative but not extremely so; most NFL coaches would like to have an running game effective enough during the course of the game to be able to call runs on first down over 70% of the time. And you can't say that the running game here was not effective. On average the Redskins faced second and five after each first-down run. 

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Second Down

\r\n
First Quarter
\r\n2-2-WAS39\t(14:18) C.Portis left tackle to WAS 43 for 4 yards (D.Lewis).
\r\n2-10-WAS43\t(13:34) C.Portis right tackle to SL 49 for 8 yards (B.Chillar).
\r\n2-9-STL47\t(10:38) C.Portis right end for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
\r\n2-9-WAS25\t(6:39) M.Brunell pass incomplete to T.Jacobs.WAS-C.Portis was injured during the play.
\r\n2-8-WAS35\t(3:34) C.Portis right tackle to WAS 34 for -1 yards (R.Pickett).
\r\n2-2-STL28\t(1:16) C.Portis left end to SL 27 for 1 yard (C.Claiborne).SL-D.Coakley was injured during the play.
Second Quarter
\r\n2-9-WAS18\t(6:19) M.Brunell pass to S.Moss pushed ob at WAS 33 for 15 yards (M.Furrey).
\r\n2-12-WAS31\t(5:26) M.Brunell pass to C.Cooley to WAS 42 for 11 yards (Jerome.Carter).
\r\n2-5-STL5\t(3:27) M.Brunell pass incomplete to S.Moss.
\r\n2-4-WAS18\t(:54) R.Cartwright right guard to WAS 46 for 28 yards (M.Furrey).
Third Quarter
\r\n2-1-WAS31\t(11:29) C.Portis right tackle to WAS 31 for no gain (D.Lewis).
\r\n2-8-WAS35\t(9:16) M.Brunell pass to R.Royal to WAS 43 for 8 yards (B.Chillar,\r\n R.Bartell).
\r\n2-12-STL40\t(7:19) (Shotgun) M.Brunell pass to R.Royal to SL 35 for 5 yards (P.Tinoisamoa).
\r\n2-9-STL39\t(:43) C.Portis pass incomplete to T.Jacobs.
Fourth Quarter
\r\n2-2-STL2\t(14:35) C.Portis right tackle to SL 1 for 1 yard (L.Little).
\r\n2-1-STL36\t(10:35) C.Portis up the middle to SL 36 for no gain (L.Little).
\r\n2-3-STL26\t(8:31) R.Cartwright up the middle to SL 21 for 5 yards (A.Hargrove).
\r\n2-5-STL5\t(6:35) R.Cartwright right guard to SL 4 for 1 yard (P.Tinoisamoa).
\r\n2-2-WAS16\t(2:11) R.Cartwright up the middle to WAS 17 for 1 yard (C.Claiborne).
\r\n2-7-WAS27\t(1:17) M.Brunell kneels to WAS 26 for -1 yards (D.Lewis).

Summary: 20 plays, 7 passes for 39 yards (5.6 yard average), 13 runs for 96 yards (7.4 yard average), 6 first downs gained, 3 passing, 3 rushing, 1 touchdown scored rushing. Average yards to go for first down, 5.9.

Analysis: Given their average gain of almost four yards on first down, passing on 35% of the second-down snaps might be a shade higher than a lot of other coaches would go. The fact that Gibbs called passes on nearly a third of the first- and second-down plays indicates that those who think that he always calls runs on those downs are utilizing selective memories.

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Third Down

First Quarter
\r\n3-2-STL49\t(13:00) (Shotgun) M.Brunell pass incomplete to S.Moss (C.Ivy).
\r\n3-9-WAS25\t(6:29) (Shotgun) M.Brunell pass incomplete to S.Moss (C.Ivy).
\r\n3-9-WAS34\t(2:57) (Shotgun) M.Brunell pass to C.Cooley to SL 49 for 17 yards (R.Bartell).
\r\n3-1-STL27\t(:49) M.Brunell up the middle to SL 27 for no gain (P.Tinoisamoa,\r\n C.Claiborne).
\r\nSecond Quarter
\r\n3-1-WAS42\t(4:56) R.Cartwright right tackle to SL 6 for 52 yards (R.Bartell).
\r\n3-5-STL5\t(3:22) M.Brunell pass incomplete to S.Moss (D.Groce).
\r\nPENALTY on WAS-S.Moss, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced at SL 5.
Third Quarter
\r\n3-1-WAS31\t(10:45) C.Portis right guard to WAS 33 for 2 yards (Jerome.Carter,\r\n D.Lewis).
3-7-STL35 (6:32) (Shotgun) M.Brunell pass to S.Moss pushed\r\n ob at SL 24 for 11 yards (C.Ivy).
\r\nPENALTY on WAS-C.Samuels, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at SL 35 - No Play.
\r\n3-17-STL45\t(6:08) (Shotgun) M.Brunell up the middle to SL 44 for 1 yard (L.Little).
\r\n3-9-STL39\t(:35) (Shotgun) M.Brunell pass to S.Moss to SL 9 for 30 yards (Jerome.Carter).
Fourth Quarter
\r\n3-1-STL1\t(13:49) C.Portis up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
\r\n3-1-STL36\t(10:00) C.Portis right tackle to SL 33 for 3 yards (A.Hargrove).
\r\n3-4-STL4\t(5:54) M.Brunell pass to C.Cooley for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
\r\n3-1-WAS17\t(2:00) R.Cartwright left tackle to WAS 24 for 7 yards (Jerome.Carter).

Summary: 14 plays for 142 yards (10.1 yard average), 8 passes for 71 yards (8.9 yard average), 6 runs for 71 yards (11.8 yard average), 7 first downs (3 passing, 4 running) 2 touchdowns (1 passing, 1 rushing). Average yards to go for first down, 4.8. (Note: The Brunell run on third and 17 in third quarter is counted as a passing play as that was a pass play call.)

Analysis: An average of 4.8 yards to go on third generally leads to a pretty good conversion percentage whether  you're running or passing. Since the TD's count as conversions, the Redskins were 8 of 14 on third down for a solid 57%.

Summary on all downs: 63 plays for 407 yards (6.5 yard average), 24 passing plays for 151 yards (6.5 average), 40 running plays for 257 yards (6.4 average).

One important element of the offense here that this analysis does not address is the lack of attempts to throw the ball deep. The only pass that Brunell threw that could be considered a deep pattern was the 30-yard completion to Moss that set up the Redskins' second touchdown. That 29-yard completion to Robert Royal was a short pattern that the tight end turned into a big play with a nice run after the catch. There was a pass where the ball traveled some 45 yards in the air, but it was thrown by Portis on a halfback option pass.

Going into Sunday's game against a weak defense, Gibbs had a choice. He could try to pull out all the stops, knowing that at least a couple of of plays would work and that the risk of a turnover was acceptable given that they were playing against a rookie quarterback. Or he could do what he did, play it close to the vest and let the physical advantage that his team had take over as the game wore on.

This game plan worked against the Rams and it should work against the Cardinals, who give up an average of 4.4 yards per rush attempt, next Sunday. It's not likely to work against the Cowboys or Giants, the Redskins' two opponents after their trip to Arizona. By then, Gibbs will have to be confident enough to open it up a bit. We will see.

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