The Road Ahead

Tandler's Redskins Blog Ver. 01.02.06--After surviving a scare against the Eagles, the Redskins will have to put together a road trifecta if they're going to advance to the Super Bowl.

You can reach Rich Tandler by email at WarpathInsiders@comcast.net

Moment of Danger

For a moment, with 1:21 left in the third quarter and the Eagles leading 20-17, the Redskins' playoff life passed before their collective eyes.

On a third and eight play from the Eagles' 32, Mike McMahon dropped back to pass as the Redskins blitzed. The Eagles picked it up as receiver Billy McMullen was getting behind Sean Taylor and everyone else wearing white. All day long when McMahon was able to step up in the pocket and throw in the middle part of the field, he had been putting the ball on the money. On this play the stepped up in the pocket and put the ball—way over McMullen's head. All the receiver could to is take a hopeless flail at it and instead of scoring a sure touchdown the Eagles had to punt.

The Washington offense was struggling mightily at the time and would do so again following the punt. If the Eagles were in possession of a 27-17 lead, there is no way that Andy Reid would have had McMahon passing the ball on third and 15 from his own 20. That means, of course, that Lemar Marshall doesn't get his hand on the ball and do a one-man tip drill to himself. Clinton Portis doesn't do his spin move and dash 22 yards for a score and the Redskins are left being Rams fans for a night.

But what happened happened and the Redskins were good enough to take advantage of it and pull out the win.

The road ahead

The question has been asked around here a few times and here it is again, with real meaning since they've taken the first step by making the playoffs:

Why not the Redskins?

There are some simple facts out there that make a good case for the Redskins having a decent shot at advancing deep into the playoffs. One is that the Redskins have had by far—by far—the toughest road into the playoff of any NFC team. Washington played the third-toughest schedule in the NFL. No other NFC playoff team played a schedule that was ranked any higher then 20th.

Playing tough games is one thing; winning them is another. The opponents that the Redskins beat won about 55% of their games. No other NFC playoff team beat teams with a cumulative record as high as .500. In other words, the average game the Redskins won came against a 9-7 team while the typical Bucs win came against a 7-9 outfit.

On top of all that, they've beaten some of the teams that will be in their path over the course of the month of January. They have beaten the top two seeds, the Bears and Seahawks and the fourth-seeded Giants. They coulda/shoulda/did beat Saturday's opponent, the third-seeded Bucs, a game they lost on a late, very controversial call on two-point conversion attempt.

It's not hard to envision the Redskins beating Tampa Bay since, again, they nearly did so in Week 10. That would earn them a trip to Seattle, the team they beat way back in Week 4 to move to 3-0. Should the get by that one, it's likely that a trip to Solider Field to meet the Bears, Washington's Week 1 victim, would come next.

Looking at each of the individual opponents, no game looks unwinnable for the Redskins. They have a strong defense and a strong running game and, oh by the way, a coach with a trio of Lombardi trophies. That doesn't mean, however, that the Redskins have a smooth, wide road to Detroit ahead of them.

In fact, the main problem is that it's literally the road to the Super Bowl for the Redskins. As the #6 seed, they can't possibly have a home playoff game no matter who upsets who. Washington was 4-4 on the road this year, losing close ones in Kansas City, Tampa Bay, and Denver and getting slammed 36-0 in New York. The only team they beat on the road that finished the season with a winning record was Dallas.

Winning three straight in hostile territory is a very daunting task; winning one game on the road is not. That's the approach the Redskins will take. They can't win three straight in one week, so they'll focus on the task at hand, beating Tampa Bay. Do that, advance, and then you just have to win two in a row. That's still very tough, but a little further from impossible.


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You can reach Rich Tandler by email at WarpathInsiders@comcast.net

Moment of Danger

For a moment, with 1:21 left in the third quarter and the Eagles leading 20-17, the Redskins' playoff life passed before their collective eyes.

On a third and eight play from the Eagles' 32, Mike McMahon dropped back to pass as the Redskins blitzed. The Eagles picked it up as receiver Billy McMullen was getting behind Sean Taylor and everyone else wearing white. All day long when McMahon was able to step up in the pocket and throw in the middle part of the field, he had been putting the ball on the money. On this play the stepped up in the pocket and put the ball—way over McMullen's head. All the receiver could to is take a hopeless flail at it and instead of scoring a sure touchdown the Eagles had to punt.

The Washington offense was struggling mightily at the time and would do so again following the punt. If the Eagles were in possession of a 27-17 lead, there is no way that Andy Reid would have had McMahon passing the ball on third and 15 from his own 20. That means, of course, that Lemar Marshall doesn't get his hand on the ball and do a one-man tip drill to himself. Clinton Portis doesn't do his spin move and dash 22 yards for a score and the Redskins are left being Rams fans for a night.

But what happened happened and the Redskins were good enough to take advantage of it and pull out the win.

The road ahead

The question has been asked around here a few times and here it is again, with real meaning since they've taken the first step by making the playoffs:

Why not the Redskins?

There are some simple facts out there that make a good case for the Redskins having a decent shot at advancing deep into the playoffs. One is that the Redskins have had by far—by far—the toughest road into the playoff of any NFC team. Washington played the third-toughest schedule in the NFL. No other NFC playoff team played a schedule that was ranked any higher then 20th.

Playing tough games is one thing; winning them is another. The opponents that the Redskins beat won about 55% of their games. No other NFC playoff team beat teams with a cumulative record as high as .500. In other words, the average game the Redskins won came against a 9-7 team while the typical Bucs win came against a 7-9 outfit.

On top of all that, they've beaten some of the teams that will be in their path over the course of the month of January. They have beaten the top two seeds, the Bears and Seahawks and the fourth-seeded Giants. They coulda/shoulda/did beat Saturday's opponent, the third-seeded Bucs, a game they lost on a late, very controversial call on two-point conversion attempt.

It's not hard to envision the Redskins beating Tampa Bay since, again, they nearly did so in Week 10. That would earn them a trip to Seattle, the team they beat way back in Week 4 to move to 3-0. Should the get by that one, it's likely that a trip to Solider Field to meet the Bears, Washington's Week 1 victim, would come next.

Looking at each of the individual opponents, no game looks unwinnable for the Redskins. They have a strong defense and a strong running game and, oh by the way, a coach with a trio of Lombardi trophies. That doesn't mean, however, that the Redskins have a smooth, wide road to Detroit ahead of them.

In fact, the main problem is that it's literally the road to the Super Bowl for the Redskins. As the #6 seed, they can't possibly have a home playoff game no matter who upsets who. Washington was 4-4 on the road this year, losing close ones in Kansas City, Tampa Bay, and Denver and getting slammed 36-0 in New York. The only team they beat on the road that finished the season with a winning record was Dallas.

Winning three straight in hostile territory is a very daunting task; winning one game on the road is not. That's the approach the Redskins will take. They can't win three straight in one week, so they'll focus on the task at hand, beating Tampa Bay. Do that, advance, and then you just have to win two in a row. That's still very tough, but a little further from impossible.

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