Predictions: Matchups, Not Words, the Key

Tandler's Redskins Blog Ver. 10.06.06--There has been plenty of noise this week, but it won't matter on Sunday when the teams line up to play.

You can reach Rich Tandler by email at WarpathInsiders@comcast.net

When we last saw the New York Giants, they were a team in disarray. Although some late cosmetic scores made their final against Seattle more respectable the fact is that Seattle led 42-3 in the third quarter. Although a cosmetic apology has been made the fact is that Jeremy Shockey had an angry outburst after the game in which he said that they were outcoached during that game. They are 1-2 and they owe their one victory to a comeback that was equal parts Giants rally and Philadelphia Eagles collapse.

Meanwhile, the Washington Redskins are rounding in to form. They beat up on a bad Houston team for their first win and then they had their best performance of the year in beating Jacksonville in an overtime thriller last week. Quarterback Mark Brunell's early-season struggles have gone away and the offense has developed some rhythm. New coordinator Al Saunders is starting to figure out what his players are capable of. The Redskins are beginning to live up to their preseason hype as serious contenders to go deep into the playoffs.

For Sunday, all of this means precisely nothing. Things change very quickly in the NFL in September and October. One week, you are the toast of the town; the next week, you're toast.

This game won't be decided by a war of words between Shockey and coach Tom Coughlin or one between LaVar Arrington and the Redskins. Like most NFL games it will be decided by matchups.

Plaxico Burress vs. Carlos Rogers: The bye has given Burress' back a chance to heal and his 6-5 frame makes for an inviting target for Eli Manning. When a pass is thrown up for grabs, Rogers has had a tendency to either play the man rather than the ball or get frozen in indecision. He can't afford to do that too often against Burress. For his part, Burress has to catch the ball. While his back is better, there are reports that his hands have considerably bruising from balls bouncing out of them all year.

Jon Jansen vs. Michael Strahan and Chris Samuels vs. Osi Umenyiora: Strahan has zero sacks so far this year and Umenyiora has the one that New York has as a team. If they're both going to finish with double-digit sack totals as they did last year, they will have to get into gear on Sunday. Jansen and Samuels will have to prolong their slumps if Brunell is going to continue on a roll.

Santana Moss vs. Sam Madison: The fact that Moss burned Will Allen for three touchdowns in Washington was a big reason that the Giants let Allen go in free agency. Madison hasn't been much better. He'd better improve in a hurry.

Gregg Williams vs. Eli Manning: The Giants offense has worked best this season when they have been forced to go into no-huddle mode. Eli isn't nearly as proficient as his brother Peyton is in calling plays at the line, but he's learning. It wouldn't be surprising to see New York go into no huddle even if the game situation doesn't necessarily cal for it. Regardless of the situation, Williams will have to figure out how to match up his personnel if the Giants are going directly to the line. He'll either have to make ultra-quick situational substitutions or go with the same 11 and position them to succeed.

Arrington is unlikely to be much of a factor unless the one big play he might make happens at exactly the right time. He has been as big a disappointment in New York as he was the last couple of years in Washington.  His next sack will be his first since early 2004. A tackle behind the line might be among the four or five tackles Arrington will be in on during the course of the day. He's smart enough not to be so emotional as to play out of control.

Tiki Barber had a career day against the Redskins last year in the Meadowlands and the Redskins will have to work hard on containing him. Washington has the fourth-best run defense in the NFL and if they continue that performance it's hard to see them losing.

The prediction here is that the Giants will wake up and play their best game of the year. Manning will find Burress and Amani Toomer, a longtime Redskin killer, for some good gains. Strahan and Jansen will battle to a draw with the defender erasing the goose egg in the sack column. Regardless, their Achilles heel, their defensive backfield, will be their undoing. Look for Brandon Lloyd to score his first touchdown as a Redskin and for Antwaan Randle El to get a long gainer from scrimmage. If New York defensive coordinator Tim Lewis is still unable to figure out that Arrington doesn't belong in pass coverage look for Chris Cooley to have a big day.

Redskins 28, Giants 24

Rich Tandler is the author of The Redskins From A to Z, Volume 1: The Games. This unique book has an account of every game the Redskins played from when they moved to Washington for the 1937 season through 2001. For details and ordering information go to http://www.RedskinsGames.com


Breaking Burgundy Top Stories

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You can reach Rich Tandler by email at WarpathInsiders@comcast.net

When we last saw the New York Giants, they were a team in disarray. Although some late cosmetic scores made their final against Seattle more respectable the fact is that Seattle led 42-3 in the third quarter. Although a cosmetic apology has been made the fact is that Jeremy Shockey had an angry outburst after the game in which he said that they were outcoached during that game. They are 1-2 and they owe their one victory to a comeback that was equal parts Giants rally and Philadelphia Eagles collapse.

Meanwhile, the Washington Redskins are rounding in to form. They beat up on a bad Houston team for their first win and then they had their best performance of the year in beating Jacksonville in an overtime thriller last week. Quarterback Mark Brunell's early-season struggles have gone away and the offense has developed some rhythm. New coordinator Al Saunders is starting to figure out what his players are capable of. The Redskins are beginning to live up to their preseason hype as serious contenders to go deep into the playoffs.

For Sunday, all of this means precisely nothing. Things change very quickly in the NFL in September and October. One week, you are the toast of the town; the next week, you're toast.

This game won't be decided by a war of words between Shockey and coach Tom Coughlin or one between LaVar Arrington and the Redskins. Like most NFL games it will be decided by matchups.

Plaxico Burress vs. Carlos Rogers: The bye has given Burress' back a chance to heal and his 6-5 frame makes for an inviting target for Eli Manning. When a pass is thrown up for grabs, Rogers has had a tendency to either play the man rather than the ball or get frozen in indecision. He can't afford to do that too often against Burress. For his part, Burress has to catch the ball. While his back is better, there are reports that his hands have considerably bruising from balls bouncing out of them all year.

Jon Jansen vs. Michael Strahan and Chris Samuels vs. Osi Umenyiora: Strahan has zero sacks so far this year and Umenyiora has the one that New York has as a team. If they're both going to finish with double-digit sack totals as they did last year, they will have to get into gear on Sunday. Jansen and Samuels will have to prolong their slumps if Brunell is going to continue on a roll.

Santana Moss vs. Sam Madison: The fact that Moss burned Will Allen for three touchdowns in Washington was a big reason that the Giants let Allen go in free agency. Madison hasn't been much better. He'd better improve in a hurry.

Gregg Williams vs. Eli Manning: The Giants offense has worked best this season when they have been forced to go into no-huddle mode. Eli isn't nearly as proficient as his brother Peyton is in calling plays at the line, but he's learning. It wouldn't be surprising to see New York go into no huddle even if the game situation doesn't necessarily cal for it. Regardless of the situation, Williams will have to figure out how to match up his personnel if the Giants are going directly to the line. He'll either have to make ultra-quick situational substitutions or go with the same 11 and position them to succeed.

Arrington is unlikely to be much of a factor unless the one big play he might make happens at exactly the right time. He has been as big a disappointment in New York as he was the last couple of years in Washington.  His next sack will be his first since early 2004. A tackle behind the line might be among the four or five tackles Arrington will be in on during the course of the day. He's smart enough not to be so emotional as to play out of control.

Tiki Barber had a career day against the Redskins last year in the Meadowlands and the Redskins will have to work hard on containing him. Washington has the fourth-best run defense in the NFL and if they continue that performance it's hard to see them losing.

The prediction here is that the Giants will wake up and play their best game of the year. Manning will find Burress and Amani Toomer, a longtime Redskin killer, for some good gains. Strahan and Jansen will battle to a draw with the defender erasing the goose egg in the sack column. Regardless, their Achilles heel, their defensive backfield, will be their undoing. Look for Brandon Lloyd to score his first touchdown as a Redskin and for Antwaan Randle El to get a long gainer from scrimmage. If New York defensive coordinator Tim Lewis is still unable to figure out that Arrington doesn't belong in pass coverage look for Chris Cooley to have a big day.

Redskins 28, Giants 24

Rich Tandler is the author of The Redskins From A to Z, Volume 1: The Games. This unique book has an account of every game the Redskins played from when they moved to Washington for the 1937 season through 2001. For details and ordering information go to http://www.RedskinsGames.com

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