Bold Predictions Redskins vs. Cowboys

Tandler's Redskins Blog Ver. 11.04.06: Bold Predictions--For the Redskins to have a chance to win as home underdog, they have to get their heads on straight.

You can reach Rich Tandler by email at WarpathInsiders@comcast.net

It seemed like it was ages ago. The record crowd at FedEx was rocking. Clinton Portis was rolling. Chris Cooley was leaving Cowboy defenders littering the ground in his wake. Also on the ground a lot was Drew Bledsoe, a victim of four Philip Daniels sacks and countless hits and hurries. The only worry that Joe Gibbs had by the end of the game was trying to get those in charge of the PA system to stop playing "Don't Let Your Babies Grow Up to be Cowboys" as the final minutes counted down on the Redskins' 35-7 victory. The win was every bit as dominant as the final score indicated.

Those were the days, my friend. We thought they'd never end—or at the least we thought they would last longer than 10 and a half months. What has changed that has turned the Redskins from 28-point victors at FedEx to the place where the dregs of the NFL dwell, the status of being a home underdog?

The Redskins have upgraded in a number of areas, or so they thought. They have a new, highly respected offensive coordinator, a pair of new receivers in their athletic primes and a couple of new defenders who should be in their best years as well.  Dallas has added rookies at tight end and at linebacker and brought on a controversial wide receiver The Cowboys also lost offensive coordinator Sean Payton and an inexperienced fourth-year quarterback in Tony Romo has Bledsoe planted firmly on the bench. Pretty much the standard NFL changes that two teams might undergo over the course of 10 and a half months; certainly, not enough to warrant a 31-point net swing in their fortunes.

Of course, we all know why Washington is an underdog in its own building. They are 2-5 and their play has merited that record. They haven't been the victims of bad luck; they've been the perpetrators of bad play. Save for a couple of games they haven't been able to sustain anything offensively. Their vaunted defense has earned its spot near the bottom of the NFL heap by allowing opposing offenses both quick-strike scores and long, sustained drives for points.

The reasons for this have been well discussed and dissected here and elsewhere. None of those explanations seriously suggest that the players who were talented enough to go 10-6 and make the second round of the playoffs in 2005 suddenly forgot how to play football. They're all 10 and a half months older, not enough time to cause their skills to erode to any large degree.

Their problems are in their heads, and I'm counting problems with the schemes and play calling in this area. Mark Brunell is capable of getting the ball downfield, at least in the intermediate area. I've seen him do it. But due to issues in his head, he won't. Portis could be racking up 100-yard games like he was at the end of last year, but Al Saunders seems to be reluctant to call his number. Overall the team has been slow to pick up on Saunders' offensive scheme with its massive playbook. It seems that Gregg Williams scheme has been figured out to some extent, but it appears that he is too hard headed to make major changes.

On top of all that the team has lost its swagger. There is a palatable lack of the confidence that permeated the locker room last December.

The good thing about problems of the mind is that they can be fixed and fixed quickly. Often, if one or two things click everything else falls into place. For example, if Brunell can hit a few slants for big plays, that will loosen up the defenses and Saunders can call Portis number more often. If the Redskins show more offensive life that perhaps Williams will be emboldened to take more chances.

If the Redskins start to click and play to their capabilities, they have a very good chance of beating the Cowboys, who are a solid team but as of this moment they are nothing special. Romo-mania is spreading, but that is no guarantee that he'll have a stellar game on Sunday.

Julius Jones is of much more concern to the Redskins than is Romo. He's beginning to live up to the billing he got as a second-round draft pick. If he comes close to or exceeds the 88 yards rushing he's been averaging per game Washington will have a very tough time pulling this one out.

It would be foolish to say that the fact that Santana Moss won't be playing will help, but there is a substantial silver lining here. The absence of #89 will force Brunell to look for Brandon Lloyd and Antwaan Randle El. The bubble screens to Moss that opposing defenses seem to be laying in wait to blow up will be removed from the playbook, perhaps opening up a few opportunities for some longer-distance throws.

It says here that while all things won't be coming up roses for the Redskins, they will have gotten themselves sufficiently together to find a way to pull this one out. Brunell will connect on some of those, perhaps even a big gainer to Lloyd. Portis won't run wild but he'll get his first career TD ever against Dallas. Jones won't get shut out but he'll get held in check. Romo will frustrate the defense by keeping some drives alive with his legs but he won't dominate the game.

Nick Novak will boot his first field goal of the season to provide the final margin.

Redskins 24, Cowboys 21

Rich Tandler is the author of The Redskins From A to Z, Volume 1: The Games. This unique book has an account of every game the Redskins played from when they moved to Washington for the 1937 season through 2001. For details and ordering information go to http://www.RedskinsGames.com


Breaking Burgundy Top Stories

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You can reach Rich Tandler by email at WarpathInsiders@comcast.net

It seemed like it was ages ago. The record crowd at FedEx was rocking. Clinton Portis was rolling. Chris Cooley was leaving Cowboy defenders littering the ground in his wake. Also on the ground a lot was Drew Bledsoe, a victim of four Philip Daniels sacks and countless hits and hurries. The only worry that Joe Gibbs had by the end of the game was trying to get those in charge of the PA system to stop playing \"Don't Let Your Babies Grow Up to be Cowboys\" as the final minutes counted down on the Redskins' 35-7 victory. The win was every bit as dominant as the final score indicated.

Those were the days, my friend. We thought they'd never end—or at the least we thought they would last longer than 10 and a half months. What has changed that has turned the Redskins from 28-point victors at FedEx to the place where the dregs of the NFL dwell, the status of being a home underdog?

The Redskins have upgraded in a number of areas, or so they thought. They have a new, highly respected offensive coordinator, a pair of new receivers in their athletic primes and a couple of new defenders who should be in their best years as well.  Dallas has added rookies at tight end and at linebacker and brought on a controversial wide receiver The Cowboys also lost offensive coordinator Sean Payton and an inexperienced fourth-year quarterback in Tony Romo has Bledsoe planted firmly on the bench. Pretty much the standard NFL changes that two teams might undergo over the course of 10 and a half months; certainly, not enough to warrant a 31-point net swing in their fortunes.

Of course, we all know why Washington is an underdog in its own building. They are 2-5 and their play has merited that record. They haven't been the victims of bad luck; they've been the perpetrators of bad play. Save for a couple of games they haven't been able to sustain anything offensively. Their vaunted defense has earned its spot near the bottom of the NFL heap by allowing opposing offenses both quick-strike scores and long, sustained drives for points.

The reasons for this have been well discussed and dissected here and elsewhere. None of those explanations seriously suggest that the players who were talented enough to go 10-6 and make the second round of the playoffs in 2005 suddenly forgot how to play football. They're all 10 and a half months older, not enough time to cause their skills to erode to any large degree.

Their problems are in their heads, and I'm counting problems with the schemes and play calling in this area. Mark Brunell is capable of getting the ball downfield, at least in the intermediate area. I've seen him do it. But due to issues in his head, he won't. Portis could be racking up 100-yard games like he was at the end of last year, but Al Saunders seems to be reluctant to call his number. Overall the team has been slow to pick up on Saunders' offensive scheme with its massive playbook. It seems that Gregg Williams scheme has been figured out to some extent, but it appears that he is too hard headed to make major changes.

On top of all that the team has lost its swagger. There is a palatable lack of the confidence that permeated the locker room last December.

The good thing about problems of the mind is that they can be fixed and fixed quickly. Often, if one or two things click everything else falls into place. For example, if Brunell can hit a few slants for big plays, that will loosen up the defenses and Saunders can call Portis number more often. If the Redskins show more offensive life that perhaps Williams will be emboldened to take more chances.

If the Redskins start to click and play to their capabilities, they have a very good chance of beating the Cowboys, who are a solid team but as of this moment they are nothing special. Romo-mania is spreading, but that is no guarantee that he'll have a stellar game on Sunday.

Julius Jones is of much more concern to the Redskins than is Romo. He's beginning to live up to the billing he got as a second-round draft pick. If he comes close to or exceeds the 88 yards rushing he's been averaging per game Washington will have a very tough time pulling this one out.

It would be foolish to say that the fact that Santana Moss won't be playing will help, but there is a substantial silver lining here. The absence of #89 will force Brunell to look for Brandon Lloyd and Antwaan Randle El. The bubble screens to Moss that opposing defenses seem to be laying in wait to blow up will be removed from the playbook, perhaps opening up a few opportunities for some longer-distance throws.

It says here that while all things won't be coming up roses for the Redskins, they will have gotten themselves sufficiently together to find a way to pull this one out. Brunell will connect on some of those, perhaps even a big gainer to Lloyd. Portis won't run wild but he'll get his first career TD ever against Dallas. Jones won't get shut out but he'll get held in check. Romo will frustrate the defense by keeping some drives alive with his legs but he won't dominate the game.

Nick Novak will boot his first field goal of the season to provide the final margin.

Redskins 24, Cowboys 21

Rich Tandler is the author of The Redskins From A to Z, Volume 1: The Games. This unique book has an account of every game the Redskins played from when they moved to Washington for the 1937 season through 2001. For details and ordering information go to http://www.RedskinsGames.com

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