Bold Predictions: Who's Up, Who's Down?

Tandler's Redskins Blog Ver. 12.02.06--Bold Predictions: If we knew what versions of these two inconsistent teams will show up at FedEx Field on Sunday, we might have a better idea who would win.

You can reach Rich Tandler by email at WarpathInsiders@comcast.net

When you see a team like the Atlanta Falcons, you have to wonder exactly where they are in their descent.

Their season has gone from one of great promise to one that is a complete nightmare. Atlanta started a four-game losing streak by dropping a pair to two of the league's worst teams, the Lions and the Browns. A loss in Baltimore was certainly to be expected but they imploded in a key NFC South game against New Orleans. Receivers dropped passes. On a Hail Mary pass at the end of the first half the only difference between the Falcon defense and the crowd of 70,933 at the Georgia Dome is that the fans in the stands paid to get into the game. They and the defenders were all mere spectators as Drew Brees' pass fell into the hands of Terrence Copper to give the Saints a 21-6 halftime lead. Michael Vick, once known for flipping head over heels into the end zone when the played for Virginia Tech, is now known for another kind of flipping.

In the NFL, what goes up inevitably will come down. The converse is also true. Inconsistency is an ailment that almost every NFL suffers from. The Giants, for example, had an early-season meltdown, recovered to put together a hot streak, and then they imploded in the final 10 minutes against Tennessee. They may yet bounce back and get on a roll again.

From the Redskins perspective you have to wonder if Vick giving half the peace sign to heckling fans was an event in an ongoing Falcon free fall or if was the team hitting rock bottom. If it is the former the Redskins can expect to see a team that still is reeling; if Atlanta has bottomed out then Washington will see a feisty team eager to save its season.

The win over Carolina last week was their best game of the season, but all that means is that the bad Redskins are due to show up this week. The Redskins have had problems stringing together solid games themselves. They have had a few blips of excellence this year, but they have generally followed up a good performance by showing up flat and being non-competitive.

Psychological factors aside, the Redskins don't match up well with Atlanta in one key area. Mobile quarterbacks tend to give the Redskins fits (see McNabb, Donovan over the years) and Vick is the ultimate mobile quarterback. No matter how disciplined the pass rush is, no matter how well they stay in their lanes, Vick can escape and trash the best-designed defensive scheme out there.

Vick is part and parcel of the running game which, statistically at least, is by far the best in the NFL. They average 197 yards a game on the ground. San Diego, the team that's second in this category, averages almost 50 fewer yards a game. But Atlanta doesn't get the results from the strong running game that most teams do. Five times this year the Falcons have rushed for over 200 yards in a game, which usually leads to a slam-dunk win. Atlanta is 3-2 in those games.

For the Redskins, the focus will be on Jason Campbell. The second-year signal caller is still flying under the radar throughout most of the league (how can anyone but the great Tony Romo get any attention out there?) but he won't be for long if he continues at a pace of throwing four touchdown passes to one interception as he has in his first two NFL starts.

Who will win? The two teams are fairly evenly matched; both are in the muddled middle of the NFC. When you have matchups like that the factors that come into play are things like home field, turnovers, and who's flat and who's sharp. The Redskins have the home field, but they are –1 in turnover ratio while the Falcons are +6. When looking at these two teams, who will be up and who will be down is anyone's guess.

It says here that the Redskins will find a way to get it done. Vick will make some plays that will be worth the price of admission but he also will make a few that hurt his team. The progression of Jason Campbell will continue and he will throw for two more touchdowns, maybe three. It appears that Santana Moss is fully recovered from his hamstring injury; look for him to have his best game since Jacksonville.

Redskins 28, Falcons 20

Rich Tandler is the author of The Redskins From A to Z, Volume 1: The Games. This unique book has an account of every game the Redskins played from when they moved to Washington for the 1937 season through 2001. It makes the perfect stocking stuffer for the Redskins fans on your shopping list. For details and ordering information go to http://www.RedskinsGames.com


Breaking Burgundy Top Stories

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You can reach Rich Tandler by email at WarpathInsiders@comcast.net

When you see a team like the Atlanta Falcons, you have to wonder exactly where they are in their descent.

Their season has gone from one of great promise to one that is a complete nightmare. Atlanta started a four-game losing streak by dropping a pair to two of the league's worst teams, the Lions and the Browns. A loss in Baltimore was certainly to be expected but they imploded in a key NFC South game against New Orleans. Receivers dropped passes. On a Hail Mary pass at the end of the first half the only difference between the Falcon defense and the crowd of 70,933 at the Georgia Dome is that the fans in the stands paid to get into the game. They and the defenders were all mere spectators as Drew Brees' pass fell into the hands of Terrence Copper to give the Saints a 21-6 halftime lead. Michael Vick, once known for flipping head over heels into the end zone when the played for Virginia Tech, is now known for another kind of flipping.

In the NFL, what goes up inevitably will come down. The converse is also true. Inconsistency is an ailment that almost every NFL suffers from. The Giants, for example, had an early-season meltdown, recovered to put together a hot streak, and then they imploded in the final 10 minutes against Tennessee. They may yet bounce back and get on a roll again.

From the Redskins perspective you have to wonder if Vick giving half the peace sign to heckling fans was an event in an ongoing Falcon free fall or if was the team hitting rock bottom. If it is the former the Redskins can expect to see a team that still is reeling; if Atlanta has bottomed out then Washington will see a feisty team eager to save its season.

The win over Carolina last week was their best game of the season, but all that means is that the bad Redskins are due to show up this week. The Redskins have had problems stringing together solid games themselves. They have had a few blips of excellence this year, but they have generally followed up a good performance by showing up flat and being non-competitive.

Psychological factors aside, the Redskins don't match up well with Atlanta in one key area. Mobile quarterbacks tend to give the Redskins fits (see McNabb, Donovan over the years) and Vick is the ultimate mobile quarterback. No matter how disciplined the pass rush is, no matter how well they stay in their lanes, Vick can escape and trash the best-designed defensive scheme out there.

Vick is part and parcel of the running game which, statistically at least, is by far the best in the NFL. They average 197 yards a game on the ground. San Diego, the team that's second in this category, averages almost 50 fewer yards a game. But Atlanta doesn't get the results from the strong running game that most teams do. Five times this year the Falcons have rushed for over 200 yards in a game, which usually leads to a slam-dunk win. Atlanta is 3-2 in those games.

For the Redskins, the focus will be on Jason Campbell. The second-year signal caller is still flying under the radar throughout most of the league (how can anyone but the great Tony Romo get any attention out there?) but he won't be for long if he continues at a pace of throwing four touchdown passes to one interception as he has in his first two NFL starts.

Who will win? The two teams are fairly evenly matched; both are in the muddled middle of the NFC. When you have matchups like that the factors that come into play are things like home field, turnovers, and who's flat and who's sharp. The Redskins have the home field, but they are –1 in turnover ratio while the Falcons are +6. When looking at these two teams, who will be up and who will be down is anyone's guess.

It says here that the Redskins will find a way to get it done. Vick will make some plays that will be worth the price of admission but he also will make a few that hurt his team. The progression of Jason Campbell will continue and he will throw for two more touchdowns, maybe three. It appears that Santana Moss is fully recovered from his hamstring injury; look for him to have his best game since Jacksonville.

Redskins 28, Falcons 20

Rich Tandler is the author of The Redskins From A to Z, Volume 1: The Games. This unique book has an account of every game the Redskins played from when they moved to Washington for the 1937 season through 2001. It makes the perfect stocking stuffer for the Redskins fans on your shopping list. For details and ordering information go to http://www.RedskinsGames.com

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