Mac's NFL Picks - Week 11

Seahawks.Net's Brian McIntyre offers up his "For Entertainment Purposes Only" picks for Week 11 of the 2008 NFL season.

Denver at Atlanta (-5 ½) – I still think Chris Johnson has a chance to win the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year, but its hard to deny the impact that Matty Ryan has had on the Atlanta Falcons. He's got the offense clicking and the team is selling out the Georgia Dome again. Pick: Falcons -5 ½

Baltimore at NY Giants (-6 ½) – The NFL's top-ranked run offense faces the NFL's top-ranked run defense. In match-ups like this, I always lean towards the defense. Pick: Ravens +6 ½

Minnesota at Tampa Bay (-4) – Speaking of good run defenses, the Buccaneers have a pretty good one that'll be asked to slow down Adrian Peterson. "Purple Jesus" will get his yards against Tampa (The Bucs are 11th with 99.3 rushing yards allowed per game), but good luck trying to score against it. Tampa's allowed just one rushing touchdown all season. Pick: Buccaneers -4

Oakland at Miami (-10 ½) – No offense to the Dolphins, but they were fortunate to escape last week with a win. This week's game against another West Coast team should be easier. Raiders interim head coach Tom Cable is calling the plays and it appears much of the Raiders roster has checked out on the 2008 season. Pick: Dolphins -10 ½

New Orleans (-5) at Kansas City – I don't think he'll ever be a franchise quarterback, but I like the way Tyler Thigpen is playing and he'll be battling whoever the Chiefs bring in for the starting job next summer. As for this week's game, the Saints are winless outside of the Superdome and Arrowhead is never an easy place to play. Pick: Chiefs +5

Detroit at Carolina (-14) – Jake Delhomme won't have another four interception game this week. In fact, I suspect he and Steve Smith will combine to have a big day against the Lions. Pick: Panthers -14

Philadelphia (-9 ½) at Cincinnati – I'm not saying the Philadelphia media is hard on its sports teams, but in the wake of losing to the NFC's best team by 5 points last Sunday, John Gonzalez of the Philadelphia Inquirer is calling for Andy Reid's head. Based on a poll on that page, 84% of respondents either want Reid fired or are at least warm to the idea of replacing him. Be careful what you wish for, Eagles fans. Pick: Bengals +9 ½ (They'll lose, but keep it close)

Chicago at Green Bay (-3 ½) – I still think the Packers were dumb to let Brett Favre walk away, but considering the Packers' inability to run or stop the run, I'm not sure the presence of Favre would've severely altered their current 4-5 record. I think they'll pull back to .500, because I don't trust Kyle Orton and this game is in Lambeau. Pick: Packers -3 ½

Houston at Indianapolis (-8 ½) – The Colts are coming off a huge win, on the road, against the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Houston Texans are coming off one of the worst losses in franchise history. We're talking about two ships headed in different directions here, folks. Pick: Colts -8 ½

St. Louis at San Francisco (-6) – This is a game I'd love to punt on. I don't trust the Rams to do anything on the road. After the way they blew the Cardinals game, it's impossible to trust the 49ers. I think this will be a push, but since they're at home, I'll take the 49ers and expect to take a loss. Pick: 49ers -6

Arizona (-2 ½) at Seattle – When you're lucky, you're good, and thanks to the way Mike Martz bungled the final minute on Monday night, the Cardinals are 6-3 and barring a catastrophic collapse, will have the 2008 NFC West title wrapped up by Thanksgiving. With the return of Matt Hasselbeck, coupled with me being in attendance on Sunday, the Seahawks will make one last stand in Qwest Field on Sunday. Pick: Seahawks +2 ½

Tennessee (-3) at Jacksonville – I do not believe the Titans will go undefeated, but the team their first loss of the season won't come in Jacksonville, Florida. Pick: Titans -3

San Diego at Pittsburgh (-4 ½) – Injuries are beginning to catch up to the Pittsburgh Steelers, who have lost two straight at home and are in the middle of an absolutely brutal stretch of their schedule. The Steelers will be without two of their top three cornerbacks when Philip Rivers, the NFL's top-rated quarterback, comes to town on Sunday. Pick: Chargers +4 ½

Dallas at Washington (-2 ½) – The Redskins are banged up and the Cowboys are getting their star quarterback back for this Sunday night match-up. It might be too late for the Cowboys, in terms of getting them back in the NFC East race, but I think Dallas will be a factor in the playoff chace. Pick: Cowboys +2 ½

Cleveland at Buffalo (-4 ½) – Do you think the ESPN execs will be high-fiving one another during the lead-up to this one? I sure don't. Pick: Bills -4 ½

This week: 0-1
Last week: 9-5
2008 season: 70-73-1


Brian McIntyre lives in the Boston area. In addition to writing for Seahawks.Net, Brian maintains his own blog (www.macsfootballblog.com) and charts games for Football Outsiders. If you'd like to e-mail Brian, you may do so here.


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