NFL Fantasy Matchups - Week 5

We give fantasy owners an edge with game by game analysis heading into week five of the NFL season.

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Baltimore Ravens (1-2) @ Detroit Lions (1-2) 1:00
After experimenting in weeks one and two with their passing game, the Baltimore Ravens realized in week four that they are still a running team. This bodes well for Jamal Lewis (who finally appeared healthy against the Jets as he pounded up the middle for 81 yards and a score). Expect him to hammer the Lions for 100 and at least one touchdown. Lions number two overall pick (2003) Charles Rogers got strike three this week and was sentenced to four weeks off, thus promoting WR Mike Williams for the start along side Roy Williams. Detroit has solid offensive weapons in RB Kevin Jones, WRs Mike and Roy Williams, and TE Marcus Pollard, but QB Joey Harrington continues to struggle and the Lions are facing Baltimore's stout defense...making the Lions' offensive fantasy players tough to recommend this week.


Chicago Bears (1-2) @ Cleveland Browns (1-2) 1:00
The Chicago Bears are a much better team than their record indicates. As we have said every week, play RB Thomas Jones and expect him to go for over 100 and at least a score behind the Bears' strong offensive line. The Bears will stick with QB Kyle Orton and he may eventually produce, but he needs a few more weeks to get used to the speed of the NFL. Although only 1-2, Romeo Cronnel has the Browns headed in the right direction. Cleveland QB Trent Dilfer is having a great 2005 to date, but they will have a difficult time scoring on the Bears' top defensive unit. Additionally, the Browns' inconsistency at WR and RB make those positions tough calls. Besides Jones for the Bears, we have a difficult time advising any other fantasy weapons from either team.

Miami Dolphins (2-1) @ Buffalo Bills (1-3) 1:00
Initially, it appeared that the Bills would have one of the top defenses. But the loss of DT Pat Williams and LB Takeo Spikes have allowed teams to run all over them. We like Fins' rookie RB Ronnie Brown to have a solid game. Miami QB Gus Frerotte has proved to be an upgrade to the passing game and may be okay against the Bills, but Frerotte hasn't broken into the top 12 of fantasy quarterbacks. WR Chris Chambers is a decent play as a number three wide receiver. Buffalo has more problems on offense than defense. Kelly Holcomb will take over for J.P. Losman at quarterback, but we don't recommend either of the two. The Dolphins have the 3rd ranked run defense, but we still like Buffalo RB Willis McGahee in this matchup.

The Pats face another solid opponent on the road this week and will look to rebound from their lopsided loss to the Chargers. We like QB Tom Brady to have a nice game as he finds WR Deion Branch for at least one score. It may be a tough outing for RB Corey Dillon with a banged up offensive line against the league's top rushing defense...which makes it difficult to count on him for anything huge. As we have said previously, Atlanta QB Michael Vick is a sensational NFL player, but he rarely puts up good fantasy numbers. He may have a tougher time scrambling on Sunday due to his injuries, but will still play. Ironically, Vick's injured legs may help his passing stats as he stays in the pocket a bit more and finds TE Alge Crumpler for decent yardage and a score. RB Warrick Dunn may not bust it up the middle for huge gains, but he will be a regular target for Vick out of the backfield.

Green Bay is 0-4, but Brett Favre has put up incredible numbers the last few weeks. The Saints are better against the pass than the run, but we'll stick with Brett as another solid play. If RB Ahman Green is healthy, start him with confidence to help Green Bay rally for their first win at home. The Saints won't be able to decide which way to go in this game. RB Deuce McAllister should have a huge game against the Packer defense. But QB Aaron Brooks is also a nice play as he will look for WR Donte' Stallworth early and often in a game that could end up in a shootout.

Seattle Seahawks (2-2) @ St. Louis Rams (2-2) 1:00
Wow! This is the game that makes fantasy owners happy (provided of course that you have Seahawks or Rams on your team). Seahawk RB Shaun Alexander will put up two scores and significant yardage in this contest that is almost a guarantee to be high scoring. Seattle pass and catch combo QB Matt Hasselbeck and WR Darrell Jackson continue to be fantasy locks and should be started in all formats against the Rams (be sure to check Jackson's health closer to game time, but he should play). Rams' QB Marc Bulger threw 62 passes last week!...and we don't see him backing off against the Seahawks on a Mike Martz coached team. Compliment Bulger with his favorite target WR Torry Holt. If you need a bye week replacement, Shaun McDonald or Kevin Curtis will fill in nicely as a number three, but a coin flip may be as accurate in predicting who gets the stats and the TD(s). We also like Steven Jackson as the Rams' running back. This guy is a top five running back on a high powered offense just waiting to bust out. His two touchdowns last week more than made up for his lack of yards against the Giants.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-0) @ New York Jets (1-3) 1:00
The rumor is true...Vinny Testaverde is back and he's starting for the Jets. But, this move is not done out of nostalgia, it's done out of desperation. Everyone in the Meadowlands will be pulling for Vinny, but there is no way he is ready to come back at forty-something after just one week with the team against the league's top ranked defense. I hope we're wrong and eating crow on Monday, but we can't recommend the Jets' offense having any fantasy potential in this situation...sorry. For the Bucs, QB Brian Griese will come out throwing against a Jets' defense that is solid against the pass. But Griese has found his man in WR Joey Galloway and will find him again on Sunday. Rookie sensation RB Carnell Williams and his offensive line is banged up and will not have the 100+ yard game seen in recent weeks. The Bucs will capitalize on the field position war in this game making Michael Pittman a consideration if in a bind at RB (especially with the status of Williams).

Tennessee Titans (1-3) @ Houston Texans (0-3) 1:00
One of these teams has to win this game. Both squads have started poorly, but expect to see some scoring as the Titans and Texans finally get it together on offense. Texan QB David Carr has convinced nobody he is the real deal, but WR Andre Johnson is just too good to keep down and must be started on every fantasy team. We also like Houston RB Domanick Davis to finally get it going on Sunday. For the Titans, WR Drew Bennett played better than his stats indicated against the Colts...and we like him against the Texans. Tennessee RB Chris Brown is also a good play as are tight ends Ben Troupe and Erron Kinney (who had nearly 20 catches between them last week).

Indianapolis Colts (4-0) @ San Francisco 49ers (1-3) 4:05
This game is a slaughter waiting to happen. We'll mention rookie QB Alex Smith who is getting his first start only because he was the first pick in the draft. We don't expect the Niners to help too many fantasy teams this weekend. WR Brandon Lloyd is probably the best play if you feel you have to play a 49er (and he could do something late if this game ends up the blowout it appears on paper). For the Colts, play QB Peyton Manning, RB Edgerrin James, WRs Marvin Harrison / Reggie Wayne, TE Dallas Clark, and K Mike VanderJagt.

The Cardinals aren't as bad as most people think, but Carolina wants to score early and score late after what happened the last two weeks. Expect QB Jake Delhomme to connect with WR Steve Smith for a score or two and big yardage. RBs Stephen Davis and DeShaun Foster are difficult to figure. Davis has six TDs in four games, but Foster has the same yardage (with no TDs) on nearly have the touches...either play is risky, but there will be enough Panther offense in this game to play either if you must. For the Cards, they have abandoned the run. However, QB Josh McNown is undervalued and will do well with several strikes to top wide receiving duo Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin.

Philadelphia Eagles (3-1) @ Dallas Cowboys (2-2) 4:15
Bill Parcells wants this game and will have a solid plan in place against the Eagles. However, Donovan McNabb, Terrell Owens, and Brian Westbrook are just too good to consider doing anything but starting on your fantasy team. We also recommend playing TE L.J. Smith as Dallas looks to stop Owens and the deep ball. For the 'Boys, we believe Julius Jones will get a ton of touches as Dallas tries to run the ball. WR Keyshawn Johnson and TE Jason Witten are also good plays in the red zone as Dallas plays a ball control offense and keeps this one close.

Who would have thought the combined record of these two teams would be 6-1 at this point? Washington is focused on the run...they have a very solid run defense and love to run the ball when on offense. Denver QB Jake Plummer may be okay through the air to WR Ashley Lelie, but don't expect a big game here. For Washington on offense, RB Clinton Portis will get the bulk of the work and should get a score. WR Santana Moss will be QB Mark Brunell's guy when Washington throws, but we don't think Washington will throw much more than 20 passes in this low scoring slugfest at Mile-High.

Cincinnati Bengals (4-0) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2) 8:30
Cincinnati is the real deal this year on offense, but Jacksonville is no slouch on defense. The Jags shut down the Indianapolis' passing game as they dropped into coverages on nearly every down, and will target Cincy playmaker WR Chad Johnson this week with some effectiveness. But, the focus on Johnson may lead to success for WRs T.J. Houshmandzadeh and Chris Henry as QB Carson Palmer adjusts to the Jaguar coverages. Bengals' RB Rudi Johnson is a bit beat-up and will have more trouble than normal running against the Jax rushing defense. RB Chris Perry will spell Johnson at times (and do well as a passing threat out of the backfield), but is not a recommended fantasy option. Jacksonville can't seem to find itself on offense (somewhat evident by the 12 total rushing yards last week). QB Byron Leftwich is a strong NFL quarterback, but has been inconsistent. Jaguar receivers Jimmy Smith, Reggie Williams, and Matt   Jones all have talent, but lack of a clear cut favorite makes each one a fantasy risk.

Pittsburgh Steelers (3-1) @ San Diego Chargers (2-2) 9:00 MNF
Surpisingly, the San Diego Chargers are the top offense in the NFL...and they'll need it on Monday Night Football against the Steelers. Obviously, we like RB LaDainian Tomlinson (the top fantasy football player in the league) as a must start for San Diego even though Pittsburgh isn't going to allow him three or four touchdowns. We also like underrated QB Drew Brees to connect with WR Keenan McCardell and stud TE Antonio Gates for a couple of scores. Steelers' QB Big Ben Roethlisberger will have a decent game, but Big Ben has never been a fantasy star...WR Hines Ward, however, should get the nod if you have him on your roster. Pittsburgh wins with their running game, but for fantasy owners it's become a bit cloudy. RB Willie Parker has been sensational, but is now facing competition from Duce Staley and Jerome Bettis (who now have some health and will take carries away from Parker against the Chargers)...which make any of the Steeler running backs a risky start.

BYE WEEKS - Chiefs, Raiders, Giants, Vikings


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Baltimore Ravens (1-2) @ Detroit Lions (1-2) 1:00
After experimenting in weeks one and two with their passing game, the Baltimore Ravens realized in week four that they are still a running team. This bodes well for Jamal Lewis (who finally appeared healthy against the Jets as he pounded up the middle for 81 yards and a score). Expect him to hammer the Lions for 100 and at least one touchdown. Lions number two overall pick (2003) Charles Rogers got strike three this week and was sentenced to four weeks off, thus promoting WR Mike Williams for the start along side Roy Williams. Detroit has solid offensive weapons in RB Kevin Jones, WRs Mike and Roy Williams, and TE Marcus Pollard, but QB Joey Harrington continues to struggle and the Lions are facing Baltimore's stout defense...making the Lions' offensive fantasy players tough to recommend this week.

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Chicago Bears (1-2) @ Cleveland Browns (1-2) 1:00
The Chicago Bears are a much better team than their record indicates. As we have said every week, play RB Thomas Jones and expect him to go for over 100 and at least a score behind the Bears' strong offensive line. The Bears will stick with QB Kyle Orton and he may eventually produce, but he needs a few more weeks to get used to the speed of the NFL. Although only 1-2, Romeo Cronnel has the Browns headed in the right direction. Cleveland QB Trent Dilfer is having a great 2005 to date, but they will have a difficult time scoring on the Bears' top defensive unit. Additionally, the Browns' inconsistency at WR and RB make those positions tough calls. Besides Jones for the Bears, we have a difficult time advising any other fantasy weapons from either team.

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Miami Dolphins (2-1) @ Buffalo Bills (1-3) 1:00
Initially, it appeared that the Bills would have one of the top defenses. But the loss of DT Pat Williams and LB Takeo Spikes have allowed teams to run all over them. We like Fins' rookie RB Ronnie Brown to have a solid game. Miami QB Gus Frerotte has proved to be an upgrade to the passing game and may be okay against the Bills, but Frerotte hasn't broken into the top 12 of fantasy quarterbacks. WR Chris Chambers is a decent play as a number three wide receiver. Buffalo has more problems on offense than defense. Kelly Holcomb will take over for J.P. Losman at quarterback, but we don't recommend either of the two. The Dolphins have the 3rd ranked run defense, but we still like Buffalo RB Willis McGahee in this matchup.

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New England Patriots (2-2) @ Atlanta Falcons (3-1) 1:00
The Pats face another solid opponent on the road this week and will look to rebound from their lopsided loss to the Chargers. We like QB Tom Brady to have a nice game as he finds WR Deion Branch for at least one score. It may be a tough outing for RB Corey Dillon with a banged up offensive line against the league's top rushing defense...which makes it difficult to count on him for anything huge. As we have said previously, Atlanta QB Michael Vick is a sensational NFL player, but he rarely puts up good fantasy numbers. He may have a tougher time scrambling on Sunday due to his injuries, but will still play. Ironically, Vick's injured legs may help his passing stats as he stays in the pocket a bit more and finds TE Alge Crumpler for decent yardage and a score. RB Warrick Dunn may not bust it up the middle for huge gains, but he will be a regular target for Vick out of the backfield.

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New Orleans Saints (2-2) @ Green Bay Packers (0-4) 1:00
Green Bay is 0-4, but Brett Favre has put up incredible numbers the last few weeks. The Saints are better against the pass than the run, but we'll stick with Brett as another solid play. If RB Ahman Green is healthy, start him with confidence to help Green Bay rally for their first win at home. The Saints won't be able to decide which way to go in this game. RB Deuce McAllister should have a huge game against the Packer defense. But QB Aaron Brooks is also a nice play as he will look for WR Donte' Stallworth early and often in a game that could end up in a shootout.

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Seattle Seahawks (2-2) @ St. Louis Rams (2-2) 1:00
Wow! This is the game that makes fantasy owners happy (provided of course that you have Seahawks or Rams on your team). Seahawk RB Shaun Alexander will put up two scores and significant yardage in this contest that is almost a guarantee to be high scoring. Seattle pass and catch combo QB Matt Hasselbeck and WR Darrell Jackson continue to be fantasy locks and should be started in all formats against the Rams (be sure to check Jackson's health closer to game time, but he should play). Rams' QB Marc Bulger threw 62 passes last week!...and we don't see him backing off against the Seahawks on a Mike Martz coached team. Compliment Bulger with his favorite target WR Torry Holt. If you need a bye week replacement, Shaun McDonald or Kevin Curtis will fill in nicely as a number three, but a coin flip may be as accurate in predicting who gets the stats and the TD(s). We also like Steven Jackson as the Rams' running back. This guy is a top five running back on a high powered offense just waiting to bust out. His two touchdowns last week more than made up for his lack of yards against the Giants.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-0) @ New York Jets (1-3) 1:00
The rumor is true...Vinny Testaverde is back and he's starting for the Jets. But, this move is not done out of nostalgia, it's done out of desperation. Everyone in the Meadowlands will be pulling for Vinny, but there is no way he is ready to come back at forty-something after just one week with the team against the league's top ranked defense. I hope we're wrong and eating crow on Monday, but we can't recommend the Jets' offense having any fantasy potential in this situation...sorry. For the Bucs, QB Brian Griese will come out throwing against a Jets' defense that is solid against the pass. But Griese has found his man in WR Joey Galloway and will find him again on Sunday. Rookie sensation RB Carnell Williams and his offensive line is banged up and will not have the 100+ yard game seen in recent weeks. The Bucs will capitalize on the field position war in this game making Michael Pittman a consideration if in a bind at RB (especially with the status of Williams).

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Tennessee Titans (1-3) @ Houston Texans (0-3) 1:00
One of these teams has to win this game. Both squads have started poorly, but expect to see some scoring as the Titans and Texans finally get it together on offense. Texan QB David Carr has convinced nobody he is the real deal, but WR Andre Johnson is just too good to keep down and must be started on every fantasy team. We also like Houston RB Domanick Davis to finally get it going on Sunday. For the Titans, WR Drew Bennett played better than his stats indicated against the Colts...and we like him against the Texans. Tennessee RB Chris Brown is also a good play as are tight ends Ben Troupe and Erron Kinney (who had nearly 20 catches between them last week).

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Indianapolis Colts (4-0) @ San Francisco 49ers (1-3) 4:05
This game is a slaughter waiting to happen. We'll mention rookie QB Alex Smith who is getting his first start only because he was the first pick in the draft. We don't expect the Niners to help too many fantasy teams this weekend. WR Brandon Lloyd is probably the best play if you feel you have to play a 49er (and he could do something late if this game ends up the blowout it appears on paper). For the Colts, play QB Peyton Manning, RB Edgerrin James, WRs Marvin Harrison / Reggie Wayne, TE Dallas Clark, and K Mike VanderJagt.

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Carolina Panthers (2-2) @ Arizona Cardinals (1-3) 4:15
The Cardinals aren't as bad as most people think, but Carolina wants to score early and score late after what happened the last two weeks. Expect QB Jake Delhomme to connect with WR Steve Smith for a score or two and big yardage. RBs Stephen Davis and DeShaun Foster are difficult to figure. Davis has six TDs in four games, but Foster has the same yardage (with no TDs) on nearly have the touches...either play is risky, but there will be enough Panther offense in this game to play either if you must. For the Cards, they have abandoned the run. However, QB Josh McNown is undervalued and will do well with several strikes to top wide receiving duo Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin.

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Philadelphia Eagles (3-1) @ Dallas Cowboys (2-2) 4:15
Bill Parcells wants this game and will have a solid plan in place against the Eagles. However, Donovan McNabb, Terrell Owens, and Brian Westbrook are just too good to consider doing anything but starting on your fantasy team. We also recommend playing TE L.J. Smith as Dallas looks to stop Owens and the deep ball. For the 'Boys, we believe Julius Jones will get a ton of touches as Dallas tries to run the ball. WR Keyshawn Johnson and TE Jason Witten are also good plays in the red zone as Dallas plays a ball control offense and keeps this one close.

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Washington Redskins (3-0) @ Denver Broncos (3-1) 4:15
Who would have thought the combined record of these two teams would be 6-1 at this point? Washington is focused on the run...they have a very solid run defense and love to run the ball when on offense. Denver QB Jake Plummer may be okay through the air to WR Ashley Lelie, but don't expect a big game here. For Washington on offense, RB Clinton Portis will get the bulk of the work and should get a score. WR Santana Moss will be QB Mark Brunell's guy when Washington throws, but we don't think Washington will throw much more than 20 passes in this low scoring slugfest at Mile-High.

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Cincinnati Bengals (4-0) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2) 8:30
Cincinnati is the real deal this year on offense, but Jacksonville is no slouch on defense. The Jags shut down the Indianapolis' passing game as they dropped into coverages on nearly every down, and will target Cincy playmaker WR Chad Johnson this week with some effectiveness. But, the focus on Johnson may lead to success for WRs T.J. Houshmandzadeh and Chris Henry as QB Carson Palmer adjusts to the Jaguar coverages. Bengals' RB Rudi Johnson is a bit beat-up and will have more trouble than normal running against the Jax rushing defense. RB Chris Perry will spell Johnson at times (and do well as a passing threat out of the backfield), but is not a recommended fantasy option. Jacksonville can't seem to find itself on offense (somewhat evident by the 12 total rushing yards last week). QB Byron Leftwich is a strong NFL quarterback, but has been inconsistent. Jaguar receivers Jimmy Smith, Reggie Williams, and Matt   Jones all have talent, but lack of a clear cut favorite makes each one a fantasy risk.

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Pittsburgh Steelers (3-1) @ San Diego Chargers (2-2) 9:00 MNF
Surpisingly, the San Diego Chargers are the top offense in the NFL...and they'll need it on Monday Night Football against the Steelers. Obviously, we like RB LaDainian Tomlinson (the top fantasy football player in the league) as a must start for San Diego even though Pittsburgh isn't going to allow him three or four touchdowns. We also like underrated QB Drew Brees to connect with WR Keenan McCardell and stud TE Antonio Gates for a couple of scores. Steelers' QB Big Ben Roethlisberger will have a decent game, but Big Ben has never been a fantasy star...WR Hines Ward, however, should get the nod if you have him on your roster. Pittsburgh wins with their running game, but for fantasy owners it's become a bit cloudy. RB Willie Parker has been sensational, but is now facing competition from Duce Staley and Jerome Bettis (who now have some health and will take carries away from Parker against the Chargers)...which make any of the Steeler running backs a risky start.

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BYE WEEKS - Chiefs, Raiders, Giants, Vikings

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- Chiefs, Raiders, Giants, Vikings

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