OVERVIEW: While we aren't unconvinced that there may be a couple of trades late in the first round for teams that want a quarterback, they were bad teams last year for a reason and most of the teams in need have made some kind of QB move already in the offseason. If they make it here, it's going to get interesting.
1. Jacksonville – Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia. Blaine Gabbert was a mistake. If nothing else, this creates competition that will bring out whatever Gabbert has. If Smith lands here, he may start Day 1.
2. San Francisco (from Kansas City) – Margus Hunt, DE, SMU. The Niners like to find athletes that bring something special to the table. Hunt is huge (6-8, 278) and comes to a spot where he can start as a role player and work his way into a larger role.
3. Philadelphia – Jamar Taylor, CB, Boise State. He won't make fans forget Nnamdi Asomugha or Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, but the ownership wishes it could forget. With both starters from the start of 2012 gone, replacing them has to start now.
4. Detroit – Datone Jones, DE, UCLA. The Lions may use the rest of their picks on defense. After parting ways with both Cliff Avril and Kyle Vanden Bosch, a youth movement is needed and Jones is a solid value pick on a young, impressive D-line.
5. Cincinnati (from Oakland) – DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Clemson. A.J. Green is already in the discussion of being one of the dominant wide receivers in the NFL. They currently don't have a dangerous No. 2 option. Hopkins gives Andy Dalton that weapon.
6. Arizona – Matt Barkley, QB, USC. You would have thought the team would have learned about drafting USC quarterbacks after Matt Leinart, but they traded for former Trojan Carson Palmer for the short-term and hope Barkley can be the answer long-term.
7. Cleveland – NO PICK. The Browns gave up this pick after tendering a second-round offer in the 2012 Supplemental Draft to acquire WR Josh Gordon.
8. New York Jets – Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi State. The Jets didn't use either of their first-round picks to address the loss of Darrelle Revis, but they couldn't ignore it too long. Banks is a decent value here, but no Revis Island.
9. Tennessee – Tank Carradine, DE, Florida State. If things work out as they should, the Titans could be the biggest risk-takers and biggest winners of the 2013 draft. After D.J. Milliner falls to them due to injury concerns, they take a talented, oft-injured DE with upside.
10. Buffalo – Ryan Nassib, QB, Syracuse. This will be a post-draft half-point pick. I'm convinced Nassib will join most of his college coaching staff in Buffalo. I'm just not sure they're willing to wait this long and he lands in their lap. They likely will trade up.
11. Miami – Justin Pugh, OT/G, Syracuse. The run on Orangemen stops here. While Pugh likely will end up inside and won't be asked to be a replacement for Jake Long, he may end up at left tackle in a pinch.
12. Tampa Bay – John Jenkins, DT, Georgia. The Bucs continue to build defense with their first pick of the draft – joining Darrelle Revis in what the Bucs hope is a return to prominence in the NFC after allowing 30 points a game in their 2012 losses.
13. Carolina – Robert Woods, WR, USC. Steve Smith is nearing the end of the line and the Panthers have done little to give Cam Newton other viable passing weapons. Woods isn't flashy, but he's a Keenan McCardell type who can catch 75 passes as a rookie.
14. New Orleans – NO PICK. This pick was forfeited after the NFL found the Saints guilty in the Bountygate investigation.
15. Cleveland (from San Diego in a projected trade) – Blidi Wreh-Wilson, CB, Connecticut. The Browns trade down and get a cornerback who at a minimum can compete for the starting job opposite Joe Haden.
16. St. Louis – Montee Ball, RB, Wisconsin. He isn't rated this high by many, but they don't understand that Rams fans have had either Marshall Faulk or Steven Jackson for the lifetime of their kids. They need to energize the fan base by investing in a workhorse.
17. Dallas – Travis Frederick, C, Wisconsin. This might be a bold pick, but when you have Ryan Cook as your starting center down the playoff stretch run, it's clear taking care of the position for the next several years is worth a pick in the middle of the second round.
18. Pittsburgh – Arthur Brown, OLB, Kansas State. The Steelers have several needs, but their defensive calling card has always been athletic outside linebackers. As a team that builds from a foundation of the draft, Brown seems like a safe glove fit in their system.
19. New York Giants – Damontre Moore, DE, Texas A&M. For a guy I had projected as first-round lottery pick prior to a dismal performance at the NFL Scouting Combine, he gives the Giants D-line rotation another valued role player to wreak havoc and prove his critics wrong.
20. Chicago – Gavin Escobar, TE, San Diego State. This may be a reach, but Mike Martz gutted the franchise of tight end talent and it has taken too long to repair. The Bears haven't invested in free agency, so they do so here.
21. Washington – Eric Reid, S, LSU. Without LaRon Landry in 2012, the Redskins suffered at safety. In year two of their three-year plan to get RG3, this is their first pick and they take the best value-vs.-need selection they can make.
22. Minnesota – Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State. It would appear that wide receiver will be ignored early in the 2013 draft. The announcement that Kevin Williams re-worked his deal with a paycut and the elimination of the final year of his deal, the changing of the guard at defensive tackle is taking place sooner than later. Hankins is slimmed down to 320 and could be a disruptive clogger in the middle that brings more value than any wide receiver remaining on the board.
23. Cincinnati – Shamarko Thomas, S, Syracuse. His combine performance alone makes him worth being taken here. He can make plays and has toughness (28 reps of 225 pounds) that linemen would envy. The Bengals have a chance to make a big move in their division and Thomas is a nice addition.
24. Miami (from Indianapolis) – Corey Lemonier, DE, Auburn. An athletic playmaker whose numbers suffered because Auburn was so bad last year, he is bordering on a steal at this point of the draft. He's a quick riser that a team may trade up to get.
25. Green Bay – D.J. Swearinger, S, South Carolina. The Packers need an upgrade in the secondary after the team cut ties with Charles Woodson. Swearinger could compete immediately for a starting job in the void that remains.
26. Seattle – Kawann Short, DT, Purdue. Thanks to the Percy Harvin trade, the Seahawks didn't have a first-round pick and look to address one of their few obvious weaknesses. An extremely athletic player that Pete Carroll's staff will love to mold in their image.
27. Houston – Kevin Reddick, ILB, North Carolina. It might be a bit of a reach, but, after Brian Cushing went down, the only answer was a turnstile of veteran journeymen in the middle of the Texans defense. Some young, healthy blood is needed.
28. Denver – Darius Slay, CB, Mississippi State. Champ Bailey turns 35 this year and an heir is needed. In his only year starting in the SEC, Slay performed well and looks the part. The Honey Badger in a state with legalized marijuana would be a mistake.
29. New England – Kyle Long, G/OT, Oregon. Another of Howie Long's kids, he has the chops to be a player in the NFL, but is more a legacy/pedigree selection than a film-proven talent. The Longs may end up challenging the Mannings for family recognition.
30. Atlanta – Tyrann Mathieu, CB, LSU. When he had his head in the game, the Honey Badger was as ominous a little man as the SEC had produced since Percy Harvin. He is a high-risk pick, but for a team in need of a cornerback and the same town that made Deion Sanders and Andre Rison stars, it may actually be a good landing spot for him.
31. San Francisco – Travis Kelce, TE, Cincinnati. The loss of Delanie Walker might not mean much to the casual fan, but it was a critical loss to the Niners offensive game plan. They need to find a replacement and Kelce can stretch the middle of the field like Walker did so efficiently (and quietly).
32. Baltimore – Terron Armstead, OT, Arkansas-Pine Bluff. If the Ravens bring back Bryant McKinnie for a year, he gets the time to grow and adjust. If not, Michael Oher moves back and he competes for the right tackle spot.
John Holler has been writing about the Vikings for more than a decade for Viking Update. Follow Viking Update on Twitter and discuss this story on our subscriber message board.
Mock draft, round two, version 4.0
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