There are six teams that have 11 or more losses that in some order are going to form the top six picks – Tampa Bay, Tennessee, Jacksonville, New York Jets, Oakland and Washington.
Currently, the Bears have the seventh pick with a 5-10 record. As things currently stand, there are five teams that have 6-9 records – Atlanta, Minnesota, New Orleans, New York Giants and St. Louis – and two teams (Cleveland and San Francisco) have 7-8 records with the potential of losing Sunday.
As things stand right now, the Vikings have the ninth pick in the first round. Under the rules of determining draft selection order, the worst team gets the best pick. If multiple teams end up tied, the pick is determined by the weakness of their schedule. The weakest slate of opponents gets the higher pick.
The problem with trying to predict what the final pick will be is that it’s in flux to the point that you can narrow the field but not eliminate it.
The Vikings can’t pick lower than San Francisco, because the 49ers’ opponents have a .536 winning percentage, so, while they can go higher from their current standing with a win, they can’t go much lower. Lucky 13 is the best they can hope for in the draft.
Also in the mix is Carolina, but if 2014 has taught us anything, they’ll go down as temporary division leaders do in the NFC South.
Where will the Vikings end up? As high as No. 7. As low as No. 13.