What If … Favre is in Purple?

Tired of hearing humans talk about Brett Favre's potential comeback and if he stands any chance at becoming a Viking? WhatIfSports.com isn't trying to predict the probability of Favre in purple, but the company did run the simulated numbers to predict what might happen if he does end up in Minnesota.

WhatIfSports.com is a company that runs simulated games, just as the name might imply. So we wondered, "What if Brett Favre would become a Viking? How much of a difference would that make?"

WhatIfSports was just the company to offer numerical insight.

In June, the company's simulation for each NFL team averaged the Vikings to become an 11-5 team and NFC North champions.

"Each regular-season game was simulated 1,000 times and the average of those games becomes the projected result for the week. This allows us to account for every player and stat as well as assign probabilities of winning for each team for every game," wrote WhatIfSports' Paul Bessire in his article previewing their simulated NFL results. "For 2008, to go along with comprehensive individual player statistics and fantasy rankings, we will be showing projected scores and winning percentages from the simulations of all 267 regular- and post-season games."

That led to the conclusion that the Vikings will win the NFC North and advance to the NFC Championship Game, where they will lose to the Dallas Cowboys, 28-21, after beating the defending Super Bowl champion New York Giants in the divisional round.

So what if Favre joined the Vikings?

"For the Favre analysis, we used rosters and depth charts updated through July 15 to rerun the data," Bessire told Viking Update. "We did not run each of the playoff games, but the updated power rankings suggest that Minnesota would clearly be the best NFC team (about even with New England overall) and the likely participant in the Super Bowl."

The regular-season results moved the Vikings from the originally predicted 11-5 record to a 14-2 record with Favre, with an average score of 33-16.6. The Patriots were the next-best team in the league at 12-4, according to the revised simulation, with an average score of 31-19.4. The Cowboys joined the San Diego Chargers and Indianapolis Colts with an 11-5 record.

As a member of the Vikings, Favre was simulated to complete 306 of 467 passes (65.5 percent) for 4,149 yards, 35 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. The result for the receivers is that Berrian would have his career-best season – 84 catches for 1,394 yards and 11 touchdowns – and Sidney Rice would have 66 receptions for 928 yards and eight touchdowns.

In their original season preview simulation, the site had Tarvaris Jackson throwing for 2,652 yards, 19 touchdowns and 14 interceptions, with the site listing the passing game as the Vikings' most notable weakness.

"Not only has this been a theme for the Vikings since Randy Moss left, it will be a theme this year in the division," Bessire wrote in his analysis of the original simulation. "The team seems confident in Tarvaris Jackson at quarterback, and Bernard Berrian was a great pickup, so this phase will be improved. Jackson has thrown more interceptions than touchdowns, and his career 58.1 percent completion rate is not spectacular. Plus, with the best defense and rushing attack in the league and a very strong special teams, the passing game would have to be on par with that of the Colts or Patriots not to be mentioned here (as a notable weakness)."

Bessire said the pre-Favre simulation showed the Vikings playing five games with an average score within three points.

That June simulation also produced these fantasy football-related results for other Vikings: Adrian Peterson (3) 1,921 total yards, 15 TDs; Chester Taylor (38) 804 total yards, 8 TDs; Bernard Berrian (8) 71 receptions, 1,160 yards, 8 TDs; Visanthe Shiancoe (31) 30 receptions, 312 yards, 2 TDs; Ryan Longwell (14) 43/43 XPs, 26/29 FGs.




Viking Update Top Stories

","mobileBody":"WhatIfSports.com is a company that runs simulated games, just as the name might imply. So we wondered, \"What if Brett Favre would become a Viking? How much of a difference would that make?\"

WhatIfSports was just the company to offer numerical insight.

In June, the company's simulation for each NFL team averaged the Vikings to become an 11-5 team and NFC North champions.

\"Each regular-season game was simulated 1,000 times and the average of those games becomes the projected result for the week. This allows us to account for every player and stat as well as assign probabilities of winning for each team for every game,\" wrote WhatIfSports' Paul Bessire in his article previewing their simulated NFL results. \"For 2008, to go along with comprehensive individual player statistics and fantasy rankings, we will be showing projected scores and winning percentages from the simulations of all 267 regular- and post-season games.\"

That led to the conclusion that the Vikings will win the NFC North and advance to the NFC Championship Game, where they will lose to the Dallas Cowboys, 28-21, after beating the defending Super Bowl champion New York Giants in the divisional round.

So what if Favre joined the Vikings?

\"For the Favre analysis, we used rosters and depth charts updated through July 15 to rerun the data,\" Bessire told . \"We did not run each of the playoff games, but the updated power rankings suggest that Minnesota would clearly be the best NFC team (about even with New England overall) and the likely participant in the Super Bowl.\"

The regular-season results moved the Vikings from the originally predicted 11-5 record to a 14-2 record with Favre, with an average score of 33-16.6. The Patriots were the next-best team in the league at 12-4, according to the revised simulation, with an average score of 31-19.4. The Cowboys joined the San Diego Chargers and Indianapolis Colts with an 11-5 record.

As a member of the Vikings, Favre was simulated to complete 306 of 467 passes (65.5 percent) for 4,149 yards, 35 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. The result for the receivers is that Berrian would have his career-best season – 84 catches for 1,394 yards and 11 touchdowns – and Sidney Rice would have 66 receptions for 928 yards and eight touchdowns.

In their original season preview simulation, the site had Tarvaris Jackson throwing for 2,652 yards, 19 touchdowns and 14 interceptions, with the site listing the passing game as the Vikings' most notable weakness.

\"Not only has this been a theme for the Vikings since Randy Moss left, it will be a theme this year in the division,\" Bessire wrote in his analysis of the original simulation. \"The team seems confident in Tarvaris Jackson at quarterback, and Bernard Berrian was a great pickup, so this phase will be improved. Jackson has thrown more interceptions than touchdowns, and his career 58.1 percent completion rate is not spectacular. Plus, with the best defense and rushing attack in the league and a very strong special teams, the passing game would have to be on par with that of the Colts or Patriots not to be mentioned here (as a notable weakness).\"

Bessire said the pre-Favre simulation showed the Vikings playing five games with an average score within three points.

That June simulation also produced these fantasy football-related results for other Vikings: Adrian Peterson (3) 1,921 total yards, 15 TDs; Chester Taylor (38) 804 total yards, 8 TDs; Bernard Berrian (8) 71 receptions, 1,160 yards, 8 TDs; Visanthe Shiancoe (31) 30 receptions, 312 yards, 2 TDs; Ryan Longwell (14) 43/43 XPs, 26/29 FGs.



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