Mock Draft: Round 1, Version 7 unveils the seventh and (hopefully) final version of its first-round 2010 mock draft less than a day before the real draft. No more. We're done (we hope), but here's how John Holler sees it going down.

OVERVIEW: In our final mock draft, there are plenty of changes that have taken place. The trades for Donovan McNabb and Brandon Marshall shuffled the deck in our last mock draft, but the Vikings' signing of CB Lito Sheppard has caused a significant change at the bottom of the round – as we project the Vikings will be in line to take QB Tim Tebow…unless they get a Mafia-style offer they can't refuse.

Original Team's W-L and Strength of Schedule
No. Club
Strength of Schedule
1. St. Louis Rams
0 .520
Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma: If I was the Rams, I would desperately try to trade this pick. Yes, the NFL is a quarterback-driven league and the Vikings learned how much of a difference a top-end QB can make. Bradford has only recently added 20 pounds of bulk to his thin frame and is coming off a shoulder injury. There are a lot of potential red flags, especially with the kind of absurd money he would be paid - Matthew Stafford got a six-year, $42 million deal last year. Bradford has the size to be an effective NFL quarterback and he has great accuracy, but, with the need to sell tickets to a fan base that has seen the team win just seven games in the last three years, he may have the edge over the top defensive tackles in the draft. With the recent release of Marc Bulger, it would appear the Rams have cleared the decks to allow Bradford to come and in and compete to be the opening-day starter.
2. Detroit Lions
Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska: The Lions have made an attempt to shore up the defensive front by signing DE Kyle Vanden Bosch in free agency and trading for volatile DT Corey Williams. But the Lions simply can't pass on Suh. A dominant presence in the middle, he can be the most disruptive defensive player the Lions have had since they traded away Shaun Rogers. Although Detroit has many needs, the only question here is which defensive tackle they like better - Suh or Oklahoma's Gerald McCoy. One way or the other, it would be a shock if one of those two isn't taken. Why? Matt Millen isn't making the pick. There is some sentiment that, given the investment made in Stafford, taking their choice of left tackles in a solid crop of players will be the route to go, but Suh or McCoy are just too good to pass up in a DT draft that will be effectively depleted of top talent after the first round.
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma: This would be a dream scenario for the Bucs, who would likely trade out of this spot if Bradford wasn't taken by the Rams and both of the top DTs were gone. How bad is the defensive front of the Bucs? Former Viking Chris Hovan and Chiefs bust Ryan Sims were the primary starters last year. McCoy would step immediately and provide an upgrade over the aging former first-rounders long since discarded by their original teams. The Bucs need a lot of help, but McCoy helps where they need it most, making him a logical pick here - if not a complete lock.
4. Washington Redskins
Russell Okung, OT, Oklahoma State: There had been rumors that the Redskins might try to pull off a move similar to get Sam Bradford that was made by the Giants and Chargers, when San Diego drafted Eli Manning and New York drafted Philip Rivers only to trade them and an exchange of draft picks hours later. That talk got permanently silenced when the Redskins swung a blockbuster deal within their own division to obtain veteran Donovan McNabb. As a result, the focus now shifts to the other primary needs. With a QB who is 33 years old, a priority is to protect his blind side. With injuries forcing Chris Samuels into retirement, there is a huge void that McNabb was likely assured would be filled before he agreed to come to Washington and seek a contract extension. While some scouts differ on which OT is the best in class, we believe Okung has that mantle and will be an important piece to the puzzle for the new-look Redskins.
5. Kansas City Chiefs 4 12 0 .516
Bryan Bulaga, OT, Iowa: The Chiefs would love to move Branden Albert over to right tackle and build the foundation of a dominant offensive front. Bulaga is about as safe a pick as there is on the board. His quickness is as good as any OT in the draft and he is the reason offensive tackles are taken so often early in the first round. With huge investments paid to players in this position, you want the most security for your investment. Bulaga has good size and reach and has the type of frame most believe can add 20 more pounds without losing foot quickness. We used to have Eric Berry in this spot and he would be the shot-at-stardom pick if taken here. G.M. Scott Pioli came to Kansas City from New England a year ago talking championships. After a disappointing first season, he needs to show improvement. Low-risk picks help assure that gets done.
6. Seattle Seahawks 5 11 0 .477
Trent Williams, OT, Oklahoma: Matt Hasselbeck isn't getting any younger, so if nobody trades in front of them to take QB Jimmy Clausen, he will get serious consideration. That said, future Hall of Fame left tackle Walter Jones is expected to retire and the decline of the Seahawks has coincided with Jones' injuries over the last couple of seasons. When healthy, Hasselbeck can still be a top-tier NFL quarterback, but without blind side help from a big OT. Williams is big, agile and very strong - three things Hasselbeck will need if he expects his playing career to last anything beyond 2010. If not for a work ethic that has come under scrutiny at times, he might have been the first OT off the board, so the Seahawks aren't settling for a "lemming run" pick.
7. Cleveland Browns 5 11
Eric Berry, S, Tennessee: The Vikings did pretty well when they were picking at No. 7 three years ago and the Browns may find a similar fortune with the seventh pick in 2010. Berry is a talent that many believe has the potential to have an impact similar to that of guys like Troy Polamalu, Ed Reed and Bob Sanders. Any time you are put in that category by the majority of scouts that have evaluated you, it's hard to justify keeping him on the board. If Sam Bradford made it to No. 3, Tampa Bay might take Berry ahead of him. The Chiefs will have a hard time passing on him at No. 5. But when it comes down to how teams value the safety position, Berry could slide here. Given the Browns were dismal at the position last year and let starter Brodney Pool go after a series of concussions have derailed a promising career, Berry makes sense. Five years from now, people may look back at this draft and ask how the three or four teams in front of Cleveland passed on him, much like they do with Adrian Peterson three years after the fact.
8. Oakland Raiders 5 11 0 .527
Anthony Davis, OT, Rutgers: There are a lot of things you can say about Al Davis. He's nuts. He's living in the past. He shouldn't make first-round picks. But there is a method to his madness. He loves players that shine at the Combine. How else to you explain Darrius Heyward-Bey or JaMarcus Russell? For that reason alone, we have a sinking feeling that Big Al will reach again for defensive end Jason Pierre-Paul of South Florida. But the need at offensive tackle is so pronounced that there is little in the way of a viable option here. The Raiders have spent (or wasted, depending on your viewpoint) premium picks on offense each of the last three years on Russell, Darren McFadden and DHB. As a result, there is some talk that Oakland might go after running back C.J. Spiller or quarterback Jimmy Clausen. However, if any of these offensive talents are going to ever live up to expectations, strong offensive line play is needed and Davis can go a long way to changing that.
9. Buffalo Bills 6 10 0 .516
Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame: We are convinced that this is too high to take Clausen, but given the recent success of rookie quarterbacks that weren't top selections - Mark Sanchez, Joe Flacco - the Bills may reach to grab Clausen. In many respects, he is likely the most NFL-ready quarterback in the draft. He struggled at times at Notre Dame, but much of the problem wasn't his making. If he makes it past this pick, he could slide all the way into the final third of the first round and perhaps be on the board when the Vikings make their pick at No. 30. If Buffalo does pass, look for them to go after an offensive tackle since they never adequately replaced Jason Peters last year.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars 7 9 0 .496
Earl Thomas, S, Texas: The interesting aspect to this pick is that the Jags could trade down four, five or six spots and likely still get Thomas. As such, this may be a bit of a risk, especially in light of not hitting a home run with first-round safety Reggie Nelson in 2007. But Thomas is a strong safety that can make plays all over the field. The Jags have plenty of needs - wide receiver comes immediately to mind - but having addressed defensive end with the Aaron Kampman signing, the Jags look to use their pick on the biggest area of weakness that needs first-round attention. Wide receiver can wait. Safety can't. Dez Bryant will be tempting, but don't doubt Thomas.
11. Denver (from Chicago) 7 9 0 .496
Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma State: This is the final pick obtained from the Bears from the Jay Cutler trade and will be used to replace the recently-traded Brandon Marshall. Bryant is a problem player with some red-flag type of baggage, but his talent is unquestioned. He is a home-run hitter that can make a big play at any time and fills a huge need after the disgruntled Marshall was sent packing. With multiple picks in the first two rounds, if someone the Broncos like at another position is there, they may wait to take a wide receiver, but Bryant's talent may well outweigh his red flags.   
12. Miami Dolphins 7 9 0 .559
Dan Williams, DT, Tennessee: Bill Parcells has always had a history of trading picks to acquire more and making moves both up and down in the first round, usually down. This year could be no exception. The Dolphins could take a long look at middle linebacker Rolando McClain, but for a 3-4 defense to work, you need a rock in the middle of the D-line. The team is so desperate it re-signed veteran Jason Ferguson knowing he would miss the first eight games due to suspension. This is higher than I would draft Williams - in a previous mock draft, I had him going to the Vikings at No. 30 - but the draft is much more about fine-tuning and addressing specific needs for most teams. This is a screaming need area and, while the Dolphins may trade down a half-dozen spots and still get him, they may have to reach to plug the biggest leak in the defense.
13. San Francisco 49ers 8 8 0 .500
Joe Haden, CB, Florida: The Niners have two of the next five picks, but with a shakeup at the top of their war room just weeks before the draft, it's uncertain who will be the voice that speaks loudest and could pull off a major trade for one or both of these picks. While cornerback isn't the most pressing need, this could be a simple matter of best athlete available. Haden had a poor 40 time at the Combine, but plays extremely fast, something Nate Clements and Walt Harris - the starters to open the 2009 season - don't. He has the chance to be a difference-maker immediately and turn the 21st -rated pass defense in 2009 into the top half in 2010.
14. Seattle Seahawks (from Denver) 8 8 0 .527
C.J. Spiller, RB, Clemson:Ever since Shaun Alexander hit the wall, the Seahawks have struggled to establish a running game. They hoped Julius Jones would be the answer, but he is far too pedestrian to be a go-to running back. Spiller is a multi-talented threat who can break the long run, catch passes and return kicks. He would likely step in and get plenty of playing time immediately and take over the starting role within a few games if not right away. If Clausen is still on the board, he's a possibility as well, but Spiller makes a lot of sense in this spot.
15. New York Giants
0 .535
Rolando McClain, MLB, Alabama: With the recent release of Antonio Pierce, the Giants have an obvious need in this area. If Dan Williams is on the board, he could be considered to fill at the vacated nose tackle position (Fred Robbins signed with the Rams). However, the Giants defense has always been known for its linebackers. The organization has always been able to find ways to re-stock the shelves. McClain is a tackling machine that will immediately make the middle of the Giants defense better. He's a hard player to pass on here.
16. Tennessee 8 8 0 .539
Derrick Morgan, DE, Georgia Tech: The Titans defense has always been known for the play of its defensive ends, but that has hit rock bottom. Jevon Kearse and Kyle Vanden Bosch weren't their former selves in 2009 and it showed early, as teams routinely gashed the Titans defense because it couldn't generate a pass rush. Morgan has many of the raw, explosive characteristics of Julius Peppers and line coach Jim Washburn may be the perfect coach to help bring out his talent.
17. San Francisco 49ers (from Carolina) 8 8 0 .539
Charles Brown, OT, USC: The 49ers addressed a glaring need in the secondary with their first pick; now it's time to help out the offense. Mike Singletary wants to re-establish a power running game, but needs to upgrade the offensive line to do so. While this might be a bit of a reach to take Brown, the talent level at OT drops quickly and, if the Niners truly want to upgrade, they may have to make their move now. This is more of a force pick than a consensus choice, which could have San Francisco moving in a different direction. But, with the 49ers closing the gap between themselves and the Cardinals and recently adding playmaker Ted Ginn Jr. to the mix, this pick makes sense.
18. Pittsburgh Steelers 9 7 0 .488
Maurkice Pouncey, C/G, Florida: The Steelers' primary focus (other than the Ben Roethlisberger debacle) in the offseason has been trying to upgrade the offensive line. Pouncey is a dominant interior lineman capable of manning any of the three inside positions and can be a fixture in the middle of the Steelers offensive line for years to come. Given the Steelers' reluctance to spend huge money to sign outside free agents, getting talent through the draft is a must. Given Pouncey's talent and versatility, he fits that need about as well as any player still on the board.
19. Atlanta Falcons 9 7 0 .504
Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, South Florida: The Falcons have a solid pass rusher in John Abraham, but he's a 10-year veteran and Pierre-Paul is a good fit for such a scenario. Incredibly gifted as an athlete, Pierre-Paul is a raw talent that might need a year or two to fully develop, making him the ideal heir for Abraham in two years and a pass-rush specialist as a rookie. Most teams that would consider drafting him would likely be looking at him to be an immediate starter. If things fall right, that may happen with the Falcons if Pierre-Paul proves he can make an immediate splash. But more likely is working him into the lineup. He is one of the great boom-bust prospects of the draft and, given his talent, don't be surprised if one team as high as the Raiders at No. 8 consider giving him a shot. However, his best fit might be in Hotlanta.
20. Houston Texans 9 7 0 .504
Kyle Wilson, CB, Boise State: The Texans have three general directions to go with in the early rounds. The running game needs a boost since the coaching staff has seemingly lost faith in Steve Slaton. The defensive line is one solid defensive tackle away from potentially being one of the game's most dominant D-lines with Mario Williams, Amobi Okoye and Connor Barwin already in place. But the free-agent loss of CB Dunta Robinson, one of the top corners in the game and the player routinely assigned by the Texans to take away an opponent's top receiver, has made this position a front-burner issue that needs to be addressed with a premium draft pick. Wilson didn't consistently face top competition at Boise State, but is a durable three-year starter who has experience and can hit the ground running in the NFL. The Texans finally got over the 8-8 hump last year, but if they're ever going to catch the Colts, having a top cornerback to replace Robinson is a must.
21. Cincinnati Bengals 10 6 0 .492
Taylor Mays, S, USC: The Bengals addressed their need at wide receiver in free agency with a big-money contract to Antonio Bryant, so it's doubtful they would invest millions more in the same position. There is a sentiment that believes a playmaking tight end like Jermaine Gresham of Oklahoma could be the guy that helps return the Bengals to the offensive elite of the AFC with a solid running game and passing game. But the biggest problem is at safety. Roy Williams and Chris Crocker are showing the signs of age and neither has great range. Mays would compete for a starting job immediately and, within a couple of years, we may be talking about Mays and strong safety Chinedum Ndukwe as the best young safety tandem in the league.
22. New England Patriots 10 6 0 .516
Sergio Kindle, OLB, Texas: The Patriots didn't address the depth issues at linebacker in last year's draft and it hurt them. While they have a couple of decent starters in Adalius Thomas and Tully Banta-Cain, depth is a huge concern. Kindle is the type of aggressive playmaker that the Patriots have always coveted and has ability to step in and make an impact. Having drawn comparisons to Shawne Merriman for his ability as a pass-rushing outside LB in a 3-4 scheme, Kindle could play right away and, with three picks in the second round, if the Patriots stand pat, they could make a lot of noise in the first two days of the draft. But, given their penchant for trading down and stockpiling picks from one year to the next, you can bet the phone lines will be open and the Pats will be listening. However, when one looks back at when the Patriots were the kings of the hill in the NFL, one of the primary reasons was strong linebacker play – something that has been lacking the last two years. Kindle could help ignite a resurgence in that group.
23. Green Bay Packers 11 5 0 .441
Brandon Graham, DE/OLB, Michigan: The clearest need for the Packers is on the offensive line, but with the re-signing of tackles Mark Tauscher and Chad Clifton to three- and two-year contracts, respectively, they might have been a Band-Aid on the problem and will allow the Packers to draft a developmental prospect in the early rounds as an eventual replacement. The biggest immediate need is a pass-rushing OLB in Dom Capers' 3-4 defense. Aaron Kampman struggled to make the shift to OLB last year and left via free agency to Jacksonville. Graham is a ‘tweener in NFL standards for most teams – too small to be a hand-in-the-dirt, every-down end and a step too slow to be a coverage linebacker. He is an ideal fit for a 3-4, however, and the Packers will happily snap him up as they continue to overhaul the defense to get the personnel to better fit the new scheme.
24. Philadelphia Eagles 11 5 0 .484
Mike Iupati, G/C, Idaho: The Eagles were supposed to have the Andrews Brothers (Shawn and Stacy) as fixtures on their offensive line for years to come, but that didn't pan out. The primary needs on the offensive line are in the middle and Iupati is the ideal solution to the problem. Experienced at both guard and center, he can be plugged in wherever the greatest need lies and upgrade the position. There will be some talk that the Eagles may be looking for a pass-rushing defensive end, a cornerback or a running back, but if Kevin Kolb is going to develop as an NFL quarterback, he's going to need time to examine his receiving options. With Donovan McNabb gone to rival Washington, it is unlikely that the Eagles will remain the pass-happy bunch they've been the last two or three years. Iupati's versatility is his calling card and will help the new-look Eagles make the transition into the new decade.
25. Baltimore Ravens 9 7 0 .523
Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma: The Ravens have already established that they have one of the league's most dominant rush offenses. Trading for Anquan Boldin has immediately upgraded the wide receiver corps. All that is missing is a tight end that can make a difference. For years, G.M. Ozzie Newsome (a great NFL tight end in his day) has made sure the Ravens have always had a playmaking tight end. Recently, it was Todd Heap. As injuries took their toll, he added former Eagle L.J. Smith to the mix - with less-than-hoped results. Gresham is a total package at the tight end spot, standing better than 6-6, 261 with great hands and athleticism. He suffered a knee injury last year that wiped out his senior season. Had he come out, he would have been taken in the top half of the first round. As it is, he could be viewed as something of a risk. But if the Ravens' doctors sign off, he could be a steal in the Antonio Gates sort of mold.
26. Arizona Cardinals 10 6 0 .445
Sean Weatherspoon, LB, Missouri: The Cardinals suffered a big loss when they were unable to re-sign Karlos Dansby and he left via free agency. The team signed Joey Porter to help out on the outside, but have done nothing to address the void left on the inside. Weatherspoon played weakside linebacker with the Tigers, but is viewed as being a little too slow-footed to be an ideal OLB in the NFL. Ideally, his landing spot is as an inside linebacker with a 3-4 defense. The Cardinals are such a team and have a clear need at the position. While defensive tackle and wide receiver remain viable options, if the suspect Cardinals defense doesn't replace one of its top players in the middle of the Arizona defense, they will be hard-pressed to pass on Weatherspoon, who looks to be an ideal fit of availability, best-athlete-available and need.   
27. Dallas Cowboys 11 5 0 .488
Rodger Saffold, OT, Indiana: The Cowboys are never able to be put in a box when it comes to how they draft. They have been known to trade down to stockpile picks because of their confidence in drafting athletes their scouting staff has unearthed, so trading out of this spot is a distinct possibility. But, given the lack of quality depth at the OT position and the release of future Hall of Famer Flozell Adams, it has created a huge void. The beating Tony Romo took at the hands of the Vikings was almost criminal and Doug Free doesn't look like a long-term answer. If the Cowboys opted to drop a half-dozen or more spots into the early portion of the second round, they might still be able to get Saffold, but the need is so glaring that they may be best suited to simply sit on their pick, not answer the phone and give Romo some blind-side protection that, at the moment, appears to be lacking.
28. San Diego Chargers 11
0 .453
Ryan Mathews, RB, Fresno State: At the end of the 2009 season, the Chargers cleared the decks with two of their top three veteran running backs. LaDainian Tomlinson and Michael Bennett were cut and Darren Sproles was given a first- and third-round tender. That could keep Sproles in a Chargers uniform, but he isn't considered the every-down back. The question doesn't become if they take a running back. Just who will it be? C.J. Spiller is likely the only one gone here, so the choices include big 235-pound banger Jonathan Dwyer of Georgia Tech or Jahvid Best of Cal. Concerns over back/neck injuries and concussions that cost him time over his senior year will likely drop Best into the second round. Dwyer comes from a gimmick triple-option offense that doesn't always translate immediately to the responsibilities of an NFL running back. Mathews is a strong between-the-tackles runner that the Chargers are used to, so, barring some negative information coming to light, he should have the edge.
29. New York Jets
0 .516
Jerry Hughes, DE/OLB, TCU: For the last month, we had Georgia Tech wide receiver Demaryius Thomas locked and loaded in this spot. But the trade to acquire Santonio Holmes now gives the Jets three quality wide receivers, as he joins Braylon Edwards and Jerricho Cotchery. As a result, the need to use a first-round pick at wide receiver takes a backseat to the needs elsewhere. The Jets recently signed Jason Taylor, but he is far from a long-term answer at outside rush linebacker. Hughes played defensive end for the Horned Frogs, but almost universally is viewed ideally as a rush linebacker in a 3-4 defense. His timetable for being a starter will likely suffer with the switch to a new position, but the Jets serve as an ideal landing spot. Taylor is best used as a "part-time starter" – a guy who ideally would be on the field for about 60 percent of plays. With his age and the wear and tear starting to catch up with him, he will need a breather more than the average 3-4 OLB. With defensive guru Rex Ryan running the show, Hughes can be worked into the lineup as a rookie with the expectation of being groomed for the starting job in 2011.
30. Minnesota Vikings 12 4 0 .441
Tim Tebow, QB, Florida: I have become more and more convinced that Tebow's competitive intangibles are going to win the day. Initially, I was convinced that, after the first round ends and teams have about 20 hours before the second round starts, those teams with an interest in Tebow would be knocking down the doors of the Rams, Lions and Bucs to get into the top three spots to take Tebow. But, as the positive Tebow vibe grows, so does the price. A month before the 2009 draft, Mark Sanchez was viewed as a mid- to late-round pick. But as his buzz grew in the days and weeks leading up to the draft, his stock rose to the point that the Jets orchestrated a huge trade to get into the position to take him. He didn't play a game in that span, but the buzz that surrounds young QBs is intense because the NFL is a quarterback-driven league. Instead of teams looking to line up to woo the Rams and Lions with additional picks to move into their spot, I'm now convinced that a team with a man-crush on Tebow will be approaching the Jets, Vikings, Colts and Saints to get into their spot to cut a deal before the competition heats up if he remains on the board at the end of the first round. While I am more convinced that Tebow will get drafted in the first round, I'm not as sure the Vikings will be the team making the pick. Although Rick Spielman's history is to trade up rather than down, a team like the Patriots could offer two of their three second-round picks. Such a deal would make sense, since there is value in the second round of this year's draft and what better way for Tebow to learn than playing behind Tom Brady for three or four years before taking over as the starter. However, the same could said if the Vikings keep the pick, because, with the anticipation Brett Favre will come back, Tebow could learn the NFL game inside and out without the pressure of having to play. That being said, if interior offensive linemen Mike Iupati or Maurkice Pouncey fall to this spot, the Vikings may very well take them. However, this smells like a trade spot and the offers may be too good to pass up.
31. Indianapolis Colts 14 2 0 .473
Everson Griffen, DE, USC : The Colts would love to see a versatile interior lineman like Maurkice Pouncey or Mike Iupati fall to this spot, but, with both of them off the board in our mock, they have to look at other needs. The Colts have a pair of studs as their starters – Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis – but, after allowing Raheem Brock to leave via free agency, depth is a major concern. Griffen has a tremendous upside and, although there are some character questions, no team has been able to maintain the level of success the Colts have. Winning 12 games in any season is an achievement. To do it seven straight years in a row is not a fluke. They've done it by taking talented players that slide in the draft and molding them into stars. Griffen fits that requirement and could develop into another Indy draft steal.
32. New Orleans Saints 13 3 0 .426
Carlos Dunlap, DE, Florida: When you're the defending champ and have the last pick of the first round, it truly tests your draft board. Any team in this position stacking its board will likely have a handful of players it had rated as a first-round talent still available. The release of Charles Grant has not only opened up one critical position, it has potentially had the secondary effect of allowing opponents to double-team and chip Will Smith constantly. To avoid that, the Saints need somebody who can bring the heat from the other side. Dunlap is the type of player that carries the "boom/bust" sort of tag on him, but every week the Saints are going to be facing teams looking to make a name for themselves by hammering the champs. The Saints need to get a starter out of this pick and, with the greatest need being a complementary defensive end for Smith, Dunlap has the most gamble-on-greatness potential and sometimes you have to roll dice at the end of the round. At 6-5½ and 280 pounds, Dunlap might be the player worth risking a first-round pick on.

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