Arizona
Diamondbacks
Stadium Chase Field
49-47 Overall | NL WEST 2nd
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Diamondbacks.2605001394.19
Schedule
Regular season
Sun  7/21
vs
Brewers
4:10pm
Mon  7/22
vs
Orioles
9:40pm
Tue  7/23
vs
Orioles
9:40pm
Wed  7/24
vs
Orioles
3:40pm
Fri  7/26
@
Marlins
7:10pm
Sat  7/27
@
Marlins
6:10pm
Sun  7/28
@
Marlins
1:10pm
Mon  7/29
@
Marlins
7:10pm
Tue  7/30
@
Yankees
7:05pm
Wed  7/31
@
Yankees
1:05pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP

The D-Backs are World Series contenders and their chances are clearly on the rise. In our pre-season forecast they had less than a 1% chance of winning it all. On 3/31 they had a 0.1% chance before increasing to 3.2% on 5/6. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 1.2%. Before the start of their 2 game winning streak they were at 0.8%. They will be fighting for a playoff spot (currently projected to finish #7 in the conference) and have a 43% chance of making the playoffs. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the NL at 2.4% (40/1 odds) and a 1.2% chance of winning it all (80/1). In simulations they make the World Series 3.1% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 49% #15 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 53% #2 Toughest

D-Backs' Season Forecast Changes

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B+

At 49-47 the D-Backs are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 46.1 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 39 good wins vs 17 bad losses. They have won 54% of their road games and were expected to win 45%. At home they have a 48% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 52%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (9-6, 60%) is better than their expected 47% win percentage. The D-Backs should be a slightly above average team based on simulations where they won 52.2% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#13 in the league). They have moved up from #18 in the league back on 3/27.

Their record should be better. Their average run differential is +0.75 which ranks #2 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #7. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #1 ranked team in run differential in road games, vs #6 in home games. Their average run differential in their past 8 games is +3.88 which ranks them #1 over this stretch, slightly better than overall.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY

The forecast for their next 10 games is generally good. They have 3 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 4 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and just 1 game where they are a clear underdog. The rest of the games are toss ups.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

JUL 18
CLOSE GAME
52% MIL
--
JUL 19
CLOSE GAME
44% MIL
--
JUL 20
CLOSE GAME
59% MIL
--
JUL 21
CLOSE GAME
59% MIL
--
JUL 22
LIKELY WIN
66% BAL
--
JUL 23
LIKELY WIN
68% BAL
--
JUL 24
CLOSE GAME
57% BAL
--
JUL 26
CLOSE GAME
56% @MIA
1979 miles
JUL 27
CLOSE GAME
47% @MIA
-- miles
JUL 28
LIKELY WIN
62% @MIA
-- miles

The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 6-4 (24% chance). Their chances of winning 8 or more are 11.7%. At #7 in the league, they are fighting with the Cardinals for positioning. With a +0.66 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they have a good chance of improving their league seed. They are in a battle with Phillies in the league. With a +1.28 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the D-Backs are the 5th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the D-Backs are playing 13 games, traveling 20124 miles crossing 30 time zones. They rank #4 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Arizona Diamondbacks' next game. They are -107 favorites and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
13 Ahmed, Nick SS6-219503/15/19906Connecticut
35 Andriese, Matt RP6-222508/28/19895No College
31 Avila, Alex C5-1121001/29/198711Alabama
25 Bradley, Archie RP6-422508/10/19925No College
40 Chafin, Andrew RP6-222506/17/19906Kent State
1 Dyson, Jarrod CF5-1016508/15/198410No College
5 Escobar, Eduardo 3B5-1018501/05/19899No College
41 Flores, Wilmer 2B6-320508/06/19917No College
52 Godley, Zack RP6-324004/21/19905Tennessee
21 Greinke, Zack SP6-220010/21/198316No College
66 Hirano, Yoshihisa RP6-118503/08/19842No College
56 Holland, Greg RP5-1021511/20/19859No College
10 Jones, Adam RF6-221508/01/198514No College
18 Kelly, Carson C6-222007/14/19944No College
29 Kelly, Merrill SP6-219010/14/19881Arizona State
22 Lamb, Jake 3B6-321510/09/19906Washington
2 Leyba, Domingo 2B5-1116009/11/19951No College
16 Locastro, Tim LF6-120007/14/19923No College
50 Lopez, Yoan RP6-318501/02/19932No College
4 Marte, Ketel CF6-116510/12/19935No College
30 McFarland, T.J. RP6-322006/08/19897No College
38 Ray, Robbie SP6-219510/01/19916No College
19 Swihart, Blake RF6-120004/03/19925No College
15 Vargas, Ildemaro 2B6-017007/16/19913No College
53 Walker, Christian 1B6-022003/28/19915South Carolina
49 Young, Alex SP6-322109/09/19931TCU