|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 73.9-77.1. At 77-74 they are in line with these expectations. If you bet on them to win every game you would be up big (+273 units). They are one of the best teams against the spread (84-67) for a +745 profit. Their under-over record is 73-69 with 9 pushes. They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the Miami Marlins. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
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SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
Their odds to win it all are 1000/1, 0.1% (#15). They do not win the World Series in any simulations. They are not a good value to win the NL either at 500/1, 0.2%. Their pre-season futures line was 75.5 wins so they have hit the over. Their playoff chances are under 1%. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the NL.
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Their record should be better. Their average run differential is +0.4 which ranks #6 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #9. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #4 ranked team in run differential in road games, vs #7 in home games. They are trending down. Their average run differential in their past 13 games is -1.15 (#12 over this stretch).
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Ketel Marte who is projected to be the #12 second baseman the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|48||Almonte, Abraham||RF||5-9||210||06/27/1989||7||No College|
|35||Andriese, Matt||RP||6-2||225||08/28/1989||5||No College|
|25||Bradley, Archie||RP||6-4||225||08/10/1992||5||No College|
|40||Chafin, Andrew||RP||6-2||225||06/17/1990||6||Kent State|
|45||Clarke, Taylor||SP||6-4||200||05/13/1993||1||No College|
|57||Duplantier, Jon||RP||6-4||225||No College|
|1||Dyson, Jarrod||CF||5-10||165||08/15/1984||10||No College|
|5||Escobar, Eduardo||3B||5-10||185||01/05/1989||9||No College|
|41||Flores, Wilmer||2B||6-3||205||08/06/1991||7||No College|
|59||Gallen, Zac||SP||6-1||196||08/03/1995||1||North Carolina|
|66||Hirano, Yoshihisa||RP||6-1||185||03/08/1984||2||No College|
|10||Jones, Adam||RF||6-2||215||08/01/1985||14||No College|
|14||Joseph, Caleb||C||6-3||180||06/18/1986||6||No College|
|18||Kelly, Carson||C||6-2||220||07/14/1994||4||No College|
|29||Kelly, Merrill||SP||6-2||190||10/14/1988||1||Arizona State|
|8||Leake, Mike||SP||5-11||170||11/12/1987||10||Arizona State|
|2||Leyba, Domingo||2B||5-11||160||09/11/1995||1||No College|
|16||Locastro, Tim||LF||6-1||200||07/14/1992||3||No College|
|50||Lopez, Yoan||RP||6-3||185||01/02/1993||2||No College|
|4||Marte, Ketel||CF||6-1||165||10/12/1993||5||No College|
|30||McFarland, T.J.||RP||6-3||220||06/08/1989||7||No College|
|38||Ray, Robbie||SP||6-2||195||10/01/1991||6||No College|
|63||Scott, Robby||RP||6-3||220||08/29/1989||4||Florida State|
|15||Vargas, Ildemaro||2B||6-0||170||07/16/1991||3||No College|
|53||Walker, Christian||1B||6-0||220||03/28/1991||5||South Carolina|