REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND 2019 OUTLOOK
The regular season went worse than expected. They won 82 games vs an expected win total of 84.8. They met expectations on the road. It was at home where they came up short. They won 51.9% on the road which was better than expected (49.1%). They won 40 at home and were expected to win 45. We are only projecting 77.1 wins in our latest season forecast for next season and are projected to finish eleventh in the National League. There is not much of a gap between them and the #9 ranked Rockies who are projected for 80.1 wins. They are a longshot contender with a 0.4% chance of winning the World Series based on simulations and a 1% chance of reaching the Series. They are not a good futures betting value with championship odds of 80/1, 1.2% and odds to win the NL at 40/1, 2.4%. Had they not had a firesale of their top talent this off-season they would have been projected to win nearly 90 games and would have been real contenders.
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TEAM STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Their record should be slightly better. Since last season their average run differential is +0.3 which ranks #7 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #8. They are the #7 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #6 ranked team among home teams.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
TEAM STATS AND BETTING RESULT GAMELOG
Below is a betting recap of all 162 regular games. Anyone who backed the D-Backs in all of their games would have earned a +297 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the run line, they have delivered a +39 profit risking 100 units on each game (82-80 PL). The D-Backs have turned a run line profit on the road but have lost at home.