SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their odds to win it all are 300/1, 0.3% (#17). While not completely impossible, their chances of winning the World Series is under 0.1 percent. In simulations, they win the NL 0.3% of the time and are not a good value at 150/1, 0.7%. They are projected to win 83 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 75.5. Their playoff chances stand at 6.7% (0% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the NL.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

After 137 games, their expected win percentage is 49% based on the money line odds. At 70-67 they are in line with these expectations. Money line betters would be up big taking them in every game (+418 units). They are one of the best teams against the spread (76-61) for a +576 profit. Their over-under record is 64-64 with 9 pushes. They are favored in their upcoming game vs the San Diego Padres. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record should be better. Their average run differential is +0.5 which ranks #5 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #8. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #3 ranked team in run differential in road games, vs #7 in home games. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is +0.17 which ranks them #6 over this stretch, slightly worse than overall.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Ketel Marte who is projected to be the #7 second baseman the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.