Atlanta
Braves
Stadium SunTrust Park
0-0 Overall | NL EAST 1st
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Braves00.00
Schedule
Preseason
Fri  3/1
vs
Blue Jays
W4-3
Sat  3/2
@
Tigers
L4-7
Sun  3/3
vs
Marlins
W6-5
Mon  3/4
vs
Astros
L3-4
Tue  3/5
@
Yankees
L1-5
Wed  3/6
@
Marlins
W4-0
Wed  3/6
vs
Tigers
W8-2
Regular season
Thu  3/28
@
Phillies
3:05pm
Sat  3/30
@
Phillies
FS14:05pm
Sun  3/31
@
Phillies
ESPN7:08pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND 2019 OUTLOOK

Their 90 regular season wins exceeded expectations. It was +8.7 above what oddsmakers' money line projected. The season went better than expected. They exceeded expectations on the road. Their 53.1% home win percentage was as expected (53.7%). They won 58% on the road which was much better than expected (46.7%). The latest simulations project a significant drop in wins with a per simulation average of 83 wins and are projected to finish seventh in the National League. There is not much of a gap between them and the #6 ranked Phillies who are projected for 83.9 wins. They are a longshot contender with a 1.2% chance of winning the World Series based on simulations and a 3.3% chance of reaching the Series. They are not a good futures betting value with championship odds of 18/1, 5.3% and odds to win the NL at 9/1, 10%. Like their win total, which is just under the line, their chances of making the playoffs, 34% is just under what their +170 (37%) implies.

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TEAM STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record should be slightly better. Since last season their average run differential is +0.54 which ranks #4 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #5. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #4 ranked team in run differential in road games, vs #7 in home games.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

TEAM STATS AND BETTING RESULT GAMELOG

Below is a betting recap of all 162 regular games. Anyone who backed the Braves in all of their games would have earned a +1876 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the run line, they have lost -736 units risking 100 units on each pick (82-80 PL). They are down against the run line at home and on the road.

  • screen-shot-2019-03-18-at-10-17-13-am.png
    cbs sports

    Brewers spoof 'Mean Girls'

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
13 Acuna, Ronald CF6-018012/18/19971No College
1 Albies, Ozzie 2B5-816501/07/19972No College
63 Biddle, Jesse SP6-522010/22/19911No College
17 Camargo, Johan SS6-019512/13/19932No College
51 Carle, Shane SP6-421008/30/19912No College
8 Culberson, Charlie 2B6-120004/10/19896No College
20 Donaldson, Josh 3B6-121012/08/19858No College
23 Duvall, Adam LF6-121509/04/19885No College
25 Flowers, Tyler C6-426001/24/198610No College
26 Foltynewicz, Mike SP6-420010/07/19915No College
5 Freeman, Freddie 1B6-522009/12/19899No College
39 Freeman, Sam RP5-1118006/24/19877No College
54 Fried, Max SP6-419001/18/19942No College
45 Gausman, Kevin SP6-320001/06/19916No College
11 Inciarte, Ender CF5-1119010/29/19905No College
64 Jackson, Luke SP6-221008/24/19914No College
55 Lopez, Raffy C5-919010/02/19874No College
22 Markakis, Nick RF6-121011/17/198313No College
16 McCann, Brian C6-321502/20/198414No College
32 McCarthy, Brandon SP6-821507/07/198313No College
33 Minter, A.J. RP6-021509/02/19932No College
15 Newcomb, Sean SP6-525506/12/19932No College
56 O'Day, Darren RP6-422010/22/198211No College
67 Parsons, Wes SP6-519009/06/19921No College
61 Sobotka, Chad RP6-722507/10/19931No College
40 Soroka, Michael SP6-4195No College
7 Swanson, Dansby SS6-119002/11/19943No College
49 Teheran, Julio SP6-220501/27/19918No College
62 Toussaint, Touki RP6-321506/20/19961No College
48 Venters, Jonny RP6-320003/20/19854No College
38 Vizcaino, Arodys SP6-024511/13/19906No College
66 Wilson, Bryse SP6-223012/20/19971No College
58 Winkler, Dan RP6-320502/02/19904No College
65 Wright, Kyle SP6-421510/02/19951No College