REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND 2019 OUTLOOK

Their 90 regular season wins exceeded expectations. It was +8.7 above what oddsmakers' money line projected. The season went better than expected. They exceeded expectations on the road. Their 53.1% home win percentage was as expected (53.7%). They won 58% on the road which was much better than expected (46.7%). The latest simulations project a significant drop in wins with a per simulation average of 83 wins and are projected to finish seventh in the National League. There is not much of a gap between them and the #6 ranked Phillies who are projected for 83.9 wins. They are a longshot contender with a 1.2% chance of winning the World Series based on simulations and a 3.3% chance of reaching the Series. They are not a good futures betting value with championship odds of 18/1, 5.3% and odds to win the NL at 9/1, 10%. Like their win total, which is just under the line, their chances of making the playoffs, 34% is just under what their +170 (37%) implies.

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TEAM STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record should be slightly better. Since last season their average run differential is +0.54 which ranks #4 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #5. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #4 ranked team in run differential in road games, vs #7 in home games.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

TEAM STATS AND BETTING RESULT GAMELOG

Below is a betting recap of all 162 regular games. Anyone who backed the Braves in all of their games would have earned a +1876 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the run line, they have lost -736 units risking 100 units on each pick (82-80 PL). They are down against the run line at home and on the road.