Atlanta
Braves
Stadium SunTrust Park
58-40 Overall | NL EAST 1st
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Braves.2615201534.29
Schedule
Regular season
Sat  7/20
vs
Nationals
FS17:20pm
Sun  7/21
vs
Nationals
ESPN7:08pm
Tue  7/23
vs
Royals
7:20pm
Wed  7/24
vs
Royals
7:20pm
Fri  7/26
@
Phillies
7:05pm
Sat  7/27
@
Phillies
7:05pm
Sun  7/28
@
Phillies
1:05pm
Mon  7/29
@
Nationals
ESPN7:05pm
Tue  7/30
@
Nationals
7:05pm
Wed  7/31
@
Nationals
12:05pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 9 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY CLOUDY

The forecast for their next 9 games is a mixed bag. They have 3 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 2 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and just 4 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

JUL 19
CLOSE GAME
43% WAS
--
JUL 20
LIKELY WIN
64% WAS
--
JUL 21
CLOSE GAME
42% WAS
--
JUL 23
LIKELY WIN
66% KC
--
JUL 24
CLOSE GAME
59% KC
--
JUL 26
LIKELY WIN
63% @PHI
665 miles
JUL 27
CLOSE GAME
49% @PHI
-- miles
JUL 28
CLOSE GAME
53% @PHI
-- miles
JUL 29
LIKELY LOSS
37% @WAS
122 miles
JUL 30
CLOSE GAME
41% @WAS
-- miles

The most likely scenario over the next 9 games is a record of 5-4 (27% chance). Their chances of winning 7 or more are 12%. At #2 in the league, they are behind the Dodgers by 5.5 points. With a -1.06 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are ahead of the Cubs by 5 points. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Cubs. Their projected wins (4.76) over the next 9 games is virtually the same so we do not expect a change in standings in the near term.

The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Braves are the 3rd most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Braves are playing 13 games, traveling 6705 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #12 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Atlanta Braves' next game. They are +136 underdogs and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B

At 58-40 the Braves are greatly exceeding their money line projected win total of 52 wins. In the process of beating expectations they have had 31 impressive wins where they were given

Their record is better than it should be. Their average run differential is +0.47 which ranks #4 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #2. They are the #6 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #4 ranked team among home teams. They are trending down. Their average run differential in their past 10 games is -1.2 (#12 over this stretch).

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG

The Braves are World Series contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 1.2% chance of winning it all. On 5/15 they had a 0.3% chance before increasing to 6.9% on 7/16. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 5.4%. Before the start of their 3 game losing streak they were at 6.5%. They have a 60.4% chance of winning their division. They are projected to finish #2 in the conference and have a 92% chance of making the playoffs. Based on the odds, they have a 16.7% chance of winning the NL (5/1) and a 7.7% chance of winning it all (12/1). In simulations they make the World Series 12.7% of the time.

Season Strength of Schedule is Relatively Easy

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 48% #10 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 49% #11 Easiest

Braves' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
13 Acuna, Ronald CF6-018012/18/19972No College
1 Albies, Ozzie 2B5-816501/07/19973No College
50 Blevins, Jerry RP6-619009/06/198313No College
17 Camargo, Johan 3B6-019512/13/19933No College
8 Culberson, Charlie LF6-120004/10/19897No College
20 Donaldson, Josh 3B6-121012/08/19859Auburn
25 Flowers, Tyler C6-426001/24/198611No College
5 Freeman, Freddie 1B6-522009/12/198910No College
11 Inciarte, Ender CF5-1119010/29/19906No College
77 Jackson, Luke RP6-221008/24/19915No College
14 Joyce, Matt RF6-220008/03/198412No College
60 Keuchel, Dallas SP6-320701/01/19888Arkansas
22 Markakis, Nick RF6-121011/17/198314No College
16 McCann, Brian C6-321502/20/198415No College
33 Minter, A.J. RP6-021509/02/19933Texas A&M
15 Newcomb, Sean RP6-525506/12/19933No College
52 Parsons, Wes RP6-519009/06/19922No College
27 Riley, Austin LF6-324004/02/19971No College
61 Sobotka, Chad RP6-722507/10/19932No College
40 Soroka, Michael SP6-4195No College
7 Swanson, Dansby SS6-119002/11/19944Vanderbilt
38 Swarzak, Anthony RP6-421509/10/198510No College
49 Teheran, Julio SP6-220501/27/19919No College
32 Tomlin, Josh RP6-119010/19/198410Texas Tech
62 Toussaint, Touki RP6-321506/20/19962No College
72 Weigel, Patrick SP6-623007/08/19940Houston
30 Wright, Kyle SP6-421510/02/19952Vanderbilt