REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND 2019 OUTLOOK
Their 90 regular season wins exceeded expectations. It was +8.7 above what oddsmakers' money line projected. The season went better than expected. They exceeded expectations on the road. Their 53.1% home win percentage was as expected (53.7%). They won 58% on the road which was much better than expected (46.7%). The latest simulations project a significant drop in wins with a per simulation average of 83 wins and are projected to finish seventh in the National League. There is not much of a gap between them and the #6 ranked Phillies who are projected for 83.9 wins. They are a longshot contender with a 1.2% chance of winning the World Series based on simulations and a 3.3% chance of reaching the Series. They are not a good futures betting value with championship odds of 18/1, 5.3% and odds to win the NL at 9/1, 10%. Like their win total, which is just under the line, their chances of making the playoffs, 34% is just under what their +170 (37%) implies.
SportsLine has the best MLB picks and Daily Fantasy Lineups. In the off-season check out our coverage of all major leagues (NFL, NHL, NBA, Horses, NASCAR, and Golf).
TEAM STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Their record should be slightly better. Since last season their average run differential is +0.54 which ranks #4 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #5. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #4 ranked team in run differential in road games, vs #7 in home games.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
TEAM STATS AND BETTING RESULT GAMELOG
Below is a betting recap of all 162 regular games. Anyone who backed the Braves in all of their games would have earned a +1876 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the run line, they have lost -736 units risking 100 units on each pick (82-80 PL). They are down against the run line at home and on the road.