Baltimore
Orioles
Stadium Oriole Park at Camden Yards
10-16 Overall | AL EAST 5th
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Orioles.244118316.03
Schedule
Regular season
Sat  4/20
vs
Twins
L7-16
Sun  4/21
vs
Twins
L3-4
Mon  4/22
vs
White Sox
L2-12
Tue  4/23
vs
White Sox
W9-1
Wed  4/24
vs
White Sox
W4-3
Fri  4/26
@
Twins
8:10pm
Sat  4/27
@
Twins
2:10pm
Sun  4/28
@
Twins
2:10pm
Mon  4/29
@
White Sox
8:10pm
Tue  4/30
@
White Sox
8:10pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP

Before the season, the Orioles were projected for 55.7 points (average per simulation) and things are looking positive. On 3/24 they had a 52.5% chance before increasing to 60.9% on 4/16. From the start of the season to now their chances are up to 59.7%.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 51% #5 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 50% #16 Easiest

Orioles' Season Forecast Changes

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SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-

At 10-16 the Orioles are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 9.2 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 9 good wins vs 7 bad losses. They have been better than expected on the road. Their 7-6- road record is +23% better than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (6-15, 29%) is under their expected 37% win percentage. In simulations where the Orioles played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 36.3% of the time (#29 in the league). Their peak sim% was 37.6% back on 4/15.

Their record is better than it should be. Their average run differential is -1.81 which ranks #15 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #13. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #9 ranked team in run differential in road games, vs #15 in home games. Their average run differential in their past 14 games is -1.29 which ranks them #14 over this stretch, slightly better than overall.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

NEXT 9 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY

The Orioles next 9 game forecast looks rough, to say the least. They are the clear underdog in 10 out of the 9 games.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

APR 26
LIKELY LOSS
35% @MIN
939 miles
APR 27
LIKELY LOSS
32% @MIN
-- miles
APR 28
LIKELY LOSS
33% @MIN
-- miles
APR 29
CLOSE GAME
43% @CHW
358 miles
APR 30
CLOSE GAME
41% @CHW
-- miles
MAY 1
CLOSE GAME
45% @CHW
-- miles
MAY 3
LIKELY LOSS
34% TB
--
MAY 4
LIKELY LOSS
38% TB
--
MAY 5
LIKELY LOSS
31% TB
--
MAY 6
LIKELY LOSS
34% BOS
--

The most likely scenario over the next 9 games is a record of 3-6 (27% chance). Their chances of winning 5 or more are 20%. At #13 in the league, they are behind the White Sox by half a point. With a -1.58 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are ahead of the Angels by half a point. With a -1.56 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they may find the gap between them closing.

The Baltimore Orioles' next game is on April 26. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
57 Alberto, Hanser 2B5-1117010/17/19924No College
37 Bundy, Dylan SP6-122511/15/19925No College
54 Cashner, Andrew SP6-523509/11/198610No College
50 Castro, Miguel RP6-720512/24/19945No College
17 Cobb, Alex SP6-320510/07/19878No College
19 Davis, Chris 1B6-324503/17/198612No College
51 Fry, Paul RP6-020507/26/19922No College
60 Givens, Mychal RP6-023005/13/19905No College
41 Hess, David SP6-121007/10/19932No College
16 Mancini, Trey RF6-423003/18/19924No College
1 Martin, Richie SS5-1119012/22/19941No College
67 Means, John RP6-323004/24/19932No College
39 Nunez, Renato DH6-122004/04/19944No College
58 Phillips, Evan RP6-221509/11/19942No College
23 Rickard, Joey RF6-018505/21/19914No College
14 Ruiz, Rio 3B6-121505/22/19944No College
66 Scott, Tanner RP6-222007/22/19943No College
28 Severino, Pedro C6-121907/20/19935No College
35 Smith, Dwight LF5-1119510/26/19923No College
53 Straily, Dan SP6-122012/01/19888No College
40 Sucre, Jesus C6-023004/30/19887No College
2 Villar, Jonathan 2B6-121505/02/19917No College
12 Wilkerson, Stevie 2B6-119501/11/19922No College
31 Yacabonis, Jimmy P6-320503/21/19923No College
64 Ynoa, Gabriel RP6-222005/26/19933No College