SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

The Orioles are off the betting board and have no odds to win the championship. They are projected to win 53 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 59. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +4000 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their preseason chances to win the division were 0.1% at 300/1, 0.3%. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the AL.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 46.4-83.6. They are coming up short of expectations at 42-88. If you bet on them to win every game you would be down quite a bit (-1660 units). They are not good against the spread (55-75) for a -1710 loss. Their over-under record is 64-57 with 9 pushes. In their next game vs the Rays they are only winning 34% of the simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average run differential is -1.96 which ranks #15 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #14. They are the #15 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #14 ranked team among home teams. Based on run differential, they are trending up. Their average run differential in their past 14 games is -1.64 (#12 over this stretch).

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Jonathan Villar who is projected to be the #12 second baseman the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.