SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their odds to win it all are 200/1, 0.5% (#15). Their 0.2% chance is #14 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. In simulations, they win the AL 0.3% of the time and are not a good value at 100/1, 1%. They are projected to win 88 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 93.5. Their playoff chances stand at 3.3% (0% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the AL.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 80.8-56.2. At 74-63 they short of expectations. If you bet on them to win every game you would be down quite a bit (-1634 units). They are not good against the spread (58-79) for a -2985 loss. Their over-under record is 78-55 with 4 pushes. Their next game vs the Twins should be close. The Red Sox are winning 51 percent of computer simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record should be slightly better. Their average run differential is +0.66 which ranks #6 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #7. They are the #5 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #7 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 10 games is +0.9.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Mookie Betts who is projected to be the #2 outfielder the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.