|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-
At 36-41 the White Sox are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 33 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 26 good wins vs 20 bad losses. They have won 40% of their road games and were expected to win 40%. At home they have a 54% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 46%. Losers of 4 in a row they have a 46.2% chance of seeing that extend to 6 straight. In simulations where the White Sox played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 42.1% of the time (#25 in the league). They have moved up from #27 in the league back on 5/22.
Their record is better than it should be. Their average run differential is -0.86 which ranks #12 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #10. They are the #11 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #12 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 11 games is -1.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
NEXT 9 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY CLOUDY
The forecast for their next 9 games is a mixed bag. They have 2 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, and just 5 games where they are a clear underdog.
The most likely scenario over the next 9 games is a record of 5-4 (28% chance). Their chances of winning 7 or more are 11.2%. At #10 in the league, they are behind the Angels by 2.5 points. They have a +0.22 advantage in projected wins over their next 9 games and could narrow the gap. They are ahead of the Mariners by 3 points. With a +0.85 advantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the White Sox are the 11th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the White Sox are playing 10 games, traveling 848 miles crossing 1 time zone. They rank #26 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
Sportsline has a free pick on the Chicago White Sox's next game. They are +292 underdogs and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG
Before the season, the White Sox were projected for 66.6 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 5/6 they had a 61.3% chance before increasing to 73.3% on 6/25. From the start of the season to now their chances are up to 72.9%. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the AL at 2% (50/1 odds) and a 1% chance of winning it all (100/1).
Strength of Schedule Getting Tougher
White Sox's Season Forecast Changes
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|79||Abreu, Jose||1B||6-3||245||01/29/1987||6||No College|
|17||Alonso, Yonder||DH||6-1||230||04/08/1987||10||Miami (FL)|
|7||Anderson, Tim||SS||6-1||185||06/23/1993||4||No College|
|38||Collins, Zack||C||6-3||220||02/06/1995||1||Miami (FL)|
|48||Colome, Alex||RP||6-1||220||12/31/1988||7||No College|
|49||Cordell, Ryan||RF||6-4||205||03/31/1992||2||No College|
|57||Fry, Jace||RP||6-1||205||07/09/1993||3||Oregon State|
|28||Garcia, Leury||CF||5-8||180||03/18/1991||7||No College|
|27||Giolito, Lucas||SP||6-6||245||07/14/1994||4||No College|
|41||Herrera, Kelvin||RP||5-10||205||12/31/1989||9||No College|
|45||Jay, Jon||RF||5-11||195||03/15/1985||10||Miami (FL)|
|74||Jimenez, Eloy||LF||6-4||220||11/27/1996||1||No College|
|40||Lopez, Reynaldo||SP||5-11||200||01/04/1994||4||No College|
|43||Marshall, Evan||RP||6-2||225||04/18/1990||6||Kansas State|
|37||Minaya, Juan||RP||6-4||230||09/18/1990||4||No College|
|10||Moncada, Yoan||3B||6-2||220||05/27/1995||4||No College|
|46||Nova, Ivan||SP||6-5||250||01/12/1987||10||No College|
|64||Osich, Josh||RP||6-3||232||09/03/1988||5||Oregon State|
|20||Rondon, Jose||2B||6-1||195||03/03/1994||3||No College|
|66||Ruiz, Jose||RP||6-1||190||10/21/1994||3||No College|
|5||Sanchez, Yolmer||2B||5-11||185||06/29/1992||6||No College|
|22||Tilson, Charlie||RF||6-1||190||12/02/1992||3||No College|