|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
The Reds are off the betting board and have no odds to win the championship. They are projected to win 75 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 79. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +425 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their preseason chances to win the division were 0.2% at 15/1, 6.2%. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the NL.
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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
After 151 games, their expected win percentage is 49% based on the money line odds. At 70-81 they are in line with these expectations. Money line backers would be down quite a bit (-1342 units). They are not good against the spread (78-73) for a -112 loss. Their under-over record is 86-57 with 8 pushes. Based on computer simulations they only have a 45% chance to beat the Cubs in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Their record should be better. Their average run differential is +0.03 which ranks #8 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #11. They are the #8 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #9 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 13 games is -0.31 which ranks them #9 over this stretch, slightly worse than overall.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Eugenio Suarez who is projected to be the #12 third baseman the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|32||Alaniz, Ruben||RP||6-4||219||06/14/1991||1||No College|
|44||Aquino, Aristides||RF||6-4||220||04/22/1994||2||No College|
|16||Barnhart, Tucker||C||5-11||192||01/07/1991||6||No College|
|67||Bowman, Matt||RP||6-0||185||05/31/1991||4||No College|
|58||Castillo, Luis||SP||6-2||190||12/12/1992||3||No College|
|---||Colon, Christian||6-0||190||05/14/1989||5||No College|
|22||Dietrich, Derek||2B||6-0||212||07/18/1989||7||Georgia Tech|
|6||Ervin, Phillip||LF||5-10||207||07/15/1992||3||No College|
|3||Galvis, Freddy||2B||5-10||185||11/14/1989||8||No College|
|50||Garrett, Amir||RP||6-5||228||05/03/1992||3||No College|
|68||Graterol, Juan||C||6-1||205||02/14/1989||4||No College|
|49||Herget, Jimmy||RP||6-3||170||09/09/1993||1||No College|
|4||Iglesias, Jose||SS||5-11||185||01/05/1990||8||No College|
|26||Iglesias, Raisel||RP||6-2||188||01/04/1990||5||No College|
|66||Kuhnel, Joel||RP||6-5||260||02/19/1995||1||No College|
|21||Lorenzen, Michael||RP||6-3||217||01/04/1992||5||No College|
|30||Mahle, Tyler||SP||6-3||210||09/29/1994||3||No College|
|63||Mella, Keury||SP||6-2||200||08/02/1993||2||No College|
|9||Peraza, Jose||2B||6-0||196||04/30/1994||5||No College|
|47||Romano, Sal||RP||6-5||255||10/12/1993||3||No College|
|39||Sims, Lucas||RP||6-2||225||05/10/1994||3||No College|
|55||Stephenson, Robert||RP||6-3||215||02/24/1993||4||No College|
|7||Suarez, Eugenio||3B||5-11||213||07/18/1991||6||No College|
|17||VanMeter, Josh||LF||5-11||165||03/10/1995||1||No College|
|19||Votto, Joey||1B||6-2||220||09/10/1983||13||No College|