|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
Their odds to win it all are 2000/1 (#19). They have no chance to win the championship. They are not a good value to win the NL either at 1000/1, 0.1%. They are projected to win 75 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 79. Their playoff chances are under 1%. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the NL.
For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all MLB games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.
REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
After 137 games, their expected win percentage is 49% based on the money line odds. At 64-73 they are in line with these expectations. If you bet on them to win every game you would be down quite a bit (-1148 units). They are one of the best teams against the spread (74-63) for a +521 profit. Their under-over record is 77-53 with 7 pushes. Based on computer simulations they only have a 42% chance to beat the Phillies in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Their record should be better. Their average run differential is +0.1 which ranks #8 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #12. They are the #7 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #9 ranked team among home teams. They are trending down. Their average run differential in their past 14 games is -0.57 (#11 over this stretch).
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Aristides Aquino who is projected to be the #25 outfielder the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|32||Alaniz, Ruben||RP||6-4||219||06/14/1991||1||No College|
|44||Aquino, Aristides||RF||6-4||220||04/22/1994||2||No College|
|16||Barnhart, Tucker||C||5-11||192||01/07/1991||6||No College|
|67||Bowman, Matt||RP||6-0||185||05/31/1991||4||No College|
|58||Castillo, Luis||SP||6-2||190||12/12/1992||3||No College|
|29||Colon, Christian||2B||6-0||190||05/14/1989||5||No College|
|22||Dietrich, Derek||2B||6-0||212||07/18/1989||7||Georgia Tech|
|6||Ervin, Phillip||LF||5-10||207||07/15/1992||3||No College|
|3||Galvis, Freddy||SS||5-10||185||11/14/1989||8||No College|
|50||Garrett, Amir||RP||6-5||228||05/03/1992||3||No College|
|68||Graterol, Juan||C||6-1||205||02/14/1989||4||No College|
|49||Herget, Jimmy||RP||6-3||170||09/09/1993||1||No College|
|4||Iglesias, Jose||SS||5-11||185||01/05/1990||8||No College|
|26||Iglesias, Raisel||RP||6-2||188||01/04/1990||5||No College|
|66||Kuhnel, Joel||RP||6-5||260||02/19/1995||1||No College|
|21||Lorenzen, Michael||RP||6-3||217||01/04/1992||5||No College|
|30||Mahle, Tyler||SP||6-3||210||09/29/1994||3||No College|
|63||Mella, Keury||RP||6-2||200||08/02/1993||3||No College|
|9||Peraza, Jose||2B||6-0||196||04/30/1994||5||No College|
|47||Romano, Sal||RP||6-5||255||10/12/1993||3||No College|
|39||Sims, Lucas||RP||6-2||225||05/10/1994||3||No College|
|55||Stephenson, Robert||RP||6-3||215||02/24/1993||4||No College|
|7||Suarez, Eugenio||3B||5-11||213||07/18/1991||6||No College|
|17||VanMeter, Josh||LF||5-11||165||03/10/1995||1||No College|
|19||Votto, Joey||1B||6-2||220||09/10/1983||13||No College|
|33||Winker, Jesse||LF||6-3||215||08/17/1993||3||No College|