Cincinnati
Reds
Stadium Great American Ball Park
71-81 Overall | NL CENTRAL 4th
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Reds.2446722174.20
Schedule
Regular season
Wed  9/18
@
Cubs
8:05pm
Fri  9/20
vs
Mets
7:10pm
Sat  9/21
vs
Mets
4:10pm
Sun  9/22
vs
Mets
1:10pm
Tue  9/24
vs
Brewers
6:40pm
Wed  9/25
vs
Brewers
6:40pm
Thu  9/26
vs
Brewers
12:35pm
Fri  9/27
@
Pirates
7:05pm
Sat  9/28
@
Pirates
7:05pm
Sun  9/29
@
Pirates
3:05pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

The Reds are off the betting board and have no odds to win the championship. They are projected to win 75 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 79. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +425 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their preseason chances to win the division were 0.2% at 15/1, 6.2%. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the NL.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

After 151 games, their expected win percentage is 49% based on the money line odds. At 70-81 they are in line with these expectations. Money line backers would be down quite a bit (-1342 units). They are not good against the spread (78-73) for a -112 loss. Their under-over record is 86-57 with 8 pushes. Based on computer simulations they only have a 45% chance to beat the Cubs in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record should be better. Their average run differential is +0.03 which ranks #8 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #11. They are the #8 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #9 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 13 games is -0.31 which ranks them #9 over this stretch, slightly worse than overall.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Eugenio Suarez who is projected to be the #12 third baseman the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
32 Alaniz, Ruben RP6-421906/14/19911No College
44 Aquino, Aristides RF6-422004/22/19942No College
16 Barnhart, Tucker C5-1119201/07/19916No College
27 Bauer, Trevor SP6-120001/17/19918UCLA
2 Blandino, Alex 2B6-019011/06/19922Stanford
67 Bowman, Matt RP6-018505/31/19914No College
12 Casali, Curt C6-323511/09/19886Vanderbilt
58 Castillo, Luis SP6-219012/12/19923No College
--- Colon, Christian 6-019005/14/19895No College
28 DeSclafani, Anthony SP6-119504/18/19905Florida
22 Dietrich, Derek 2B6-021207/18/19897Georgia Tech
6 Ervin, Phillip LF5-1020707/15/19923No College
3 Galvis, Freddy 2B5-1018511/14/19898No College
50 Garrett, Amir RP6-522805/03/19923No College
46 Gausman, Kevin RP6-320001/06/19917LSU
68 Graterol, Juan C6-120502/14/19894No College
54 Gray, Sonny SP5-1019211/07/19897Vanderbilt
49 Herget, Jimmy RP6-317009/09/19931No College
4 Iglesias, Jose SS5-1118501/05/19908No College
26 Iglesias, Raisel RP6-218801/04/19905No College
66 Kuhnel, Joel RP6-526002/19/19951No College
21 Lorenzen, Michael RP6-321701/04/19925No College
30 Mahle, Tyler SP6-321009/29/19943No College
63 Mella, Keury SP6-220008/02/19932No College
34 O'Grady, Brian CF6-221505/17/19921Rutgers
9 Peraza, Jose 2B6-019604/30/19945No College
47 Romano, Sal RP6-525510/12/19933No College
15 Senzel, Nick CF6-120506/29/19951Tennessee
39 Sims, Lucas RP6-222505/10/19943No College
55 Stephenson, Robert RP6-321502/24/19934No College
7 Suarez, Eugenio 3B5-1121307/18/19916No College
17 VanMeter, Josh LF5-1116503/10/19951No College
19 Votto, Joey 1B6-222009/10/198313No College
40 Wood, Alex SP6-421501/12/19917Georgia