Cleveland
Indians
Stadium Progressive Field
26-25 Overall | AL CENTRAL 2nd
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Indians.222195523.68
Schedule
Regular season
Wed  5/22
vs
Athletics
L2-7
Thu  5/23
vs
Rays
L2-7
Fri  5/24
vs
Rays
W3-1
Sat  5/25
vs
Rays
L2-6
Sun  5/26
vs
Rays
1:10pm
Mon  5/27
@
Red Sox
ESPN4:05pm
Tue  5/28
@
Red Sox
7:10pm
Wed  5/29
@
Red Sox
6:10pm
Thu  5/30
@
White Sox
8:10pm
Fri  5/31
@
White Sox
8:10pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN

The Indians are competing to make the playoffs but their chances are on a downward trend. In our pre-season forecast they had a 80.3% chance of making the playoffs. On 4/20 they had an 85.3% chance before dropping to 26% on 5/24. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 29.6%. They have a 4.6% chance of winning their division. Based on the odds, they have a 10% chance of winning the AL (9/1) and a 5.3% chance of winning it all (18/1).

Season Strength of Schedule is Relatively Easy

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 49% #11 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 48% #11 Easiest

Indians' Season Forecast Changes

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: C

Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 26-24 Indians 'should have' 28 wins. They have 20 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 11 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game, or a 5+ final margin). They have won 48% of their road games and were expected to win 53%. At home they have a 56% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 60%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (10-11, 48%) is under their expected 59% win percentage. The Indians should be a slightly above average team based on simulations where they won 51.6% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#14 in the league). They have moved up from #17 in the league back on 4/14.

Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average run differential is +0.02 which ranks #8 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #7. They are the #8 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats). This is the same ranking they have among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 13 games is +0.85 which ranks them #6 over this stretch, slightly better than overall.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY

The forecast for their next 10 games is generally good. They have 3 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, and just 3 games where they are a clear underdog. The rest of the games are toss ups.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

MAY 25
CLOSE GAME
51% TB
--
MAY 26
CLOSE GAME
59% TB
--
MAY 27
CLOSE GAME
44% @BOS
548 miles
MAY 28
LIKELY LOSS
39% @BOS
-- miles
MAY 29
LIKELY LOSS
37% @BOS
-- miles
MAY 30
LIKELY WIN
68% @CHW
848 miles
MAY 31
LIKELY WIN
63% @CHW
-- miles
JUN 1
LIKELY WIN
65% @CHW
-- miles
JUN 2
CLOSE GAME
48% @CHW
-- miles
JUN 4
CLOSE GAME
50% MIN
--

The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 5-5 (26% chance). Their chances of winning 7 or more are 19.5%. At #7 in the league, they are fighting with the Rangers for positioning. There is only a -0.13 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games so we do not expect them to pick up ground in the league. They are in a battle with Athletics in the league. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Athletics. There is only a 0.39 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Indians are just the 29th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Indians are playing 14 games, traveling 5752 miles crossing 8 time zones. They rank #29 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Cleveland Indians' next game. They are -131 favorites and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

  • default-player-image
    Scout Staff

    Perez Leaves Game With Concussion

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
1 Allen, Greg LF6-017503/15/19933San Diego State
47 Bauer, Trevor SP6-120001/17/19918UCLA
10 Bauers, Jake LF6-119510/06/19952No College
57 Bieber, Shane SP6-319505/31/19952No College
59 Carrasco, Carlos SP6-321203/21/198710No College
90 Cimber, Adam RP6-418008/15/19902No College
36 Clippard, Tyler RP6-320002/14/198513No College
34 Cole, A.J. RP6-523801/05/19925No College
6 Freeman, Mike SS6-019508/04/19874Clemson
33 Hand, Brad RP6-322003/20/19909No College
22 Kipnis, Jason 2B5-1119504/03/19879Arizona State
12 Lindor, Francisco SS5-1119011/14/19935No College
8 Luplow, Jordan RF6-119509/26/19933Fresno State
2 Martin, Leonys CF6-220003/06/19889No College
35 Mercado, Oscar LF6-217512/16/19941No College
49 Olson, Tyler RP6-320510/02/19895No College
61 Otero, Dan RP6-321502/19/19858No College
39 Perez, Oliver RP6-322508/15/198117No College
55 Perez, Roberto C5-1122512/23/19886No College
27 Plawecki, Kevin C6-222002/26/19915Purdue
11 Ramirez, Jose 3B5-919009/17/19927No College
68 Rodriguez, Jefry SP6-623207/26/19932No College
41 Santana, Carlos 1B5-1121004/08/198610No College
63 Smith, Josh RP6-320010/11/19890No College
62 Wittgren, Nick RP6-221505/29/19914Purdue