REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND 2019 OUTLOOK

The sum of all of their money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 66.8 wins. Their 64 actual wins was below expectation. They met expectations at home, it was on the road that they struggled. They won 32.1% on the road which was much worse than expected (38%). They won 38 at home and were expected to win 36. Our projected record for next season is similar. They are averaging 64 wins per sim and are projected to finish second to last in the American League. There is a sizable gap between them and the #13 ranked White Sox who are projected for 66.5 wins. They are definitely not World Series contenders (less than a 0.1% chance). Their odds of winning it all are 1000/1, 0.1%. Their odds of winning the AL are 500/1, 0.2%. Their chances of making it to the World Series are also basically zero.

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TEAM STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Since last season their average run differential is -1.02 which ranks #12 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #10 ranked team in run differential in home games, vs #14 in road games.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

TEAM STATS AND BETTING RESULT GAMELOG

Below is a betting recap of all 162 regular games. Anyone who backed the Tigers in all of their games would be down -1445 units. Against the run line, they have lost -656 units risking 100 units on each pick (82-80 PL). The Tigers have lost against the run line on the road, but at home they have turned a profit.