|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY
The forecast for their next 10 games is not good. They are the clear underdog in 9 out of the 10 games, and just one game where they are expected to be competitive.
The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 4-6 (25% chance). Their chances of winning 6 or more are 9.4%. At #14 in the league, they are behind the Blue Jays by 4.5 points. With a -1.19 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are ahead of the Orioles by one point. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Orioles. There is only a 0.32 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Tigers are the 16th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Tigers are playing 13 games, traveling 26349 miles crossing 40 time zones. They rank #6 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
Sportsline has a free pick on the Detroit Tigers' next game. They are +141 underdogs and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F
Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 29-63 Tigers 'should have' 37 wins. They have 28 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 23 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game, or a 5+ final margin). They have come up especially short at home. Their 12-32- home record is -15% lower than their expected win percentage. Losers of 4 in a row they have a 41.5% chance of seeing that extend to 6 straight. In simulations where the Tigers played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 31.1% of the time (#30 in the league). Their peak rank was #27 in the league back on 4/24.
Their average run differential is -1.92 which ranks #14 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #14 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #15 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 10 games is -3 which ranks them #12 over this stretch, slightly better than overall.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)
Before the season, the Tigers were projected for 63.3 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 5/9 they had a 66.7% chance before dropping to 50.2% on 5/24. From the start of the season to now their projected point total is down to 51.2.
Strength of Schedule Getting Easier
Tigers' Season Forecast Changes
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|58||Alcantara, Victor||RP||6-2||190||04/03/1993||3||No College|
|48||Boyd, Matthew||SP||6-3||234||02/02/1991||5||Oregon State|
|24||Cabrera, Miguel||DH||6-4||249||04/18/1983||17||No College|
|46||Candelario, Jeimer||3B||6-1||221||11/24/1993||4||No College|
|9||Castellanos, Nicholas||RF||6-4||203||03/04/1992||7||No College|
|30||Castro, Harold||2B||5-10||151||11/30/1993||2||No College|
|45||Farmer, Buck||RP||6-4||232||02/20/1991||6||Georgia Tech|
|28||Goodrum, Niko||SS||6-3||198||02/28/1992||3||No College|
|61||Greene, Shane||RP||6-4||197||11/17/1988||6||No College|
|36||Hardy, Blaine||RP||6-2||218||03/14/1987||6||No College|
|77||Jimenez, Joe||RP||6-3||272||01/17/1995||3||No College|
|7||Mercer, Jordy||SS||6-3||210||08/27/1986||8||Oklahoma State|
|44||Norris, Daniel||SP||6-2||185||04/25/1993||6||No College|
|63||Ramirez, Nick||RP||6-4||232||08/01/1989||1||No College|
|---||Reininger, Zac||6-3||185||01/28/1993||3||No College|
|22||Reyes, Victor||CF||6-5||194||10/05/1994||2||No College|
|19||Rosenthal, Trevor||RP||6-0||215||05/29/1990||7||No College|
|68||Stumpf, Daniel||RP||6-2||208||01/04/1991||4||No College|
|37||Wilson, Bobby||C||6-0||226||04/08/1983||10||No College|
|27||Zimmermann, Jordan||SP||6-2||225||05/23/1986||11||No College|