|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
Their odds to win it all are 11/4, 26.7% (#2). They win the championship in 31.6% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. In simulations, they win the AL 50% of the time and are not a good value at 10/11, 52.4%. Their pre-season futures line was 96.5 wins so they have hit the over. They are making the playoffs. Their chances of winning the division stand at 100%. They were a -1400 'favorite' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their preseason chances to win the division were 80.5% at 1/8, 88.9%. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the AL.
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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 95.7-55.3. At 98-53 they are in line with these expectations. Money line backers would be down quite a bit (-279 units). They are 81-70 against the spread for a +24 profit. Their under-over record is 80-68 with 3 pushes. They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the Texas Rangers. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Their average run differential is +1.69 which ranks #1 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #2 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #1 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is +3.25.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Alex Bregman who is projected to be the #2 third baseman the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|66||Abreu, Bryan||RP||6-1||204||04/22/1997||1||No College|
|27||Altuve, Jose||2B||5-6||164||05/06/1990||9||No College|
|44||Alvarez, Yordan||DH||6-5||242||06/27/1997||1||No College|
|29||Biagini, Joe||RP||6-5||235||05/29/1990||4||No College|
|23||Brantley, Michael||LF||6-2||210||05/15/1987||11||No College|
|28||Chirinos, Robinson||C||6-1||210||06/05/1984||8||No College|
|1||Correa, Carlos||SS||6-4||218||09/22/1994||5||No College|
|47||Devenski, Chris||RP||6-3||209||11/13/1990||4||No College|
|16||Diaz, Aledmys||2B||6-1||195||08/01/1990||4||No College|
|21||Greinke, Zack||SP||6-2||200||10/21/1983||16||No College|
|10||Gurriel, Yuli||1B||6-0||202||06/09/1984||4||No College|
|39||James, Josh||RP||6-3||222||03/08/1993||2||No College|
|12||Maldonado, Martin||C||6-0||230||08/16/1986||9||No College|
|6||Marisnick, Jake||CF||6-4||228||03/30/1991||7||No College|
|20||Miley, Wade||SP||6-2||195||11/13/1986||9||No College|
|54||Osuna, Roberto||RP||6-2||230||02/07/1995||5||No College|
|51||Perez, Cionel||RP||5-11||170||04/21/1996||2||No College|
|22||Reddick, Josh||RF||6-2||195||02/19/1987||11||No College|
|30||Rondon, Hector||RP||6-3||230||02/26/1988||7||No College|
|38||Smith, Joe||RP||6-2||205||03/22/1984||13||No College|
|67||Sneed, Cy||RP||6-4||215||10/01/1992||1||No College|
|26||Straw, Myles||SS||5-10||179||10/17/1994||2||No College|
|13||Toro-Hernandez, Abraham||3B||6-1||190||12/20/1996||1||No College|
|3||Tucker, Kyle||RF||6-4||194||01/17/1997||2||No College|
|65||Urquidy, Jose||SP||6-0||213||05/01/1995||1||No College|
|59||Valdez, Framber||RP||5-11||222||11/19/1993||2||No College|
|35||Verlander, Justin||SP||6-5||225||02/20/1983||15||No College|