REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND 2019 OUTLOOK
The sum of all of their money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 66.2 wins. Their 58 actual wins was below expectation. They didn't meet expectations on the road and at home. They won 32.1% on the road which was much worse than expected (37.6%). They won 32 at home and were expected to win 35.7. We are projecting a +17.1 win improvement next season. They are averaging 75.1 wins per simulation and are projected to finish ninth in the American League. There is a sizable gap between them and the #8 ranked Twins who are projected for 81.3 wins. While not World Series contenders they do have a measurable chance (0.1%). Their odds of winning it all are 1000/1, 0.1%. Their odds of winning the AL are 500/1, 0.2% and they have a 0.4% chance based on simulations. The Royals are a good long-shot bet to make the playoffs. At +2000 they have an implied probability of 4.8% but they make the playoffs in 8% of simulations.
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TEAM STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Since last season their average run differential is -1.2 which ranks #14 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #12 ranked team in run differential in road games, vs #15 in home games.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
TEAM STATS AND BETTING RESULT GAMELOG
Below is a betting recap of all 162 regular games. Anyone who backed the Royals in all of their games would be down -1114 units. Against the run line, they have lost -752 units risking 100 units on each pick (79-83 PL). They are down against the run line at home and on the road.