|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY
The Royals next 10 game forecast looks rough, to say the least. They are the clear underdog in 9 out of the 10 games, and just one game where they are expected to be competitive.
The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 4-6 (25% chance). Their chances of winning 6 or more are 13.4%. At #12 in the league, they are behind the Mariners by 2.5 points. With a -1.38 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are in a battle with Blue Jays in the league. With a -0.87 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find the gap between them closing.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Royals are the 11th least fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Royals are playing 13 games, traveling 6574 miles crossing 9 time zones. They rank #24 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
Sportsline has a free pick on the Kansas City Royals' next game. They are +224 underdogs and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-
Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 36-62 Royals 'should have' 42 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 27 good wins vs 22 bad losses. They have won 30% of their road games and were expected to win 39%. At home they have a 43% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 46%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (8-9, 47%) is better than their expected 45% win percentage. In simulations where the Royals played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 40.3% of the time (#28 in the league). Their peak rank was #23 in the league back on 4/20.
Their record should be better. Their average run differential is -0.72 which ranks #10 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #12. They are the #11 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #10 ranked team among home teams. Based on run differential, they are trending up. Their average run differential in their past 10 games is +1.3 (#5 over this stretch).
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)
Before the season, the Royals were projected for 76 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 3/31 they had a 78.1% chance before dropping to 61.9% on 7/15. From the start of the season to now their projected point total is down to 64.7.
Strength of Schedule Getting Easier
Royals' Season Forecast Changes
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|---||Arteaga, Humberto||6-1||200||01/23/1994||1||No College|
|58||Barlow, Scott||RP||6-3||215||12/18/1992||2||No College|
|19||Cuthbert, Cheslor||1B||6-1||205||11/16/1992||5||No College|
|40||Diekman, Jake||RP||6-4||205||01/21/1987||8||No College|
|17||Dozier, Hunter||3B||6-4||220||08/22/1991||3||No College|
|41||Duffy, Danny||SP||6-3||205||12/21/1988||9||No College|
|33||Flynn, Brian||RP||6-8||240||04/19/1990||6||No College|
|36||Gallagher, Cam||C||6-3||230||12/06/1992||3||No College|
|6||Hamilton, Billy||CF||6-1||160||09/09/1990||7||No College|
|54||Hill, Tim||RP||6-2||200||02/10/1990||2||No College|
|65||Junis, Jake||SP||6-3||210||09/16/1992||3||No College|
|56||Keller, Brad||SP||6-5||230||07/27/1995||2||No College|
|28||Lopez, Jorge||RP||6-2||205||02/10/1993||4||No College|
|1||Lopez, Nicky||2B||5-11||175||03/13/1995||1||No College|
|61||McCarthy, Kevin||RP||6-3||200||02/22/1992||4||No College|
|15||Merrifield, Whit||RF||6-1||195||01/24/1989||4||South Carolina|
|21||Montgomery, Mike||RP||6-5||215||07/01/1989||5||No College|
|43||Peralta, Wily||RP||6-1||255||05/08/1989||8||No College|
|12||Soler, Jorge||DH||6-4||240||02/25/1992||6||No College|
|57||Sparkman, Glenn||SP||6-2||200||05/11/1992||3||No College|
|11||Starling, Bubba||CF||6-4||215||08/03/1992||1||No College|
|22||Viloria, Meibrys||C||5-11||220||02/15/1997||2||No College|