|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: BRIGHT
The forecast for their next 10 games is very good. They have 7 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, and just 2 games where they are a clear underdog.
The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 6-4 (26% chance). Their chances of winning 8 or more are 16.6%. At #9 in the league, they are behind the Rangers by one point. With a +1.81 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they have a good chance of improving their league seed. They are ahead of the White Sox by 5.5 points. With a +2.89 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Angels are the 14th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Angels are playing 13 games, traveling 7058 miles crossing 3 time zones. They rank #19 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
The Los Angeles Angels' next game is on July 19. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-
At 50-48 the Angels are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 49 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 34 good wins vs 30 bad losses. They have won 48% of their road games and were expected to win 48%. At home they have a 54% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 52%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (9-8, 53%) is better than their expected 48% win percentage. In simulations, the Angels are a below average team and won 49.6% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#17 in the league). They have moved up from #23 in the league back on 5/24.
Their record should be slightly better. Their average run differential is +0.15 which ranks #8 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #9. They are the #8 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #9 ranked team among home teams. Based on run differential, they are trending up. Their average run differential in their past 10 games is +1.4 (#4 over this stretch).
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG
Before the season, the Angels were projected for 82.4 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 3/24 they had an 84% chance before dropping to 71.2% on 5/24. Their current chances are at 83.4%. They are not projected to finish in the Top 8 (#9 in the conference) and only have a 2% chance of making the playoffs. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the AL at 2% (50/1 odds) and a 1% chance of winning it all (100/1).
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher
Angels' Season Forecast Changes
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|38||Anderson, Justin||RP||6-3||205||09/28/1992||2||No College|
|51||Barria, Jaime||RP||6-1||210||07/18/1996||2||No College|
|32||Bedrosian, Cam||RP||6-0||230||10/02/1991||6||No College|
|31||Buttrey, Ty||RP||6-6||245||03/31/1993||2||No College|
|53||Cahill, Trevor||SP||6-4||240||03/01/1988||11||No College|
|56||Calhoun, Kole||RF||5-10||200||10/14/1987||8||Arizona State|
|6||Fletcher, David||3B||5-10||175||05/31/1994||2||No College|
|40||Garcia, Luis||RP||6-3||235||01/30/1987||7||No College|
|13||Garneau, Dustin||C||6-2||205||08/13/1987||5||No College|
|18||Goodwin, Brian||LF||6-0||200||11/02/1990||4||No College|
|33||Harvey, Matt||SP||6-4||220||03/27/1989||7||North Carolina|
|28||Heaney, Andrew||SP||6-2||185||06/05/1991||6||Oklahoma State|
|---||Jewell, Jake||6-3||200||05/16/1993||2||No College|
|17||Ohtani, Shohei||DH||6-4||200||07/05/1994||2||No College|
|64||Pena, Felix||RP||6-2||185||02/25/1990||4||No College|
|5||Pujols, Albert||1B||6-3||240||01/16/1980||19||No College|
|24||Ramirez, Noe||RP||6-3||195||12/22/1989||5||No College|
|4||Rengifo, Luis||2B||5-10||165||02/26/1997||1||No College|
|57||Robles, Hansel||RP||5-11||185||08/13/1990||5||No College|
|2||Simmons, Andrelton||SS||6-2||200||09/04/1989||8||No College|
|27||Trout, Mike||CF||6-2||235||08/07/1991||9||No College|
|8||Upton, Justin||LF||6-2||205||08/25/1987||13||No College|