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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND 2019 OUTLOOK

The sum of all of their money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 97.3 wins. Their 91 actual wins was below expectation. They met expectations on the road. It was at home where they came up short. They went 47-34 on the road and were expected to win 46.3. They won 44 at home and were expected to win 51. In the latest simulations for next season they are averaging 100.6 wins per sim, which is a solid +9.6 improvement and are projected to finish first in the National League. They have a nice projected cushion over the #2 ranked Nationals who are projected for 94.1 wins. They are a contender with a 18.6% chance of winning the World Series based on simulations and a 33.8% chance of reaching the Series. Even with the juice, they are a good futures betting value with championship odds of 7/1, 12.5% and odds to win the NL at 7/2, 22.2%. Even at 1/5, 83.3% odds to win the NL West, the Dodgers are still a good bet as their chances of winning the division are 94% based on the latest simulations.

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TEAM STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record should be better. Since last season their average run differential is +1.08 which ranks #1 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #3. They are the #1 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats). This is the same ranking they have among home teams.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

TEAM STATS AND BETTING RESULT GAMELOG

Below is a betting recap of all 162 regular games. Anyone who backed the Dodgers in all of their games would have earned a +113 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the run line, they have lost -1482 units risking 100 units on each pick (73-89 PL). The Dodgers have turned a run line profit on the road but have lost at home.