|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: BRIGHT
The Dodgers next 10 game forecast could not be much brighter. They have 9 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, and no games where they are a clear underdog.
The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 7-3 (26% chance). Their chances of winning 9 or more are 9.2%. Their chances of winning their next 10 are 1.7%. At #1 in the league, they are ahead of the Cubs by 3 points. With a +1.04 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Dodgers are the most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Dodgers are playing 14 games, traveling 9239 miles crossing 9 time zones. They rank #4 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
Sportsline has a free pick on the Los Angeles Dodgers' next game. They are -174 favorites and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A-
At 33-18 the Dodgers are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 29.7 wins. They have 16 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 15 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game, or a 5+ final margin). They have exceeded expectations in home games. Their 19-6- home record is +15% better than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (13-5, 72%) is better than their expected 58% win percentage. The Dodgers perform very well in our power ranking simulations beating every other team 64.8% of the time (#2 in the league). Their peak sim% was 65.4% back on 5/22.
Their average run differential is +1.37 which ranks #1 in the NL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #1 ranked team in run differential in home games, vs #6 in road games. Their average run differential in their past 10 games is +2.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (UP OVERALL)
The Dodgers are World Series contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 18.6% chance of winning it all. On 4/8 they had a 29.1% chance before dropping to 14.8% on 4/24. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 25.4%. They are basically a lock to win the division at 97.9%. Based on the odds, they have a 36.4% chance of winning the NL (7/4) and a 20% chance of winning it all (4/1). In simulations they make the World Series 41% of the time.
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier
Dodgers' Season Forecast Changes
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|75||Alexander, Scott||RP||6-2||190||07/10/1989||5||No College|
|52||Baez, Pedro||RP||6-0||230||03/11/1988||6||No College|
|15||Barnes, Austin||C||5-10||190||12/28/1989||5||Arizona State|
|45||Beaty, Matt||1B||6-0||210||04/28/1993||1||No College|
|35||Bellinger, Cody||RF||6-4||213||07/13/1995||3||No College|
|64||Ferguson, Caleb||RP||6-3||215||07/02/1996||2||No College|
|51||Floro, Dylan||RP||6-2||205||12/27/1990||4||No College|
|25||Freese, David||1B||6-2||220||04/28/1983||11||No College|
|63||Garcia, Yimi||RP||6-1||220||08/18/1990||5||No College|
|41||Garlick, Kyle||RF||6-1||208||01/26/1992||1||No College|
|14||Hernandez, Enrique||2B||5-11||200||08/24/1991||6||No College|
|74||Jansen, Kenley||RP||6-5||275||09/30/1987||10||No College|
|22||Kershaw, Clayton||SP||6-3||228||03/19/1988||12||No College|
|55||Martin, Russell||C||5-10||205||02/15/1983||14||No College|
|31||Pederson, Joc||LF||6-1||220||04/21/1992||6||No College|
|99||Ryu, Hyun-Jin||SP||6-2||230||03/25/1987||6||No College|
|5||Seager, Corey||SS||6-4||215||04/27/1994||5||No College|
|68||Stripling, Ross||SP||6-3||190||11/23/1989||4||Texas A&M|
|10||Turner, Justin||3B||5-11||205||11/23/1984||11||No College|
|7||Urias, Julio||RP||6-0||215||08/12/1996||4||No College|
|27||Verdugo, Alex||CF||6-0||209||05/15/1996||3||No College|