|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A-
At 64-35 the Dodgers are greatly exceeding their money line projected win total of 59 wins. They have exceeded expectations in home games. Their 37-12- home record is +13% better than their expected win percentage. Over the past 3 weeks their win percentage is down going 9-8, 53%. The Dodgers perform very well in our power ranking simulations beating every other team 65.7% of the time (#1 in the league). They have moved up from #3 in the league back on 4/24.
Their average run differential is +1.53 which ranks #1 in the NL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #2 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #1 ranked team among home teams. They are trending down. Their average run differential in their past 10 games is +1.7 (#5 over this stretch).
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
NEXT 9 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY
The Dodgers next 9 game forecast looks like 'partly sunny skies'. They have 8 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, and just 1 game where they are a clear underdog.
The most likely scenario over the next 9 games is a record of 6-3 (28% chance). Their chances of winning 8 or more are 10.7%. Their chances of winning their next 9 are 1.8%. At #1 in the league, they are ahead of the Braves by 5.5 points. With a +1.06 advantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.
The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Dodgers are the most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Dodgers are playing 13 games, traveling 17938 miles crossing 23 time zones. They rank #2 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
Sportsline has a free pick on the Los Angeles Dodgers' next game. They are -306 favorites and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (UP OVERALL)
The Dodgers are World Series contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 18.6% chance of winning it all. On 4/24 they had a 14.8% chance before increasing to 31.7% on 7/16. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 30.7%. Based on the odds, they have a 45.5% chance of winning the NL (6/5) and a 25% chance of winning it all (3/1). In simulations they make the World Series 45.8% of the time.
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier
Dodgers' Season Forecast Changes
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|52||Baez, Pedro||RP||6-0||230||03/11/1988||6||No College|
|15||Barnes, Austin||C||5-10||190||12/28/1989||5||Arizona State|
|---||Beaty, Matt||6-0||210||04/28/1993||1||No College|
|35||Bellinger, Cody||RF||6-4||213||07/13/1995||3||No College|
|64||Ferguson, Caleb||RP||6-3||215||07/02/1996||2||No College|
|51||Floro, Dylan||RP||6-2||205||12/27/1990||4||No College|
|25||Freese, David||1B||6-2||220||04/28/1983||11||No College|
|63||Garcia, Yimi||RP||6-1||220||08/18/1990||5||No College|
|14||Hernandez, Enrique||2B||5-11||200||08/24/1991||6||No College|
|74||Jansen, Kenley||RP||6-5||275||09/30/1987||10||No College|
|17||Kelly, Joe||RP||6-1||190||06/09/1988||8||No College|
|22||Kershaw, Clayton||SP||6-3||228||03/19/1988||12||No College|
|18||Maeda, Kenta||SP||6-0||176||04/11/1988||4||No College|
|55||Martin, Russell||C||5-10||205||02/15/1983||14||No College|
|31||Pederson, Joc||LF||6-1||220||04/21/1992||6||No College|
|11||Pollock, A.J.||CF||6-1||195||12/05/1987||8||Notre Dame|
|99||Ryu, Hyun-Jin||SP||6-2||230||03/25/1987||6||No College|
|5||Seager, Corey||SS||6-4||215||04/27/1994||5||No College|
|68||Stripling, Ross||RP||6-3||190||11/23/1989||4||Texas A&M|
|10||Turner, Justin||3B||5-11||205||11/23/1984||11||No College|
|7||Urias, Julio||RP||6-0||215||08/12/1996||4||No College|
|27||Verdugo, Alex||CF||6-0||209||05/15/1996||3||No College|