|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
The Marlins are off the betting board and have no odds to win the championship. They are projected to win 59 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 63.5. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +4000 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their preseason chances to win the division were 0.1% at 300/1, 0.3%. In simulations they finish last in the NL based on projected wins.
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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
After 128 games, their expected win percentage is 38% based on the money line odds. At 46-82 they are in line with these expectations. Money line backers would be down quite a bit (-1218 units). They are not good against the spread (63-65) for a -754 loss. Their over-under record is 60-60 with 8 pushes. In their next game vs the Phillies they are only winning 28% of the simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Their average run differential is -1.2 which ranks #15 in the NL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #15 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #13 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is -3.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Starlin Castro who is projected to be the #20 second baseman the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|22||Alcantara, Sandy||SP||6-5||185||09/07/1995||3||No College|
|38||Alfaro, Jorge||C||6-2||240||06/11/1993||4||No College|
|55||Berti, Jon||SS||5-10||190||01/22/1990||2||Bowling Green|
|37||Brice, Austin||RP||6-4||235||06/19/1992||4||No College|
|9||Brinson, Lewis||CF||6-5||206||05/08/1994||3||No College|
|13||Castro, Starlin||2B||6-2||230||03/24/1990||10||No College|
|20||Chen, Wei-Yin||RP||6-0||193||07/21/1985||8||No College|
|61||Conley, Adam||RP||6-3||201||05/24/1990||5||Washington State|
|44||Dean, Austin||LF||6-1||190||10/14/1993||2||No College|
|1||Diaz, Isan||2B||5-10||185||05/27/1996||1||No College|
|66||Garcia, Jarlin||RP||6-3||217||01/18/1993||3||No College|
|21||Granderson, Curtis||LF||6-1||199||03/16/1981||16||No College|
|57||Hernandez, Elieser||SP||6-1||214||05/03/1995||2||No College|
|72||Keller, Kyle||RP||6-4||200||04/28/1993||1||No College|
|49||Lopez, Pablo||SP||6-3||200||03/07/1996||2||No College|
|48||Noesi, Hector||SP||6-3||205||01/26/1987||6||No College|
|14||Prado, Martin||1B||6-0||215||10/27/1983||14||No College|
|74||Quijada, Jose||RP||6-0||175||11/09/1995||1||No College|
|47||Ramirez, Harold||LF||5-11||234||09/06/1994||1||No College|
|31||Smith, Caleb||SP||6-2||205||07/28/1991||3||No College|
|18||Walker, Neil||1B||6-3||210||09/10/1985||11||No College|
|50||Yamamoto, Jordan||SP||6-0||185||05/11/1996||1||No College|