Miami
Marlins
Stadium Marlins Park
7-17 Overall | NL EAST 5th
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Marlins.21565204.52
Schedule
Regular season
Fri  4/19
vs
Nationals
W3-2
Sat  4/20
vs
Nationals
W9-3
Sun  4/21
vs
Nationals
L0-5
Tue  4/23
@
Indians
W3-1
Wed  4/24
@
Indians
L2-6
Thu  4/25
@
Phillies
7:05pm
Fri  4/26
@
Phillies
7:05pm
Sat  4/27
@
Phillies
6:05pm
Sun  4/28
@
Phillies
1:05pm
Tue  4/30
vs
Indians
7:10pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 9 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY

The forecast for their next 9 games is not good. They are the clear underdog in 10 out of the 9 games.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

APR 25
LIKELY LOSS
29% @PHI
1020 miles
APR 26
LIKELY LOSS
32% @PHI
-- miles
APR 27
LIKELY LOSS
30% @PHI
-- miles
APR 28
LIKELY LOSS
29% @PHI
-- miles
APR 30
LIKELY LOSS
34% CLE
--
MAY 1
LIKELY LOSS
37% CLE
--
MAY 3
LIKELY LOSS
37% ATL
--
MAY 4
LIKELY LOSS
33% ATL
--
MAY 5
CLOSE GAME
41% ATL
--
MAY 6
LIKELY LOSS
29% @CHC
1196 miles

The most likely scenario over the next 9 games is a record of 3-6 (27% chance). Their chances of winning 5 or more are 14.3%. At #15 in the league, they are behind the Reds by 2.5 points. With a -0.84 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they may find themselves further behind in the league.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Miami Marlins' next game. They are +170 underdogs and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F

Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 7-17 Marlins 'should have' 10 wins. They have 7 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 6 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game, or a 5+ final margin). They have been below expectations on the road and at home. Their 2-6- road record is -13% lower than expected. Their 5-11- home record is -10% lower. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (5-13, 28%) is under their expected 39% win percentage. In simulations where the Marlins played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 35.4% of the time (#30 in the league). Their peak rank was #27 in the league back on 3/11.

Their average run differential is -2.04 which ranks #15 in the NL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #15 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats). This is the same ranking they have among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is -1.92.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)

Before the season, the Marlins were projected for 63.7 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 3/19 they had a 65.1% chance before dropping to 54.3% on 4/13. From the start of the season to now their projected point total is down to 56.4.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 52% #3 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 50% #16 Easiest

Marlins' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
22 Alcantara, Sandy SP6-518509/07/19953No College
38 Alfaro, Jorge C6-224006/11/19934No College
15 Anderson, Brian 3B6-219805/19/19933No College
70 Anderson, Nick RP6-519507/05/19901No College
55 Berti, Jon 2B5-1019001/22/19902No College
9 Brinson, Lewis CF6-520605/08/19943No College
13 Castro, Starlin 2B6-223003/24/199010No College
20 Chen, Wei-Yin RP6-019307/21/19858No College
61 Conley, Adam RP6-320105/24/19905No College
79 Galloway, Isaac CF6-120610/10/19892No College
21 Granderson, Curtis LF6-119903/16/198116No College
56 Guerrero, Tayron RP6-721401/09/19913No College
5 Herrera, Rosell LF6-319510/16/19922No College
39 Kinley, Tyler RP6-420501/31/19912No College
49 Lopez, Pablo SP6-320003/07/19962No College
14 Prado, Martin 1B6-021510/27/198314No College
74 Quijada, Jose RP6-017511/09/19950No College
36 Richards, Trevor SP6-219005/15/19932No College
19 Rojas, Miguel SS5-1118802/24/19896No College
54 Romo, Sergio RP5-1118503/04/198312No College
31 Smith, Caleb SP6-220507/28/19913No College
71 Steckenrider, Drew RP6-423801/10/19913No College
62 Urena, Jose SP6-320609/12/19915No College
18 Walker, Neil 1B6-321009/10/198511No College
17 Wallach, Chad C6-323011/04/19913No College