|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
NEXT 9 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY
The forecast for their next 9 games is not good. They are the clear underdog in 10 out of the 9 games.
The most likely scenario over the next 9 games is a record of 3-6 (27% chance). Their chances of winning 5 or more are 14.3%. At #15 in the league, they are behind the Reds by 2.5 points. With a -0.84 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they may find themselves further behind in the league.
Sportsline has a free pick on the Miami Marlins' next game. They are +170 underdogs and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F
Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 7-17 Marlins 'should have' 10 wins. They have 7 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 6 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game, or a 5+ final margin). They have been below expectations on the road and at home. Their 2-6- road record is -13% lower than expected. Their 5-11- home record is -10% lower. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (5-13, 28%) is under their expected 39% win percentage. In simulations where the Marlins played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 35.4% of the time (#30 in the league). Their peak rank was #27 in the league back on 3/11.
Their average run differential is -2.04 which ranks #15 in the NL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #15 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats). This is the same ranking they have among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is -1.92.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)
Before the season, the Marlins were projected for 63.7 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 3/19 they had a 65.1% chance before dropping to 54.3% on 4/13. From the start of the season to now their projected point total is down to 56.4.
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher
Marlins' Season Forecast Changes
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|22||Alcantara, Sandy||SP||6-5||185||09/07/1995||3||No College|
|38||Alfaro, Jorge||C||6-2||240||06/11/1993||4||No College|
|15||Anderson, Brian||3B||6-2||198||05/19/1993||3||No College|
|70||Anderson, Nick||RP||6-5||195||07/05/1990||1||No College|
|55||Berti, Jon||2B||5-10||190||01/22/1990||2||No College|
|9||Brinson, Lewis||CF||6-5||206||05/08/1994||3||No College|
|13||Castro, Starlin||2B||6-2||230||03/24/1990||10||No College|
|20||Chen, Wei-Yin||RP||6-0||193||07/21/1985||8||No College|
|61||Conley, Adam||RP||6-3||201||05/24/1990||5||No College|
|79||Galloway, Isaac||CF||6-1||206||10/10/1989||2||No College|
|21||Granderson, Curtis||LF||6-1||199||03/16/1981||16||No College|
|56||Guerrero, Tayron||RP||6-7||214||01/09/1991||3||No College|
|5||Herrera, Rosell||LF||6-3||195||10/16/1992||2||No College|
|39||Kinley, Tyler||RP||6-4||205||01/31/1991||2||No College|
|49||Lopez, Pablo||SP||6-3||200||03/07/1996||2||No College|
|14||Prado, Martin||1B||6-0||215||10/27/1983||14||No College|
|74||Quijada, Jose||RP||6-0||175||11/09/1995||0||No College|
|36||Richards, Trevor||SP||6-2||190||05/15/1993||2||No College|
|19||Rojas, Miguel||SS||5-11||188||02/24/1989||6||No College|
|54||Romo, Sergio||RP||5-11||185||03/04/1983||12||No College|
|31||Smith, Caleb||SP||6-2||205||07/28/1991||3||No College|
|71||Steckenrider, Drew||RP||6-4||238||01/10/1991||3||No College|
|62||Urena, Jose||SP||6-3||206||09/12/1991||5||No College|
|18||Walker, Neil||1B||6-3||210||09/10/1985||11||No College|
|17||Wallach, Chad||C||6-3||230||11/04/1991||3||No College|