|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
Their odds to win it all are 30/1, 3.2% (#10). Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 1.7% chance is #10 in the league. In simulations, they win the NL 4.4% of the time and are not a good value at 15/1, 6.2%. They are projected to win 85 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 86.5. Their playoff chances stand at 32.3% (12.6% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the NL.
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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 68.1-60.9. At 67-62 they are in line with these expectations. Money line backers would be down quite a bit (-689 units). They are not good against the spread (58-71) for a -1761 loss. Their under-over record is 67-58 with 4 pushes. They are favored in their upcoming game vs the Arizona Diamondbacks. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Their record is better than it should be. Their average run differential is -0.2 which ranks #10 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #7. They are the #11 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #10 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 11 games is -0.64 which ranks them #9 over this stretch, slightly better than overall.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Christian Yelich who is projected to be the #1 outfielder the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|43||Albers, Matt||RP||6-1||260||01/20/1983||14||No College|
|3||Arcia, Orlando||SS||6-0||181||08/04/1994||4||No College|
|50||Black, Raymond||RP||6-5||229||06/26/1990||1||No College|
|8||Braun, Ryan||LF||6-2||207||11/17/1983||13||Miami (FL)|
|6||Cain, Lorenzo||CF||6-2||205||04/13/1986||10||No College|
|58||Claudio, Alex||RP||6-3||160||01/31/1992||6||No College|
|27||Davies, Zach||SP||6-0||165||02/07/1993||5||No College|
|47||Gonzalez, Gio||SP||6-0||195||09/19/1985||12||No College|
|10||Grandal, Yasmani||C||6-1||220||11/08/1988||8||Miami (FL)|
|2||Grisham, Trent||LF||6-0||205||11/01/1996||1||No College|
|41||Guerra, Junior||RP||5-11||234||01/16/1985||5||No College|
|71||Hader, Josh||RP||6-3||177||04/07/1994||3||No College|
|18||Hiura, Keston||2B||6-0||199||08/02/1996||1||No College|
|37||Houser, Adrian||RP||6-3||216||02/02/1993||3||No College|
|25||Jackson, Jay||RP||6-1||195||10/27/1987||2||No College|
|23||Lyles, Jordan||SP||6-5||230||10/19/1990||9||No College|
|11||Moustakas, Mike||3B||6-0||211||09/11/1988||9||No College|
|---||Perez, Hernan||6-1||214||03/26/1991||8||No College|
|9||Pina, Manny||C||5-11||216||06/05/1987||6||No College|
|15||Pomeranz, Drew||RP||6-5||228||11/22/1988||9||Ole Miss|
|5||Spangenberg, Cory||SS||6-0||190||03/16/1991||6||No College|
|7||Thames, Eric||1B||5-11||216||11/10/1986||5||No College|
|38||Williams, Devin||RP||6-3||165||09/21/1994||1||No College|
|22||Yelich, Christian||RF||6-3||200||12/05/1991||7||No College|