|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
Their odds to win it all are 40/1, 2.4% (#12). Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 0.6% chance is #12 in the league. In simulations, they win the NL 1.5% of the time and are not a good value at 20/1, 4.8%. They are projected to win 84 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 86.5. Their playoff chances stand at 17.2% (2.9% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the NL.
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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
After 136 games, their expected win percentage is 53% based on the money line odds. At 70-66 they are in line with these expectations. If you bet on them to win every game you would be down quite a bit (-714 units). They are not good against the spread (61-75) for a -1937 loss. Their under-over record is 72-59 with 5 pushes. In their next game vs the Astros they are only winning 31% of the simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Their record is better than it should be. Their average run differential is -0.29 which ranks #10 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #7. They are the #11 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #10 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is -0.83 which ranks them #12 over this stretch, slightly worse than overall.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Christian Yelich who is projected to be the #1 outfielder the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|25||Anderson, Brett||SP||6-3||230||02/01/1988||11||No College|
|3||Arcia, Orlando||SS||6-0||181||08/04/1994||4||No College|
|50||Black, Raymond||RP||6-5||229||06/26/1990||1||No College|
|8||Braun, Ryan||LF||6-2||207||11/17/1983||13||Miami (FL)|
|39||Burnes, Corbin||RP||6-3||227||10/22/1994||2||No College|
|6||Cain, Lorenzo||CF||6-2||205||04/13/1986||10||No College|
|58||Claudio, Alex||RP||6-3||160||01/31/1992||6||No College|
|16||Gamel, Ben||LF||5-11||187||05/17/1992||4||No College|
|24||Garcia, Avisail||LF||6-4||240||06/12/1991||8||No College|
|5||Gyorko, Jedd||2B||5-10||200||09/23/1988||7||West Virginia|
|71||Hader, Josh||RP||6-3||177||04/07/1994||3||No College|
|18||Hiura, Keston||2B||6-0||199||08/02/1996||1||No College|
|37||Houser, Adrian||SP||6-3||216||02/02/1993||3||No College|
|27||Lauer, Eric||SP||6-3||205||06/03/1995||2||Kent State|
|10||Narvaez, Omar||C||6-0||220||02/10/1992||4||No College|
|51||Peralta, Freddy||RP||5-11||194||06/04/1996||2||No College|
|41||Phelps, David||SP||6-2||200||10/09/1986||7||Notre Dame|
|9||Pina, Manny||C||5-11||216||06/05/1987||6||No College|
|12||Smoak, Justin||1B||6-4||220||12/05/1986||10||South Carolina|
|7||Sogard, Eric||2B||5-10||185||05/22/1986||9||Arizona State|
|79||Supak, Trey||SP||6-5||240||05/31/1996||0||No College|
|35||Suter, Brent||RP||6-4||217||08/29/1989||4||No College|
|15||Taylor, Tyrone||RF||6-1||197||01/22/1994||1||No College|
|2||Urias, Luis||2B||5-9||185||06/03/1997||2||No College|
|38||Williams, Devin||RP||6-3||165||09/21/1994||1||No College|
|53||Woodruff, Brandon||SP||6-4||232||02/10/1993||3||Mississippi State|
|22||Yelich, Christian||RF||6-3||200||12/05/1991||7||No College|