Milwaukee
Brewers
Stadium Miller Park
13-13 Overall | NL CENTRAL 4th
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Brewers.243123515.27
Schedule
Regular season
Sat  4/20
vs
Dodgers
W5-0
Sun  4/21
vs
Dodgers
L5-6
Mon  4/22
@
Cardinals
L5-13
Tue  4/23
@
Cardinals
L3-4
Wed  4/24
@
Cardinals
L2-5
Fri  4/26
@
Mets
7:10pm
Sat  4/27
@
Mets
FS17:10pm
Sun  4/28
@
Mets
1:10pm
Mon  4/29
vs
Rockies
7:40pm
Tue  4/30
vs
Rockies
7:40pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (UP OVERALL)

The Brewers are World Series contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 4.2% chance of winning it all. On 3/19 they had a 3.6% chance before increasing to 8.5% on 4/18. From the start of the season to now their chances are up to 4.9%. Before the start of their 4 game losing streak they were at 6.5%. They have a 21.1% chance of winning their division. They are not projected to finish in the Top 8 (#10 in the conference) and only have a 51% chance of making the playoffs. Based on the odds, they have a 12.5% chance of winning the NL (7/1) and a 5.9% chance of winning it all (16/1). In simulations they make the World Series 9.5% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 51% #5 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 53% #9 Toughest

Brewers' Season Forecast Changes

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-

At 13-13 the Brewers have as many wins as were expected. If you add up their per game money line implied probabilities they would have 12.9 wins. They have 9 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 5 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game, or a 5+ final margin). They have won 42% of their road games and were expected to win 48%. At home they have a 57% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 51%. Losers of 4 in a row they have a 27% chance of seeing that extend to 6 straight. The Brewers are a good team (in simulations) and won 55.5% of the simulations vs every other team playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#7 in the league). In our pre-season simulations they were ranked #6 winning 56.9%.

Their record is better than it should be. Their average run differential is -0.54 which ranks #13 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #10. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #8 ranked team in run differential in home games, vs #14 in road games. Their average run differential in their past 13 games is -0.62 which ranks them #11 over this stretch, slightly better than overall.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY

The Brewers next 10 game forecast looks like 'partly sunny skies'. They have 7 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, and no games where they are a clear underdog. The rest of the games are toss ups.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

APR 26
CLOSE GAME
48% @NYM
743 miles
APR 27
CLOSE GAME
48% @NYM
-- miles
APR 28
CLOSE GAME
57% @NYM
-- miles
APR 29
LIKELY WIN
64% COL
743 miles
APR 30
LIKELY WIN
61% COL
--
MAY 1
LIKELY WIN
66% COL
--
MAY 2
LIKELY WIN
66% COL
--
MAY 3
LIKELY WIN
64% NYM
--
MAY 4
LIKELY WIN
62% NYM
--
MAY 5
LIKELY WIN
61% NYM
--

The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 6-4 (24% chance). Their chances of winning 8 or more are 15.2%. At #10 in the league, they are behind the Braves by half a point. With a -0.41 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are ahead of the Nationals by half a point. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Nationals. There is only a 0.12 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Milwaukee Brewers' next game. They are +145 underdogs and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

  • dallas-keuchel-astros.jpg
    cbs sports

    Rumor: Keuchel open to one-year deal

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
24 Aguilar, Jesus 1B6-328506/30/19906No College
43 Albers, Matt RP6-126001/20/198314No College
57 Anderson, Chase RP6-020111/30/19876No College
3 Arcia, Orlando SS6-018108/04/19944No College
50 Barnes, Jacob RP6-223104/14/19904No College
8 Braun, Ryan LF6-220711/17/198313No College
6 Cain, Lorenzo CF6-220504/13/198610No College
45 Chacin, Jhoulys SP6-325501/07/198811No College
58 Claudio, Alex RP6-316001/31/19926No College
27 Davies, Zach SP6-016502/07/19935No College
16 Gamel, Ben LF5-1118705/17/19924No College
10 Grandal, Yasmani C6-122011/08/19888No College
71 Hader, Josh RP6-317704/07/19943No College
32 Jeffress, Jeremy RP6-020509/21/198710No College
11 Moustakas, Mike 2B6-021109/11/19889No College
14 Perez, Hernan 2B6-121403/26/19918No College
36 Petricka, Jake RP6-522006/05/19887No College
9 Pina, Manny C5-1121606/05/19876No College
13 Saladino, Tyler 3B6-020007/20/19894No College
21 Shaw, Travis 3B6-322504/16/19905No College
7 Thames, Eric 1B5-1121611/10/19865No College
56 Wilkerson, Aaron RP6-223005/24/19893No College
12 Wilson, Alex RP6-021511/03/19867No College
53 Woodruff, Brandon SP6-423202/10/19933No College
22 Yelich, Christian RF6-320012/05/19917No College