Minnesota
Twins
Stadium Target Field
35-16 Overall | AL CENTRAL 1st
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Twins.2733081013.83
Schedule
Regular season
Tue  5/21
@
Angels
W8-3
Wed  5/22
@
Angels
POSTPONED
Thu  5/23
@
Angels
W16-7
Fri  5/24
vs
White Sox
W11-4
Sat  5/25
vs
White Sox
W8-1
Sun  5/26
vs
White Sox
2:10pm
Mon  5/27
vs
Brewers
7:10pm
Tue  5/28
vs
Brewers
8:10pm
Thu  5/30
@
Rays
7:10pm
Fri  5/31
@
Rays
7:10pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP

The Twins are World Series contenders and their chances are clearly on the rise. In our pre-season forecast they had less than a 1% chance of winning it all. On 3/20 they had a 0.4% chance before increasing to 6.5% on 5/24. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 6.4%. Before the start of their 4 game winning streak they were at 3.4%. They are basically a lock to win the division at 95.4%. They are projected to finish #1 in the conference and have a 98% chance of making the playoffs. Based on the odds, they have a 14.3% chance of winning the AL (6/1) and a 7.7% chance of winning it all (12/1). In simulations they make the World Series 16.4% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 46% #2 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 48% #11 Easiest

Twins' Season Forecast Changes

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A

At 34-16 the Twins are greatly exceeding their money line projected win total of 26 wins. In the process of beating expectations they have had 22 impressive wins where they were given

Their average run differential is +1.94 which ranks #1 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #1 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #2 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 14 games is +3.36.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

NEXT 9 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY CLOUDY

The Twins next 9 game forecast looks like a mix of 'clouds and sun'. They have 2 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 2 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and just 3 games where they are a clear underdog. The rest of the games are toss ups.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

MAY 25
LIKELY WIN
71% CHW
--
MAY 26
LIKELY WIN
76% CHW
--
MAY 27
CLOSE GAME
42% MIL
--
MAY 28
CLOSE GAME
57% MIL
--
MAY 30
CLOSE GAME
47% @TB
1327 miles
MAY 31
CLOSE GAME
44% @TB
-- miles
JUN 1
CLOSE GAME
49% @TB
-- miles
JUN 2
LIKELY LOSS
32% @TB
-- miles
JUN 4
CLOSE GAME
50% @CLE
631 miles
JUN 5
CLOSE GAME
57% @CLE
-- miles

The most likely scenario over the next 9 games is a record of 5-4 (26% chance). Their chances of winning 7 or more are 10.1%. At #1 in the league, they are ahead of the Astros by one point. With a -0.96 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they may find the gap between them closing.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Twins are the 4th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Twins are playing 13 games, traveling 14857 miles crossing 15 time zones. They rank #7 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

The Minnesota Twins' next game is on May 25. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
13 Adrianza, Ehire 3B6-117008/21/19897No College
2 Arraez, Luis 2B5-1015504/09/19971No College
64 Astudillo, Willians C5-922510/14/19912No College
17 Berrios, Jose SP6-118505/27/19944No College
25 Buxton, Byron CF6-219012/18/19935No College
15 Castro, Jason C6-321506/18/19879Stanford
24 Cron, C.J. 1B6-423501/05/19906Utah
21 Duffey, Tyler RP6-322012/27/19905Rice
44 Gibson, Kyle SP6-621510/23/19877Missouri
9 Gonzalez, Marwin 3B6-120803/14/19898No College
19 Harper, Ryne RP6-321503/27/19891No College
26 Kepler, Max RF6-420502/10/19935No College
52 Littell, Zack SP6-3190No College
68 Magill, Matt RP6-321011/10/19894No College
65 May, Trevor RP6-524009/23/19895No College
51 Morin, Mike RP6-422005/03/19916North Carolina
12 Odorizzi, Jake SP6-219003/27/19908No College
38 Parker, Blake RP6-322506/19/19857Arkansas
33 Perez, Martin SP6-020004/04/19918No College
35 Pineda, Michael SP6-726001/18/19896No College
11 Polanco, Jorge SS5-1120007/05/19936No College
55 Rogers, Taylor RP6-317012/17/19904Kentucky
20 Rosario, Eddie LF6-118009/28/19915No College
22 Sano, Miguel 3B6-426005/11/19935No College
16 Schoop, Jonathan 2B6-122510/16/19917No College