REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND 2019 OUTLOOK
Their 77 regular season wins did not meet expectations. It was -2.7 below what oddsmakers' money line projected. The season went worse than expected. Home field was not an advantage, at least not in terms of meeting expectations. They were OK on the road. Their 45.7% home win percentage was much worse than expected (52.7%). They won 49.4% on the road which was better than expected (45.7%). In the latest simulations for next season they are averaging 80.7 wins per sim, which is a solid +3.7 improvement and are projected to finish eighth in the National League. There is not much of a gap between them and the #6 ranked Phillies who are projected for 83.9 wins. They are a longshot contender with a 0.6% chance of winning the World Series based on simulations and a 1.9% chance of reaching the Series. They are not a good futures betting value with championship odds of 20/1, 4.8% and odds to win the NL at 10/1, 9.1%.
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TEAM STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Their record should be slightly better. Since last season their average run differential is -0.19 which ranks #10 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #11. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #8 ranked team in run differential in road games, vs #13 in home games.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
TEAM STATS AND BETTING RESULT GAMELOG
Below is a betting recap of all 162 regular games. Anyone who backed the Mets in all of their games would be down -1405 units. Against the run line, they have delivered a +498 profit risking 100 units on each game (83-79 PL). They are profitable against the run line at home and on the road.