New York
Mets
Stadium Citi Field
25-26 Overall | NL EAST 3rd
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Mets.245235614.50
Schedule
Regular season
Wed  5/22
vs
Nationals
W6-1
Thu  5/23
vs
Nationals
W6-4
Fri  5/24
vs
Tigers
L8-9
Sat  5/25
vs
Tigers
W / 135-4
Sun  5/26
vs
Tigers
1:10pm
Mon  5/27
@
Dodgers
ESPN8:10pm
Tue  5/28
@
Dodgers
10:10pm
Wed  5/29
@
Dodgers
10:10pm
Thu  5/30
@
Dodgers
10:10pm
Fri  5/31
@
Diamondbacks
9:40pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN

The Mets are competing to make the playoffs but their chances are on a downward trend. In our pre-season forecast they had a 22.9% chance of making the playoffs. On 4/3 they had a 44.2% chance before dropping to 5.6% on 5/20. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 8.4%. They have a 3.6% chance of winning their division. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the NL at 4.8% (20/1 odds) and a 2.4% chance of winning it all (40/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 51% #5 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 47% #6 Easiest

Mets' Season Forecast Changes

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: C

Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 24-26 Mets 'should have' 26 wins. They have 16 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 12 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game, or a 5+ final margin). Their performance on the road has left a lot to be desired. Their 11-17 road record is -12% lower than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (8-11, 42%) is under their expected 54% win percentage. In simulations, the Mets are a below average team and won 49.3% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#19 in the league). Their peak rank was #11 in the league back on 4/8.

Their average run differential is -0.28 which ranks #10 in the NL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #7 ranked team in run differential in home games, vs #14 in road games. Based on run differential, they are trending up. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is +0.33 (#6 over this stretch).

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: CLOUDY

The Mets next 10 game forecast looks pretty dreary. They have 3 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, and just 7 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

MAY 25
LIKELY WIN
67% DET
--
MAY 26
LIKELY WIN
81% DET
--
MAY 27
LIKELY LOSS
33% @LAD
2456 miles
MAY 28
LIKELY LOSS
36% @LAD
-- miles
MAY 29
LIKELY LOSS
29% @LAD
-- miles
MAY 30
LIKELY LOSS
26% @LAD
-- miles
MAY 31
LIKELY LOSS
39% @ARI
358 miles
JUN 1
CLOSE GAME
44% @ARI
-- miles
JUN 2
LIKELY LOSS
40% @ARI
-- miles
JUN 4
CLOSE GAME
60% SF
--

The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 5-5 (26% chance). Their chances of winning 7 or more are 9.2%. At #10 in the league, they are behind the Cardinals by one point. With a +0.4 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they have a good chance of improving their league seed. They are ahead of the Rockies by half a point. With a -1.17 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find the gap between them closing.

The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Mets are just the 24th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Mets are playing 14 games, traveling 32548 miles crossing 42 time zones. They rank #3 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

The New York Mets' next game is on May 25. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

  • mickey-callaway.jpg
    cbs sports

    Mets' Callaway on the hot seat

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
20 Alonso, Pete 1B6-323012/07/19941Florida
23 Altherr, Aaron RF6-522301/14/19916No College
49 Bashlor, Tyler RP6-019504/16/19932No College
28 Davis, J.D. 3B6-321804/27/19933No College
18 Davis, Rajai LF5-1019510/19/198014Connecticut
39 Diaz, Edwin RP6-316503/22/19944No College
27 Familia, Jeurys RP6-324010/10/19898No College
68 Font, Wilmer SP6-426505/24/19905No College
21 Frazier, Todd 3B6-322002/12/19869Rutgers
47 Gagnon, Drew RP6-421506/26/19902No College
91 Gomez, Carlos RF6-322012/04/198513No College
65 Gsellman, Robert RP6-420507/18/19934No College
11 Hechavarria, Adeiny 2B6-019504/15/19898No College
12 Lagares, Juan CF6-121503/17/19897No College
32 Matz, Steven SP6-220005/29/19915No College
3 Nido, Tomas C6-021104/12/19943No College
40 Ramos, Wilson C6-124508/10/198710No College
1 Rosario, Amed SS6-219011/20/19953No College
33 Santiago, Hector RP6-021512/16/19879No College
22 Smith, Dominic 1B6-022606/15/19953No College
34 Syndergaard, Noah SP6-624008/29/19925No College
44 Vargas, Jason SP6-021502/02/198314No College
45 Wheeler, Zack SP6-419505/30/19905No College
48 deGrom, Jacob SP6-418006/19/19886No College