New York
Yankees
Stadium Yankee Stadium
62-33 Overall | AL EAST 1st
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Yankees.2655351603.99
Schedule
Regular season
Sun  7/21
vs
Rockies
TBS1:05pm
Mon  7/22
@
Twins
8:10pm
Tue  7/23
@
Twins
8:10pm
Wed  7/24
@
Twins
ESPN8:10pm
Thu  7/25
@
Red Sox
7:10pm
Fri  7/26
@
Red Sox
7:10pm
Sat  7/27
@
Red Sox
FS14:05pm
Sun  7/28
@
Red Sox
ESPN7:08pm
Tue  7/30
vs
Diamondbacks
7:05pm
Wed  7/31
vs
Diamondbacks
1:05pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A

At 62-33 the Yankees are greatly exceeding their money line projected win total of 55 wins. They have won 60% of their road games and were expected to win 54%. At home they have a 69% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 60%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (10-5, 67%) is better than their expected 57% win percentage. The Yankees perform very well in our power ranking simulations beating every other team 62.7% of the time (#2 in the league). They have moved up from #5 in the league back on 5/6.

Their average run differential is +1.37 which ranks #1 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #2 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #1 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 10 games is +1.9 which ranks them #3 over this stretch, slightly worse than overall.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY

The Yankees next 10 game forecast looks like 'partly sunny skies'. They have 2 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 2 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and just 2 games where they are a clear underdog. The rest of the games are toss ups.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

JUL 19
CLOSE GAME
49% COL
--
JUL 20
LIKELY WIN
66% COL
--
JUL 21
CLOSE GAME
50% COL
--
JUL 22
LIKELY WIN
60% @MIN
1019 miles
JUL 23
CLOSE GAME
54% @MIN
-- miles
JUL 24
CLOSE GAME
45% @MIN
-- miles
JUL 25
CLOSE GAME
52% @BOS
1121 miles
JUL 26
CLOSE GAME
54% @BOS
-- miles
JUL 27
CLOSE GAME
48% @BOS
-- miles
JUL 28
CLOSE GAME
41% @BOS
-- miles

The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 5-5 (26% chance). Their chances of winning 7 or more are 21.2%. At #1 in the league, they are ahead of the Astros by 2.5 points. With a +0.5 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Yankees are just the 27th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Yankees are playing 13 games, traveling 7554 miles crossing 6 time zones. They rank #25 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

According to Sportsline the New York Yankees are -232 favorites but their simulated win percentage is very different and we see this as a pick with a lot of value. Get the pick for this game at Sportsline.com.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG

The Yankees are World Series contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 15.2% chance of winning it all. On 3/29 they had a 19.1% chance before dropping to 5.1% on 6/15. From the start of the season to now their chances are up to 16.7%. Before the start of their 3 game winning streak they were at 14.3%. They are basically a lock to win the division at 90.2%. They are projected to finish #1 in the conference and have a 97% chance of making the playoffs. Based on the odds, they have a 38.5% chance of winning the AL (8/5) and a 22.2% chance of winning it all (7/2). In simulations they make the World Series 32.5% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 48% #10 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 47% #5 Easiest

Yankees' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

  • brandon-crawford.jpg
    cbs sports

    MLB Monday: Crawford drives in eight

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
53 Britton, Zack RP6-120012/22/19879No College
85 Cessa, Luis RP6-020804/25/19924No College
54 Chapman, Aroldis RP6-421802/28/198810No College
67 Cortes, Nestor RP5-1119012/10/19942No College
30 Encarnacion, Edwin DH6-123001/07/198315No College
11 Gardner, Brett CF5-1119508/24/198312No College
55 German, Domingo SP6-218108/04/19923No College
57 Green, Chad RP6-321505/24/19914Louisville
18 Gregorius, Didi SS6-320502/18/19908No College
75 Hale, David RP6-221009/27/19876No College
34 Happ, J.A. SP6-520510/19/198213Northwestern
31 Hicks, Aaron CF6-120510/02/19897No College
99 Judge, Aaron RF6-728204/26/19924Fresno State
48 Kahnle, Tommy RP6-123008/07/19896No College
26 LeMahieu, DJ 2B6-422007/13/19889LSU
0 Ottavino, Adam RP6-524611/22/19859No College
65 Paxton, James SP6-422711/06/19887Kentucky
28 Romine, Austin C6-121611/22/19888No College
52 Sabathia, CC SP6-630007/21/198019No College
24 Sanchez, Gary C6-223012/02/19925No College
19 Tanaka, Masahiro SP6-321811/01/19886No College
71 Tarpley, Stephen RP6-122002/17/19932No College
39 Tauchman, Mike LF6-221412/03/19903No College
25 Torres, Gleyber SS6-120512/13/19962No College
29 Urshela, Gio 3B6-021510/11/19914No College
45 Voit, Luke 1B6-325502/13/19913No College