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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND 2019 OUTLOOK

The regular season went as expected. They won 100 games vs an expected win total of 100. Their 65.4% home win percentage was as expected (65.5%). They won 58% on the road which was as expected (58%). They are poised to slightly improve on last season's win total. In our latest simulations they won 102.5 games per sim and are projected to finish first in the American League. There is not much of a gap between them and the #3 ranked Red Sox who are projected for 99.4 wins. They are a contender with a 17.3% chance of winning the World Series based on simulations and a 28.7% chance of reaching the Series. Even with the juice, they are a good futures betting value with championship odds of 5/1, 16.7% and odds to win the AL at 9/4, 30.8%. They are the favorite to win the AL East at 56.5% and are a good value at 4/5 55.6%

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TEAM STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Since last season their average run differential is +1.05 which ranks #3 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #3 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #4 ranked team among home teams.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

TEAM STATS AND BETTING RESULT GAMELOG

Below is a betting recap of all 162 regular games. Anyone who backed the Yankees in all of their games would be down -179 units. Against the run line, they have lost -118 units risking 100 units on each pick (83-79 PL). The Yankees have turned a run line profit on the road but have lost at home.