REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND 2019 OUTLOOK
The sum of all of their money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 81.3 wins. Their 97 actual wins was above expectation. They won more games than expected at home and on the road. Their 61.7% home win percentage was much better than expected (53.7%). They won 58% on the road which was much better than expected (46.7%). The latest simulations project a significant drop in wins with a per simulation average of 88.8 wins and are projected to finish sixth in the American League. There is not much of a gap between them and the #4 ranked Indians who are projected for 91.5 wins. They are a longshot contender with a 2% chance of winning the World Series based on simulations and a 5.1% chance of reaching the Series. They are not a good futures betting value with championship odds of 25/1, 3.8% and odds to win the AL at 12/1, 7.7%. Their playoff percentage of 41% is much higher than their +240 implies (29.4%).
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TEAM STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Their record is slightly better than it should be. Since last season their average run differential is +0.83 which ranks #5 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #4. They are the #4 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #6 ranked team among home teams.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
TEAM STATS AND BETTING RESULT GAMELOG
Below is a betting recap of all 162 regular games. Anyone who backed the Athletics in all of their games would have earned a +1969 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the run line, they have delivered a +859 profit risking 100 units on each game (86-76 PL). They are profitable against the run line at home and on the road.