Oakland
Athletics
Stadium Oakland Coliseum
27-25 Overall | AL WEST 3rd
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Athletics.245257754.06
Schedule
Regular season
Mon  5/20
@
Indians
W6-4
Tue  5/21
@
Indians
W5-3
Wed  5/22
@
Indians
W7-2
Fri  5/24
vs
Mariners
W6-2
Sat  5/25
vs
Mariners
W6-5
Sun  5/26
vs
Mariners
4:07pm
Mon  5/27
vs
Angels
4:07pm
Tue  5/28
vs
Angels
10:07pm
Wed  5/29
vs
Angels
3:37pm
Fri  5/31
vs
Astros
10:07pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN

The Athletics are competing to make the playoffs but their chances are on a downward trend. In our pre-season forecast they had a 44.1% chance of making the playoffs. On 3/19 they had a 45.5% chance before dropping to 4.3% on 5/17. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 14%. Before the start of their 8 game winning streak they were at 5.1%. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the AL at 2% (50/1 odds) and a 1% chance of winning it all (100/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 52% #2 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 45% #3 Easiest

Athletics' Season Forecast Changes

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A-

At 27-25 the Athletics are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 26.8 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 15 good wins but they also have 15 bad losses. They have won 44% of their road games and were expected to win 51%. At home they have a 60% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 52%. Over the past 3 weeks they have played better going 13-6 in a stretch where their projected win rate was 10.1 wins. The Athletics should be a slightly above average team based on simulations where they won 53.3% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#10 in the league). They have moved up from #17 in the league back on 5/6.

Their record should be better. Their average run differential is +0.54 which ranks #6 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #8. They are the #5 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #7 ranked team among home teams. Based on run differential, they are trending up. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is +2.83 (#3 over this stretch).

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

NEXT 9 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY CLOUDY

The Athletics next 9 game forecast looks like a mix of 'clouds and sun'. They have 3 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 2 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and just 4 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

MAY 25
LIKELY WIN
65% SEA
--
MAY 26
LIKELY WIN
64% SEA
--
MAY 27
CLOSE GAME
58% LAA
--
MAY 28
LIKELY WIN
62% LAA
--
MAY 29
CLOSE GAME
53% LAA
--
MAY 31
CLOSE GAME
51% HOU
--
JUN 1
CLOSE GAME
46% HOU
--
JUN 2
LIKELY LOSS
40% HOU
--
JUN 4
CLOSE GAME
45% @LAA
365 miles
JUN 5
CLOSE GAME
44% @LAA
-- miles

The most likely scenario over the next 9 games is a record of 5-4 (27% chance). Their chances of winning 7 or more are 12.5%. At #8 in the league, they are fighting with the Indians for positioning. With a -0.39 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are ahead of the White Sox by 3 points. With a +1.01 advantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.

The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Athletics are the 2nd most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Athletics are playing 14 games, traveling 6193 miles crossing 6 time zones. They rank #9 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Oakland Athletics' next game. They are -130 favorites and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
30 Anderson, Brett SP6-323002/01/198811No College
40 Bassitt, Chris SP6-522002/22/19895Akron
49 Bolt, Skye CF6-218701/15/19941North Carolina
35 Brooks, Aaron SP6-423004/27/19904No College
52 Buchter, Ryan RP6-423202/13/19875No College
20 Canha, Mark 1B6-221202/15/19895California
26 Chapman, Matt 3B6-022004/28/19933No College
50 Fiers, Mike SP6-220206/15/19859No College
8 Grossman, Robbie LF6-021509/16/19897No College
16 Hendriks, Liam RP6-022502/10/19899No College
3 Hundley, Nick C6-120509/08/198312Arizona
22 Laureano, Ramon CF5-1120007/15/19942No College
33 Mengden, Daniel SP6-122502/19/19934Texas A&M
47 Montas, Frankie SP6-224503/21/19934No College
28 Olson, Matt 1B6-523003/29/19944No College
36 Petit, Yusmeiro RP6-125511/22/198412No College
19 Phegley, Josh C5-1022502/12/19887Indiana
18 Pinder, Chad LF6-220703/29/19924Virginia Tech
25 Piscotty, Stephen RF6-420501/14/19915Stanford
23 Profar, Jurickson 2B6-019002/20/19936No College
10 Semien, Marcus SS6-019509/17/19907California
48 Soria, Joakim RP6-320005/18/198412No College
39 Treinen, Blake RP6-522706/30/19886No College
62 Trivino, Lou RP6-524010/01/19912No College
61 Wang, Wei-Chung RP6-218504/25/19922No College