REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

After 151 games, their expected win percentage is 52% based on the money line odds. At 90-61 they ahead of expectations. Money line betters would be up big taking them in every game (+1635 units). They are one of the best teams against the spread (87-64) for a +1687 profit. Their under-over record is 78-69 with 4 pushes. They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the Kansas City Royals. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

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SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their odds to win it all are 30/1, 3.2% (#8). They are not a good bet to win the World Series. Their 1.9% chance is #9 in the league. In simulations, they win the AL 4.6% of the time and are not a good value at 15/1, 6.2%. Their pre-season futures line was 81.5 wins so they have hit the over. They are basically a lock to make the playoffs despite not having much of a chance to win the division. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the AL.

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their average run differential is +0.99 which ranks #4 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #4 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #3 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 14 games is +2.29 which ranks them #3 over this stretch, slightly better than overall.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Matt Chapman who is projected to be the #4 third baseman the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.