|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP
The Athletics are World Series contenders and their chances are clearly on the rise. In our pre-season forecast they had a 2% chance of winning it all. On 5/17 they had a 0.1% chance before increasing to 5.2% on 7/18. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 4.3%. They have a 16.9% chance of winning their division. They are projected to finish #5 in the conference and have a 69% chance of making the playoffs. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the AL at 3.8% (25/1 odds) and a 2% chance of winning it all (50/1). In simulations they make the World Series 9.3% of the time.
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher
Athletics' Season Forecast Changes
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A-
At 55-42 the Athletics are greatly exceeding their money line projected win total of 51 wins. In the process of beating expectations they have had 35 impressive wins where they were given
Their record should be slightly better. Their average run differential is +0.97 which ranks #4 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #5. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #3 ranked team in run differential in home games, vs #6 in road games. Based on run differential, they are trending up. Their average run differential in their past 9 games is +3.44 (#1 over this stretch).
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY
The forecast for their next 10 games is generally good. They have 3 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 2 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and just 2 games where they are a clear underdog. The rest of the games are toss ups.
The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 6-4 (25% chance). Their chances of winning 8 or more are 11%. At #5 in the league, they are behind the Indians by half a point. With a -0.69 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are ahead of the Rays by half a point. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Rays. Their projected wins (5.63) over the next 10 games is virtually the same so we do not expect a change in standings in the near term.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Athletics are the 10th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Athletics are playing 13 games, traveling 17663 miles crossing 22 time zones. They rank #8 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
Sportsline has a free pick on the Oakland Athletics' next game. They are +115 underdogs and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|30||Anderson, Brett||SP||6-3||230||02/01/1988||11||No College|
|15||Bailey, Homer||SP||6-4||225||05/03/1986||13||No College|
|1||Barreto, Franklin||2B||5-10||200||02/27/1996||3||No College|
|52||Buchter, Ryan||RP||6-4||232||02/13/1987||5||No College|
|26||Chapman, Matt||3B||6-0||220||04/28/1993||3||No College|
|2||Davis, Khris||DH||5-11||203||12/21/1987||7||No College|
|50||Fiers, Mike||SP||6-2||202||06/15/1985||9||No College|
|8||Grossman, Robbie||LF||6-0||215||09/16/1989||7||No College|
|16||Hendriks, Liam||RP||6-0||225||02/10/1989||9||No College|
|5||Herrmann, Chris||C||6-0||200||11/24/1987||8||Miami (FL)|
|22||Laureano, Ramon||CF||5-11||200||07/15/1994||2||No College|
|33||Mengden, Daniel||SP||6-1||225||02/19/1993||4||Texas A&M|
|28||Olson, Matt||1B||6-5||230||03/29/1994||4||No College|
|36||Petit, Yusmeiro||RP||6-1||255||11/22/1984||12||No College|
|18||Pinder, Chad||LF||6-2||207||03/29/1992||4||Virginia Tech|
|23||Profar, Jurickson||2B||6-0||190||02/20/1993||6||No College|
|54||Schlitter, Brian||RP||6-3||238||12/21/1985||4||No College|
|48||Soria, Joakim||RP||6-3||200||05/18/1984||12||No College|
|39||Treinen, Blake||RP||6-5||227||06/30/1988||6||No College|
|62||Trivino, Lou||RP||6-5||240||10/01/1991||2||No College|
|61||Wang, Wei-Chung||RP||6-1||160||04/25/1992||3||No College|