|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN
The Athletics are competing to make the playoffs but their chances are on a downward trend. In our pre-season forecast they had a 44.1% chance of making the playoffs. On 3/19 they had a 45.5% chance before dropping to 4.3% on 5/17. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 14%. Before the start of their 8 game winning streak they were at 5.1%. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the AL at 2% (50/1 odds) and a 1% chance of winning it all (100/1).
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher
Athletics' Season Forecast Changes
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A-
At 27-25 the Athletics are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 26.8 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 15 good wins but they also have 15 bad losses. They have won 44% of their road games and were expected to win 51%. At home they have a 60% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 52%. Over the past 3 weeks they have played better going 13-6 in a stretch where their projected win rate was 10.1 wins. The Athletics should be a slightly above average team based on simulations where they won 53.3% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#10 in the league). They have moved up from #17 in the league back on 5/6.
Their record should be better. Their average run differential is +0.54 which ranks #6 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #8. They are the #5 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #7 ranked team among home teams. Based on run differential, they are trending up. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is +2.83 (#3 over this stretch).
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
NEXT 9 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY CLOUDY
The Athletics next 9 game forecast looks like a mix of 'clouds and sun'. They have 3 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 2 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and just 4 games where they are a clear underdog.
The most likely scenario over the next 9 games is a record of 5-4 (27% chance). Their chances of winning 7 or more are 12.5%. At #8 in the league, they are fighting with the Indians for positioning. With a -0.39 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are ahead of the White Sox by 3 points. With a +1.01 advantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.
The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Athletics are the 2nd most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Athletics are playing 14 games, traveling 6193 miles crossing 6 time zones. They rank #9 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
Sportsline has a free pick on the Oakland Athletics' next game. They are -130 favorites and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|30||Anderson, Brett||SP||6-3||230||02/01/1988||11||No College|
|49||Bolt, Skye||CF||6-2||187||01/15/1994||1||North Carolina|
|35||Brooks, Aaron||SP||6-4||230||04/27/1990||4||No College|
|52||Buchter, Ryan||RP||6-4||232||02/13/1987||5||No College|
|26||Chapman, Matt||3B||6-0||220||04/28/1993||3||No College|
|50||Fiers, Mike||SP||6-2||202||06/15/1985||9||No College|
|8||Grossman, Robbie||LF||6-0||215||09/16/1989||7||No College|
|16||Hendriks, Liam||RP||6-0||225||02/10/1989||9||No College|
|22||Laureano, Ramon||CF||5-11||200||07/15/1994||2||No College|
|33||Mengden, Daniel||SP||6-1||225||02/19/1993||4||Texas A&M|
|47||Montas, Frankie||SP||6-2||245||03/21/1993||4||No College|
|28||Olson, Matt||1B||6-5||230||03/29/1994||4||No College|
|36||Petit, Yusmeiro||RP||6-1||255||11/22/1984||12||No College|
|18||Pinder, Chad||LF||6-2||207||03/29/1992||4||Virginia Tech|
|23||Profar, Jurickson||2B||6-0||190||02/20/1993||6||No College|
|48||Soria, Joakim||RP||6-3||200||05/18/1984||12||No College|
|39||Treinen, Blake||RP||6-5||227||06/30/1988||6||No College|
|62||Trivino, Lou||RP||6-5||240||10/01/1991||2||No College|
|61||Wang, Wei-Chung||RP||6-2||185||04/25/1992||2||No College|