SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their odds to win it all are 60/1, 1.6% (#14). Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 0.3% chance is #13 in the league. In simulations, they win the NL 0.9% of the time and are not a good value at 30/1, 3.2%. They are projected to win 84 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 89. Their playoff chances stand at 13.2% (0% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the NL.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 70.5-64.5. At 70-65 they are in line with these expectations. If you bet on them to win every game you would be down quite a bit (-673 units). They are not good against the spread (64-71) for a -513 loss. Their under-over record is 68-64 with 3 pushes. They are favored in their upcoming game vs the Cincinnati Reds. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record is better than it should be. Their average run differential is -0.1 which ranks #9 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #6. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #8 ranked team in run differential in home games, vs #13 in road games. Based on run differential, they are trending up. Their average run differential in their past 11 games is +0.36 (#5 over this stretch).

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Bryce Harper who is projected to be the #6 outfielder the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.