SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

The Pirates are not contenders to win the championship at 20000/1. They are one of 2 teams with these odds (#23 in the league). They do not win the World Series in any simulations. They are not a good value to win the NL either at 10000/1. They are projected to win 68 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 78.5. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +500 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their preseason chances to win the division were 4.8% at 20/1, 4.8%. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the NL.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 57.2-71.8. At 54-75 they are in line with these expectations. If you bet on them to win every game you would be down quite a bit (-1352 units). They are not good against the spread (59-70) for a -1980 loss. Their over-under record is 72-52 with 5 pushes. They are favored in their upcoming game vs the Cincinnati Reds. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their average run differential is -0.85 which ranks #14 in the NL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #13 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #14 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 13 games is -0.92 which ranks them #11 over this stretch, slightly better than overall.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Josh Bell who is projected to be the #7 first baseman / DH the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.