Pittsburgh
Pirates
Stadium PNC Park
12-10 Overall | NL CENTRAL 2nd
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Pirates.23175183.29
Schedule
Regular season
Sat  4/20
vs
Giants
W / 53-1
Sun  4/21
vs
Giants
L2-3
Mon  4/22
vs
Diamondbacks
L4-12
Tue  4/23
vs
Diamondbacks
L1-2
Wed  4/24
vs
Diamondbacks
L2-11
Thu  4/25
vs
Diamondbacks
12:35pm
Fri  4/26
@
Dodgers
10:10pm
Sat  4/27
@
Dodgers
9:10pm
Sun  4/28
@
Dodgers
4:10pm
Tue  4/30
@
Rangers
8:05pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN

Before the season, the Pirates were projected for 78.7 points (average per simulation) but it does not look like they are going to reach that. Their chances have held steady this season. It was 80.3% on 4/21 and 77.4% on 4/24. Their current chances are at 76.9%. They have a 1% chance of winning their division. They are projected to finish #6 in the conference and have a 4% chance of making the playoffs. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the NL at 4.8% (20/1 odds) and a 2.4% chance of winning it all (40/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 52% #3 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 48% #12 Easiest

Pirates' Season Forecast Changes

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-

At 12-10 the Pirates are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 10.8 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 7 good wins vs 5 bad losses. They have been better than expected on the road. Their 6-4- road record is +16% better than their expected win percentage. Losers of 4 in a row they have a 37.4% chance of seeing that extend to 6 straight. In simulations, the Pirates are a below average team and won 49.7% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#18 in the league). They have moved up from #20 in the league back on 4/19.

Their record is better than it should be. Their average run differential is -0.41 which ranks #10 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #5. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #5 ranked team in run differential in road games, vs #12 in home games. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is -0.83 which ranks them #12 over this stretch, slightly worse than overall.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

NEXT 9 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY

The Pirates next 9 game forecast looks rough, to say the least. They have 3 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 47% chance of winning, and 7 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

APR 25
CLOSE GAME
45% ARI
--
APR 26
LIKELY LOSS
32% @LAD
2133 miles
APR 27
LIKELY LOSS
29% @LAD
-- miles
APR 28
LIKELY LOSS
36% @LAD
-- miles
APR 30
CLOSE GAME
47% @TEX
1085 miles
MAY 1
CLOSE GAME
42% @TEX
-- miles
MAY 3
CLOSE GAME
43% OAK
--
MAY 4
CLOSE GAME
42% OAK
--
MAY 5
CLOSE GAME
51% OAK
--
MAY 7
CLOSE GAME
53% TEX
--

The most likely scenario over the next 9 games is a record of 4-5 (26% chance). Their chances of winning 6 or more are 10.4%. At #6 in the league, they are fighting with the Cubs for positioning. With a -1.07 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are in a battle with Phillies in the league. With a -1.95 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they may find the gap between them closing.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Pittsburgh Pirates' next game. They are -125 favorites and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
24 Archer, Chris SP6-219509/26/19888No College
55 Bell, Josh 1B6-424008/14/19924No College
43 Brault, Steven RP6-019504/29/19924No College
53 Cabrera, Melky RF5-1021008/11/198415No College
29 Cervelli, Francisco C6-121003/06/198612No College
30 Crick, Kyle RP6-422011/30/19923No College
32 Diaz, Elias C6-122011/17/19905No College
26 Frazier, Adam 2B5-1018012/14/19914No College
16 Kang, Jung Ho 3B6-021504/05/19874No College
35 Kela, Keone RP6-120504/16/19935No College
49 Kingham, Nick RP6-523511/08/19912No College
47 Liriano, Francisco RP6-222510/26/198314No College
31 Lyles, Jordan SP6-523010/19/19909No College
51 Martin, Jason LF5-918509/05/19951No College
19 Moran, Colin 3B6-420510/01/19924No College
59 Musgrove, Joe SP6-523012/04/19924No College
25 Polanco, Gregory RF6-523509/14/19916No College
15 Reyes, Pablo RF5-817509/05/19932No College
10 Reynolds, Bryan CF6-3200No College
48 Rodriguez, Richard RP6-423003/04/19903No College
17 Shuck, J.B. RF5-1119506/18/19877No College
50 Taillon, Jameson SP6-523011/18/19914No College
3 Tucker, Cole SS6-320507/03/19961No College
73 Vazquez, Felipe RP6-222507/05/19915No College
34 Williams, Trevor SP6-323004/25/19924No College